Saturday, June 28, 2014

Financial Astrology - June 29, 2014


We are near the end of the period of illusion and delusion that has covered much of June. We'll mark this period officially over with the Sun trining Neptune on June 29th and then Mercury turning stationary direct on July 1st (it will go along a few days as Mercury regains apparent speed).

Now if you thought June was eventful, put on your seat belts, July and the first half of August look should be even more action-packed.

The SP500 is now in it's 21st week of the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) with a range of 15-23 weeks. This is measured trough to trough and the major US indexes are still near their highs. They may be moving down quickly assuming no meddling from the FED.

Whether this is a long term top, and I think it's a strong possibility, we should be very close to a crest in the Primary cycle and thus do for a reversal to put in an ending trough. We have not started any type of down move but I had expected window dressing for companies going into quarter end. This ends Monday.

Early July has the Sun translating the Uranus / Pluto waxing square again. Much has already been written about the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. Use the search utility on the blog to see write ups on this long term transit. The Sun will be shedding light on the geopolitical and war like activities in a number of countries.

Mid-month we have geocentric Jupiter changing signs into Leo and Saturn and Uranus changing direction.

One message from the above are rapid changes for the geopolitical and financial worlds. Other transits, particularly transits to Eris point, to more strife and discord. Of course this could be pointing to a reversal in the major US markets, DJIA, SP500, NDX etc.

Near the end of the month Venus opposes Pluto, always a strong signature for a market turn and the Sun at 8 degrees Leo which can affect crude or something to do with crude.

For the SP 500 we appear to be getting resistance around 1968. This was challenged on June 4th but has fallen back.



A chart I've shown for some time is the Pluto Price line (blue) and added more recently, the North Node price line (red). If we move sharply below the North Node price line the Pluto price line should act as strong resistance currently around 1877.



A few weeks ago we added the Russell 2000 as it was thought it would be less manipulated. So far this looks true. The Russell is 7 weeks along it's Primary cycle and due for a move down into a trough. A normal pullback would be in the 38.2%-50% retracement as shown on the following daily chart.



That said, the following link is interesting but not surprising and falls in the illusion, delusion time frame.


The US$ is the reserve currency of the world, but this is slowly slipping away as more and more countries are using something other than the US$ for international settlements. I thought this would take some time but with China and Russia involved this transition may occur faster than I thought. Worth watching. This may actually benefit US exporters.

The following daily US$ chart reflects continued weakening. The FED's money printing policies have not helped. Of course there are many central banks conducting the same monetary policies.



Gold
Now Gold may be entering a very positive time. Following up from last week's post we were looking for a move down or sideways move. We got the sideways move. We are now in the 4th week of a new Primary cycle. We would normally get a Major cycle crest in the 2nd to 5th week then down to a trough. The longer it takes the more right translated it will be and therefore the more bullish.

That said each Astrological event has a specific effect of the market under study. In this case Mercury turning direct has a pretty good history of market turns in Gold. Next one July 1st. The subscribers have other dates with a history of market turns in Gold.

Note on the following daily chart for Gold, we are at 1325 or 23.6% retracement of the move down from Oct 5, 2012 to July 1, 2013. A breakthrough of this level will be very bullish. I'm looking for a pullback first but we don't have to have it.

Also note the two previous highs on March 17, 2014 and Aug 28, 2013. Gold must breakthrough these levels for a larger increase to occur.




Crude
There are a number of specific dates given to subscribers which very often result in crude prices moving quickly or some other crude related issue (secret deals etc.) At this point watch activities in Iraq and the export from the US.

We are now in the 9th seek of the Primary cycle and the 4th week of the second Major cycle so we could be getting set for a decline into a Major cycle trough.

The key dates for crude given to subscribers are based on planet movements over specific degrees of the Zodiac. They have a strong connection. These will occur between mid-July through the end of August. One of them has a lot to do with secret, clandestine meetings and deceit.



As mentioned on the last few posts coffee is ruled by Neptune. Note the large swing down in coffee on Friday. There is an important Sun trine Neptune signature on June 29th. Watch coffee on Monday.



Saturday, June 21, 2014

Financial Astrology - June 22, 2014


SP500
With the continuing dovish monetary policy from the FED any dramatic change in market indices is going to come from an external event(s).

For a number of reasons we are expecting a substantial move in Gold in the 2nd half of 2014. There are both Astrological events and Gold market cycles that should move Gold up. Subscribers have the dates.

