Feb 29, 2012

SP500

The Sp500 is 21 weeks along in it’s primary cycle / nominal 18 week cycle, which has a range from 15-23 weeks. It's late.

There are two Astro’s due March 3, Sun opposition Mars, and Venus opposition Saturn due March 4 which typically mark the unfolding of the cycle. If so we should see the index go down for 1-2 weeks. This is at odds with another Astro on March 13, a grand trine, which has been mentioned a number of times. Although not sure I had looked at March 13 as a high. This may be quite incorrect as it may end up being the trough for this cycle. As previously mentioned there are a number of other significant Astros around the March 13 date.

March 13 and May 20, particularly May 20 may turn out to be very significant dates. As usual, unless otherwise stated all dates are +- 3 td’s.

The following is a daily chart of the SP500. If anyone uses William Blau's TSI indicator, note it is getting us out of the trade here.

Crude

Crude is in the 3^rd week of it’s primary cycle and therefore a pullback into the trading cycle trough is expected. This should be a short pull back but will depend on the direction of the US$.

Gold

Both Silver and now Gold appear to be in sync with the heliocentric Venus and Jupiter price lines. Gold may have hit resistance at the Venus price line, while Silver would have a ways to go (31.60 area) to hit the Jupiter price line. It may get held up where it is.

For Gold, it often has a s/t trough a few days before the Sun Mars opposition and then a crest within approx. a week afterwards, After the crest Gold then declines for a couple of weeks. This is based on averages. Probably more important at this point is the direction of the US$.

On both the following daily charts the Venus price line is green and the Jupiter price line is blue.

Like crude and many commodities, price of course will depend on the direction of the US$.

Presidential Election Nov. 6, 2012 and Mercury Retrograde

Is another controversial election about to take place in November?

On the day of the U.S. presidential election, November 6, 2012, Mercury will be stationary, preparing to go into retrograde motion.

The last time Mercury was retrograde, or at least moving out of retrograde into direct motion on a presidential election day was November 7, 2000. You may remember that election which was somewhat famous for it’s Florida recounts and hanging chads.

Following is a table of previous presidential election dates from 1848 to the present. We’re looking for dates where Mercury was stopped, turning direct or turning retrograde on the date of the election.

Don’t spend much time on this as the only exact hits are on November 7, 2000 and November 6, 2012. The table notes some dates where it was close (within days) but not exact.

16 7 November 1848

17 2 November 1852

18 4 November 1856

19 6 November 1860               SR Nov 17, 1860        Sagittarius

20 8 November 1864

21 3 November 1868               SD Nov 14, 1868        Scorpio

22 5 November 1872

23 7 November 1876

24 2 November 1880               SR Nov 13, 1880 Sagittarius

25 4 November 1884

26 6 November 1888               SD Nov 9, 1888 Scorpio

27 8 November 1892

28 3 November 1896

29 6 November 1900               SR Nov 9, 1900 Sagittarius

30 8 November 1904

31 3 November 1908               SD Nov 6, 1908 Libra

32 5 November 1912

33 7 November 1916

34 2 November 1920               SR Nov 5, 1920  Sagittarius

35 4 November 1924

36 6 November 1928               SD Nov 2, 1928  Libra

37 8 November 1932

38 3 November 1936

39 5 November 1940

40 7 November 1944

41 2 November 1948

42 4 November 1952

43 6 November 1956

44 8 November 1960

45 3 November 1964

46 5 November 1968

47 7 November 1972

48 2 November 1976

49 4 November 1980

50 6 November 1984

51 8 November 1988

52 3 November 1992

53 5 November 1996

54 7 November 2000               SD       Libra Scorpio ingress

55 2 November 2004

56 4 November 2008

57 6 November 2012              SR       November 6, 2012 (stopped)

In Astrology Mercury retrograde is a period of time where people frequently change there minds. It is not a time for signing or finalizing agreements. There can be breakdowns in equipment, failed communications in short confusion.

It should be noted the 3-4 day period before and after Mercury goes into retrograde motion, particularly the time it is standing still can be a short period of great inspiration.

This election has the potential for voting irregularities, miscounts, recounts and recrimination from both sides.

February 20,2012

SP500

This coming week there are no major astrological events or aspects. There could be a carry over from the Sun conjunct Neptune as it entered Pisces on Feb 19^th. This is a signature that has marked turns in many markets.

If we are still rising come February 27^th the Moon conjuncts Jupiter on Feb 27. This has been a signature for short term tops (red dots on the following daily chart of the SP500).

We are also getting into a time period where a number of longer and intermediate term market cycles are due. These cover the first two weeks of March although they could hit the last week of February.

Dates I am looking for are:

Feb 27

March 5, 6

March 8           this could be more a possible geophysical event than market related.

March 13

All dates should be looked at as +- 3 trading dates

Are we looking at a high in early March then down? Quite possibly. With the central banks of the world in print mode I’m looking at this as some type of event in early March that would send the markets down.

Crude

The following weekly chart for crude, which has been shown before, shows the 16 and 24 week cycles both hitting in the March 5-9 timeframe. The March 8 date mentioned above could be pertinent.

Gold

I’m looking at Gold and Silver being 8 weeks along their nominal 18 week primary cycle. If they do not turn up in the next few days I’ll be looking at the March 13 date (+- 3 tds) as a possible low.

