Financial Astrology - October 24, 2016

Subscription

 - Our second half 2016 forecast dates are available
                      - Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with                                           eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
                      - We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses

Our posts are now reported on the highly regarded FXStreet.com.

The next 1/2 year Forecast Dates are available for purchase. Subscribers receive 6 months forecast no matter when they sign up. I've changed the format a little by including more Video.

SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise June 27 was the last Primary cycle trough. ¹ that puts us entering the 17th week. I was looking for a possible 50 week low to coincide with that June 27th Primary trough. The sharp move up after the June 27th Primary low seems to confirm this was the 50 week trough as well.

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low was estimated to be  October 24 +- 3 weeks with a range of October 3rd to November 14th. As we get closer I use the upcoming Astros to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur. As I mentioned some weeks ago on a previous post the cycles, as they get closer to the US Election, cycles that are due may expand into the Election date. The Election date is November 8th. We will need a range around that date and look for Astrological transits or events that have a history of moves near Primary cycle troughs. These will be included in the November Subscribers report. On October 22 the Sun enters Scorpio and will be there until November 21. The market, with the Sun in Scorpio, is often volatile with a history of big moves in both directions during this period. For US stock indices the period when the Sun is in Scorpio and the Moon is in Aquarius can coincide with a change in trend. This year that would be November 6th, 7th, 8th.

I've mentioned Election day, November 8th +- as a possible low but this could mark a high and the start of a more severe slide. We could also see a bounce into the election period then down. It will be very important in assessing the trend as we approach the November 8th period. I'm watching price action as we get closer. Currently I'm looking for a low near November 8th but it could be choppy on the way.

For those who have been reading this blog for awhile I've been looking for some large deceit or lies being exposed. This maybe what is coming out of Wiki leaks and Assange but it hasn't made it to the Main Stream Media. There have been many little lies exposed. The internet outage on October 21 is certainly an indication of how secure the internet is and how vulnerable to attack. As someone said "Build a FireWall before a wall."

One area of note. Saturn will be at 14 degrees, 41 minutes in Sagittarius on November 3rd. This is conjunct the Fixed Star Sarin. Fixed Stars are treated as if they stand still. They do move but very slowly. Saturn moves slowly as well. It takes approx. 29 years for one trip around the Sun. The last time Saturn was in this position was

September 5, 1987. A few days before the market crash of '87. This is far from definite but look for a possible severe move down around November 3rd - 8th or shortly thereafter. We'll know better as we get closer in time.

In mundane astrology the star names can also be significant. On March 20, 1995 there was a sarin attack on the Tokyo subway, killing at least a dozen people, severely injuring fifty and causing temporary vision problems for nearly a thousand others. Transiting Jupiter was conjunct this fixed star Sarin. Note I am not forecasting the same event.

Mars entered Capricorn on Sept 27th where it is exalted. One more piece of a move from mutable signs to Cardinal signs. Here Mars, male energy, is the initiator of action in the worldly environment and is kept in check by Saturn the ruler of Capricorn. Mars leaves Capricorn and enters Aquarius on November 9th, the day after the US Election. This coming week we will have Mars square Uranus on October 29th. The markets should see increased volatility.

We saw a number of earthquakes over 6.0 last week as expected. With a number of  Neptune transits in November we may see more.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The blue line is the heliocentric Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report.

Note the next V shaped bottom of that indicator is right on October 24th, 2016. It has no polarity by itself. This suggests there will be a move but not the direction of the move.

Video

https://youtube.com/watch?v=/ZWhN26dlB38

Following is a chart of the planetary average longitude. The horizontal blue lines are based on the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto which are converted to price. The levels this calculates typically are excellent points to place sell or buy stops. I often use them with Fibonacci retracement levels as well. Price went up Oct 14 and just touched the 2151 line (blue) and fell back intra-day to close at the low of the day. The index has gone sideways since.

Other transits over the next couple of weeks point to a volatile period in the markets.

Another chart is the daily SP500 with the Sun and Pluto price lines. Green is the Sun and black is Pluto. Notice, the SP500 was stopped at the Pluto price line (black line) on October 13th, edged up over the Sun price line and on Friday touched the Pluto price line and moved up close to the Sun price line. I'd like to see price move through the Pluto price line (currently at 2129) with good volume.

Harmonics

I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycle between the Sun and Saturn, which are the brown squares on the following daily chart. The next hits are Nov 4th then Nov. 23rd.  They are often at short changes in trend as seen on the August 1 date which was followed by two strong moves down.

Rumors from the FED that Yellen wants a "high-pressure economy" meaning increased inflation with no rate cuts. There were also rumors of the FED considering buying stock directly. They should review Japan and the BOJ buying the stock market. 

“The future influences the present just as much as the past.”
-- Friedrich Nietzsche

Gold

I was looking at May 31 as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle   ¹ trough.

Gold appears headed down into it's Primary trough. We have hit a couple of the dates identified in the subscribers report with more to come. A review of the daily chart shows the 15 and 45 day sma are pointed down with the 15 below the 45 and price below both. The Gold Primary cycle is due for a trough. It is currently entering the 20th week.

It is possible October 7th was the Primary low but unconfirmed. Price hasn't made a big move up. I think we will go down next week. This could also wait for a trough until the US Election time period.

The US elections could start interfering with the normal length of cycles if it gets to the end of October without hitting it's trough. Note, Gold has been going sideways for the last 12 days.

When we get in situations like this, Gold due for a trough but weakening if the US$ continues up I don't buy Gold or gold stocks, I put in resting buy orders at critical levels. They are triggered when price reaches that level. There are other strategies that could be employed using options.

The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. It has been close to both highs and lows and we are close now.

The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term. I'm looking for a more substantial move up later in November. We should go down first.

Crude

Feb 11 was the start of the previous Primary cycle. The crude cycle trough hit again on August 3rd where we have another Primary Cycle trough (PB).

We have had a Major cycle (aka 6 week cycle) crest (MT) and a Major cycle trough (MB) and are going up into the second Major cycle of the Primary cycle.

I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members. We had been looking for a retest of the August lows but now may have put in the crest of this Primary cycle on October 19th. Many markets will be influenced by the US leading into the November 8th election. The month of October's Astrological aspects should see increasing geo-political stress.

This is an unusual situation when crude price is increasing while Gold is falling and the US$ makes gains. This will not go on for a long time.

The following weekly chart of crude has a 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they land together red + blue = green. They hit on October 10th and that was a big range day for crude.

The green cycle has been at both highs and lows in crude and sometimes very sharp moves. I'm looking for crude to fall back from here.

This is a weekly chart. The red square on the chart is the Jupiter quincunx (150 degrees)  Neptune aspect

Following is a daily chart of crude with the 24 week (black) and the 12 week (red) cycles. Again pointing to a move down.