- Our first half 2016 forecast dates are available
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
Our posts are now reported on the highly regarded FXStreet.com.
This
post will be somewhat shorter as we will be writing the monthly subscribers
report this weekend.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise Feb 11 was the Primary cycle trough. 1
that started on Aug
24th. Feb 11th was a slightly
lower low than Jan 20th low. Jan 20th was the low for a number of other
indices. Feb 11th starts a new nominal
18 week cycle in the SP500 and we are entering the 16th week. The nominal 6 week, there are often 3, 6 week cycles in
the nominal 18 week cycle. The range is 5 to 7 weeks. The second nominal 6 week
cycle may have seen it's top on April 20. This may be the top to the current
nominal 18 week cycle as well.
As I write this post the US markets are
closed. We will have 2 sessions in China before the US markets open again on Tuesday
May 31st..
Notice that price is above the 15
day sma and 45 day sma's, but the 15 day sma is lower than the 45 sma. Since
this is the 16th week we are in the range for a nominal 18 week cycle low. We
could have had it slightly early on May
19th but I'm looking for the 18 week cycle low mid to late June.
From last weeks blog:
"The brown
squares on the following chart are the geocentric
24th harmonic for the Sun / Saturn. Note the history on the following chart
and the recent low on May 19th.
They should be signaling at least a short term change in trend. Next hit June 3rd."
The red square on
the same date is the Sun squaring Jupiter
often a powerful market mover.
In addition we have the Sun waxing
square Neptune on June 1, often a signature
for a strong change in trend.
On the next chart I've had June 13th as an estimated date for the
nominal 18 week cycle low for many weeks. Just look at this as the centre of a time window from the 15th week to the
23rd week for the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle low. The red vertical
cycle line is the 60 cd (calendar day) cycle on May 30, which has been at highs
recently.
We are about to enter one of the
most interesting and possibly difficult for the whole month of June. As I'm
limited in time we'll concentrate on the first week in this blog post.
Last weeks post included references to:
May 21 is a Full Moon
in mutable signs and the Moon is
conjunct Mars in Sagittarius. Sagittarius is a mutable fire signs and is
known to be impulsive and aggressive. This is the type of signature we would
expect around such things as the downing of Egyptian airliner.
Also on May 21st the South Node of the Moon will be on the position of the March 8th, 2016 Solar Eclipse. This
eclipse looked very intense particularly around Java and Indonesia area and / or it could be a confrontation
between China and the US .
Also, geocentric Saturn will be on the heliocentric nodes of Uranus. This
is a very slow moving aspect with only 3 instances in the last century and now
this one on May 21. The problem with
these longer term aspects is there is little data to confirm what effect it may
have and need a wide orb.
Last week was also Fibonacci
377 weeks from the May 6, 2009 lows. This may need a broad a range.
The previous instance have been close to lows.
The above Astrological events are not meant for a specific day. Give
the effect of these events over a number of weeks either side. I repeat from
previous posts Uranus rules technology including airplanes.
So the weekend of May 21
was packed with powerful Astro events but not much occurred. The above could still
cause problems, particularly the first couple of weeks in June.
Next week starts another group of
powerful Astrological aspects and events. Over the next two weeks the planets
are going to form a grand square and a
grand trine.
The grand square is created by the
Sun then Venus translating the Jupiter /
Neptune opposition which is already in a T-Square with Saturn. Remember the Jupiter / Neptune opposition is
the aspect I've been pointing to about lies, deceit, and illusion. Saturn is
the planet of reality, sorrow and disappointments. Saturn is also the planet of
Karmic justice. Saturn is at the apex of the T-Square so the energy of all
three planets is expressed through Saturn. They are going to hit like this:
June 1 Sun waxing square Neptune Neptune is strong. It is in
Pisces, the sign it rules.
June 3 Sun opposition Saturn
June 4 Sun waning square Jupiter Jupiter is in Virgo, the sign
of it's detriment, where it
operates with the least power.
So the Sun is aspecting the
T-Square and in doing so creates a grand square. Will this expose lies and falsehoods
or create more? I think this may expose lies / deceit and potentially create an
event.
During the Sun's translation,
Venus translates the same opposition. Amongst other things Venus rules money,
government policies and diplomacy.
