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Dec 20th
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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the
16th week of Primary
cycle
1
cycle that
started
on Aug 24th. This cycle is aka,
the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks. This is the chart we have been following for many months. See the
red line and dates on the chart. It is anticipated we will have a Primary cycle
low between
Dec 7, 2015 and Jan 15,
2016.
Since we are in the 16th week, with a dramatic move down on
Dec 11, it appears we had the Primary
cycle crest on Nov 3rd (i.e. crest
for this Primary cycle).
Note in the bottom right corner of
the following chart is the forecasted time frame for the Primary cycle low. We
should expect a Primary cycle low within a few weeks. When we hit a trough I expect a left translated cycle and moves
further down in the New Year.
This coming week much depends on
the FED announcement and the markets reaction to it.
We have mentioned a number of
longer term cycles in previous blog posts and below.
From last weeks blog post we said:
"The main aspects that have a history in Primary cycle
turns for the SP500 between now and the FED meeting announcement on Dec 16, 2015
are:
Dec 6 Mars
waning square Pluto
Dec 10 Mars
opposition Uranus
Dec 14 Sun
waxing square Jupiter."
Dec 7, the first
trading day after Dec 6th was down and started a multi-day move down.
Dec 10th was one day
off the Dec 11 move down. Dec 11 was a New Moon in a Sagittarius, a mutable
sign which often adds volatility to the markets and large price swings. This
New Moon was also sextile Mars and trine Uranus bringing these powerful
energies into the New Moon. Mars and Uranus were in opposition.
Dec 14th has the Sun
squaring Jupiter which often has a powerful effect on US indices, both up and
down. Since we are in the 16th week of the Primary cycle watch for a potential
Primary cycle trough within 10 td's of Dec 14th.
The Sun squaring Jupiter it
has a history of 1/2 Primary or Primary cycle turns.
Much
will depend on the FED's meeting and announcement on raising interest rates and
when. They may be announced but delayed. Whatever options comes out of the FED meeting on Dec 16th I believe we
will be going down into Jan or starting early Jan '16.
Another
option is we get a high near Dec 22, 23 where we have a number of transits to
the ISIS formation group, then down.
The transits
are volatile and military and may make for a difficult Christmas period.
Shorting
is the only thing I would do with the US market indices but at this point
I'll watch.
The only thing I'm long right
now is Gold as it looks like it just put in it's Primary cycle trough. Remember
the Saturn / Neptune square "is
often found near changes in inflation and or interest rates and money
valuation problems in general". Gold going up or down is a money valuation
issue. So is a change in interest rates.
The FED increasing interest rates will of course be a
negative for Gold and other world currencies.
With Mars, Uranus and Pluto in
aspect an explosive event may be
imminent. I would also expect the markets to be volatile over the next few
weeks as well.
Attacks
from religious terrorists and general strife and discord should continue into December 2015 and again in mid-April 2016 when Mars turns stationary
in religious Sagittarius (a mutable sign) and makes difficult aspects, conjunct
Saturn and square Neptune. This is not a
direct forecast, but points to a period of time where these events are more
probable to occur.
The
main Astrological aspects affecting the 1st half of 2016 are:
Uranus square Pluto; the square will not get to an exact position but
continues to get close and may be emphasized
around Jan 25, 2016. It's effect should be felt and seen most of the first
half of 2016. This is a 32-37 year cycle and has correlation to capitalist
economic cycles and will be in a downward phase until January 2020. There are
many reasons 2020 should be a turn around or significant year. We will start
analysis of the important events leading into 2020 in the next few subscriber
reports.
Saturn waning square to Neptune will be
in effect for most of 2016 but it's effects should lessen after September 2016.
This transit has much to do with socialism and it's development. This is also a
transit of deceit, illusion and delusion. This can be depressing and it's
effects can appear as no one is in control.
Jupiter waning square
Saturn will get to the second exact square of a 3 pass in late March 2016.
What we have had on the longer term charts for some time " Every pass of the waning square
between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has resulted in a longer term
cycle unfolding between the first and last passages." The first and last
passages are August 3rd, 2015 and May 26, 2016. The lows in August and September
2015 may have been it. These two planets have long been known as the business
planets and have a 20 year cycle length. It has been suggested every 3rd cycle
equates to the Kondratieff cycle, that is 20 * 3 = 60 years. I'm not sure of
the latter but I am sure there is a 240 year cycle with Jupiter and Saturn that
is exact in 2020. More of this important event in future posts where we will
discuss the Jupiter / Saturn conjunctions changing signs.
Taking all 3 of the transits
together 2016 should be another difficult year as we work through many
challenges which may result in changes in government, economic models and
technology.
There are many other Astrological
aspects and events in 2016 but these are the longer term aspects affecting the
first half of 2016 as seen on the following chart which has been in previous
posts for many weeks.
