SP500
The alert issued a couple of
weeks ago was not as strong as I thought although it is still in range. The
markets did go down on July 25th but not as steep as I had thought. I was also
looking for a geophysical event or terrorist activity but nothing of lasting
strength occurred. This post will be a little shorter than usual as I recover
from surgery.
We should also be entering the 5th week of a new Primary cycle which
started June 28. This is just 2 days
away from Mars retrograde date. The Primary cycle often starts with a 6 week
cycle so we may be looking for a pullback next week. Note the last high on Jan
26th at 2872.87. This could
mark a high in the next few weeks.
As noted by a number of
Astrologers as of August 7th Uranus turns retrograde which results
in 6 of the traditional 9 planets in retrograde motion (backward, or appears to
be). It is unusual to have so many planets in apparent backward motion. By the
end of September Mercury, Mars, Saturn and Pluto will have changed to direct
motion. For those with a deeper interest in Astrology, Mars is Out Of Bounds
until early October.
The Primary Cycles
At the low of the Primary cycle
on June 28th price moved lower than the 15 or 45 day sma”s. The 45
day sma was lower than the 15 day sma. These are the minimum low for a Primary
cycle trough.
Price has now moved above the 15
day sma and above the 45 day sma. The 15 day sma is above the 45 day sma.
On a shorter term basis I track
a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle which will be due Aug 18th.
The 27 cd cycle are the red
vertical lines. The 27 cd was a short term low.
The blue squares on the chart
show the Mars / Uranus squares. The last blue square was exact on May 16th and due to
retrograde motion will be exact again on August
1, 2018 then Sept 18, 2018. The
one black square is the semi-square of Uranus and Neptune, a long term
signature.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have
formed in late January. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines).
Any green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
Feb 25 Papua New Guinea 7.5
Mar 6 Papua New Guinea 6.7
Mar 8 Papua New Guinea 6.8
Mar 24 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Mar 24 Southeast Indian Ridge 6.3
Mar 25 Indonesia 6.4
Mar 26 Papua New Guinea 6.6
Mar 29 Papua New Guinea 6.9
Apr 2 Bolivia 6.8
Apr 7 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Apr 10 Chile 6.2
Apr 19 Prince Edward
Island 6.0
May 5 Tajikistan 6.2
May 5 Papua New Guinea 6.0
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Japan and Hawaii.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now,
the 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for short term turns. The
brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the following daily chart. The
blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The 2nd last hit was March 29, 2018 and was a big range day. The last on June 27 was a big
range day.
The next
dates are August 10th then Sept
25th. I have
added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn
– black
-
Uranus
– purple
-
Neptune
- light blue
Note,
on May 14 price moved up and was stopped at the Neptune price line (light
blue).
Note
the date, Feb 9th, 2018
was the day of the low and a big range day. Note the recent dates. The Neptune
Price Line (light blue) is acting as resistance.
These
price lines can act as support / resistance. It has been at highs and lows.
Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in price on a short-term basis.
Also note, near the top of the chart is a light blue line. This is the Neptune
Price Line.
Notice price just broke
through the Saturn price line (the dark brown line). This may act as resistance
so watch for the fist few days of next week.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend. See the Sun / Neptune square is June 7,
2018.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. The selling may have started.
We are entering the difficult time mentioned
over the last few months.
From :The Book of Rules” circa 1928 for Uranus / Neptune aspects.
Suddenly incapacitated,
unconsciousness. Checkmated. Transition into the beyond. Crisis, dead persons.
Revolution. Watch for lies and disagreements.
The main path of this eclipse is as follows:
The eclipse starts in the eastern part of
Canada and crosses the ocean, all of Europe and most of China and Russia. This
eclipse shows a relationship to nuclear powers namely being the US and Russia.
China and Russia have been forging strong economic ties. Does something happen
at this eclipse or is it the beginning of some nuclear issue?
Gold
Gold’s move lower four weeks ago was a surprise
was driven by the decision of the EU to keep interest rates at lows into next
year and EU quantitative easing will end his year.
