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SP500
The last Primary cycle low was August 21st, the day of the
Total Solar Eclipse. The standard for the Primary cycle is 18 weeks. We appeared to have put in the Primary cycle trough on February 9th at a low of
2532.69. This was late at the 23th week.
This may have been the
9-month cycle trough as well.
The SP500 Primary cycle has a range from 15
to 23 weeks so we were at the limit. This has been an unusual time with the
general market indices seemingly unstoppable, however, we may have seen the trough
of this extended Primary cycle. The high for this Primary cycle was 2872.87 on January 26th.
This puts us 2 weeks along in a
new Primary cycle. We often get a short pull back in the 2nd to 3rd
week at the start of a new Primary cycle.
Bear in mind when the markets
have a big down move, like we’ve seen, it will often go back and test the low
again. Either a little above or below. I suspect we will test the recent low
either early or late March 2018. For example,
March 1st and 2nd we have Venus trine Jupiter then Mercury trine
Jupiter. Jupiter is often recognized as optimistic, positive and prone to
exaggeration. It can also represent that which has been overdone, and in the
markets a move down to correct an exaggerated move. March 1-3 is also the time of a perigee Full Moon. Watch this time frame closely.
From two weeks ago post:
“We should watch for a cycle down. A 5 - 10 % correction would be
healthy for the market at this point. I’ve put on a Fibonacci
retracement. We often go down to the “box” which in the case would include the
38.2% retracement down to the 50% retracement. It may end sooner. Ideally, I
would like to see price move below the 45 day moving average (the blue line).
We should also consider a quick reversal back up. This has been a very strong
move.”
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week).
- 9
month cycle
- 5
week.
These are all coming due. See
the charts below
The Primary Cycles
The week of Feb 4 had Pluto conjunct the
heliocentric nodes of Pluto which should give Pluto more power. This was
exact on Feb. 8th, 2018.
This moves very slowly and I think the
cause of the move down. The last time it occurred was Feb 20, 1772 just before 1776. This needs a broad orb +- weeks.
There were a number of other factors pointing to a move down but Pluto conjunct
the heliocentric nodes of Pluto seems most precise. For big moves there are
usually multiple Astrological aspects and / or events.
Pluto stands for major change,
breakdown and regeneration. Pluto can also stand for political breakdown,
organized crime and secret intelligence. We have seen all the above in the US.
Pluto also rules banking systems, stock and shares, manipulation and
corruption. It was due. It could also be the source of the long move up. This
Pluto aspect will be exact two more times in 2018. I will bring them up as we
get closer after Pluto’s retrograde motion.
The move down in the SP500 and
other indices and commodities may be early as the month of March looks treacherous
both early and late in the month of March. Sharp moves down like we have just
seen often sees the markets go down and retest the low. Watch for this in
March. This may change the date for the trough in the SP500 and other indices
and commodities.
The move down reminds me of a
number of “W” bottoms. Following are two W bottoms, one starting in August 2015
and the other starting late December 2015.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It is due and it was late but appears
to be forming last week. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical
lines)
The 3.8 – 4Year
The above weekly chart of the
SP500 shows the synodic cycle for Mars
and Vesta. The red circles are the conjunction of the two and the green
double arrows are the middle of the cycle. These are the heliocentric aspects
(Sun centered).
Note how the conjunction is
often at a top with a quick decline. The next Mars / Vesta conjunction is Feb 25, 2018.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
And now
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now,
the 45 year due in Sept 2019.
The markets may be volatile into
March. In particular the end of March has significant transits concerning the
FED. See the chart below. Both Venus and Uranus in the 10th will
square Neptune in the 1st. More deception, uncertainty and illusion.
The middle wheel is the Nata chart for the FED and the outer wheel the
transiting planets. This could effect money, US money.
In May Uranus will enter Taurus. Look for financial or banking system
problems or changes. Taurus will go retrograde and then move backward into
Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may also be a problem in currencies.
Generally speaking the first
couple of months of 2018 should be volatile. There are 2 Super Moons and 2
Eclipses.
The February 15 Solar Eclipse should be strong. This is almost
opposite the August 21st eclipse last year. Both are in late Fixed
signs. Remember all the violent weather we had after last years eclipse (Aug
21) and the continuing aggression. Violence has returned.
There are two cycles associated
with eclipses. The Metonic Cycle which is 19 years ago and the Saros cycle
which is 54 years. The Saros cycle is 18, 36 then 54 years.
This Metonic cycle suggests
tensions involving the US, the Mideast and possibly Europe and the Balkans.
For the Saros cycle we have 3 dates.
18, 36, 54 years ago. 18 years ago we had the Y2K computer uproar and the .Net
bubble. 36 years ago or 1982. Government troops and Muslim fundamentals were
battling in Hanah, Syria. In the US there were large seizures of marijuana.
