SP500
The SP500 is entering it's 15th week of it's Primary cycle. I am expecting a Primary cycle low
in late May / early June. Some possible dates are
May 26 the 1/2 cycle of the 225 cd cycle or
112 cd
May 30 Geocentric
Jupiter is on the heliocentric North Node of Pluto (could be volatile)
June 1 Jupiter is on the it's shadow date
or back to the point in the Zodiac where is
was when it last went retrograde on Nov 8, 2013
June 4 Jupiter
conjunct the Antiscia of the April 29 Solar eclipse
We got the move higher I was looking for, now, should be
down and I'm looking at the first week
in June for the Primary cycle low.
As can be seen on the following daily chart of the SP500 the
15 sma is above the 45 sma and price is above the 45 sma but below the 15 dma.
For the Primary cycle low we ideally want to see the 15 sma lower than the 45
sma and price lower than both. Watch these unfold into the low.
As you can see from the list above Jupiter is quite active.
As Jupiter is known as the greater benefic one might expect highs rather than
lows. Jupiter also encompasses the principles of optimism, sense of well being
and material goods gained of all types. Jupiter can also equate to periods
where things have been over done. Certainly the FED's dovish policies and
quantitative easing can be construed as overdone.
As mentioned in a number of previous posts I'm still looking
at the Pluto price line as major resistance for the SP500. We have just moved
below it one more time.
Also what is coming shortly is Mercury stationary retrograde
on June 7 and Neptune
stationary retrograde on June 9.
This seems to indicate a period of lies, deceit and false hoods. Since we
already have all these, perhaps a period of enhanced lies, deceit and false hoods
better sates the case.
On the daily Nasdaq 100 index there is a wedge continuation
pattern from which you can take a measured move from the top in the wedge. This
is showing a possible target close to 3300. Also note on this chart the 15 sma
is below the 45 sma and price is just above the 45 sma.
Gold
The status of Gold is still not clear. We are either in the
20th week or the 4th week, as of April 24, of the Primary cycle. Normally prices would be rising if this is
the 4th week of the Primary. It should be getting ready for the first Major
cycle crest and be bullish. This is not the case so we must be careful trading
Gold here.
I am suspicious that we are in the older 20th week Primary
in which case we may see a sharp move down to a trough. Mars will be turning
stationary direct on May 19th which can be very volatile for Gold.
Heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius usually is a period of
volatility in Gold and other PM's as well. This time heliocentric Mercury enters
Sagittarius on June 9 through June 20th.
I'm looking for a low in Gold the last 2 weeks in May to the first week in June and then a crest
somewhere between June 13 - June 23rd. We'll try and forecast this a little
closer as we approach those dates.
I'm looking for a more substantial low in Gold in July. I've
mentioned the 13-13.5 month cycle many times. It should bottom in July. Aspect
wise July 4th has the Sun opposing
Pluto , Jupiter enters Leo on July 16
and Mars enters Scorpio while in quintile to Pluto on July 25. Somewhere in there is a turn.
Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude. Even weaker for
NatGas. Nevertheless Crude should still be in an older Primary cycle and be 18
weeks along. It is possible May 1st was a low but I always look at the 15 and
45 sma near a low in any market. I want to see the 15 sma lower then the 45 sma.
On May 1st this was not the case. We are just now entering a period where the 15
sma is lower than the 45 sma. I'm waiting for a low.
Of course I also look for Astrological signature which would
relate to a turn in Crude. In this case that would be May 19.
May 24 is also possible.
US$
This is my biggest concern and has been for some time. The
concern is the US $
remaining the reserve currency of the world. The US is run by a military /
industrial complex that will resist any change in status that is detrimental to
the US buck. Resistance in this case will probably mean war and generally
involve blowing things up.
The current US
foreign policy seems to be intent on driving Russia ,
China and Iran into an
alliance. This may include India .
As mentioned a number of times in previous posts we are
entering the 18 month low period for the US $, the green vertical line on the
following chart. On reviewing the previous 18 month lows it is apparent they
are often long periods of low US$ prices rather than a quick move down.
To complicate things there is a 38 month low due in mid-June
(brown vertical line). I believe this is a dangerous period for the US $. Previous
38 month lows were April 2011, Feb 2008 and Dec 2004.
I thought a breakdown in the US $ would be a 2015 event. It may
be earlier. I'll watch this area closely.
Your possible turn dates of May 26 and 30 as well as June 1 and June 4 are starting to look more likely as primary cycle highs than primary cycle lows.
ReplyDeleteI agree. Most of the forecast dates are turn dates / Change In Trend dates. It's when we get closer we can determine if they are crests or troughs.
ReplyDeletePS
DeleteThis point was made in the most recent subscriber letter.