- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
SP500
This will be a short blog post
this week as I'll be working on the November subscriber report.
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 10th week of Primary
cycle 1
cycle that started
on Aug 24th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks. This is the chart we have been following for many months. I'm
leaving the old estimate for the Primary cycle on the chart and adding a new
one in blue based on the Aug 24th Primary cycle low.
Since we are in the 10th week, with a dramatic move up, we
should be looking for a 1/2 Primary crest and turn down.
The next time band for a nominal
18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the above chart of the SP500 above and
is from Nov 30 through Jan 15, 2016.
Note we stopped at the Fib 78.6%. 78.6% is the square root of 61.8%. The market
then went higher and moved back down on Oct 20th and again is close to the Fib
78.6% area.
Other longer term cycles that may
be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year
cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months).
The following chart shows the 21
and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both averages.
We would expect the 21 week to start curling up and crossing the 34 week. We
can't confirm the 4 year until this takes place. We could see a pull back
before the 21 week crosses over the 34 week moving average.
From four weeks ago blog; "If it was a 4 year cycle
low the markets should be bullish."
They've been bullish since Sept
29th 2 days after the Lunar eclipse.
See last weeks comments on Pluto
and the National chart of the USA .
Everything we said about Pluto and the US last week should hold true for
many weeks going forward.
Looking forward to the first two
weeks of November we have Venus conjunct
Mars on November 2nd. This aspect has a history of turns occurring near
Primary cycle crests and troughs given a broad range of 13 td's. In this case
it would be near a crest and typically hits the crest after the exact date, in
this case after November 2nd. The North Node enters Virgo on Nov. 11th. The North Node moves in the opposite direction to
the planets. On Nov 8 Venus enters
Libra and conjuncts the North Node. On Nov.
12th Mars conjuncts the North Node and enters Libra. Any of these could
mark a change in trend in the Primary cycle. Give all dates +- a few td's.
There is more quantum flux in the universe than many account for.
The North Node in Virgo represents fate or destiny and Virgo
represents our service to the world, as well as, our daily routines and
generally fixing things up.
Mars is also the most often noted link to the nodes at the times of accidents, due almost
exclusively to sudden careless actions. Confrontations are very likely to
surface with this connection and there are typically increased mechanical
breakdowns and malfunctions. Watch for increased military activity, terrorists
and explosives.
Following is a monthly chart of
the SP500 with the 6.5 and 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of
the cycle indicator show time periods that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit
it's trough. Due to the influence of other long term cycles I'm looking at
December 2015 / January 2016 as a possible period of time for the 7 year cycle
low.
From now through to February 2016
Uranus and Pluto move closer together to the square which we wrote much about
in 2014 and early in 2015. For new subscribers or anyone, use the search
facility on the blog. Search for "Uranus square Pluto". We should
mention Mars will go retrograde in January 2016 and add energy to the Uranus /
Pluto square near the end of January.
Jupiter and Saturn are in the business planets and Mars the
planet giving energy to business activities.
On January 9, 2016 Jupiter turns retrograde and moves to
form a square aspect with Saturn on March 23. This Jupiter-Saturn square aspect will be a prominent feature in the
2016 Sun cycle that commences March 20. We will cover cycle charts in the
January report.
The third and final Jupiter-Saturn square, should be a sign
for decreased business activity and lower profits is formed May 26, 2016.
On March 26, 2016 Saturn turns retrograde and moves to form
a square aspect with Neptune
on June 18, 2016. The third and final Saturn-Neptune square aspect reaches its
peak power on September 10, 2016.
The first square in this series is Saturn square Neptune on Nov 26th,
2015. This is approximately a 36 year cycle so we are not forecasting for
the day or week. This aspect needs a trigger and there two in November. Subs
have the dates. This aspect is often present near times when there is a change
in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of sickness,
suffering and money valuation problems. The second half of November should express these energies.
There are 3 Mars conjunctions in 2016. Mars is conjunct
Saturn August 24, 2016; Mars is conjunct Pluto October 19; and Mars is conjunct
Neptune January 1, 2017.
Saturn square Neptune, Uranus square Pluto and these 3 Mars
conjunctions are the outstanding influences on global affairs during 2016, but whatever happens will be triggered by
events occurring in September, October and November 2015. Be forewarned.
On the following chart which is
the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. The
SP500 has rose through another price line at 2078 but fell back to the line. The
blue midpoint lines are acting as resistance / support for the SP500 on it's
move up.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes.
DJIA
May 19, 2015
DJTI
Nov 28, 2014
SP500
May 20, 2015
NYSE
May 21, 2015
RUT
Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX July
20, 2015
Some of the biggest moves in the US
markets have occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are
Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. Saturn
changed signs into Sagittarius on Sept 17th and will be there until Dec
20, 2017.
And one more showing the
geocentric Jupiter / Saturn square (red squares) including the following note (Every
pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has
resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages).
Could the August low be it? The Saturn
square Neptune aspect (light green squares) on
the following chart are often found with high or low inflation and high or low
interest rates.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on July 24th. This could turn out to be a
very important low.
We are entering the
14th week of the nominal 18 week
cycle. It is quite possible Gold put in a Primary cycle crest on Oct 15th in which case we would be
heading down into it's Primary cycle bottom. I sent out an Alert earlier last
week to get out of Gold.
I'm looking at a trough between the week of Nov 9 to Nov 30. So this could be Nov 9
at the earliest and 1st week in December the latest. With the central banks of
the world being so active the trough could occur earlier. I will attempt to get
closer to the actual date. At the moment Nov 9, Nov 26 and Nov 30 look
possible. All should have +- 3td's
On the following daily Gold chart notice Gold had been
following the heliocentric Venus price line (green) up but now moving down and
broken through the Venus and Jupiter heliocentric price lines. Watch for Gold
to stop moving down at either the Venus or Jupiter price lines. If the next
Jupiter price line is broken we could go down quickly.
Crude
This coming week of Nov
2nd we should be entering the 10th
week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th.
In the second half of November, Neptune will be highlighted
as it changes to direct motion, Saturn squares Neptune and the Sun squares Neptune while conjunct Saturn. I expect crude to be quite
volatile. With Neptune active to this degree I
would also expect our old friends, illusion, delusion, lies, deceit and
falsehoods to be apparent. If they ever left.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.