Simply
the placement of planets in signs during the course of a year can have a
dramatic effect.
For
example, many of the U.S.
largest stocks markets losses have occurred while
Saturn
is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and
Pisces. Saturn will be in Sagittarius until Dec 20, 2017.
And Neptune
continues to transit through Pisces (a mutable sign), the sign it rules. Neptune rules crude and water amongst other things.
The
week of Dec 21 could be another hot
spot with hard transits to the ISIS formation
chart. This will also be a test if the date and time for the ISIS
formation chart are correct.
Saturn is in Sagittarius which
rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that
gets perverted.
Other longer term cycles that may
be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year
cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from mid-December through Jan 2016 as a
potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need a
broad orb.
The Kitchin cycle on the SP500
chart. This is a monthly chart. cycles may appear closer than when they
actually due.
Other long term cycle due,
including the 6.5 - 7 year.
Longer term cycles on a monthly
chart of the DJIA. These need a wide orb.
The following weekly chart shows
the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both
averages but moved down through the averages this past week. Also the 21 and 34
week moving averages are still pointing down or flat. This was looking like a 4-Year low but now
we've broken down through the averages, it may be a test of the lows or moving
to a deeper low.
The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us.
At this point I think yes and it could be the December '15 - January '16 time
frame.
Neptune is prominent
particularly in the second half of November 2015. We've mentioned watching Jupiter and Neptune aspects and events for
swings in crude. High and low. We've also noted Neptune
often brings illusion, delusion, lies, deceit and falsehood.
Neptune also rules water.
This could be showing a lack of water or too much as would be the case in large
storms. Lack of water, or a problem with water, is going to be a major problem
in the not too distant future.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes.
DJIA
May 19, 2015
DJTI
Nov 28, 2014
SP500
May 20, 2015
NYSE
May 21, 2015
RUT
Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX July
20, 2015
One of our subscribers forwarded a
report from another Astrologer, which amongst other things made the case for
sharp market moves when the Moon is in Virgo (a mutable sign) and Saturn is in
a mutable sign. Astrological events occurring in mutable signs can result in
quick changes to financial markets, violent weather and geophysical events.
Gold
Gold put in a
Primary cycle 1
trough on
July 24th.
We are entering either the 2nd week of the nominal
18 week cycle or the 21st week of an
older primary. It appears Gold
put in a Primary cycle trough on Dec 3rd
in which case we would be heading up in the first week of a new Primary
cycle. This is too early to confirm but we were late in the existing Primary
cycle and just made a strong, but two day move on Dec 3rd and 4th.
I had brought up the possibility of a spike low in the
subscribers letter, during the week, before we start a new Primary. We got the
spike low on Dec 2nd, which I bought.
The pending FED decision will have an impact on the price of
Gold. This could delay or mute what is normally a bullish move at the start of
a new Primary cycle.
On the following daily Gold chart notice Gold has broken
down through four Venus price lines. Gold went below the Jupiter price line
(blue) regained the Venus price line and Friday touched the Jupiter price line
(blue). I'd like to see Gold follow a Venus price line up or jump to the next
higher Venus price line currently near 1097.
As mentioned the FED does not want to see Gold prices rising
and we may have to wait for Wednesday's announcement.
I'm expecting the bigger move in Gold next year possibly at
the end of the next primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle low. The
move should be up. Subscribers have the potential dates.
Crude
This coming week of Dec
14th we should be entering the 16th
week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th.
"In the second
half of November, Neptune will be highlighted as it changes to direct motion,
Saturn squares Neptune (Nov 26th) and the Sun squares Neptune
while conjunct Saturn on Nov 29th. "
Crude has gone straight down since late November.
I expect crude to be quite volatile. With Neptune
active to this degree I would also expect our old friends, illusion, delusion,
lies, deceit and falsehoods to be apparent. If they ever left. As mentioned Neptune is in Pisces, the sign that it rules and is most
powerful here.
Looking out at the major transits in 2016 I'll be looking
for a bottom in crude in 2016. I've mentioned to look at dates near aspects to
Jupiter and Neptune, the two planets that rule crude. Subscribers have a list
of those dates to the end of the year.
It is difficult to forecast Crude here with all the
geopolitical events, OPEC and our climate change friends. I'll be changing
focus to NatGas in the next few weeks. NatGas is very local so we'll look at
NatGas prices in North America.
We should start looking for potential Primary cycle lows
over the next few weeks, although crude prices may have further to go down with
the current Astrological aspects and therefore may have a longer Primary cycle.
Looking at heliocentric aspects there is a very interesting date on January 29th, 2016
+- a few.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 1st half 2016
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in Jan) will be available
for purchase Dec 20th.
