SP500
We are entering the 22nd week of a Primary cycle which
started on Feb 9, 2018. We have been in a strong congestion period. Nevertheless, we should be looking for the
end of the current Primary cycle (the nominal 18-week cycle).
We could also be entering the 2nd week of a new Primary
cycle which started June 28. This is
just 2 days away from Mercury going retrograde.
From last week:
“I’m expecting the Primary cycle low in the last week of June or 1st week in July. I’m looking
at June 26 where Mars turn retrograde. This has a history of occurring close
to Primary cycle troughs. Look at June 26 +- 7 td’s. (trading days). The
current Primary cycle may be forming a trough now.”
The current 4 year cycle for the SP500 started on Feb 11, 2016. Check our notes from last month.
These markets have become very
difficult to decipher.
The 4 year may have 3 -15.5 month cycles and / or 2 - 23 month cycles
(a half cycle).
For the SP500
The following weekly chart of
the SP500 shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the ½ cycle of 23 months (red). These
show the next 4 year cycle trough will be in the August 2019 to February 2020
+- a number of months at this point.
For the DJIA
The following weekly chart of
the DJIA shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the 15.5 month (red). There are
approx. 3 - 15.5 month in the Primary cycle.
I’m looking for a Primary cycle
low in the last week of June. or 1st week in July.
At the time of writing it
appears the Primary cycle may have ended on June 28 but needs confirmation
In July there will be 3 powerful
eclipses
July 12 Solar
Partial Eclipse
This one could
be nasty. I’ll try and do a separate summary of the eclipses.
July 27 Total
Lunar Eclipse
Aug 11 Solar Partial Eclipse.
Starting now be prepared for more serious events from now through
July 2018. These could be violent events in the mid-East and events involving
Russia, China and the US. This may involve Syria and quite possibly other war
like activity in Pakistan and India.
We may also see increased
earthquakes and volcanic activity. North
Korea and the USA had their meeting on June
12th. Wait and see the results. As I pointed out some time ago
North Korea will probably not be a problem in 2018 according to Astrology.
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week trough)
- 9
month cycle
- 9
year
- 5
week.
The Primary Cycles
The SP500 continued to move up
until June 13th. I’m looking for this to move down in the next two
weeks. One of the aspects on June 18 is Neptune Retrograde. This often appears
as a basing pattern where there may be one or two bottom moves rather than a
sharp move lower.
Price has moved above the 15 day
sma and still above the 45 day sma. The 15 day sma is above the 45 day sma. The
averages may be rolling over.
On a shorter term basis I track
a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle which will be due July 16th.
The 27 cd cycle are the red
vertical lines. The 27 cd was a short term low.
The blue squares on the chart
show the Mars / Uranus squares. The last blue square was exact on May 16th and due to
retrograde motion will be exact again on August
1, 2018 then Sept 18, 2018. The
one black square is the semi-square of Uranus and Neptune, a long term
signature.
9 Year Cycle
As an example of the DJIA
following is a weekly chart of the Dow Jones and the 9 year cycle. As we’ve
said many times longer term cycles coming due often distorts the faster moving cycles.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have
formed in late January. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines).
Any green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
Feb 25 Papua New Guinea 7.5
Mar 6 Papua New Guinea 6.7
Mar 8 Papua New Guinea 6.8
Mar 24 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Mar 24 Southeast Indian Ridge 6.3
Mar 25 Indonesia 6.4
Mar 26 Papua New Guinea 6.6
Mar 29 Papua New Guinea 6.9
Apr 2 Bolivia 6.8
Apr 7 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Apr 10 Chile 6.2
Apr 19 Prince Edward Island 6.0
May 5 Tajikistan 6.2
May 5 Papua New Guinea 6.0
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Japan and Hawaii.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA shows the 15
year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The
15 year is due now, the 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example
of a longer term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind
they need a broad orb.
The above combination, with
Saturn in Capricorn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general
population, particularly the mature population (pensions?) and with the Sun
could affect the President or other leaders. This combination could affect a
number of years in the future as Saturn is in a sign for approx. 2 ½ years.
Other conditions this may highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and
disappointment in general. State assets could be affected as well as industries
connected to metals and mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily
chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price
line (green). Both of these price lines have a history of providing support and
resistance.
When the two lines
cross we often see a big range day or reversal.
The price lines cross
again on July 5th. July 6th saw a sharp move up.
This has a history of
changes in trend in the US markets and specifically crude which has started
down.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for short term turns. The
brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the following daily chart. The
blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The 2nd last hit was March 29, 2018 and was a big range day. The last on June 27 was a big
range day.
The next
dates are August 10th then Sept
25th. I have
added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn
– black
-
Uranus
– purple
-
Neptune
- light blue
Note,
on May 14 price moved up and was stopped at the Neptune price line (light
blue).
