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(January,
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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th was the Primary cycle trough. 1 which
puts us entering the 13th week of a nominal
18 week cycle. Nov. 4th was the 40
week cycle trough as well. The 1st Half 2017 Forecast dates are estimated from
Astrological events only. As time unfolds we have the benefit of market cycles
and possibly additional Astrological events. Nevertheless the original dates
have fared very well. See the blog post of December 11, 2016, showing the
original forecast dates for the SP500. These are the original 6 month dates
with no adjustments for the last 3, 6 month periods.
It should be noted Primary cycles (18 weeks) most often
start with a nominal 6 week sub-cycle. The 2nd most common start is a 1/2 Primary or
9 week sub-cycles.
The next estimated Primary
cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)
low is estimated to be March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week
of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I will use the upcoming
Astros and market cycles to try and get a more exact reading on when the
Primary cycle trough will occur. Early
April is another possibility.
The March 6, 2017
forecast was first mentioned in our blog post of November 14, 2016.
I mention this again as early March is looking more and more
like a low and we are getting close to a
change in trend which will be down.
Astrological events coming up that are often found near
changes in trend are;
January 28 Mars
enters Aries, the sign that it rules.
January 29 New
Mars Cycle Charts. (see note)
January 29 Mercury
conjunct Pluto
January 31 Mercury
square Uranus
February 2 Mercury
square Jupiter
February 3 Venus
enters Aries and quintile Pluto
February 6 Jupiter
Retrograde.
I'm looking for a turn down by February 6th +- 2 tds.
(Note: Cycle charts are drawn up for each planet when it
crosses the zero declination point for South to North. Subscribers will receive
more details.
Mars is active and we have 2 eclipses in February. A Lunar
eclipse on February 10th at 22'Leo28" and a Solar eclipse on February 26th
at 8'Pisces12" Eclipses are powerful events that can effect events months
before and after the exact eclipse date. Subscribers will have details of these
eclipses and 2 more in August. August looks worrisome due to possible geophysical
events which could occur. This coming month could have geophysical events as
well as Mars is active and will be in aspect to all 4 eclipses that will occur
this year. Mars is the planet of war, conflict and aggression.
On March 7th +- 3
td's, Saturn conjuncts the Galactic
Center . The 2 week
period could define another move down. This may be very important. Bear in mind
we are in an 8 year bull market. A move down could start at any time, the above
are the most probable from an Astrological perspective.
As mentioned in previous weeks both Israel and Egypt (mid-East) may come to the
fore this year as regards to conflict and aggression. This may be seen before
the end of April. This is connected to the on-going Saturn / Uranus trine, a 45 year aspect which is exact again on May
19th.
The next Jupiter / Uranus opposition (2nd of a 3 pass) will
next occur on March 2nd.
Mar 4 Venus
retrograde (could be very important)
The second pass of the 14 year aspect, Jupiter opposing Uranus occurs on March 2nd. At times this opposition will be a T-square
with Pluto at the Apex. The French Astrologer, Barbault considers this transit
to be predominantly a capitalist oriented cycle. This transit could bring a
spirit of collective optimism. This may
be particularly opportune at this time with "The Donald" looking to
improve the capitalist system which is the USA . Don't look for an immediate
event. Look for a swing to the right politically. Revolutionary activity. This
aspect has a history of market turns
As noted above the 2nd opposition of Jupiter and Uranus
occurs March 2nd, two days before Venus turns retrograde. There is a Venus cycle which could be important.
That is every 8 years or 5 Venus retro occurrences, Venus returns to
approximately the same spot in the Zodiac. Venus turns retrograde on March 4th
2017. 8 years ago or 5 Venus retro
occurrences Venus turned retrograde on
March 6, 2009. This was the day of the low in the major US indices. If,
for some reason, we do not get a change in trend in late January / early February
then the March 4 date would be a good candidate for a turn.
The following chart shows Venus retrograde dates (retro, red arrow pointed left), Venus direct (blue arrow pointed right)
and the Sun / Venus conjunct noted
as Inferior or Superior, (I or S). Mercury and Venus are the two planets inside
the Earth's orbit and the only one's that can have Inferior and Superior conjunctions with the Sun. The next
conjunction is an Inferior conjunction. Note the previous Inferior conjuncts
(I) on the following chart.