June 3 Venus square Neptune
June 4 Venus square Jupiter
With the Sun and Venus performing
the above translation they are close and indeed they are in a conjunction the
following week.
June 6 Sun conjunct Venus.
Like Mercury, Venus can have an
inferior or superior conjunction. This is the superior conjunction with Venus
on the other side of the Sun. On June 6th while the Sun is conjunct Venus,
Venus will be at 0 degrees of latitude an unusual event.
Sometimes it's best to take
interpretation literally. In this case Venus is blocked out, it's on the other
side of the Sun. Hidden matters dealing with money may be the theme.
This date has some history for Israel . 49
years ago. June 6, 1967 was the start of
the 6 day war.
There are other aspects but this
should suffice to cover most of the activity.
Speaking of history on June 4th will have transiting Saturn on the "USA Sagittarius
Rising" chart Saturn will be on the Ascendant. Saturn is still
the apex of a T-square with Jupiter and Neptune. lies and deceit. Saturn is
also the planet of karmic justice. The New Moon of June 4th will be on the
Saturn position of Sept 11th. Interesting that Sept 11, 2001 is back in the
news again.
Also interesting that transiting
Pluto, the planet of hidden power and influence through wealth has just entered
the 2nd house using the USA Sagittarius rising chart. There could be an explosive
event in front of us do to the release of secret information.
So we have potentially two
interesting events for Israel
and the USA
on the weekend of June 4-6 could be
very interesting. Watch this closely.
I suspect a major period or
falsehoods and potentially some found out over the next month and I mean
through June. The FED suggestion that there will be a rate increase may fall
under the lies, deceit umbrella.
As mentioned there is also a grand
trine forming between Mercury, Jupiter (North Node) and Pluto. Interestingly
these are in Cardinal, Fixed and Mutable signs.
Jupiter parallel Uranus may see exaggeration, big sudden
surprises and / or sudden reversals of statements or policies. We also have the ongoing Jupiter / Neptune
opposition. As noted before this is a longer term period often associated with
lies, deceit and delusion.
And from a couple of
weeks ago on Market Watch on May 2, Steve Goldstein
“Key U.S. economic
information may have been leaked ahead of its release, judging from the price
moves in key equity and bond futures contracts, according to a study released
Monday. The European Central Bank published a working paper arguing that seven
out of 21 market moving announcements show evidence of “substantial informed
trading” before the official release time. The authors looked at price
movements 30 minutes before that data’s release and studied the movements in
futures on the S&P 500 index and 10-year Treasury note. They did this on 21
indicators from January 2008 to March 2014…”
This
type of behavior is exactly what we would expect from Jupiter opposing Neptune and emphasized when we have a T-square with
Saturn, which we have right now.
The
other major long term aspect, Saturn waning square to Neptune
(part of the T-square) carries on for a number of months with the last exact
hit on Sept 10th but it will be in effect months afterwards.
What
other lies and deceit are being perpetrated? With Neptune
active by transit it may take some time for the truth to appear. As someone
said, "There's is never only one
cockroach."
With the longer term market cycles we use the Astrological
aspects and Astrological events to determine a more exact time. Note: I have
taken off the brief description of the Uranus / Pluto waning square. Longer
term geocentric Astrological cycles that are coming up include:
On
the following weekly chart of the DJIA, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn and the green
squares are Saturn square Neptune .
The last Jupiter /
Saturn square was May 26. The next Saturn
/ Neptune square is
June 17. I'm
looking for a low near the latter time frame.
Jupiter waning square
Saturn
- in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"The business cycle and direct effect on European
history. Major changes will be occurring in Europe
as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign change coming up when
Jupiter and Saturn are conjunct in 2020. More on this 240 year conjunction in a
future post."
Saturn square Neptune
-in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
Saturn is about social order, structure and regulations. Neptune can be politically unrealistic and a desire to
avoid confrontation. It can be devious, underhanded and use subversive tactics.
"This aspect is often present near times when there is
a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of
epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This
could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large
increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue.
This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and
development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness,
would this be natural illnesses or man-made." If you feel depressed or not
at ease this aspect may be the cause. One of these planets may be hitting a
planet in your horoscope.