For Gold to move substantially will require an event that affects a major currency, a dramatic increase in inflation or some other monetary event. The FED is continuing the taper of bond purchases but is also committed to a low short-term interest rate policy into late 2015 or 2016. Russia is doing their part by trying to get a group of countries together that would not use US$ in international trade. They set the example with the recent gas deal with China.

One event that could derail the FED's plans is a dramatic rise in oil prices due to unrest in the Mid-East. Problems in the Ukraine could directly affect Europe but only indirectly affect North America or other countries that trade with Europe or directly with the Ukraine like China.

That said let's take a look at the indices.

The SP500 is 20 weeks along in it's Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) with a range of 15-23 weeks. It's getting late. Some of our normal signals for a market turn have not worked recently. For example Mercury turning retrograde on June 7 within 2 days of Neptune turning retrograde on June 9th has been a market turn signal. In this market it resulted in 3 down days (see the following daily chart of the SP500.



We are in another time period where there are signals for a market turn. That said we must keep in mind June 30 is a quarter end and therefore stocks will be affected by window dressing to improve the look before earnings announcements.

The Sun is changing signs from the quick thinking, versatile sign of Gemini to the far more cautious sign of Cancer on June 21st. Venus (rules money / resources amongst other things) will be moving out of Taurus (staid and fixed), the sign that it rules into quick moving Gemini on June 23rd.

Cancer is one of the Cardinal signs (summer). Cardinal signs mark the seasons and are action oriented. The other Cardinal signs which mark the seasons are zero degrees of Aries (spring), Libra (fall) and Capricorn ( winter). They are periods of change and for the markets as well. They all need a trigger. In our current passage Mercury just past backwards across the zero degree Cancer point and will pass over it again going forward on July 13. Watch the dates around July 13 +- a couple of tds (trading days). There is a Super Moon on July 12th. That time period is another to watch for a market turn. More about this in a future post.

The signature of the week is Mars opposing Uranus on June 25th a signature for quick changes, violence, sudden catastrophes and terrorists. The type of activity we have seen in Iraq and the Ukraine.
Another issue we have not mentioned for a few posts is the current period of illusion / delusion often seen around the Neptune retrograde date. These retrograde movements of the slower moving outer planets cover a period of time, in this case from May 28 to June 29th. On June 29 the Sun will trine Neptune and the period of illusion / delusion will come to an end on July 1st when Mercury turns stationary direct.

There are other issues going on which are discussed in the subscription, weekly letter.

We also had a fairly reliable market cycle of 22/44 weeks, see the following chart. This cycle has marked intermediate highs with a couple of exceptions which inverted. This cycle is still in effect but the market would need to reverse very quickly to validate the high this time.

In short there are quite a few signatures pointing to change in the markets. This means a CIT, "Change In Trend". Remember a change in trend is a market that is moving up and reverses down. A change in trend is also a market that is trending up and then goes sideways.



We had added the chart of the Russell 2000 (RUT) a couple of weeks ago as it is felt an index of 2000 stocks is less open to manipulation than the major U.S. index's (SP500, Nasdaq 100 and DJIA).

The Russell 2000 appears to have put in a Primary cycle low on May 15th which means it is entering the 6th week of the Primary cycle. It is thus due for a Major cycle top and pullback potentially to the 1136-1148 area. This is classic as it had a well defined Trading cycle 2 weeks along on the June 3rd pullback.



Following is a repeat of the Primary cycle and it's cycle components.

Primary cycles have an average length of 18 weeks.
Primary cycles most often break down into 3 Major cycles of approx. 6 weeks each. (Note: some behave differently).
Each Major cycle often breaks down into 2 or 3 week Trading cycles. The Trading cycle often gives the trader a second chance of buying the Primary cycle low if the trader missed the actual low. In this case on the June 3rd pullback.

Gold
We were expecting volatility and potential big move with the Heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius transit from June 9 through June 20th. We got it.

We should have noted, but didn't, the Sun quintile (72 degrees) Uranus on June 19. This aspect has a history of big moves in both directions.

The move also pretty much confirms Gold put in a Primary cycle trough on June 3rd. This means we are in the 3rd week changing to the 4th week during the week and could be due for a Trading cycle pullback. Also, the fact we are at the 50% retracement of the move down from March 17th to June 3rd.



Now, wars and conflict have historically been positive for Gold. However, entering the 3rd/4th week of a new Primary and heliocentric Mercury leaving Scorpio into the more somber sign of Capricorn on June 20th, I expect either a pull back or a sideways volatile move. As stated before I think the big move comes in the 2nd half of 2014. I'll go into more detail in an early July for subscribers. They have the dates.

Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude, however, with the disruption of crude production in Iraq, Libya etc. price has shot up. Unlike Gold, Crude has not defined whether we are at the end of a Primary cycle (24th week) or we just had the crest of the first Major cycle (7 week). This is looking more and more like the May 1, trough was the start of a new Primary cycle and we are 7 weeks along. If that is the case and we get a Primary cycle with 3 Major cycles then, cycle wise, we are due for a dip right about now.

That said we have production delays and violence in Iraq, Libya and trouble continues in the Ukraine. The sides are forming in Iraq with Saudi Arabia supporting the Sunni's (who else would they support?)  and Iran and possibly Russia supporting the Shiite population in Iraq. This is a bad situation.

Russia's interest maybe driving the price of crude up. With large oil production, this is to their benefit.

The T-square including Mars - Uranus - Pluto been described in a previous posts. These are war like aspects. This week Mars opposes Uranus on June 25th, which is another violent signature which should highlight the war like aspects.

If we get a pull back we should see the 103-104 area. Events on the ground will probably keep the world price of crude high with WTIC traders taking advantage of a situation which really does directly affect North American crude prices at this time.




Other things to watch. Neptune is active. Neptune rules Crude and NatGas. There are many issues surrounding both here and in Europe. It should be obvious to even a casual observer, oil and NatGas are products and their sources that have risen to importance over this period where Neptune has been active.

Neptune's active time period will soon be over but keep in mind Neptune also rules water. Neptune is also early in Pisces, the sign that it rules. I'm expecting trouble from water, either a lack of water in areas of the world, or flooding, tsunami or other disaster type situation.

As mentioned last week, Neptune also rules coffee. The following chart is the JO, ETF, for coffee. The green lines are the Neptune price lines. Notice how they have acted as both support and resistance. Watch coffee, crude and NatGas closely in the month of June. I'm expecting volatility and breaks in support / resistance lines.

Coffee got support at the 50% and has just made it above the Neptune price line (green lines). Watch Coffee, Crude and Natgas around June 29 when the Sun trines Neptune and marks the near end of the illusion / delusion time period I've discussed over the last few weeks.




Saturday, June 14, 2014

Financial Astrology - June 15, 2014



SP500
The SP500 has taken an unusual turn with a surge near the end of the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week). This is currently the 19th week of the Primary cycle in the SP500 and as such we are looking for a turn down into the trough of this primary ideally due between now and July 14th. We'll look for the potential end dates in the subscribers market letter. For purposes here I think we'll have the trough earlier than July 14th.

Last week was volatile as expected. See the June 8th post.
"I'm expecting increased volatility over the next couple of weeks"

The subscribers got the following dates last week. All potentials CIT dates (Change In Trend).

"June 7            Mercury retrograde
June 9              Neptune retrograde
June 10            Venus at 15 degrees of Taurus , a Fixed sign which Venus rules.
June 13            Full Moon and Venus opposition Saturn"

In addition the subscribers had 1st half forecast dates which included June 7th.

The market letter had two additional dates June 16 and 17th. There are many potentials Astro events and multiple market cycles as well in this time period.

In addition to the 19th week of the Primary cycle there are also 11, 22 and 44 week cycles hitting in these two weeks.

The following daily chart shows the Primary cycle which started on Feb. 3, 2014.



The following weekly chart of the SP500 shows the 22 week cycle and how it has defined cycle highs recently. Note it sometimes inverts. This cycle is also the 44 week.



Last week we mentioned the Russell 2000. Following is an updated chart daily chart.



This shows the Primary cycle bottom on May 15 so we are now going into the 5th week of the first Major cycle of a new Primary. This is classic as it had a well defined Trading cycle 2 weeks along on the June 3rd pullback. This chart appears to have just put in the top for the first Major cycle (nominal 6 week) and should move lower into the Major cycle trough. The subscribers will be getting our estimated dates.

Primary cycles have an average length of 18 weeks.
Primary cycles most often break down into 3 Major cycles of approx. 6 weeks each. (Note: some behave differently).
Each Major cycle often breaks down into 2 or 3 week Trading cycles. The Trading cycle often gives the trader a second chance of buying the Primary cycle low if the trader missed the actual low.

From previous posts we are still in this period of illusion and delusion where things happen which seem strange and unplanned.

Also from the previous post.
"things seem to be a little quieter on the world stage. At least there seems to be less things being blown up and less blood being spilled, at least there has been less reporting on the above. Astrological signatures coming up will probably change this once again. Mars squares Pluto on June 15th and is forming a T-square with Pluto and Uranus. Although not exact it should be close enough to stir up war like activities, bad weather or geophysical problems. This should be from June 14th on for a few weeks with an emphasis on June 25 +-."

