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SP500
The last Primary cycle low was February 9th. The standard for the
Primary cycle is 18 weeks. This was
late at the 23th week but this may
be distorted as there are other longer-term cycles due. This may have been the
9-month cycle trough as well. Longer term cycles often push the Primary cycle
further out or shorter than the norm.
This puts us entering the 10th weeks in a new Primary
cycle. We may have seen the nominal 6th
week trough on April 2nd remembering we could get a 9 – 9 ½ week cycle
instead. The 6 and 9 ½ are sub cycles of
the Primary cycle. The move down on April 2nd could be the nominal 6 week cycle
trough. If so, this Primary cycle may be
unfolding as a 3 pass.
The current 4 year cycle for the SP500 started on Feb 11, 2016. We should be looking for a 15.5 month cycle low.
There are typically 3 - 15.5 month cycles in the 4 year cycles.
The 4 year may have 3 -15.5 month cycles and / or 2 - 23 month cycles
(a half cycle).
For the SP500
The following weekly chart of
the SP500 shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the ½ cycle of 23 months (red).
For the DJIA
The following weekly chart of
the DJIA shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the 15.5 month (red). There are
approx. 3 - 15.5 month in the Primary cycle.
The Primary cycle that started
on Feb 9th may form an
ending trough near the week of
May or June.
I’m looking for a low in May or mid-June, probably May.
The last couple of blog post had
the Mercury retrograde dates and
possible turns.
Those dates were:
Mercury Retrograde March 22
Inferior Conjunction April 1st
(watch April 2)
Mercury Direct April 15th (watch April
16)
There is one more date, May 3. This is the date Mercury returns
to the place it went retrograde.
Before we review the meaningful
Astrological aspect and events we should look at the medium term. Starting now be prepared for more
serious events from now through June 2018. These should be violent, possibly
war-like events in the mid-East and events involving Russia and China. This may
involve Syria and quite possibly other war like activity in Pakistan and India. (please note I wrote this before the Syrian bombings).
Watch the dates around April 20
+- a few days for unplanned war like activity. Unplanned from a normal citizens
point of view. Hot spots could be Syria, Iran, Pakistan and India. North Korea
seems to be much quieter than in 2017 and early 2018.
Another interesting date may be May 14.
May 14 1948 was the "Declaration
of the Establishment of the State of Israel"
May 14, 2018 is 70 years from May 14, 1948. 70 years is a recurring bible cycle. I’m no expert
in Bible studies. May 15 has Uranus entering Taurus. This may mark a period of change which could involve currencies, rates and banks.
The key Astro activity over the next couple of
weeks include three planets changing direction. This often creates a climate of
confusion and change.
April
15 Mercury turning to Direct
motion
New Moon
This may mark a
change in the general market trend.
Mercury turning direct can be a change in trend.
This one will be followed by Heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius.
A move in precious metals and exaggerated moves in other markets (cude?)
Mercury turning direct can be a change in trend.
This one will be followed by Heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius.
A move in precious metals and exaggerated moves in other markets (cude?)
April
17th Saturn turning
Retrograde
Watch
for further geophysical events in mid April.
This
retrograde relates to contraction, caution, fear and pessimism
This
may reverse a short term move up.
Heliocentric
Mercury will be in Sagittarius from April 17 to April 27.
Heliocentric Mercury
in Sagittarius can be beneficial for Gold
April 18 Sun conjunct Uranus
Potential surprise change
Potential surprise change
April
22 Pluto Retrograde.
Often
at the time of a major reversal in the US market.
This often marks a period of change.
April 23 Mars
conjunct Vesta (heliocentric)
Often
is a reversal of a short term move up.
April
25 Mercury square Saturn
Depressing
thought, communication and problems with short term moves.
April
26 Mars conjunct Pluto
While Mars is the planet of
aggression and war, Pluto rules the principle of power to break things down and
then rebuild. There is also a possible problem with destruction and loss.
The 15 day sma on the SP500
chart is moving down. The 15 day sma is also below the 45 day sma which is also
rolling over. Price is above the15 and below the 45 day sma. This is a negative
setup. We will be starting the retrograde and direct Planet movement this week.
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week) on Feb 9th.
- 9
month cycle
- 9
year
- 5
week.
The Primary Cycles
If the SP500 is retesting the
Feb 9th low and moves lower we may see a more dramatic move over the
next few weeks as suggested above. War like activity is going to have a
negative effect of stocks but probably a beneficial effect on precious metals.
I’m looking for a more dramatic
move in mid-July where we have Pluto conjunct the helio nodes of Pluto. This is
the second of a 3-pass. This is also getting close to a lunar and solar
eclipses.
On a shorter term basis I track
a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle which will be due April 26.
9 Year Cycle
As an example of the DJIA
following is a weekly chart of the Dow Jones and the 9 year cycle. As we’ve
said many times longer term coming due often distorts the faster moving cycles.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9 month
or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have formed in
late January. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines). Any
green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles.
The 3.8 – 4 Year
The above weekly chart of the
SP500 shows the synodic cycle for Mars
and Vesta. The red circles are the conjunction of the two and the green
double arrows are the middle of the cycle. These are the heliocentric aspects
(Sun centered).
