Saturday, January 19, 2019

Financial Astrology - January 21, 2019



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Summary

SP500. It is possible the recent low was the 4 year low on December 24, 2018 or it is still forming. I’m now thinking of the 4 year being in front of us, perhaps near year end. See the chart below.

This does look like the Primary cycle low (18 week) on Dec 24.

If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn near February 11, 2019. This is the 33 week cycle.

See further down for the Jupiter square Neptune on January 13th.

Gold On the Gold chart we are in the 20th week of the Primary cycle started on Aug 6, 2018. If so, we should watch for a pull back for the Primary cycle low. Gold may be the trade of 2019.

Crude's  Crude started up on Dec 24. This should be the Primary cycle trough and we are entering the 3rd week.

SP500
The last Primary cycle trough started on June 28, 2018. We could and did have a secondary pull back, then a waterfall down move. The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th. We are currently in the 4th week of a new Primary cycle.

The Price moving averages, the 15 day sma is above price and price is above the 45 day sma.

The 15 day sma is curling up.

The recent move down was timing the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year) can distort the shorter term cycles (18 week). As noted above we may be seeing the 4 year cycle low later in the year.

September 21 seems to be the crest of the last Primary cycle and may be the cycle high for the 4 year cycle.

The following dates may have significant moves or start of a move. The following aspects are for a reverse in trend or large range day.

Jan 13             Jupiter square Neptune
                        Vulnerable to deception and fraud. Things that get overdone.
                        On the other hand can be Lucky, shortage of money
                        Credits and downgrades`
                        Due to retrograde motion this signature will be with us most of the year.

Jan 20             Venus Sesquisquare Uranus
                        Unstable displays of feelings.
                       
Jan 20             Venus square Neptune
                        Unstable feelings, blind spots.

Jan 21             Lunar eclipse
                        This Lunar eclipse is in Aquarius / Leo. Looking back to the previous Lunar                          eclipse on July 27. 2018 it was also on the Uranus / Leo axis. That was a period                          where the issue of children being separated from their parents. These issues                                          may appear again near the upcoming eclipse around Jan 21, 2019. Social justice                                    may be a recurring theme near the eclipse date.
                       
                        This is a powerful Fire / Air Lunar eclipse, it’s a SuperMoon and is directly                          overhead in Washington DC.
                        The Moon placement is almost conjunct the Uranian point “Vulcanus” . Vulcanus                         Is a Transneptunian Planet which stands for great power and potential. There                          maybe geophysical events. Vulcanus is close to volcanoes. Earthquake and                                           volcanoes  are possibilities. Watch Indonesia.
                       
                        This powerful Lunar eclipse is also a Supermoon meaning the Moon                                                     approx.. coincides with the closest distance that the Moon reaches to Earth                         in its elliptical orbit.

Jan 25             Mars trine Jupiter
                        Confidence and energy.

                        Like Mars square Saturn this signature effects Gold as well.
                       
Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but tends to overdoing things.

What will probably not be favorable will be Venus conjuncting both Saturn and Pluto in the week of February 18th.

Dates are a minimum +- 7 tds unless otherwise noted. On longer timed aspects a time frame will be included.




I was  looking for a turn near Jan 14 or Jan 18 but this did not occur.

Jan 18 may still result in a turn. See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.
If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn near February 11, 2019. This is the 33 week cycle.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)



The next hits are Feb 20, 2019 and April 10, 2019.

The 4 Year cycle



The above chart shows the 4 year (red). The last 4 year cycle trough was Feb 2016. The next 4 year cycle should be Dec 2019 +- 10 months. See the chart.

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. There was a significant earthquake in Alaska 4 weeks ago. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well. Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.



We are entering the difficult time mentioned over the last few months.

The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.


Other

Other cycles and Astrological events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.

The vertical black lines are the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs a wide orb.

The blue x’s show when heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius came from MMA and Timing Solutions.



2019 Eclipses

See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses.

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

Jan 6, 2019     Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019   Total Lunar                              134                              00Le51
July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37
July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019  Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.




Gold

Gold is 101 td (trading days) or 21 weeks away from the Primary cycle bottom on Aug 16, 2018.

This could be near the end of the 3nd 6 week cycle. The Primary cycle is approx. 18 weeks long and we are at the 21st week. We should see a Primary cycle trough in January 2019.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal 18 week length.

I’m looking for a crest in Gold in January 2019 (we may have just had it, and note heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius, just ended on January 17.

Gold has been forming a Cup and Handle pattern as follows.



This would be a more definitive formation if it was rising when entering the pattern.

Gold may be the best performing commodity in the first half of 2019. Look for a pull back before precious metals moves higher.

I’m expecting a pull back and then up.



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels. We may see a pullback near Jan 8. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being Dec 3, 2018. The next is Jan 28,t 2019. Note that price is moving up in the Mars price line (red).

The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.

The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius. That is where heliocentric Mercury is right now until Jan 16, 2019. That maybe where we get a pullback or turn.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign.(red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Aries and changes signs into Taurus on Feb 14, 2019.
This is just about 18 weeks so we may see a Primary cycle trough close to this date. Watch for geophysical activity around this timeframe.



Crude

Oil is recovering from a strong move down. The low on Dec 24 may be the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle low.

Price  broak through the 45 day sma and the 15 day is curling up.

On Jan 13 we have Jupiter square Neptune. Both are co-rulers of Pisces which rules crude amongst other things. As mentioned, this square will be seen off and on during 2019. Among other things this square can indicate a period where things get overdone including the price of crude.



This puts us entering week 4.

On the next chart note how price often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days.  The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.

Watch the green Sun price line and see if crude follows that price line up.



And finally, a weekly chart of crude showing a 17 / 34 month cycle. Red vertical lines. The 17 month cycle chart is shown below. Note the Fibonacci retracement at 23.6% or 59.41.










4 comments:

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  2. Late 2019 to early 2020. The period around Jan 12, 2020 looks particularly tense and explosive.

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