- Our first half 2016 forecast dates are available
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- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
This blog post will be shorter than usual as I'm writing the
monthly subscribers report this week-end. You may wish to consider registering
for out monthly report and ALERTS.
From last weeks blog
post;
"Looking at
heliocentric aspects there is a very interesting date on January 29th, 2016 +- a
few. "
From last months
subscriber letter, January 2, 2016:
"When Jupiter
turns Retrograde it is almost conjunct the North Node and will be almost
conjunct the North Node for the month of January with two exact conjunctions on Jan 23rd and Jan 29th. This is very
unusual. And the last significant signature for the first week of January is
the Sun in waning square to Uranus. This is a somewhat unpredictable aspect
which can mark Primary cycle highs and lows but many times no significant
event.:
"Jan29th can be
important for another reason as well. That is, there are a number of heliocentric aspects occurring on January 29th, 2016.
They are;
heliocentric Saturn
square Neptune
heliocentric Jupiter
trine Pluto
heliocentric Earth
trine Saturn
heliocentric Earth
quincunx Neptune
Note that both Saturn
and Neptune are highlighted here. Also, remember the Saturn / Neptune
square "is often found near changes in inflation and or interest
rates and money valuation problems in general""
If truth be known I was looking at this heliocentric square
between Saturn and Neptune as affecting crude. The change to negative interest
rates for the BOJ fits with money
valuation problems in general
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise Jan 20th looks like it was the Primary
cycle trough. 1
cycle that started
on Aug 24th. The start of a new Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle is usually
the most bullish part of the cycle. We often get a pullback 2-3 weeks after the
start of a new Primary cycle which provides an oppourtunity to get on board if
you missed the cycle low.
I believe we are close to longer
term cycle bottoms, both the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle, 3.3
years (or 40 months). Assuming January 20th was not it (and it certainly could be), then we may see a left
translated cycle, that is a Primary cycle which forms it's crest in the first
half of the cycle. This is a bearish sign. Look for this over the next 9 weeks.
Subscribers have the time-frame where I think we will have a more significant
low.
The Primary cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.
The first couple of weeks of
February continue with some heavy transits then a break for a couple of weeks
into the week of February 22nd.
The main cycle mentioned above was
the heliocentric Saturn square Neptune . Neptune rules a number of things and one is crude. Neptune is also illusion, delusion, fraud, deceit,
"the great pretender".
VIDEO - quick review of the
Mercury - From last week (dates in previous weekly)
On January 5th Mercury turned retrograde or moving backward as viewed
from earth. It then translated the Uranus / Pluto square on Jan 20th (the Low) and Jan 22nd. I
mentioned Mercury acts like the "trickster" especially when moving
retrograde. On
Jan 25 Mercury turned
direct. Now Mercury will translate the Uranus / Pluto square again, this time
when moving forward. Mercury will conjunct Pluto on Jan 30th and Mercury will square Uranus on Jan 31. Both on the weekend but the Mercury Uranus square will be
close to the opening in the far East Sunday night. Watch this closely to get
clues for Monday morning in the U.S.
Do we get tricked on Mercury's first translation of the
Uranus / Pluto square on Jan 20 and Jan 22 when Mercury was retrograde and then
get the real message over the weekend of Jan 30, 31st when Mercury translates
the Uranus / Pluto square again but this time when it is moving forward. Watch
the first week in February very closely, particularly Monday for Mercury.
Other dates to watch this coming
week are Feb 4th where there is
Mercury parallel Saturn and Feb 5, 6th
where Venus will translate the Uranus / Pluto square, Venus conjunct Pluto on Feb 5th and Venus squared Uranus on Feb 6th. Venus amongst other things
rules money and Pluto, amongst other things, rules debt. Uranus is sudden
events or sudden change. Watch Feb 5th and Feb 8th very closely. The Venus /
Pluto conjunction is often found at lows and 2 to 3 days before the actual
conjunction date, so this time the 1st to the 4th. It's difficult seeing it
move the major market indices down so early in the nominal 18 week cycle.
To summarize the above:
Volatility should remain. February 1st should be watched closely following the Mercury
aspects on this coming weekend. Feb 4th
has Mercury parallel Saturn which ties into a much more powerful Saturn
parallel Pluto on Feb 9th. Feb 4th also has a Fibonacci calc and a Sun / Pluto
aspect that at the least should see a big range day.
Pay attention to the Employment situation report on Feb 5th. Jaw boning can move the
markets as can fictitious moves in crude.
With the sharp market moves down we should consider one or
more of the longer term cycles are coming down to enter their trough. Note the
longer term charts we have shown for many months, specifically the Kitchin
cycle (40 months) and the 6.5- 7 year cycle. The longer term cycles typically
pull everything down with them. This can be a process that takes many months
when only looking at the longer term cycle charts. They can also distort the
normal rhythm of the 18 week cycle.
We use the Astrological aspects to determine a more exact
time. Longer term geocentric Astrological cycles include:
Uranus waning square
Pluto
- passed the
exact but still in orb (1 degree)
Remember
what this square is about.
"This
aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems with debt and Banks. The debt issue will have
major negative consequences for all
financial markets.
Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence. Tax revolts fit in as well. The square is about tearing down the old structures (governments, financial institutions) and building anew. Although Uranus is about sudden change and surprises, Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. It is ruthless in it’s force to change the status quo. We are only 1 degree away from the exact Uranus and Pluto square."
Jupiter waning square
Saturn
- in the middle of a 3 pass, 2
exact hits to come this year
"The business cycle and direct effect on European history. Major changes will be occurring inEurope
as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign change coming up when Jupiter and Saturn are
conjunct in 2020. More on this 240
year conjunction in a future post."
"The business cycle and direct effect on European history. Major changes will be occurring in
Saturn square Neptune
-in the
middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"This
aspect is often present near times when there is a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can
also be a period of epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This could be a
change in the world's reserve
currency or issues around it. A large increase in precious metals is also possible
as it is a money valuation issue. This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes,
reforms and development of socialism. One wonders
in regards to epidemics and sickness, would this be natural illnesses or man-made."
The spring time frame looks like a time to protect capital.
I would say we should start now.
On
the following chart, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn. An ideal spot
for a significant low would be between the last 2 red squares at March 23rd to May 26th. Note the green
squares also. These are the Saturn / Neptune exact squares and the middle
square is very close to the last Jupiter / Saturn square.
For
2016 we have Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and the North Node in mutable signs. In addition both Solar
eclipses are in mutable signs. Mutable signs are about flexibility and the ability
or need to change.
Saturn is in Sagittarius which
rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that
gets perverted. It's a time period where things seen depressing.
Two charts we have not shown for a
while. The first is a weekly chart of the SP500. The horizontal blue lines are
the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and
Pluto. This average is converted to price and displayed on this chart. Notice
how well it has acted as support and resistance. The vertical black lines are
the 55 td Fib cycle. Will the SP500 reach the next level at 1968 or fall back
to 1878. If it's a new 18 week cycle I suspect it will move up.
The other chart we haven't shown
for a while is this Fan which started on March 6, 2009 at the low. The dark
blue line has acted as support most of the way up. It is the 50% line or 45
degrees. The red line we have just touched is 61.8%. It hasn't been touched
since Oct. 2011. The black vertical lines are 512 cd's (calendar days) which
next falls on March 9, just one day away from a powerful Solar Eclipse.
Other longer term cycles that may
be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year
cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from mid-December 2015 through the spring of 2016
as a potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need
a broad orb.
The Kitchin cycle on the SP500
chart. This is a monthly chart. cycles may appear closer than when they
actually due.
Other long term cycle due,
including the 6.5 - 7 year.
Longer term cycles on a monthly
chart of the DJIA. These need a wide orb.
The following weekly chart shows
the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both
averages Also the 21 and 34 week moving averages are pointing down.
The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us.
At this point I think yes and we may have just seen it although I'm thinking potentially
deeper in the spring time frame in 2016.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on July 24th and we had another Primary
cycle trough on Dec 3rd. 2015.
This puts us entering the 9th week of the Primary cycle and entering the 3rd week of the 2nd nominal 6 week cycle during this coming week. The nominal 6 week
cycle has a range of 5 to 7 weeks.
Jan 8th appears
to be a 6 week cycle crest from which we typically pullback into a nominal 6
week cycle low which appears to be Jan
14th. There are approx. 3, 6 week cycles in the nominal 18 week cycle.
Gold needs to keep advancing here ideally above the 50% fib
retracement at 1131. Any news from Central Banks on QE anything would be
positive for Gold as does negative interest rates in Japan .
Watch the fib retracements on the following chart for both
support and resistance areas.
I'm expecting a bigger move in Gold later in the year,
possibly at the end of this Primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle
low. The move should be up. Again, subscribers have the potential dates.
On the following daily chart we see Gold had a low on Jan
15th (27 cd cycle) then moved up into Jan 20th where it hit the Jupiter price
line and fell back, but rose again this week and intra day on Jan 29 came back
and touched the Jupiter price line (blue), hopefully to say good bye, I'm
moving higher.
Crude
This coming week of February
1st, 2016 we should be entering the 23rd
week or
2nd week of a nominal
18 week cycle which started January
20th.
This will need a few more days moving up to make me a
believer, but it certainly looks like a Primary cycle low on January 20th at
this time.
Watch the Fib retracements for a potential reversal or a
retest like that mentioned above for the SP500.
Many commodities and financials should be affected by the
Saturn / Neptune waning square this year. This is a 3 pass with the last 2
occurring mid-Year and then September 2016. This is a 36 year cycle so looking
back 36 years we had severe problems with the lack of crude and interest rates
went over 20%. Things are never the same, but often close. Are we at the bottom
in crude? We should be close.
Looking at the crude chart we see a Primary cycle low on Aug 24 and then a crest on
Oct 9th. This is
an example of a left translated cycle with the crest forming closer to the
beginning trough. Left translated cycles are bearish, they simply spend more
time going down than moving up. After 7 years of QE and loose money policy we
haven't seen many left translated cycles for some time.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 1st half 2016
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in Jan) are available
for purchase.