Note how the conjunction is
often at a top with a quick decline. The next Mars / Vesta conjunction is April 23,
2018. If we start to move up into
that date it may indicate a turn down.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
Feb 25 Papua New Guinea 7.5
Mar 6 Papua New Guinea 6.7
Mar 8 Papua New Guinea 6.8
Mar 24 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Mar 24 Southeast Indian Ridge 6.3
Mar 25 Indonesia 6.4
Mar 26 Papua New Guinea 6.6
Mar 29 Papua New Guinea 6.9
Apr 2 Bolivia 6.8
Apr 7 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Apr 10 Chile 6.2
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now,
the 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles.
In May Uranus will enter Taurus. Look for financial or banking system
problems or changes. Uranus will go retrograde and then move backward into
Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may also be a problem in currencies
and rates.
Generally speaking the next
couple of months of 2018 should be volatile. I am expecting more earthquakes and other geophysical activity.
The above combination, with
Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population,
particularly the mature population (pensions?) and with the Sun could affect
the President or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years
in the future as Saturn is in a sign for approx. 2 ½ years. Other conditions
this may highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in
general. State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to
metals and mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily
chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price
line (green). Both of these price lines have a history of providing support and
resistance.
When the two lines
cross we often see a big range day or reversal. Note how price went down and
stopped on the Sun / Earth Price Line. There was a another big range day on
April 6th.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for short term turns. The
brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the following daily chart. The
blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The last hit was March 29, 2018 and was a big range day. The next dates are May 14, 2018
then June 27th. I
have added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn
– black
-
Uranus
– purple
-
Neptune
- light blue
Note
the date, Feb 9th, 2018
was the day of the low and a big range day.
These price
lines can act as support / resistance. It has been at highs and lows. Note also
when they cross often gets a reaction in price on a short-term basis. Also
note, near the top of the chart is a light blue line. This is the Neptune Price
Line. Note how it has been strong resistance to price but has broken through.
It should act as strong support when the market turns down.
Gold
Gold started a new
Primary cycle on December 12. We are
entering the 17th week of a Primary
cycle. Watch Gold closely here, we may have just put in a shortened Primary
cycle or Gold is preparing to move down into the Primary cycle trough. The 18
week low is the week of April 16 and April 17, 18 possible reversal dates.
Gold
has been moving up as the US$ has moved down. It was / is important for Gold to
stay above 1309.
Gold
briefly moved above the Jan 25 high but quickly fell back. With the forecast of
additional violence and on-going war like activity in the mid-East and other
locals I expect precious metals to move up. As mentioned above heliocentric
Mercury moving into Sagittarius is often a sign for a strong move in Gold.
Price
has just moved above the 15 and 45 day sma. The 15 sma and 45 day sma have been
moving flat / sideways since January.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle
is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still early in the latest 7.4
year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being May 7,
2018. The Moon takes 27 days to
orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold has been moving
sideways since January 2018 and have found both resistance and support at the
Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below
the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the darker
red Mars price line. It may hit resistance. Price went through the next Mars price
line and is just above it.
The 27cd cycle (Blue vertical
line) showed a turn on April 9th. The next 27 cd cycle is May 7th..
I
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note
price went down to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The small blue x’s show when heliocentric
Mercury moves through Sagittarius.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this
using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The last
date was March 17.. These can be at highs or lows. Dec 8 was Mars entering
Scorpio the sign that it rules. Note on
the chart, Mars changing signs, to any sign, often has a change in trend in
Gold price.. The last red circle shows Mars entering Sagittarius on January 26th. The next sign was
Mars entering Capricorn on March 17th.
Expect a change in trend. Then mark down May 15th as the next time Mars changes signs. This is
one day before Uranus changes signs and enters Taurus.
Crude
We were looking at February 9th as being the trough of the
Primary cycle. We are entering the 9th week. Crude price has moved above
the 45 day sma and the 15 day sma and is
now above the January 25th high.
There are many issues with
Crude. The new Shanghai crude exchanged opened on March 26. This should have a
negative effect of the Petrodollar (US Dollar) and possibly cause the US to
lose it’s status as the world’s reserve currency. Watch this over the next few
weeks / months. As Crude is sold in Yuan, purchasers are given the option to
exchange Yuan to Gold. Yes there is a relatively new Gold exchange as well.
They sell physical Gold rather than paper Gold as is often the case in the US.
With open hostilities in Syria I’m expecting a
move up in crude and precious metals.
The next couple of weeks should be very interesting but the
outlook through June looks testy to say the least.
The horizontal blue lines on the
chart below are the average longitude of
the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue). Note how
price stopped on August 1 and August 31,
right on the average longitude. See it again on Sept 14 and Jan 16, 2018 which was also a 27 cd (calendar
day’s).
Watch the blue planetary
averages.
On the following daily chart of Crude
note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the Sun/Earth. The
blue lines moving horizontal is the Pluto price line (blue). The Pluto price
line acted as support on March 1st and 2nd
and again on March 9th, although on March 9th crude
made a strong move during the day.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We often get big range days when the
two lines cross, like October 27th.and Nov 22 and recently March 23rd.
Crude has moved up to the next
Pluto price line. Watch crude early next week for a move up. Note the Sun/Earth
and Pluto price lines cross on April 17th. This is also the date of
Saturn turning retrograde. Expect changes.
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