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SP500
We are entering the 16`th week of a Primary
cycle which started on Feb 9, 2018. We may have seen the nominal 6th week trough on April 2nd. We have
been in a strong congestion period. Nevertheless, we should be looking
for the end of the current Primary cycle (the nominal 18-week cycle). 18 weeks
is pointing to the week of June 11 but remember it could land between 15 weeks
and 21 weeks, the typical range for a Primary cycle that is coming due.
There is also a 9-year cycle due
although the current nominal 7-year cycle may have expanded into the 9-year
cycle.
The current 4 year cycle for the SP500 started on Feb 11, 2016. We should be looking for a 15.5 month cycle low.
There are typically 3 - 15.5 month cycles in the 4 year cycles.
The 4 year may have 3 -15.5 month cycles and / or 2 - 23 month cycles
(a half cycle).
For the SP500
The following weekly chart of
the SP500 shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the ½ cycle of 23 months (red).
For the DJIA
The following weekly chart of
the DJIA shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the 15.5 month (red). There are
approx. 3 - 15.5 month in the Primary cycle.
The Primary cycle that started on Feb
9th may form an ending trough near the middle of June.
We may be trending down into a
low in that mid June timeframe. Some dates for June which could kick off the
Primary cycle are.
June 14 Venus square
Uranus
June 16 – 18 Uranus semi-square
Neptune
Neptune
retrograde
June 21-22 Venus opposition
Mars
June 23 Mercury
opposition Pluto
June 26 Mars retrograde
June 27 Sun opposition
Saturn
I’m looking for a Primary cycle
low in the last half of June.
In July there will be 3 powerful
eclipses
July 12 Solar
Partial Eclipse
July 27 Total
Lunar Eclipse
Aug 11 Solar Partial Eclipse.
Starting now be prepared for more serious events from now through
July 2018. These could be violent events in the mid-East and events involving
Russia, China and the US. This may involve Syria and quite possibly other war
like activity in Pakistan and India.
We may also see increased
earthquakes and volcanic activity. North Korea does not appear to be a major problem.
In addition transiting Saturn is opposing
Trump’s natal Mercury this week. This can result in confused thought or worry.
It’s a function of the nerves that is affected. This is a signature which would
fit well with Trump being interrogated by Mueller.
The 15 day sma is below price
and above the 45 day sma. The 15 day sma is moving up while the 45 day sma is
flat.
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week trough) around mid to the end of June.
- 9
month cycle
- 9
year
- 5
week.
The Primary Cycles
The SP500 seems to be weakening.
It hit the 38.2%, starting on May 14th and has since been moving
down.
If the SP500 is going to retest the
Feb 9th low and move lower we may see a more dramatic move over the
next few weeks. War like activity is going to have a negative effect on stocks
but probably a beneficial effect on precious metals.
On a shorter term basis I track
a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle which will be due May 3rd. The 27 cd cycle is the
red vertical lines.
9 Year Cycle
As an example of the DJIA
following is a weekly chart of the Dow Jones and the 9 year cycle. As we’ve
said many times longer term cycles coming due often distorts the faster moving cycles.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have
formed in late January. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical
lines). Any green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
Feb 25 Papua New Guinea 7.5
Mar 6 Papua New Guinea 6.7
Mar 8 Papua New Guinea 6.8
Mar 24 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Mar 24 Southeast Indian Ridge 6.3
Mar 25 Indonesia 6.4
Mar 26 Papua New Guinea 6.6
Mar 29 Papua New Guinea 6.9
Apr 2 Bolivia 6.8
Apr 7 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Apr 10 Chile 6.2
Apr 19 Prince Edward Island 6.0
May 5 Tajikistan 6.2
May 5 Papua New Guinea 6.0
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Japan and Hawaii.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now,
the 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
In follow up to Uranus above.
Uranus will go retrograde and
then move backward into Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may
also be a problem in currencies and rates.
The above combination, with
Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population,
particularly the mature population (pensions?) and with the Sun could affect
the President or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years
in the future as Saturn is in a sign for approx. 2 ½ years. Other conditions
this may highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in
general. State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to
metals and mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily
chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price
line (green). Both of these price lines have a history of providing support and
resistance.
When the two lines
cross we often see a big range day or reversal. Note how price went down and
stopped on the Sun / Earth Price Line. There was a another big range day on
April 6th. The red square is the Jupiter / Neptune trine. This has a
history of changes in trend in the US markets and specifically crude which has
started down.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for short term turns. The
brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the following daily chart. The
blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The last hit was March 29, 2018 and was a big range day. The next dates are June 27th
then August 10th I
have added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn
– black
-
Uranus
– purple
-
Neptune
- light blue
Note,
on May 14 price moved up and was stopped at the Neptune price line (light
blue).
