To review where we are, first in the short
term, then the longer term.
SP500
Continues it’s move up with the help of the
FED. To look at the index and it’s Primary cycle we are either 20 weeks along
in a Primary cycle which started Nov 16, 2012 or 5 weeks along from a Primary
cycle which started at the low on Feb 26, 2013. This is an important
distinction. Note the SP500 moved down and just touched the 42 td moving
average. This is the absolute minimum for identifying a trough in the Primary
cycle. Normally it would go substantially lower then the 42 td moving average.
If Feb 26 was the low then we are 5 weeks
along a new Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle). If not and this is the older
cycle, it is 20 week along and due for a pullback into a trough. From an Astro
perspective there is nothing too major until April 12 when Pluto turns
retrograde. We do have the Moon conjunct Pluto in a loose square to Uranus on April 2, but
that is quick in passing. Heliocentrically April 4 has Mars and Venus both
quintile Hades, a nasty Uranian point. We should know in the next 2 days to 2 weeks whether we are in the new or older Primary Cycle.
Crude.
It appears crude put in a 17 month cycle
trough in March. The Primary cycle is in it’s 5th week and we should
be looking at an uptrend for quite a while, possibly mid-May when we get the
exact Uranus Pluto square.
Gold
& Silver
I had the Primary cycle trough for Gold on
Feb 20th. Normally this would mark an uptrending market but Gold has
not performed well. Looking back it has been going down since the top in
October 4, 2012.
This needs a move above 1619. Many think
Gold and Silver are manipulated markets. At this point I think they are all
manipulated markets so if Gold is manipulated down, play it that way. The
recent madness in Cyprus
may stir up problems in the near future, especially if the Russian mob has lost
money. If they cannot trust banks, will they move to precious metals?
Longer
Term
I’ve been asked by a number of readers to
give my thoughts further out in the year. In doing so I would first say I will
reserve the right to change my opinion as price action dictates. Price action
is the ultimate arbitrator as to what the markets will do.
In Astrology it is the slower moving
planets and aspects to them that affect the longer term picture. We have a
number coming up.
May
20 Uranus square Pluto.
This
is another exact square of this 7 pass aspect. It’s all about sudden change to
the status quo and changes in large institutions and large institutions way of
business. Things like changes in tax policy will be on the table. Don’t rule
out social unrest and uprisings. See my comments on previous posts. In this
case the chart for France
will have it’s Sun hit exactly on the day of this square. I’m looking for
problem out of the European Union and probably France close to this date.
Bankruptcy of large organizations, Banks or countries cannot be ruled out.
June
/ July Grand Trine
There
is a Grand Trine between Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune which is most exact in
mid-July 2013. This would appear to be a very positive aspect. We must watch
and see that Jupiter is not over reacting or over doing whatever is going on
but this would appear to be an excellent time for world leaders to correct some
of our current problems and set us off on the right foot before more stressful
aspect arrive. We are referring to the world here not just the US. For these longer term aspects we should not be looking for a specific day as they can have an influence weeks before the aspect and some effect after
Mid-August T Square, brief Grand Square
If
nothing or little is corrected during the Grand Trine noted above, it is
quickly followed by a T square between Jupiter, Uranus and Pluto. This can be a
very difficult aspect and very negative for the markets. If they have not
corrected by this time I would expect a severe drop around this time period. If
the markets have already moved down or if true constructive action was taken
during the Grand Trine this period may not be so bad.
I expect it will not be pleasant. A Grand Square
develops using the above T square and Venus (money, resources) moving into the Grand Square may only
exacerbate money problems. Raymond Merriman has pointed out a number of times
that hard aspect from Jupiter to Uranus or Jupiter to Pluto are bankruptcy
aspects. This T Square
/ Grand Square
has them both.
Eclipses
April is the first month this year where we have an eclipse. Eclipse can be powerful points that affect world events for long periods of time before and after the eclipse date. There are two basic types, Solar and Lunar Eclipses. Generally speaking Solar eclipses are more powerful, but this is not always the case. Solar eclipses have a path on earth where the Sun is blocked out by the Moon. These paths can mark out important countries, leaders or events. Following are the dates for the 2013 eclipses along with charts of the SP500 showing previous eclipses and their effect on the markets. I'll expand on these eclipses in future posts.
April 25, 2013 Partial Lunar
May 10, 2013 Solar Annular
May 25, 2013 Appulse Lunar
Oct 18, 2013 Appulse Lunar
Nov 3, 2013 Solar Hybrid
On the following charts blue circles are Lunar eclipses and red is a Solar eclipse. The message here, like many points in Astrology, "They Work"
Thx for posting; Great stuff; Definitely doesn't look like the SUN/VEN square translation to PLU has any correction-type action on the markets. Still feels like path of least resistance is up even when logic says we need a correction so fresh money can come in. More like rotation in the markets than a real correction.
ReplyDeleteUseful post. Still trying to figure out how to take actions off this volatility, but it seems to be buy-and-sit-down.
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ReplyDeleteIn the mean time I'm holding some ETF's but have buy stops in on inverse 2X ETF's so if the market moves down the inverse ETF's should kick in. I have sell stops on the long ETF's I own. It's an easy way to play it without options.
ReplyDeleteGuess you weren't kidding when you said we'd have volatility! Sure does feel like we could have a day or more of correction, but trend seems slightly broken now.
ReplyDelete