Thursday, April 29, 2010

May 2010

The last two dates, April 27/28 worked out rather well. We may be in a short term bounce with more downside to come. Cycle wise a timeframe around May 11th, when Mercury goes direct, would be good timing for a more serious correction. We are in currently in the 12th week of the primary cycle.

Cycle wise Oil should be making a short term hight around May 2-7 and Gold as well, although Gold may crest out a little later around May 10-11.

There are currently a number of events which could affect the stock market, Gulf Oil spill etc. The most significant event, the sinking of the South Korean warship back on March 26. There appears to be strong evidence that it was North Korea, yet there is only cursory mention of these events in the mainstream media. Apparently there was at least one South Korean official who stated they would not challenge North Korea on this action due to it's negative effect on the economy. The link this was wriiten on has since been deleted.

This should be a lesson for all of us. If there is a significant event it can be covered up by mainstream media who effectively ignore the event. Be on guard, your freedoms are being taken away by such actions.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8648970.stm

More later.....

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

April 28th Intra day

Looking at intra day CIT's.

Potential CITs on April 28th are
10:00 - 10:30am and
12:41pm.

Give them a range of 10 to 15 minutes.

Expecting a volatile day; however, the powers that be will be doing their best to keep things on an even keel.

Good luck!

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

April 27 / 28th

We are quite possibly looking for a low in the April 27 / 28, 2010 range.

April 27th is fib 55 trading days from the Feb 5th low.
April 28th is 288 trading days from the March 6, 2009 low (fib 144 *2).

There is a full Moon near the open on April 28th (Moon in Scorpio which is often volatile) and the Sun is in inferior conjunction with Mercury which approx. 1/2 the way through it's retrograde period.

Leading up to these dates there are a number of Venus transits and on April 26 there is the long term Saturn opposition to Uranus. These longer term transits typically need a faster moving trigger and in this case Venus is in waning trine to Saturn on April 24th. The Sun is trine Pluto on April 25 but we are looking at the 27th / 28th dates for a potential low or at the least a CIT (change in trend).

Sunday, April 18, 2010

Week Of April 19, 2010

The pull back expected to start around April 19, started on April 16 with the news from the SEC and Goldman Sachs. I'm looking at February 5th as the nominal 18 week and 50 week cycle lows. Since we have not had a sunstantial pullback this is the timeframe (11 weeks along) for a 1/2 primary (18 week) pullback. If so this could be a very sharp steep pullback.

I'm looking for a pullback to either the 1175 or 1150's area for the SP. This ideally would be somewhere in the next 2 weeks. See fibs on the following chart. If this is a 1/2 primary cycle low forming then 1090 - 1110 is not out of the question.





Gold and Oil both made major cycle (approx. 6 week) lows in late March there the next major cycle lows may be forming.

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Week Of April 12, 2010 cont

Following along from the previous post there is a 30 cd / 90 cd (cd = calendar days instead of trading days) falling on April 19th. The following chart is the DJIA and the red lines 30 cd's apart.

As stated before Saturday April 17 has Mercury retrograde so Monday April 19th could be a CIT (change in trend).


Monday, April 12, 2010

Week Of April 12, 2010

I'm looking for a turn in the broad stock market indexes somewhere from April 14- 19.

The next 2 weeks are filled with Saturn transits with the longer term Saturn opposition to Uranus occurring April 26th.

This week we have a new moon on April 14, a Heliocentric Mercury waxing square to Venus on April 15 and Mercury retrograde on April 17.

These along with the Saturn aspects point to a change in direction. They could point to changes in commodities as well , but the history seems to be more with the broad stock averages (SP, DJ etc.).

I'll try and post a chart later.

Gold and Oil are in the upswing that was called in late March but maybe due for pullbacks this week.

The Saturn transits mentioned above, particularly the Saturn / Uranus opposition on April 26th could signal more and serious geophysical upsets. Please note the word could. Such disturbances do not usually happen right on an aspect date (i.e. April 26) but tend to build up and would be released with some other gravitional or magnetic forces. New and full moons or a significant solar flair could set things off.

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

April 2010

This approx. 13 td (trading day) cycle has been working well on the SP500.






It appear both Gold and Oil 6 week cycles troughed out in late March. Gold has been rising sharply. Watch Natural Gas after the inventories at 10:30am tomorrow.

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