Note
the date, Feb 9th, 2018
was the day of the low and a big range day. Note the recent dates. The Neptune
Price Line (light blue) is acting as resistance.
These
price lines can act as support / resistance. It has been at highs and lows.
Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in price on a short-term basis.
Also note, near the top of the chart is a light blue line. This is the Neptune
Price Line.
The following daily chart of the DJIA shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel.
Gold
Gold started a new
Primary cycle on December 12. From December
12 we are entering the 23rd week of
a Primary cycle. It is possible we just put in a Primary cycle low on May 21st.
Watch
Gold closely here, we may have put in a shortened
Primary cycle on March 1 or we are in the process of putting in a Primary
cycle low in Gold now (i.e. May 21st)
Gold
is being affected by movement in the US$ and the Yuan.
The
blue vertical lines are the 40 trading day cycle.
Gold
was in a brief congestion period. Since Gold broke below 1309, watch for resistance
around 1322.
Watch
for Gold to make a move higher in the coming week.
Price has
moved below the 15 and below the 45 day sma although it briefly touched it on
Friday. The 15 sma and 45 day sma have crossed and appeared to roll over last
week.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle
is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still relatively early in
the latest 7.4 year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being June 4,
2018. The Moon takes 27 days to
orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold has been moving
sideways since January 2018 and have found both resistance and support at the
Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below
the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the darker
red Mars price line. It may hit resistance. Price did not go through the next
Mars price line. Last week it bounced off the Mars price line. Gold found
support at the current Mars price line at 1285.10.
The small x’s on the chart show
when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note
price went down to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this using
+- 3 td’s (trading days). The last date was
May 15. These can be at highs or lows. Dec 8 was Mars entering Scorpio the
sign that it rules. Note on the chart,
Mars changing signs, to any sign, often has a change in trend in Gold price.. The
last red circle shows Mars entering Sagittarius on January 26th. The next sign was Mars entering Capricorn on
March 17th. Expect a
change in trend. Then mark down May 15th
as the next time Mars changes signs. This may mark a high or a low. This is one
day before Uranus changes signs and enters Taurus. Mars will change signs again
on August 10th.
The Jupiter trine Neptune
mentioned above on May 25th has a history of occurring at Primary
crests and troughs +- 10 td’s. We are obviously close to a trough.
Similar to the SP chart this is a daily chart for Gold showing 2 envelope channels and potential buy and sell points.
Similar to the SP chart this is a daily chart for Gold showing 2 envelope channels and potential buy and sell points.
Crude
We were looking at February 9th as being the trough of the
Primary cycle. We are entering the 15th week. Crude price has moved below both
the 45 day sma and 15 day sma . This looks
like the crest of the Primary cycle. I’m expecting a move down from here. This
is right on the Jupiter / Neptune
trine, the co-rulers of crude.
There are many issues with
Crude. The new Shanghai crude exchanged opened on March 26. This should have a
negative effect of the Petrodollar (US Dollar) and possibly cause the US to
lose it’s status as the world’s reserve currency. Watch this over the next few
weeks / months. As Crude is sold in Yuan, purchasers are given the option to
exchange Yuan to Gold. Yes there is a relatively new Gold exchange as well.
They sell physical Gold rather than paper Gold as is often the case in the US.
The vertical blue lines on the following chart are the average
planetary longitude for the planets Jupiter through Pluto. Note price moved up
and touched this line on April 19th and May 4.Do we go up from here or hit resistance
around the May 25th high? Watch the blue planetary averages.
On the following daily chart of Crude
note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the Sun/Earth. The
blue lines moving horizontal are the Pluto price lines (blue). The Pluto price
line acted as support on March 1st and 2nd
and again on March 9th, although on March 9th crude
made a strong move during the day.
Price has been moving up earlier
in the week but started down and stopped at the Pluto price line (blue). I
suspect we will move through the Pluto price line early this coming week.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We often get big range days when the
two lines cross, like October 27th.and Nov 22 and recently March 23rd.
and May 11th.
May 25 has both Jupiter and Neptune in a trine. These planets are
the 2 rulers of crude, and may have a positive effect on crude or at least a
change in trend at that time. This is a peaceful signature but remember we
still have Mars / Uranus aspects that are active.
