Summary
SP500.
This follows along from 2 weeks
ago. The low did come in on March 8.
The local high was
March 21 but there wasn’t much of a change in trend there. We are
in the 13 week of the Primary cycle.
On further review the 4 year low may have been Feb 19, 2018 or December 24, 2018 or it
is still forming.
The change is due to a chart I
saw some time ago. I believe this was from Bill Meridian. It shows a Mars,
Vesta conjunction approximately every 3.9 years.
This does look like the Primary
cycle low (18 week) on Dec 24, 2018.
Volatility should continue and
in April 2019 in particular. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes
from 2020 through 2023.
Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may
be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. There
are also large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals. One
of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation coupled with the above debt
problems. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or 2020.
Gold From last week. “When the pullback is complete, I’m looking
for Gold to move up into mid-March”. The move up into mid-March was
complete. Then we were looking for a sharp move down which we got. We may see a move in precious or currencies with heliocentric Mercury entering Sagittarius.
We are in week 19th week of the Primary cycle.
Crude's
Crude started up on Dec 24. This
should be the Primary cycle trough and we are entering the 13th week of the Primary cycle. . I was looking for a move down
in Crude but with Jupiter and Pluto active it may move up. The US is looking
for a drop in pricing.
We may see some geophysical activity or some type of aggression in April. We will fine tune any forecasts
as we approach each week.
SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We are
currently entering the 13th week of a
new Primary cycle. This is also 55 Fib along. The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles. This Primary cycle
put in a Primary top on March 4th
in the 9th week.
The Price moving averages, the
15 day sma is just under price and above the 45 day sma which is turning up.
Notice price hit resistance at the 200 day sma.
The 15 day sma is red, the 45
day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Also note price just
touched the Fibonacci retracement at 78.6%. Note; the normal Fibonacci
retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.
One can also use extended
retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I
also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6 and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6
Note the recent high on Feb 25, 2019 then Mar 4, 2019. The highs were stopped at the 78.6% retracement.
Watch this early in the week.
The month of April looks more
volatile with the potential for 3 changes in trend. April has 3 planets going
retrograde. These are Jupiter, Pluto and Saturn. There are also a number of
aspects involving the South Node of the Moon. It should be noted these are 3 large, slower moving planets. It will take a number of days around the exact date to complete the planet moving retrograde.
Jupiter square Neptune will be
with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square
Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending,
inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could
be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter
can be very favorable but tends to overdoing things.
When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we
should remember the effect of Jupiter square
Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all year and
beyond.
There are 3 slow moving planets turning
retrograde this month as follows. This often results in more volatile markets.
These are slow moving planets. There effect is over a long period of time.
Jupiter and Saturn are the business planets so there retrograde periods
may have more of an effect in the financial markets.
April
10
Jupiter Retrograde
Jupiter is at
24 degrees Sagittarius and the 3rd Decan which is the Sun.
Jupiter
is the ruler of Sagittarius and is in a strong position here
Jupiter
is a business planet, that is finance, commerce and is the planet of capitalism.
Jupiter
also rules the law, the courts, religion, the Clergy and high courts. The justice system.
Watch
for favorable outcomes in the business world. Watch for issues to arrive that
deal with finance, debt and banks. These could signal a positive change or a negative one.
I
am looking at the early to mid April to be the time for a move up in the SP500.
April
24 Pluto
Retrograde
Pluto
is at 23 degrees of Capricorn. Pluto is in the 3rd decan which is Mercury. Watch for issues with short
term communication and transportation.
Pluto
is about change. This is sometimes radical. One should not fight a Pluto transit. The word is “go with the flow”. Pluto is power,
influence and as far as threats. What is coming is a very
powerful force that changes things that will not be changed back.
This
aspect, Saturn conjunct Pluto, will be exact in January 2020. I expect big market trouble around that dates
With
Mercury being the ruler of the 3rd Decan may emphasize commerce,
short term trading verses long term
investments.