Note
the date, Feb 9th, 2018
was the day of the low and a big range day. Note the recent dates. The Neptune
Price Line (light blue) is acting as resistance.
These
price lines can act as support / resistance. It has been at highs and lows.
Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in price on a short-term basis.
Also note, near the top of the chart is a light blue line. This is the Neptune
Price Line.
Price
has recently found resistance on the black Saturn price line.
Notice price just broke
through the Saturn price line (the dark brown line). This may act as resistance
so watch for the fist few days of next week.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend. See the Sun / Neptune square is June 7,
2018.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. The selling may have started.
We are entering the difficult time mentioned
over the last few months.
From :The Book of Rules” circa 1928 for Uranus / Neptune aspects.
Suddenly incapacitated,
unconsciousness. Checkmated. Transition into the beyond. Crisis, dead persons.
Revolution. Watch for lies and disagreements.
Gold
Gold’s move lower two weeks ago was a surprise
was driven by the decision of the EU to keep interest rates at lows into next
year and EU quantitative easing will end his year.
The above gave a boost to the US$ and the drop
in precious metals was a result of it being largely priced in US$. Just a note;
China and Russia continue their hoarding of Gold.
Gold had started
a new Primary cycle on December 12. From December
12 we are entering the 30th week of
a Primary cycle. It is possible we just put in a Primary cycle low on May 21st which
would put us 7 weeks along. This is
a confusing situation as Primary cycles should not go along that far. It has
happened before but not often. Watch closely for a move higher next week. We
may have just seen Primary cycle trough
on July 3rd. Confirmation is required.
On occasion the Primary cycle can expend away
from it’s more normal 18 week length. This looks like one of them. I’m looking
for astrological aspects which have a history of changing the trend for Gold.
Mars turning retrograde on June 26th may be astrological aspect
which turns Gold. The chart has Gold looking to put in a Primary cycle low.
Gold is being affected by movement in the US$
and the Euro.
The blue vertical lines are the 40 trading day cycle which hits July 6th.
Seasonally Gold is usually flat over the early summer
months with a history of moving up starting in August.
Price is below the 15 sma and the 45 day sma. The
15 sma and 45 day sma have crossed and appeared to roll over last week.
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares
are the Sun square Neptune which often results in a short term change in trend.
We should be getting close to a buy.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being June 29,
2018. The Moon takes 27 days to
orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold has been moving
sideways since January 2018 and have found both resistance and support at the
Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below
the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the darker
red Mars price line. It may hit resistance. Price did not go through the next
Mars price line. Two weeks ago it bounced off the Mars price line.
The small x’s on the chart show
when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in
Gold.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note
price went down to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
We will come back to the Gold
Mars Signs in a few weeks.
Crude
We were looking at February 9th as being the trough of the
Primary cycle. We are entering the 21st week or we have just put in
Primary low and we are about to continue up. We would be entering the 4th week of a new Primary cycle. I
think we are 4 weeks along and in a new Primary cycle. It’s due for a pullback.
I’m leaning to June 18 being the trough of the Primary Cycle. This
was also the date Neptune turned retrograde. Neptune and Jupiter rule crude.
July 5 had the Sun trine Jupiter, another aspect affecting crude.
Crude price has moved above both
the 45 day sma and 15 day sma .
There are many issues with
Crude. The new Shanghai crude exchanged opened on March 26. This should have a
negative effect of the Petrodollar (US Dollar) and possibly cause the US to
lose it’s status as the world’s reserve currency. Watch this over the next few
weeks / months. As Crude is sold in Yuan, purchasers are given the option to
exchange Yuan to Gold. Yes there is a relatively new Gold exchange as well.
They sell physical Gold rather than paper Gold as is often the case in the US.
On Friday Crude was down as other commodities were also affected by the Euro
moves.
Crude started up on June 18 when
Neptune turned retrograde.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We often get big range days when the
two lines cross, like October 27th.and Nov 22 and recently March 23rd.
and May 11th. The next date these price lines cross is June 29th +- 3 td’s (trading
days).
Since you have been stating a low in late June or early July, I believe your readers including myself were expecting a "major low" at that time. SPX dropped to 2704 against only compared to 2550 on Feb. 9th and April 1st. Although it is a good call that the stock markets will dip around late June, it is still a far cry from the correction lows. Same goes for gold low call in late May.
ReplyDeleteI'm still waiting for a low. "Major Low" are your words.
DeleteDear Steve Rogo,Please stop promoting your blog at this forum.Have some respect,its rude to do this...
ReplyDeleteHi sir, it is time to sell S&P or still waiting?
ReplyDeleteI'm out around 2800.
DeletePlease read the piece on Eclipses last week. Events may indirectly effect the stock markets.
ReplyDelete