Since that post we have had increase hostilities in the Ukraine, recently an aircraft was shot down, with multiple deaths and the uprising in Iraq by the Sunni militant Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). These are Al Qaeda Jihadists.

Gold
Gold looks like it put in a Primary cycle low on June 3rd. This means we are in the 2nd week of the new Primary cycle. As discussed above under the SP500 we may hit a Trading cycle crest very shortly, and down to a Trading cycle trough.

From the last post
"Gold is entering a period where it usually becomes very volatile. Heliocentric Mercury will be entering Sagittarius on June 9th through June 20th. I'm looking at this as a good trading opportunity both up and down. Subscribers will have the dates. "

I hope people are getting in on these trades. This Gold trade would have paid for the small subscription fee many times over.
Keep in mind I'm looking at this as a short term opportunity while the 2nd half of 2014 should yield a very strong move in precious metals. Gold may get very volatile shortly. I would put in stop loss orders to protect your profits.



Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude, however, with the disruption of crude production in Iraq, Libya etc. price has shot up. Unlike Gold, Crude has not defined whether we are at the end of a Primary cycle (23rd week) or we just had the crest of the first Major cycle (7 week). This is looking more and more like the May 1, trough was the start of a new Primary cycle and we are 7 weeks along. If that is the case and we get a Primary cycle with 3 Major cycles then we are due for a dip right about now.

That said there are a number of war like Astro just formed or being formed. June 14 has Mars squaring Pluto and June 25, Mars Opposition Pluto. This is the T-square now forming Mars - Uranus - Pluto. This has been described in a previous posts. These are war like aspects.                     



Other things to watch. Neptune is active. Neptune rules Crude and NatGas. There are many issues surrounding both here and in Europe. Russia continues to negotiate with the Ukraine over gas contracts and now we have Iraq, Libya and other producers either not producing or producing at lower production levels.

Neptune also rules coffee. The following chart is the JO, ETF, for coffee. The green lines are the Neptune price lines. Notice how they have acted as both support and resistance. Watch coffee, crude and NatGas closely in the month of June. I'm expecting volatility and breaks in support / resistance lines.

Coffee got support at the 50% retracement but is struggling to get over the Neptune price line (green lines)





Sunday, June 8, 2014

Financial Astrology - June 8, 2014


SP500
A number of analysts are recently looking at the Russell 2000 index when reviewing cycles and market moves. The thinking is the DJIA and SP500 can be manipulated too easily by activity in a few stocks.

With that in mind, following is a daily chart Russell 2000. An index with 2000 stocks becomes less easily manipulated. I've included the 15 and 45 sma.



This is interesting as it shows the probability of May 15th being a Primary cycle low. The 15 dma is below the 45 sma and price is below both, with the 15 sma turning up after the bottom. What's wrong with the chart? The Primary cycle is very short at 14 weeks. The Primary cycle also known as 18 weeks cycle has an average range of 15 - 23 weeks. The Primary cycle started on Feb 5th on the above chart as did the Primary cycle on the following chart for the SP500 (ignore the red and blue dots). The moving averages are the same as is the start date for the Primary cycle at Feb 5, 2014. There is nothing pointing to May 15th as being a Primary cycle low in the SP500 chart below.



The Russell 2000 is telling us we are entering the 4th week of a new Primary cycle. This would typically go up to the 4th to 5th week in a bullish environment. This may still be a good place to buy the Russell. Subscribers will have my buy or sell recommendations for both indexes.

Keep the following quotes in mind as I suspected problems in this time period for some time.

From the May 17th post.
"Also what is coming shortly is Mercury stationary retrograde on June 7 and Neptune stationary retrograde on June 9. This seems to indicate a period of lies, deceit and false hoods. Since we already have all these, perhaps a period of enhanced lies, deceit and false hoods better sates the case."

From the May 24th post.
"Rather than look at the exact date of the Neptune station I look at the time period from May 28 to June 29 as a window for Neptune related activity. Neptune can equate to issues with water (especially now since it's in Pisces, the sign of it's ruler ship), oil and gas, charities, spirituality, hospitals and things that are hard to grasp. Like me. The feeling of being lost or the unknown. In it's highest form it is the recognition of the spiritual and the lowest, lies, deceit, fraud and corruption. With the way things are at this time I unfortunately look to the latter to manifest."

From the May 31st post.
"although beneficial for the arts, music, poetry etc. also stands for illusion and delusion."

Illusion and delusion may turn out to be very fitting for this time period.

