"What everyone is looking for, is
what is looking."
-- St. Francis ofAssisi
-- St. Francis of
SP500
We've been looking at the month of August 2013 as being
negative in the markets for some time (see the June 16 , 2013 post). We are now
in the middle of the first time period mentioned in that post. The SP500 is
also 18 weeks along in it's primary cycle and most probably headed down to the
trough for the current primary cycle.
The next two weeks look very volatile as we have
August 21 Jupiter
square Uranus
August 22 Sun
enters Virgo and Sun quintile the North Node
August 24 Venus
square Pluto
August 26 Venus
opposition Uranus
August 26 Sun
opposition Neptune (crude to)
I'm looking for the trough of the current Primary cycle the
last week in August or August 23rd.
The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Uranus and Pluto price lines and how they have acted as support and resistance. Recently we have broken through those price lines and the light blue trend line which started last November. The next Uranus / Pluto price lines are in the 1,630 area.
Also from the last post a weekly chart of the SP500 which includes a 337.2 week cycle from the work of Stan Harley. (see http://www.harleymarketletter.com/profile.html)
Gold Silver
Gold and Silver have come along way quickly and may see a
top around mid week. Note the aspects above on August 21 and 22nd. It appears
Gold started a new Primary cycle on June 28 and is therefore 7 weeks along and
due for the crest of the first Major cycle in the Primary cycle. Silver is in a
similar situation. It is in it's 8th week and therefore a little overdue for
it's first Major cycle of it's Primary cycle.
Remember there are often 3 Major cycles (nominal 7 week) in
the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) and the last Major cycle is the most
distorted.
And from the last post Gold reversed on August 6th which was the 4.618 time fib.
And from the last post Gold reversed on August 6th which was the 4.618 time fib.
Crude
We may have an abrupt change in crude with the many Jupiter
and Neptune transits both geocentrically and heliocentrically. Since I have
crude in the 18th week of the primary cycle I'm looking for a move down to a
trough. This would seem difficult due to the problems in Egypt and other Middle East
countries but it is late in the primary cycle and therefore due for a trough.
The trough may wait until mid September but needs to be watched closely, but
then again, what doesn't.
Additional dates to the above to watch for crude
August 18 Mars
trine Neptune
August 21 Jupiter
trine Neptune
One thing I'll be watching is for the 15 day moving average
turn down and cross below the 45 day moving average.
Added Aug 19, 2013 just because it's good.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70Gmzs2Jp3k&feature=player_detailpage
Added Aug 19, 2013 just because it's good.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70Gmzs2Jp3k&feature=player_detailpage
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