On the following chart the red vertical lines are a 45 td
(trading days) cycle. Note they have been at a low then a high then repeat.
Although slightly extended we should be looking for a low on the last red
vertical line on March 14, 2017.
Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is
an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This
is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of
the subscribers report. The SP500 put in a brief low on December 30. Note the
Bradley indicator made a 'V" shaped low on that date. On
January 24th the Bradley has another turn. Give it +- 2 td's
but it was a sharp move up. Price is
above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day.
This would be a good time frame for the start of a slide down.
The
January 2017 subscribers report will outline some longer term Astrological
aspects and events.
As far as aspects go, the Sun and Jupiter have an affinity
for the SP500. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter (blue) price line and the Sun
(black) price line. The price line is the longitude of the planets
converted to price. On the following chart note the price tends to either reverse
or make a sharp move where the Sun price line and Jupiter price line cross. The
next date these lines cross is February 10th. Also note the last bar fell down
from the Sun price line. Watch for a break below the Jupiter price line (blue)
currently at 2,290.
Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th
harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees
on the following daily chart.
The next hits are Feb 14, 2017 then March 1, 2017.
I have added 3 price lines to this
chart.
Saturn - black
Uranus - purple
These price lines can act as
support / resistance. Also on this chart are blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has
been at highs and lows. The next date is February
6th.
Looking forward I'm expecting very
volatile markets in February followed by difficult markets in the late February / April
timeframe.
There have been a number of
earthquakes over 6.5 the last couple of weeks. I'm expecting more. Watch the
periods around Feb 10th and Feb 26 for more significant geophysical events.
Gold
I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough. I
suspect we put in a low in Gold on December
15th.
December 15 may have been the Gold
low we have been looking for. This puts us about to enter the 7th week. We got the pullback mentioned
last week. We may now see a move up going into next week. If yes, then we would
probably be starting the 2nd nominal 6 week cycle trough. January 27th was a
strong doji.
Gold price moved below the 15 and
above the 45 day sma. Gold most often
starts a Primary cycle with a nominal 6 week sub-cycle so we may be near the
end of the first 6 week cycle. Venus turning retrograde is a good signal for a
move in Gold.
Like stocks Gold can be effected by the Mercury or Venus
retrograde. Following is a daily Gold
chart with the arrows identifying retrograde and direct dates and the
Inferior and Superior Sun / Venus
conjunctions. Coming up we have the Venus
Retrograde date of March 4th then March
25 for the Inferior conjunction and April
15 has Venus turning direct again.
Any of these 3 dates could be a turn in Gold.
Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle
there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that
is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. It may have been December
15th.
The following weekly chart for Gold
has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. The purple squares
are Uranus turning Direct. They often occur near a low then up.
The next chart is a longer term
monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical
lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a
pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish
in the long term.
Crude
August 3rd was the start of a Primary cycle. With the recent move
up it now appears we had the Primary cycle low on November 14. This would put us in the 11th week of a new Primary cycle and we may be looking at the crest
of the first nominal 6 week cycle, 7 weeks along on January 3rd. As per normal price has moved above the 15 sma and the
45 sma and the 15 is above the 45. Typical for a move off a short term crest.
It is also possible January 3rd was the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle)
crest.
The orange square is the Mars / Neptune conjunction. On reviewing
history we often get a reversal in crude on this Astrological aspect. We were watching
for a move down after the Jan 3rd high and got it. Remember Neptune
is a co-ruler of crude. The other planet being Jupiter.
The blue vertical lines are the
average longitudes of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto
converted to price. They should act as good support / resistance areas.
Note the high on January 3rd which crossed the planetary
averages for Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue horizontal lines)
briefly. This may mark heavy resistance in the future and maybe the Primary
cycle crest for this nominal 18 week cycle.
I'm watching
all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune,
the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the
OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members
Following is a daily chart of crude
showing the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent
move down in crude stopped at the Sun (green) price line. We got a bounce when
crude price hit the up sloping green line, the Sun price line. Look for support
here or the Pluto price line directly below in the 50.35 range. The two price lines will cross again on
January 31st +- 2 tds.