The next 2 charts are daily charts
of the SP500, and the Russell 2000. The horizontal blue lines are the average
longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto on both
charts This average is converted to price and displayed on the charts. Notice
how well they have acted as support and resistance. The SP500 seems to be
moving up to the 2104 area.
The next chart is the Russell
2000. This index is subject to far less manipulation than the SP500. Notice how
well it respects the Astrological average price lines. It's too bad we have to
bring up manipulation but the reality is, it happens. Here, the blue lines
again are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter through Pluto converted
to price. The Russell put in a low on May 19th and touched the planetary
average line.
Other longer term cycles that we
have been following may have found their trough on Jan 20 or Feb 11. This would
include the 4 year and 6.5 year cycles. To confirm these cycles I'm waiting for
the cycle low I'm expecting in June 2016. If Jan 20 and Feb 11 are the lows this
would help explain the sharp move up starting in February. Assuming the 2009
low was an 18 year cycle low, we may be looking at a 9 year cycle low late 2017
- 2018.
Neither Jan 20 nor Feb 11 were very deep lows. They were either shallow or a
deeper low is in front of us. This is very important. For the SP500 I'm looking
for the mid to late June low as being the first Primary cycle low of the 4 year
cycle. The range for this low is from May
30 to July 4th. Bear in mind there is a possibility the 4 year is in front
of us. I'm looking for a bounce now and then down to the nominal 18 week
trough.
Gold
I'm now looking at March 28th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough.
This puts us entering either the 10th week of the Primary cycle.
From last week:
"I was looking for a pullback, so far pretty weak. As
mentioned above, we are still in a time period with confusing Astros."
Following is a daily chart for Gold. The orange vertical
lines are a 14 cd (calendar day)
cycle which has been at highs and lows. The next date is June 2nd.
In effect Gold has been moving down during the month of May
starting around the time of the Sun trine Jupiter on May 3rd or May 9th when
Jupiter turned retrograde.
The date I'm most interested in for Gold is when geocentric Mars re-enters Scorpio on
May 27th. Give this a wide orb. Mars was in Scorpio for most of the Gold
rise from late 2015. Bear in mind it is now moving backwards since it is in
it's retrograde period.
Price is now below the 15 sma and 45 sma. Gold's move down seemed to speed up near
Mercury turning Direct. This also had the Sun opposing Mars.
On the following daily Gold charts there are the Venus
(green), Jupiter (blue) and Uranus (purple) price lines. These are the
longitude of the planet converted to price. Note that Gold price broke below
the Venus line and now appears in free fall. Remember the May 27th date above
and monitor the price lines on the chart.
Next Venus price line 1192
Next Jupiter price line 1199
Next Venus price line 1192
The longer Gold hangs around this area the greater the
chance of a move down. The US $
index has been moving up the last two weeks, which does not help a rise in
Gold.
Crude
Feb 11 had another
lower low and is now marked a Primary cycle trough which has us starting the 16h week of the nominal 18 week cycle.
Crude has made a strong move up from the Feb 11 lows
although increased consumption and decreased production don't appear to be playing
a role.
As noted above the planets ruling crude, Jupiter and Neptune
are in multiple aspect the next two weeks with Jupiter being in a grand square
and grand trine.
As seen on the following chart, crude has been going
sideways for the past 2 weeks. It sits on the planetary average (Jupiter
through Pluto) longitude converted to price (blue line)
Being in the 16th week, I suspect we are approaching the
crest for this crude cycle. Watch June 1 where the Sun squares Neptune and the next few days where both Jupiter and
Neptune are involved in multiple aspects as laid out above.
We have 1 more exact hit of the Jupiter / Pluto trine, that is June 26th. The previous dates were
Oct 9, 2015 and March 16, 2016. I suspect this will be after a Primary cycle
low.
The next daily chart of crude has the Jupiter (blue) and
Neptune (grey) Price Lines. These are the two planets that rule crude. Price is
sitting between the Jupiter and Neptune price lines.
The red squares are the 24th harmonic between the Sun and Neptune . Amongst other things this harmonic is for a
"change in trend". Looking back they do appear at short term changes
in trend.
Watch June 1st which also has the Sun in waxing square to Neptune .