April
29 Saturn
Retrograde
Early
in the month Saturn will enter the 3rd Decan of Capricorn on April 4th.
Mercury.
Saturn
is another business planet. Here it is
at 20 degrees in Capricorn. Saturn and
business can be restrictive. Saturn tends to contraction, cautiousness and measures of protection.
If
the market is low late in April or early May it may be the time to buy.
Saturn
is about conservatism. Saturn riles farms and farming, mines and industries connected to metals and
minerals. Also rules over life threatening epidemics, state funerals, public
sorrow and disappointments.
In
addition to the Jupiter Retro there are two other dates close to the Jupiter Retro
Other pertinent Astro aspects.
April
14
Sun trine Jupiter
Possible powerful cycle. This may point to a crest.
April
15
Venus square Jupiter.
Looking for a positive cycle high.
Any of those dates could mark a move in the index.
Any of those dates could mark a move in the index.
Two days that may be difficult are:
April
4
Pluto conjunct the South Node
April
30
Saturn conjunct the South Node.
All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days)
See the Bradley Indicator at the
end of this section.
If the current volatility
continues watch for a cycle turn during the next 2 weeks. Remember I was looking for Gold and Silver to move up near
March 21 +- 2tds.
The following daily chart of the
SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the
basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic
chart we have shown for many months.
The Jan 2 date was a big range
day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)
The next hits are April 10, 2019 and May 24th.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
See the link under
“Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has
been picking up.
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now
or took place April – June 2018. The 45
year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022
this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90
year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m
looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the
centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. Also note the dark blue
squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.
I brought up Iran on the last
couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of
conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.
Other
Other cycles and Astrological
events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.
The vertical black lines are
the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs
a wide orb.
The blue x’s show when
heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving
up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in
Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.
Another cycle which will be
coming up is the 65 week in the DJIA.
2019 Eclipses
See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses.
More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.
Date Eclipse Saros Cycle Sign
Jan 6, 2019 Solar
Partial 122 15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019 Total
Lunar 134 00Le51
July 2, 2019 Solar
Total 127 10Cn37
July 16, 2019 Partial
Lunar 139 24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019 Solar
Annular 132 4Cp6
The Bradley
Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer
Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market
Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and
inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called
"the Bradley". The
Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points
(where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or
SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.
It does not forecast or anticipate whether that
turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn
up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not
important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who
had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked
with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked
so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it
goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for
months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered)
but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.
In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a
siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually
do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective
attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock
averages"
So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are
trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways
The red line is the Bradley Indicator.
Gold
The move up into mid-March is
complete. The pullback is underway then another rise in Gold/Silver over the
next few weeks. Watch the 38.2% Fibonacci level on the Gold chart.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away
from it’s more normal of 18 week length. It is possible that March 6 was the
Primary cycle trough. This would make the following weeks more positive.
Note the blue Fibonacci retracement grid. I’m
looking to put sell stops at the 50%
and 61.8% levels.
Use the dates detailed for the SP500 for Gold
as well.
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last being
Feb 22, 2019. The next is March
21, 2019.
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun
takes 27 days to revolve once at the
Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up
and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker
red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish
now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move
up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart
show when heliocentric Mercury is in
Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters
heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
Watch the same dates as noted
above, 3 Retros etc.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Aries and changes signs into
Taurus on Feb 14, 2019. Note the sharp move up.
Watch for geophysical activity
around this timeframe. The next change in sign for Gold is March 29, 2019.
Crude
Oil is recovering from a strong
move down and now 13 weeks up.. The low
on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle
low.
Price has broken through the 15
day sma. and 45 day sma..
The USA has asked that crude
prices be reduced.
Watch the Fibonacci retracement
levels for turning points.
Beyond affecting crude these two
planets have to do with illusions and delusions.
This puts us entering week 13 of the Primary cycle.
On the next chart note how price
often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses
at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar
day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.
Watch the green Sun price line
and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down
near the 40 day cycle.
