Summary
SP500. Volatility continues next week. There are not many meaningful
Astros next week. Late in the week, Dec
15th, Uranus semi-squares Neptune. This can mean someone or
something is checkmated. This could be a signature of a crisis or even a
revolution. These are slow moving planets and need a broad orb. +- 2 weeks.
We are entering the 6th
week of the Primary cycle which started on Oct. 29th. Price is now
below both the 15 and 45 day sma.
Review the daily chart of the
SP500 further down. Other things that can affect the markets are interest rates.
The FOMC announcement on Dec 19 is important as is their outlook on rates going
forward. Remember Jupiter is now in Sagittarius which may have an inflationary
effect. All things legal and the courts should start to have more of an effect.
I should say, starting Jan 2,
2019 Mars will cross 0 degrees of declination from South to North. Mars will be
more active than usual including planets that aspect Mars and I expect more violence
, war like activity or threats.
Gold is still under the effect of the Venus opposition to Uranus on Nov. 30 has a
strong history of moves in Gold. On the
Gold chart we have just put in the 3rd, 6 week low in the Primary
cycle. I’ll be looking for a Primary low late in 2018 or early 2019.
Crude's I was still
looking for a low in Crude around either Nov 24 where Neptune is Direct and watch,
Dec 5th the Sun is in waning square to Neptune. The Saudi’s are looking to cut back production while the US is increasing production from shale plays. Crude
looks like it could go higher here.
SP500
The last Primary cycle trough started
on June 28, 2018 and may have
completed it’s Primary cycle trough on Oct.
29, 2018. Please note, this is not definite and we could have a secondary
pull back so the Primary cycle trough is not firm yet. If price continues down
we could break lower than Oct 29th, putting into question if the
Primary Cycle started on Oct 29th.
If Oct 29th was the
Primary cycle low then we are beginning the
6th week of a new Primary and getting close to a 6 week low
which would be a trough.
We don’t want to see a close
below Oct 29 low or worse below the Feb 9th low We are still in a
period of volatile congestion.
The recent move down was timing
the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year)
can distort the smaller term cycles (18 week).
September 21 seems to be the crest of the last Primary cycle and
may be the high for the
4 year cycle.
The following dates may have
significant moves or start a move. The following aspects are for a reverse in
trend or large range day. volatile week.
Dec 15 Uranus semi-square Neptune
Crisis,
revolution, suddenly incapacitated
Dates are a minimum +- 10 tds
unless otherwise noted. On longer timed aspects a time frame will be included.
Price is now below the 15 sma
and the 45 sma..
From last week, Gaps have been
filled
The following daily chart of the
SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the
basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic
chart we have shown for many months.
The next hits are Jan. 2, 2019 and Feb 20, 2019. The
latter number is on the Uranus price line. Watch closely.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It is due on early February 2019.
+- 10 td.s. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines).
The next 40 week cycle is early February
2019.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
From late December through the
first Eclipse in Jan 6, 2019 watch for geophysical event.
See the link under
“Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. There was a significant
earthquake in Alaska today.
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Japan and Hawaii.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now
or took place April – June 2018. The 45
year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. Also note the dark blue
squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.
We are entering the difficult time mentioned
over the last few months.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.
I brought up Iran on the last
post. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is
getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.
4 Year
Other longer-term aspects
like the 4 year cycle are coming
due. The SP500 4 year cycle should be due in mid to late 2019. The last 4 year cycle trough was Feb 8, 2016
The Primary cycle top on Sept 21, 2018 at 2490.91 may have
been the top for the 4 year cycle. This is not confirmed.
Other
Another very long term cycle,
the 90 year, is potentially around 2022 +- a lot. More time is needed to
confirm this cycle. The ½ cycle to the 90, the 45 year ties into the 90 and is
due in the same time frame.
Gold
Gold is 78 td (trading days) away from the
Primary cycle bottom on Aug 16, 2018. This could be near the end of the 3nd
6 week cycle. The Primary cycle is approx. 18 weeks long and we are at the16th
week. We should see a Primary cycle trough late in December or early January
2019. From this you can construct cycle charts.
The Primary cycle in Gold has been difficult to
ascertain. There was a Primary cycle trough on Dec 12, 2017 but determining the
next Primary trough has been very difficult.
We may have seen a low on Aug 16th but it must be confirmed. This was 4 trading
days after the Lunar Eclipse on Aug 11.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away
from it’s more normal 18 week length.
I’m looking for a crest in Gold probably during
December but Gold could go further up.
Seasonally Gold is usually flat over the early
summer months.
Price is now above the 15 sma and the 45 day sma.
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares
are the aspects duplicate the transits noted above.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last being Dec 3,
2018. The next is Dec 31st 2018
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun
takes 27 days to revolve once at the
Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving
sideways and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The
darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line
was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive
sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch
closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart
show when heliocentric Mercury is in
Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury exits
heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign.(red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is moving
into Aries on Dec 31. This is just about 18 weeks so we may see a Primary cycle
trough close to this date.
Crude
Oil put in a top on Oct. 3rd.
I’m looking at some longer term cycles and technicals to get a handle on future
direction.
Price is now lower than the Feb
5th, 2018 low of the Primary cycle. This can be very telling for crude. Watch
this for a possible bear market starting in crude.
June 18 was the date Neptune turned Retrograde and has been moving
backwards until November 24th
when Neptune turns Direct.
Watch the following dates for
Crude. There have been a number of aspects involving Jupiter and Neptune. Both
are co-rulers of crude.
My understanding is the Saudis
want to raise prices and the US is expanding it’s shale output, hoping to keep
prices lower.
This puts us at week number 23
realizing Nov 29 could have been the trough or the starting date of the Primary
cycle.
On the next chart note how price
often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses
at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar
day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.
Watch the green Sun price line
and see if crude follows that price line up.
And finally, a weekly chart of
crude showing a 17 / 34 month cycle. Red vertical lines. The 17 month cycle
chart is shown below.
I would like to see a bounce starting around $2,600.
ReplyDeleteA move below $2,555 would be very negative and would negate a year end rally.
Do you expect new highs in first quarter 2019, also in Q3 OR Q4?
ReplyDeleteToo far out. I could make general comments at this point.
ReplyDeletecrash alert!
ReplyDelete