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Summary
SP500. The Primary Cycle probably did not start on Oct.29th
Late in the week, Dec 15th, we have the
following aspect. Uranus semi-squares
Neptune. This long term aspect is still in orb. This can mean someone or
something is checkmated. This could be a signature of a crisis or even a revolution. These are slow moving planets and
need a broad orb. +- 2 weeks. Strong planets but a weak aspects.
Starting Jan 2, 2019 Mars will
cross 0 degrees of declination from South to North. Mars will be more active
than usual including planets that aspect Mars and I expect more violence, war
like activity or threats. Watch for earthquake or volcanic activity. We must
wait on this call until we see further price action.
Gold On the Gold
chart we are in the 18th week if the Primary cycle started on Aug 6,
2018. If so we should watch for a pull back for the Primary cycle low.
Crude's Has been
weak and will probably see continued losses into the 1st quarter of 2019. Watch
the $42.00 level.
SP500
The last Primary cycle trough started
on June 28, 2018 and we had noted
the Primary cycle trough on Oct. 29,
2018. Please note, this is wrong. We could and did have a secondary pull
back so the Primary cycle trough is not firm yet. Currently it is at the 18
week cycle. It may have put in the cycle
low on Dec 24, 2018.
The SP500 is now lower on Dec 10th and Dec 14th. We may be looking
at a further move down.
The recent move down was timing
the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year)
can distort the smaller term cycles (18 week).
September 21 seems to be the crest of the last Primary cycle and
may be the high for the
4 year cycle.
The following dates may have
significant moves or start of a move. The following aspects are for a reverse
in trend or large range day. Volatile week.
Dec 15 Uranus
semi-square Neptune
Crisis,
revolution, suddenly incapacitated. Still in orb.
Jan 2 Mars crosses 0
degree of declination from South to North.
Mars
energy will be stronger and so will planets aspecting Mars.
Jan 2 Sun conjunct
Saturn
Physical
difficulties. Misunderstanding
Jan 5 Solar Eclipse.
See
the eclipse section of this report
Jan 6 Uranus Direct
Has
a history of Primary cycle change.
Jan 13 Jupiter square Neptune
Vulnerable
to deception and fraud.
On
the other hand. Lucky mood, shortage of money
Credits
and downgrades`
January 2019 may not be too
comfortable.
Dates are a minimum +- 7 tds
unless otherwise noted. On longer timed aspects a time frame will be included.
Price is now below the 15 sma
and the 45 sma. Both are heading lower. Not positive.
From last week, Gaps have been
filled
The following daily chart of the
SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the
basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic
chart we have shown for many months.
The next hits are Jan. 2, 2019 and Feb 20, 2019. The
latter number is on the Uranus price line. Watch closely.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It is due on early February 2019.
+- 10 td.s. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines).
The next 40 week cycle is early February
2019.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
From late December through the
first Eclipse in Jan 6, 2019 watch for geophysical event.
See the link under
“Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. There was a significant
earthquake in Alaska 3 weeks ago. Geophysical activity has been picking up.
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others…..
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now
or took place April – June 2018. The 45
year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. Also note the dark blue
squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.
We are entering the difficult time mentioned
over the last few months.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.
I brought up Iran on the last
couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of
conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.
4 Year
Other longer-term aspects
like the 4 year cycle are coming
due. The SP500 4 year cycle should be due in mid to late 2019. The last 4 year cycle trough was Feb 8, 2016
The Primary cycle top on Sept 21, 2018 at 2490.91 may have
been the top for the 4 year cycle. This is not confirmed.
Other
Another very long term cycle,
the 90 year, is potentially around 2022 +- a lot. More time is needed to
confirm this cycle. The ½ cycle to the 90, the 45 year ties into the 90 and is
due in the same time frame.
2019 Eclipses
Date Eclipse Saros Cycle Sign
Jan 6, 2019 Solar
Partial 122 15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019 Total
Lunar 134 00Le51
July 2, 2019 Solar
Total 127 10Cn37
July 16, 2019 Partial
Lunar 139 24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019 Solar
Annular 132 4Cp6
I will use this list and include details on the current
eclipse. The first one is Jan 6, 2019, Saros cycle 122.
Each eclipse is a member of a Saros cycle. I will go into
details later.
Basically, the Saros cycle shows an 18 year cycle which
repeats backwards in time. These are not exact but highlight the same themes.
We are looking for similar themes.
For Saros cycle 122 that means the following years will have
similar themes. The third previous cycle is 18 * 3 = 54, which is 1964/1965.
The exact eclipse date is Dec 4, 1964. The third eclipse in a Saros cycle will
shadow the same area on Earth.
I am concentrating on the 54th year which is 1964
/ 1965.
2001
Some of the themes in 2001 are:
- Ariel Sharon wins election in Israel (Feb. 6).
Right-wing leader chosen overwhelmingly as nation's fifth prime minister
in just over five years during worst Israeli-Palestinian violence in
years. Background: Middle East.
- The long-simmering resentment of Macedonia's ethnic Albanians erupts into violence in March.
The rebels seek greater autonomy within Macedonia. After six months of
fighting, a peace agreement is signed (Aug. 13). British-led NATO forces
enter the country and disarm the guerrillas. Background: Macedonia and the Balkans.
- U.S. spy plane and Chinese jet collide (April 2);
Sino-American relations deteriorate during a standoff. The 24 crew members
of the U.S. plane were detained for 11 days and released after the U.S.
issued a formal statement of regret.