The above gave a boost to the US$ and the drop
in precious metals was a result of it being largely priced in US$. Just a note;
China and Russia continue their hoarding of Gold.
The Primary cycle in Gold has been difficult to
ascertain. There was a Primary cycle trough on Dec 12, 2017 but determining the
next Primary trough has been very difficult.
We may have seen a low on July 19th but it must be confirmed. This was where Mercury turned direct and Jupiter trined Neptune. These would be good
markers for a turn in Gold.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away
from it’s more normal 18 week length. This looks like one of them. I’m looking
for astrological aspects which have a history of changing the trend for Gold.
Mars turning retrograde on June 26th may be astrological aspect
which turns Gold. The chart has Gold looking to put in a Primary cycle low.
Seasonally Gold is usually flat over the early
summer months with a history of moving up starting in August.
The blue vertical lines are the 40 trading day cycle which hits July 6th.
Price is below the 15 sma and the 45 day sma. The
15 sma and 45 day sma have crossed and appeared to roll over.
The darker blue candlesticks show when
heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. This is often a time of volatility and
changes in trend for Gold.
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares
are the Sun square Neptune which often results in a short term change in trend.
We should be getting close to a buy.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being Aug 21,
2018. The Moon takes 27 days to
orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold has been moving
sideways and now down since January 2018 and have found both resistance and
support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect.
Moving below the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above
the darker red Mars price line. It may hit resistance. Price did not go through
the next Mars price line. Three weeks ago it bounced off the Mars price line.
The small x’s on the chart show
when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in
Gold.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note
price went down to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign.(red squares). The next date is August 10th
but Mars is going retrograde at that time and will move backward from Aquarius
to Capricorn. On September 11 Mars will re-enter Aquarius. On Nov 16 Mars moves
into Pisces.
Crude
Oil appears we have put in Primary low on June 18th and we are
about to continue up or a top is forming from which we recede. We would be
entering the 7th week of a new
Primary cycle. I think we are 6 weeks along and in a new Primary cycle. We got
the pull back we were looking for. Remember what I said about new Primary
cycles. There is often a pullback in the 2 to 4 week range. We may seeing this
pullback in crude.
I’m leaning to June 18 being the trough of the Primary Cycle. This
was also the date Neptune turned retrograde. Neptune and Jupiter rule crude.
July 5 had the Sun trine Jupiter, another aspect affecting crude.
Crude price was below the 15 and
45 day sma on June 18th.
There are many issues with
Crude. The new Shanghai crude exchanged opened on March 26. This should have a
negative effect of the Petrodollar (US Dollar) and possibly cause the US to
lose it’s status as the world’s reserve currency. Watch this over the next few
weeks / months. As Crude is sold in Yuan, purchasers are given the option to
exchange Yuan to Gold. Yes there is a relatively new Gold exchange as well.
They sell physical Gold rather than paper Gold as is often the case in the US.
On Friday Crude was down as other commodities were also affected by the Euro
moves.
Crude started up on June 18 when
Neptune turned retrograde.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We often get big range days. The next
day would be July 24th.
Welcome back sir. Mars will enter a new sign next week. Gold just rebounded from 1203 and closed at 1213. So should we go long here?
ReplyDeleteI'm watching Gold but not buying yet. There is a strong signature, Jupiter / Neptune and then Mercury Direct on August 19th. There are a couple a little earlier as well.
ReplyDeletewelcome back tradingdaze. glad to read you are ok.
ReplyDeleteThanks George.
ReplyDeleteI get to have my other eye poked on August 21st. I may miss reporting on Aug 25.
After that....smooth sailing.
Thanks so much for sharing all this information. Really much appreciated! "The following chart shows two daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares are the Sun square Neptune" ... I like these envelope channels. Could you please hint to how they are calculated? Thanks and regards. Mia
ReplyDeleteI will include a description of how envelope channels are calculated in the next post.
ReplyDeleteGreat! Many thanks in advance. Mia
Delete