Also in the US there were nuclear tests at the Nevada test site. And 54 years
ago was 1964 the Beatles performed on the Ed Sullivan show. Watch for any issues
with the United Kingdom and Cyprus. Also watch Greece for any emerging
political problems.
The above combination, with
Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population,
particularly the mature population and with the Sun could affect the President
or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years in the future
as Saturn is in a sign for approx.. 2 ½ years. Other conditions this may
highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in general. State
assets could be affected as well as industries connected to metals and mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the
Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price line (green). Both of these
price lines have a history of providing support and resistance.
When the two lines cross we often see a big range
day or reversal. Note how price went down and stopped on the Sun / Earth Price
Line. Price touched the Sun (thick blue) price line today but finished close to
the next
The next time the two Price Lines cross is March
13th. This could be a volatile period with the Solar Eclipse on February 15 and
Mars squares Neptune on February 17th.
The blue horizontal lines are the Jupiter price
line. The thicker blue line just above price may act as solid resistance to any
move up in price.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for
short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the
following daily chart. The blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The next hit is March 29, 2018 and May 14, 2018 I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn – black
-
Uranus – purple
-
Neptune - light blue
Note the last date, Feb 9th, 2018 was the day of
the low and a big range day.
These price lines can act as support / resistance. It
has been at highs and lows. Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in
price on a short-term basis. Also note, near the top of the chart is a light
blue line. This is the Neptune Price Line. Note how it has been strong
resistance to price but has broken through. It should act as strong support
when the market turns down.
Gold
Gold started a new
Primary cycle on December 12. We are
entering the 10th week. December 12 was close to the Mars entering Scorpio
mentioned a few weeks ago.
Gold
has been moving up as the US$ has moved down. It is important for Gold to stay
above 1309.
We
have seen the crest of the nominal 6-week cycle on January 25th and then
a nominal 6 week cycle trough. To
continue up, Gold needs to move above the Jan 25 high.
Price
is between the 45 sma and the 15 day sma. The 15 sma is curling over while the
45 day sma is moving up.
Most charts we include are based
on geocentric or Earth centered charts. We can also look at the Zodiac using
heliocentric or Sun centered astrology. We often see a move in Gold when
heliocentric Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius. It did so on January 19th
and will be there until January 29. This can be a time of volatility and change
for both stocks and precious metals.
The following chart shows
seasonal tendencies for Gold. The 2nd half of the year, on average, is up.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle
is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still early in the latest 7.4
year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being March 13,
2018.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. We went through the
Mars price line. Moving below the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we
need to move above the Mars price line. It may hit resistance.
Watch for resistance around the
Mars price line (dark red). Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24
harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will
find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note price went down
to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this
using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The last
date was Jan 26th. These can be at highs or lows. Dec 8 was Mars entering
Scorpio the sign that it rules. Note on
the chart, Mars changing signs, to any sign, often has a change in trend in
Gold price. The blue circles highlight when Mars enters Scorpio, the sign that
it rules. The last red circle shows Mars entering Sagittarius on January 26th. The next sign is
Mars entering Capricorn on March 17th.
Crude
We were looking at October 6th
as being the trough of the previous Primary
cycle. The new Primary cycle started on February 9th. (see my
note above on extending the Primary ctcles). We are two weeks along,
remembering we often get a pullback near the 1st 2 – 3 week period of a New
Primary. Crude price has moved above the 45 day sma and the 15 day sma.
It is quite possible we make
another low or at least attempt a low. Neptune
rules Pisces, the sign it is currently in and Jupiter is the co-ruler. The first week in March has the Sun
conjunct Neptune on March 4th and Jupiter turning retrograde on
March 8th.
The horizontal blue lines on the
chart below are the average longitude of
the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue). Note how
price stopped on August 1 and August 31,
right on the average longitude. See it again on Sept 14 and now Jan 16, 2018 which was also a 27 td
(trading day’s).
The horizontal red lines are the
Fibonacci retracement from Nov 14, 2016 to Feb 21, 2017.
December 2nd was the
Jupiter waning trine Neptune. A change in trend occurred on
Dec 14th.
Watch the red Fibonacci
retracement lines and the blue planetary averages. Crude price is currently moving
up I had expected some resistance at this level. The next level is currently at
64.75..
On the following daily chart of
crude note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the
Sun/Earth. The blue lines moving horizontal is the Pluto price line (blue). The
Pluto price line acted as support on
Nov.15th and at the main Pluto price line price (dark blue) has hit
resistance.
From last week:
“Watch this closely as price may go through the Pluto price line
quickly,”
Crude price went through approx.
3 Pluto price lines and now bounced up and stopped on the Sun price line
(green). We may get resistance here and possible move down.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We
often get big range days when the two lines cross, like October 27th.and
Nov 22. The next day they cross is February 27th.
Watch Feb 27th where
the Sun price line crosses the Pluto price line. We often see a big range day
or change in trend.