- Former Yugoslav president Slobodan Milosevic is delivered to UN tribunal in The Hague to
await war-crime trial (June 29).
- Without U.S., 178 nations reach agreement on
climate accord, which rescues, though dilutes, 1997 Kyoto Protocol (July
23).
- In response to Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, U.S.
and British forces launch bombing campaign on Taliban government and al-Qaeda terrorist camps in Afghanistan (Oct. 7). Bombings continue on a daily
basis. Background: Afghanistan.
- Irish Republican Army announces that it has begun
to dismantle its weapons arsenal, marking a dramatic leap forward in
Northern Ireland peace process (Oct. 23). Background: Northern Ireland Primer.
- At a UN-sponsored summit in Bonn, Germany,
Afghani factions meet to create a post-Taliban government (Nov. 27). Hamid
Karzai is selected as head of the transitional government (Dec. 5).
Background: Who's Who in Afghanistan.
- Taliban
regime in
Afghanistan collapses after two months of bombing by American warplanes
and fighting by Northern Alliance ground troops (Dec. 9).
- Israel condemns the Palestinian Authority as a
"terror-supporting entity" and severs ties with leader Yasir
Arafat following mounting violence against Israelis (Dec. 3). The Israeli
Army beOklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeighexecuted (June 11).
- gins bombing Palestinian areas. Background: Middle East.
- Terrorists attack United States. Hijackers ram jetliners into twin towers of New
York City's World Trade Center and the Pentagon. A fourth hijacked plane
crashes 80 mi outside of Pittsburgh (Sept. 11). Toll of dead and injured
in thousands. Within days, Islamic militant Osama bin Laden and the al-Qaeda
terrorist network are
identified as the parties behind the attacks.
- Anthrax scare rivets nation, as anthrax-laced
letters are sent to various media and government officials. Several postal
workers die after handling the letters (throughout October).
1983
Some of the themes in 1983 are:
- Pope John Paul II signs new Roman Catholiccode incorporating changes brought about by Second Vatican Council (Jan. 25).
- Benigno S. Aquino, Jr., 50, political rival
of Philippines President Ferdinand Marcos, is assassinated in Manila (Aug. 21).
- South Korean Boeing 747 jetliner bound for Seoulapparently strays into Soviet airspace and is
shot down by a Soviet SU-15 fighter after it had tracked the airliner for
two hours; all 269 aboard are killed. (Aug. 30).
- Terrorist explosion kills 237 US Marines in Beirut (Oct. 23).
- US invades Grenada (Oct. 25)
1965
Some of the themes in 1964/1965 are:
-
The Civil Rights Act of 1964
-
The first US combat troops arrive in Vietnam
-
Brezhnev becomes the 1st secretary of
the Communist Party
-
China detonates it’s first Atomic bomb.
-
Malcom X shot to death. Riots
-
France withdraws its Atlantic fleet from NATO.
-
There are others but this should get the idea
across.
Look for the same themes in 2019. Here is the chart
The Bradley
Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer
Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market
Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and
inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called
"the Bradley". The
Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points
(where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or
SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.
It does not forecast or anticipate whether that
turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn
up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not
important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who
had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked
with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked
so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it
goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for
months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered)
but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.
In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a
siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually
do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective
attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"
So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are
trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways
The red line is the Bradley Indicator.
Gold
Gold is 91 td (trading days) or 18 weeks away
from the Primary cycle bottom on Aug 16, 2018. This could be near the end of
the 3nd 6 week cycle. The
Primary cycle is approx. 18 weeks long and we are at the18th week. We
should see a Primary cycle trough late in December or early January 2019.
We may have seen a low on Aug 16th but it must be confirmed. This was 4 trading
days after the Lunar Eclipse on Aug 11. The next Solar eclipse is Jan 5, 2019.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away
from it’s more normal 18 week length.
I’m looking for a crest in Gold probably during
December but Gold could go further up.
Seasonally Gold is usually flat over the early
summer months.
Price is now above the 15 sma and the 45 day sma. Both have
turned up and looking positive.
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares
are the aspects duplicate the transits noted above.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last being Dec 3,
2018. The next is Dec 31st 2018. Note that price is moving up in
the Mars price line (red).
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun
takes 27 days to revolve once at the
Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up
and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker
red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish
now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move
up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart
show when heliocentric Mercury is in
Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury exits
heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign.(red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is moving into Aries on Dec 31.
This is just about 18 weeks so we may see a Primary cycle trough close to this
date.
Crude
Oil put in a top on Oct. 3rd.
I’m looking at some longer term cycles and technicals to get a handle on future
direction.
Price is now down to the low on
June 21, 2017 . This can be very telling for crude. Watch this for a possible
bear market starting in crude.
June 18 was the date Neptune turned Retrograde and has been moving
backwards until November 24th
when Neptune turns Direct.
There have been a number of
aspects involving Jupiter and Neptune. Both are co-rulers of crude. Coming up
there are Jupiter squared Neptune on Jan 6, 2019. June 14 Jupiter will parallel
Pluto. I’m looking for a change in direction near to January 14, 2019
My understanding is the Saudis
want to raise prices and the US is expanding it’s shale output, hoping to keep
prices lower.
This puts us at week 2.
On the next chart note how price
often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses
at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar
day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.
Watch the green Sun price line
and see if crude follows that price line up.
And finally, a weekly chart of
crude showing a 17 / 34 month cycle. Red vertical lines. The 17 month cycle
chart is shown below.
