SP500
The last Primary cycle low was August 21st, the day of the
Total Solar Eclipse. The standard for the Primary cycle is 18 weeks. We may be starting the 24th week or more likely, we have reached the trough, for now. The SP500
Primary cycle has a range from 15 to 23
weeks so we are just over the limit. This has been an unusual time with the
general market indices seemingly unstoppable, however, we may have seen the
crest of this extended Primary cycle. The high so far was 2872.87 on January 26th.
From last weeks post:
“We should watch for a cycle down. A 5 - 10 % correction would be
healthy for the market at this point. I’ve put on a Fibonacci
retracement. We often go down to the “box” which in the case would include the
38.2% retracement down to the 50% retracement. It may end sooner. Ideally, I
would like to see price move below the 45 day moving average (the blue line).
We should also consider a quick reversal back up. This has been a very strong
move.”
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week) and it’s late.
- 9
month cycle
- 5
week.
These are all coming due. See
the charts below
The Primary Cycles
The week of Feb 4 has Pluto conjunct the heliocentric nodes of Pluto which
should give Pluto more power. This moves very slowly. The last time it occurred
was Feb 20, 1772 just before 1776. This needs a broad orb +- weeks. Due to the retrograde motion of Pluto it will be at this point multiple times in 2018. The last exact hit will be in December 2018. More on this in a future post.
February 15 is a Solar eclipse. This may be made more powerful as
it opposes the August 21, 2017 Solar Eclipse. That was followed by increased
violence and very strong storms. This Solar eclipse will oppose Mars in the
charts of Trump, Netanyahu and Israel. Watch for problems here. Either one of
the men or mid-East in general. Further on Trump transiting Saturn in the 5th
will soon be opposing his natal Mercury which is conjunct transiting Hades, a
Uranian point, and a mean one. Trump’s problem continue as Saturn will be
squaring his 2nd house Neptune. Illusion and delusion.
Some other aspects coming up are
the Sun in waxing square to Jupiter. This occurs on Feb 10 This has a history
of significant changes in trend. We have either had it this week or it is
coming up within a week. On Feb 17 we have Mars in waning square to Neptune
which is also a strong signature for a Primary cycle turn. Another reason the
next few weeks should be volatile.
The move down reminds me of a
number of “W” bottoms. Following are two W bottoms examples, one starting in August 2015
and the other starting late December 2015. Watch out for a move up after the initial move down, then another move down. If it unfolds this way I'm looking at March for the second low.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It is due and it is late but appears
to be forming right now.
The 3.8 – 4Year
The above weekly chart of the
SP500 shows the synodic cycle for Mars
and Vesta. The red circles are the conjunction of the two and the green
double arrows are the middle of the cycle. These are the heliocentric aspects
(Sun centered).
Note how the conjunction is
often at a top with a quick decline. The next Mars / Vesta conjunction is Feb 25,
2018.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now,
the 45 year due in Sept 2019. This does appear to be the 15 year cycle crest,
an inversion.
The markets may be volatile into
March. In particular the end of March has significant transits concerning the
FED. See the chart below. Both Venus and Uranus in the 10th will
square Neptune in the 1st.
In May Uranus will enter Taurus. Look for financial or banking system
problems or changes. Taurus will go retrograde and then move backward into
Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may also be a problem in currencies.
Generally speaking the first couple
of months of 2018 should be volatile. There are 2 Super Moons and 2 Eclipses.
The February 15 Solar Eclipse should be strong. This is almost
opposite the August 21st eclipse last year. Both are in late Fixed
signs. Remember all the violent weather we had after last years eclipse (Aug
21) and the continuing aggression.
There are two cycles associated
with eclipses. The Metonic Cycle which is 19 years ago and the Saros cycle
which is 54 years. The Saros cycle is 18, 36 then 54 years. Search this blog for more info on the Saros cycle.
This Metonic cycle suggests
tensions involving the US, the Mideast and possibly Europe and the Balkans.
For the Saros cycle we have 3 dates.
18, 36, 54 years ago. 18 years ago we had the Y2K computer uproar and close to the .Net
bubble. 36 years ago or 1982. Government troops and Muslim fundamentals were
battling in Hanah, Syria. In the US there were large seizures of marijuana.
Also in the US there were nuclear tests at the Nevada test site. And 54 years
ago was 1964, the Beatles performed on the Ed Sullivan show. Watch for any
issues with the United Kingdom and Cyprus. Also watch Greece for any emerging
political problems.
In addition, Feb 8 +- a few, has Pluto conjunct the
heliocentric nodes of Pluto. This happens very slowly. It needs a broad range
of dates. The last time Pluto was on the heliocentric nodes of Pluto was close
to Feb 20, 1772.
The above combination, with
Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population,
particularly the mature population and with the Sun could affect the President
or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years in the future
as Saturn is in a sign for approx.. 2 ½ years. Other conditions this may
highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in general.