What to expect? Mercury and Neptune turning retrograde both have a history of occurring near market turns or CIT's (Change In Trend). There is also a Full Moon late in the week with Venus opposing Saturn on the same day. Not positive for stocks and both are in the "Money Signs", Taurus and Scorpio.

From our earlier analysis the SP500 is in the 18th week of it's Primary cycle, and due for a turn, while the Russell 2000 may be about to enter the 4th week of a new Primary cycle. That said, an old saying is don't fight the FED. Their dovish monetary policy is undoubtedly responsible for these market moves, although late last week looked like a short covering rally.

I'm expecting increased volatility over the next couple of weeks and the possibility of a resolution to the status of the SP500 and DJIA.

As I write this post things seem to be a little quieter on the world stage. At least there seems to be less things being blown up and less blood being spilled, at least there has been less reporting on the above. Astrological signatures coming up will probably change this once again. Mars squares Pluto on June 15th and is forming a T-square with Pluto and Uranus. Although not exact it should be close enough to stir up war like activities, bad weather or geophysical problems. This should be from June 14th on for a few weeks with an emphasis on June 25 +-.


Gold
Gold may have just put in a Primary cycle low on June 3rd. It's a little early to confirm as I would want to see this rise off the bottom. If this isn't the Primary low then we are in the 23rd week of an older Primary cycle. The timing is right and so are the 15 and 45 day sma's vs price.

Gold is entering a period where it usually becomes very volatile. Heliocentric Mercury will be entering Sagittarius on June 9th through June 20th. I'm looking at this as a good trading opportunity both up and down. Subscribers will have the dates.

Keep in mind I'm looking at this as a short term opportunity while the 2nd half of 2014 should yield a very strong move in precious metals.



Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude. Unlike Gold, Crude has not defined whether we are at the end of a Primary cycle (22nd week) or we just had the crest of the first Major cycle (6 week) and we are headed down to a trough. The latter assumes May 1st was a Primary cycle low. It was 15 weeks along but difficult to confirm. If it was, it wasn't very deep. Watch crude closely. We want to see price below the 15 sma and 45 sma.



Other things to watch. Neptune is active. Neptune rules Crude and NatGas. There are many issues surrounding both here and in Europe. Russia continues to negotiate with the Ukraine over gas contracts. This should continue most of the month.

Neptune also rules coffee. The following chart is the JO, ETF, for coffee. The green lines are the Neptune price lines. Notice how they have acted as both support and resistance. Watch coffee, crude and NatGas closely in the month of June. I'm expecting volatility and breaks in support / resistance lines.

Coffee has just bounced off the 50% retracement of the move up from Jan 27, 2014 to April 24, 2014 and is sitting on the Neptune price line. This area is an old support line now turned into resistance. If it breaks through the Neptune price line it could move quickly.



From the last post
"I use the date of Aug 15, 1971 for the US$. This is the date Nixon took the US off the gold standard. Based on this chart watch the US$ from June 4-6 for either a significant issue and at the least a big range day. June 6th seems to be the most exact. Transiting Mars will be conjunct natal Uranus on this chart. Looking at mundane events that could be the trigger, the ECB meets on June 5th."

June 5th was a very big range day for the US$ Index.



Wednesday, June 4, 2014

2017 Forecast Dates - July through December

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/////   key turn dates from July through December 30, 2017 and a Monthly Market    
/////   Letter providing more detail and specifics than the free blog post.
////    In addition to the Monthly Market Letter subscribers will receive email alerts
////    identifying potential trading situations developing.
/////   Forecast Dates cover the SP500 and  Gold. 
/////   The Monthly Market Letter includes the SP500, sometimes other indices, Gold, Silver,           
/////   Crude, NatGas, US$, Copper, Coffee and others when they become relevant.                       
/////   Please note: We do NOT use Negative Option Billing. Subscribers must sign up for each 6
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In addition to Astrological cycles the market letter will provide changes to the original dates and market cycles which are different than the Astrological cycles and can be based on td (trading days) or cd (calendar days). These are difficult to forecast weeks in advance.

The 1st half of 2017 should provide excellent opportunities in precious metals, crude and volatility in the general market indices.

Following is an example, the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle. The red vertical lines are the 224 cd cycle. Looking back they have marked troughs and one inversion back in March 2012.

It's interesting to note the orbit of Venus is 224 days and 365 * .618 = 225

It's also interesting the the Square root of 5 is 2.236
slide the decimal point 2 space = 224
and also 1.618 * 1.382 = 2.236 slide the decimal point = 224




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