Sunday, April 29, 2012

Precious Metals April 29, 2012


Precious metals seem to have lost their way over the past few months. The following daily charts of Gold and Silver show prices relative to the heliocentric price lines for Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue).

Gold
Gold may have put in a primary cycle bottom on April 4 and if so the last few days may have been the first trading cycle low. If true then Gold should be bullish for the next few weeks. Gold needs to break through Jupiter price line at approx 1670 on strong volume. To continue it would need to put in a higher high and then break through the 200 dma. Gold may also have just put in the right shoulder of a reverse head and shoulders pattern with the head at the Dec 29’ 11 low.

If Gold bounces off the Jupiter price line then we will continue to watch and wait.



Silver
Silver has also been wandering away from the helio Venus, Jupiter price lines as well. April 25 may have been the primary cycle trough. On a candlestick chart this would be a strong hammer doji. Silver needs to break through the 23.6 % retracement and the Jupiter price line to give some credence to the April 25 date.


US$
For PM’s to turn bullish the US buck needs to decline. On the following daily chart of the US dollar the blue vertical lines mark 90 calendar days. The question is are we at a high or a low.



No comments:

Post a Comment