State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to metals and
mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops. This chart
also has the 40 year cycle which will be coming due in 2018.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the
Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price line (green). Both of these
price lines have a history of providing support and resistance.
When the two lines cross we often see a big range
day or reversal. Note how price went down and stopped on the Sun / Earth Price
Line.
The next time the two Price Lines cross is February
16. This could be a volatile period with the Solar Eclipse on February 15 and
Mars squares Neptune on February 17th.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for
short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the
following daily chart. The blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The next hit is Feb 9, 2018 and March 29, 2018. I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn – black
-
Uranus – purple
-
Neptune - light blue
These price lines can act as support / resistance. It
has been at highs and lows. Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in
price on a short-term basis. Also note, near the top of the chart is a light
blue line. This is the Neptune Price Line. Note how it has been strong
resistance to price but has broken through. It should act as strong support
when the market turns down.
Gold
Gold started a new
Primary cycle on December 12. We are
entering the 9th week. December 12 was close to the Mars entering Scorpio
mentioned 4 weeks ago.
We
are currently at an important juncture for precious metals. Mars left Scorpio
and into Sagittarius on January 26th. Heliocentrically Mercury will
leave Sagittarius into Capricorn. These are signatures for a change in trend in
Gold.
We
may have seen the crest of the nominal 6 week cycle on January 25th
and now headed for the trough. It is possible Gold will go down this week and
put in the 9th week or ½ Primary cycle trough. This would be close to the Mars
square Neptune signature on Feb
17th.
There
is more evidence pointing to a turn down
in Gold. It has been going up as the US dollar moves down. Watch the currencies
to get a reading on Gold. The US Buck is trying to move up, which may indicate
Gold is going down. There are a number of other indications which are looking
for precious metals to rise.
The
15 day sma is above the 45 day sma and Price is now below the 15 day sma. Note
on the Gold chart below, the red horizontal lines are the retracement from the
move up from December 2015 to Aug 4, 2016. Gold stopped at the 23.6%
retracement but has now broken through. We may see support at the 45 day sma or
the 23.6% retracement.
Most charts we include are based
on geocentric or Earth centered charts. We can also look at the Zodiac using
heliocentric or Sun centered astrology. We often see a move in Gold when
heliocentric Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius. It did so on January 19th
and will be there until January 29. This can be a time of volatility and change
for both stocks and precious metals.
The following chart shows
seasonal tendencies for Gold. The 2nd half of the year, on average, is up.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle
is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still early in the latest 7.4
year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being February
14, 2018.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. We are just below the
main Mars Price lines (darker red) and moving down. We went through the Mars
price line. Moving above the dark red Mars price line would be bullish at this
point.
Watch for resistance around the
Mars price line. Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If
you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there
are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note price went down to Dec 12
where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this
using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The last
date was December 8th. These can be at highs or lows. Dec 8 was
Mars entering Scorpio the sign that it rules.
Note on the chart, Mars changing signs, to any sign, often has a change
in trend in Gold price. The blue circles highlight when Mars enters Scorpio,
the sign that it rules. The last red circle shows Mars entering Sagittarius on
January 26th. The next
sign is Mars entering Capricorn on March
16th.
Crude
We were looking at October 6th
as being the trough of the Primary cycle. The move out of that date was the start of a
Primary cycle. We are in the 17th week
of the Primary that started on October 6th.
One could make an argument for August 31 as well. As the Primary cycle average
is 18 weeks we should be close to a trough
The horizontal blue lines are
the average longitude of the planets
Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue). Note how price stopped
on August 1 and August 31, right on
the average longitude. See it again on Sept 14 and now Jan 16, 2018 which was also a 27 td (trading day’s).
The horizontal red lines are the
Fibonacci retracement from Nov 14, 2016 to Feb 21, 2017.
December 2nd was the
Jupiter waning trine Neptune. A change in trend occurred on
Dec 14th.
Watch the red Fibonacci
retracement lines and the blue planetary averages. Crude price is currently moving
down and went through the average for Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and
Pluto (the blue lines). I had expected some resistance at this level. The next
level is currently at 55.70.
Also watch the 15 and 45 day sma,
Both are curling over.
On the following daily chart of
crude note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the
Sun/Earth. The blue lines moving horizontal is the Pluto price line (blue). The
Pluto price line acted as support on
Nov.15th and at the main Pluto price line price (dark blue) has hit
resistance.
From last week:
“Watch this closely as price may go through the Pluto price line
quickly,”
Crude price went through approx.
3 Pluto price lines. Remember our comments on Pluto above and the heliocentric Noes of Pluto.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We
often get big range days when the two lines cross, like October 27th.and
Nov 22. The next day they cross is February 27th.
Watch near Feb 17th
when Mars squares Neptune. Watch Lithium as well. I follow LIT, a lithium ETF
in the US.
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