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SP500
We are entering the 13th week of a Primary cycle
which started on Feb 9, 2018. We may have seen the nominal 6th week trough on April 2nd. We
are in a surprising move up starting on May 3rd, a strong Doji. The
6 and 9 ½ weeks are sub cycles of the
Primary cycle.
There is also a 9-year cycle due
although the current nominal 7-year cycle may have expanded into the 9-year cycle.
The current 4 year cycle for the SP500 started on Feb 11, 2016. We should be looking for a 15.5 month cycle low.
There are typically 3 - 15.5 month cycles in the 4 year cycles.
The 4 year may have 3 -15.5 month cycles and / or 2 - 23 month cycles
(a half cycle).
For the SP500
The following weekly chart of
the SP500 shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the ½ cycle of 23 months (red).
For the DJIA
The following weekly chart of
the DJIA shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the 15.5 month (red). There are
approx. 3 - 15.5 month in the Primary cycle.
The Primary cycle that started on Feb
9th may form an ending trough near the middle of May or
June.
The last couple of blog post had
the Mercury retrograde dates and
possible turns.
Those dates were:
Mercury Retrograde March 22
Inferior Conjunction April 1st
(watch April 2)
Mercury Direct April 15th (watch April
16)
There was one more date, May 3. This is the date Mercury returns
to the place it went retrograde.
The May 3 date was a strong Doji
then a big up day.
Starting now be prepared for more serious events from now through
June 2018. These could be violent events in the mid-East and events involving
Russia, China and the US.. This may involve Syria and quite possibly other war
like activity in Pakistan and India. We may also see increased earthquakes and
volcanic activity. North Korea does not appear to be a problem.
Another interesting date may be May 14.
May 14 1948 was the "Declaration
of the Establishment of the State of Israel"
May 14, 2018 is 70 years from May 14, 1948. 70 years is a recurring bible cycle. I’m no expert
in Bible studies.
May 12 Mercury squared Mars
Quarrelsome thoughts,
quarrels and debates, critics, malice, hasty action perhaps before thought.
May 13 Mercury conjunct Uranus
Revolutionary thoughts,
nerves, practical and original, logic
May 15 Uranus enters Taurus
This is a longer term event.
Uranus takes approx..84 years for one orbit of the Sun or 7 years in each
sign. While Uranus is in Taurus look for natural religions coming back. This
can also represent changes to the financial systems, banks, currency and rates.
This time period could see the advent of a new monetary source. Watch the Yuan
vs the US buck as well.
May 16 Mars squared Uranus
A
sudden event, exciting action and possible bloody injury.
In addition transiting Saturn is opposing
Trump’s natal Mercury this week. This can result in confused thought or worry.
It’s a function of the nerves that is affected. This is a signature which would
fit well with Trump being interrogated by Mueller.
Also watch May 18 and 21 for a
possible reversal. Looking forward July 27, 2018 could be a nasty time +- 1
week.
The 15 day sma on the SP500
below chart is fairly flat although curling up.. Price is above the15 and 45 day sma, a positive setup.
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week) on Feb 9th.
- 9
month cycle
- 9
year
- 5
week.
The Primary Cycles
The SP500 seems to be reversing up,
starting on May 3rd as mentioned above.
If the SP500 is going to retest the
Feb 9th low and move lower we may see a more dramatic move over the
next few weeks. War like activity is going to have a negative effect on stocks
but probably a beneficial effect on precious metals.
I’m looking for a more dramatic
move in mid-June (June 21, 2018) where we have Pluto conjunct the heliocentric
nodes of Pluto. This is the second of a 3-pass. This is also getting close to a
lunar and solar eclipses. More on the eclipses in a future post. Mid July may
be another dramatic event.
On a shorter term basis I track
a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle which will be due May 3rd. The 27 cd cycle is the
red vertical lines.
9 Year Cycle
As an example of the DJIA
following is a weekly chart of the Dow Jones and the 9 year cycle. As we’ve
said many times longer term coming due often distorts the faster moving cycles.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have
formed in late January. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical
lines). Any green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
Feb 25 Papua New Guinea 7.5
Mar 6 Papua New Guinea 6.7
Mar 8 Papua New Guinea 6.8
Mar 24 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Mar 24 Southeast Indian Ridge 6.3
Mar 25 Indonesia 6.4
Mar 26 Papua New Guinea 6.6
Mar 29 Papua New Guinea 6.9
Apr 2 Bolivia 6.8
Apr 7 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Apr 10 Chile 6.2
Apr 19 Prince Edward Island 6.0
May 5 Tajikistan 6.2
May 5 Papua New Guinea 6.0
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Japan and Hawaii.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now,
the 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
In follow up to Uranus above.