Gold and the US$

With so much going with Europe’s debt problem I thought looking at Astro activity and the US may give some clue as to the effect of current problems on the US$. Dramatic changes in the US$ will of course affect all commodities priced in US$ so I’ll look at Gold at the same time. Cycle work suggests a more critical time for crude may be early March or possibly Feb 20th, just after the Sun conjuncts Neptune on Feb 19^th.

The following chart shows 3 wheels. The centre wheel is the chart of the U.S.A using July 4, 1776 and 2:16am. The middle wheel shows the solar directed progressions and the outer wheel the current transits.

Points of interest.

Solar directed Saturn (middle wheel) is almost conjunct natal Uranus. It’s exact in early April.This is a signature of tension and stress. On the positive side it may give the ability to cope and endure. It is also a signature of potential violence. rebellion, urge for freedom and sudden death.

Transiting Uranus (outer wheel) will be squaring natal Venus on March 13.

Could the forming transits be signalling a sudden shock affecting the US currency (i.e. the value of the dollar) between now and early April? The exact date is April 2^nd but with such slow moving planets the whole time period should be considered. March 13 has been mentioned as an important date in previous posts mainly due to a grand trine between (Jupiter + Venus), Mars and Pluto. On this date the south node of the Moon will be conjunct the moon and very close to conjunction with the USA natal Uranus.

If the US$ is affected by the noted transits Gold and PM’s should be affected as well. In short any commodities priced in  US$.

Following is a daily chart of Gold. It would appear the low of Dec 29 was a very important low. We are currently in the 6-7 week cycle pull back. The fib grid show the retracement from the high on Sept 6, 2011 to the low on Dec 29, 2011. I’m watching both the 38.2% and 50% retracements for support from which we could take off. The latter depends on what direction the US buck takes.

The blue vertical lines are a fib count from Dec 29. Feb 17 is 34td from Dec 29. That weekend Feb 19 the Sun conjuncts Neptune, a signature which has a history of affecting trend changes in many markets.

This post is short, as have been the last few, as I’m in the middle of a study on Astrology and earthquakes, a subject I believe will be shaping our future in 2012 and 2013.

Feb 8, 2012 Update

The pull back may have started.

Watch the time period 12:30pm to 1:30pm

Feb 7, 2012 Update

We are now hitting some quite negative aspects starting today through Friday Feb 10. If we do not have a short sharp reversal starting in this week I will be off to Hogwarts to return my wizard cap and wand.

This could start with a rise in the US$.

Feb 10 is also fib 89 trading days from the Oct 4, 2011 low.

Feb 6, 2011 Earthquake

Multiple shallow earthquakes are hitting in the Philipines. As they are shallow they will typically do more damage than deeper quakes.

Main stream media outlets will no doubt be reporting this once all economic factors are taken into account and the PTB have adjusted there holdings accordingly.

U.S Jobs Data

Worth listening to on U.S. Jobs data.

http://trimtabs.com/blog/

Neptune is a very slow moving planet which just changed signs into it's own ruler ship, Pisces.
On the negative side Neptune rules illusion, delusion, lies and deceit.

Gold Feb 3, 2012

Looking to short Gold. We are close to the typical 6 week cycle from the low and we have Saturn turning retrograde on Feb 7th. Note, this has been a strong move and should continue after the anticipated pull back.

The Baltic Dry Index

The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a number issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange and is not restricted to Baltic Sea countries. The index tracks worldwide international shipping prices of various dry bulk cargoes.

The index can be looked upon as a measuring 2 related issues.

1.) A measure of shipping dry goods. As such is does not include any speculative element like stocks or bonds.

2.) A measure of over capacity in the number of ships built and active to transport cargo.

Either way this index cannot currently be construed as positive. Either there is simply not enough goods being shipped, a sign of economic slow down or there are many multi million dollar ships on anchor awaiting a cargo. Someone financed these expensive, currently non productive assets. Sounds like banks to me, possibly European based banks.

Looking at and relying on one index is usually not a good idea. Another index the Harpex concentrates on the shipment of container freight and is thus a wider index than just considering dry commodities.

Hmmm……Not much better.

Possible dates for the start of a s/t pull back in equities. Feb 3-7. In particular Saturn turning retrograde has been associated with crests in equities but must be given +- a week. Venus entering Aries on Feb 8 and Venus squaring Uranus on Feb 9 could also be triggers.

While we await a good spot to short equities for a short term pull back, there is a long term astrological signature taking place on Friday. That is Neptune, the planet of illusion, spirituality and delusion, enters Pisces, the sign that it rules. Neptune also rules such things as water, oil and gases.

When such long term events take place it is often interesting to go back in time when the event has happened before and look at some of the major themes. This is an approximate 164 year event. Neptune entered Pisces on Dec 6, 1848 and was in the sign for approx. 14 years.

What was going on. The gold rush, the Mexican war and the lead up to the Civil War. Interestingly the first commercial oil well was started approximately 1859, near the end of Neptunes last trip through Pisces.

Could we see the end of the internal combustion engine and reliance on crude during this transit.

Google

http://jalopnik.com/398180/tata-nano-to-offer-compressed-air-engine-optional-make-electric-cars-look-silly