Uranus will go retrograde and
then move backward into Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may
also be a problem in currencies and rates.
The above combination, with
Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population,
particularly the mature population (pensions?) and with the Sun could affect
the President or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years
in the future as Saturn is in a sign for approx. 2 ½ years. Other conditions
this may highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in
general. State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to
metals and mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily
chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price
line (green). Both of these price lines have a history of providing support and
resistance.
When the two lines
cross we often see a big range day or reversal. Note how price went down and
stopped on the Sun / Earth Price Line. There was a another big range day on
April 6th.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for short term turns. The
brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the following daily chart. The
blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The last hit was March 29, 2018 and was a big range day. The next dates are May 14, 2018
then June 27th. I
have added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn
– black
-
Uranus
– purple
-
Neptune
- light blue
Note
the date, Feb 9th, 2018
was the day of the low and a big range day.
These price
lines can act as support / resistance. It has been at highs and lows. Note also
when they cross often gets a reaction in price on a short-term basis. Also
note, near the top of the chart is a light blue line. This is the Neptune Price
Line.
Gold
Gold started a new
Primary cycle on December 12. From December
12 we are entering the 21st week of
a Primary cycle. Watch Gold closely here, we may have put in a shortened Primary cycle on March 1 or
Gold is preparing to move down into the Primary cycle trough now. I’ve been looking for a rise of Gold and
Silver into mid-May. Gold is being affected by movement in the US$ and the
Yuan.
The
blue vertical lines are the 40 trading day cycle.
Gold
has been moving up as the US$ has moved down. It was / is important for Gold to
stay above 1309. In addition, watch for support / resistance around 1322, the
April 6 low.
Gold
briefly moved above the Jan 25 high but quickly fell back. With the forecast of
additional violence and on-going war like activity in the mid-East and other
locals I expect precious metals to move up.
Price
has moved above the 15 and below the 45 day sma. The 15 sma and 45 day sma have
crossed and appear to be rolling over, however, it was a big range day for
Gold.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle
is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still relatively early in
the latest 7.4 year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being May 7,
2018. The Moon takes 27 days to
orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold has been moving
sideways since January 2018 and have found both resistance and support at the
Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below
the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the darker
red Mars price line. It may hit resistance. Price did not go through the next
Mars price line. Last week it bounced off the Mars price line
The small x’s on the chart show
when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. Mercury is now exiting helio
Sagittarius. This may be marking the beginning
of a move up.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note
price went down to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this
using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The last
date was March 17. These can be at highs or lows. Dec 8 was Mars entering
Scorpio the sign that it rules. Note on
the chart, Mars changing signs, to any sign, often has a change in trend in
Gold price.. The last red circle shows Mars entering Sagittarius on January 26th. The next sign was
Mars entering Capricorn on March 17th.
Expect a change in trend. Then mark down May 16th as the next time Mars changes signs. This may
mark a high. This is one day before Uranus changes signs and enters Taurus.
Crude
We were looking at February 9th as being the trough of the
Primary cycle. We are entering the 13th week. Crude price has moved above both
the 45 day sma and 15 day sma and is now
above the January 25th high. This is as high as Crude has been since
2014.
There are many issues with
Crude. The new Shanghai crude exchanged opened on March 26. This should have a
negative effect of the Petrodollar (US Dollar) and possibly cause the US to
lose it’s status as the world’s reserve currency. Watch this over the next few
weeks / months. As Crude is sold in Yuan, purchasers are given the option to
exchange Yuan to Gold. Yes there is a relatively new Gold exchange as well.
They sell physical Gold rather than paper Gold as is often the case in the US.
Crude has moved up but may be peaking.
The vertical blue lines on the following chart are the average
planetary longitude for the planets Jupiter through Pluto. Note price moved up
and touched this line on April 19th and May 4.Do we go up from here or hit resistance
around the May 4th high. I suspect we are going to break through. Watch
the blue planetary averages.
On the following daily chart of Crude
note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the Sun/Earth. The
blue lines moving horizontal are the Pluto price lines (blue). The Pluto price
line acted as support on March 1st and 2nd
and again on March 9th, although on March 9th crude
made a strong move during the day.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We often get big range days when the
two lines cross, like October 27th.and Nov 22 and recently March 23rd.
Next date is May 11th and crude reversed.
May 25 has both Jupiter and Neptune in a trine. These planets are
the 2 rulers of crude, and may have a positive effect on crude or at least a
change in trend at that time. This is a peaceful aspect.
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