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Summary
We are entering
the summer period where interest and action in the markets and
financials in general usually dissipates somewhat. We will continue
with the weekly blog posts but the posts will be shorter than usual
with a couple of weekends off. I will get back to normal posts in
late August.
From last week:
“We have
arrived at the 2 weeks in August which should see a reversal in trend
or continuation of a move down.”
On August 18
Mars enters Virgo. This often equates to powerful market moves.
We have covered Mars changing signs in some detail. Following is a
daily chart of the SP500 and the red squares show when Mars entered a
new sign.
Specifically,
when Mars enters Virgo the markets have a history of sharp moves both
up and down. The next 3 charts show some history of Mars changing
signs into Virgo. See the days where there is a number of red x’s.
They are daily charts of the DJIA.
The blue squares
on the chart shows the Mars / Uranus trine which occurs on August 28
and also has a history of stock market turns.
So are we going
up or down, based on a review of the history of Mars entering
Virgo. A number of forecasters are looking for the markets to move
up. I'm looking for the stocks and Gold to move down. Mars
entering Virgo needs +_ 5 tds (trading Days). There is a lot of
geopolitical pressure between the USA President and the FED and FED
supporters.
For traders,
ensure you always have stop loss orders in place. Both buy and sell.
Looking at the
above I would say the markets may move lower, possibly to the end of
the month or early September. Aug 19 may be powerful moves in
the markets.
With so many
powerful aspects it is difficult to pick one date. The forces of the
aspects overlap. It should however, be very volatile where one can
make money or lose money fast. This does not mean I’ll answer the
many questions I receive. There’s not enough time in the day.
We may get
another war but I'm looking at September 9, 2020 and beyond
for a major war effort. That day Mars turns retrograde while
squaring the conjunction of Saturn / Pluto.
SP500
We are entering the 11th week of
a new Primary cycle which started on June 3, 2019. In the current
situation I am looking for a crest of the 9 week cycle which
may have already had on July 26. This would be the ½ Primary
cycle crest and down.
Looking at the
above summary, I would say the markets may move lower possibly to the
end of the month or early September. Aug 12 and Aug 19 (+- 5 tds) may
both be powerful moves in the markets. It should be volatile.
The potent Sun/
Mars conjunction will be in orb from now until the end of September.
This conjunction has a record of stock market reversals.
Following is an
up to date chart of the SP500. I am looking at a low in late August
or early September. This may change as aspects unfold in August.
Much of the
market’s movement will be due to the extent of the trade wars
between China and the US.
Watch the 2844
area for the SP500. On the following chart you can see 2844 is the
61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Jupiter
square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the
real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary.
This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or
early on 2020.
The Jupiter /
Neptune square is still in scope and the effects are still being
felt. The final exact square for Jupiter and Neptune is Sept 21.
Falsehoods should be prevalent. Don't beleve what you hear. The
Saturn / Pluto conjunction is also still in orb. Both will
come back to exact conjunction.
Gold
Gold is entering
the 12th week of the 18 week Primary cycle. This could be the
9 week cycle trough or ½ Primary cycle crest.
The Jupiter
going Direct signature on Aug 11 is often associated with crests
in gold prices..
The Uranus
Retrograde signature is also more frequently associated with
crests in gold.
Gold as well
should be affected by Mars entering Virgo. Again I'm looking
for this to turn Gold down. This also can be affected by geopolitical
events and the battles at the FED.
We may be headed
down but also watch for a big range day.
Crude's
We had the
Primary Cycle trough for crude oil on June 5th and
are entering the 9th week of a new
Primary cycle. Notice the green symmetrical triangle providing
support and resistance. Crude price quickly broke the bottom of the
symmetrical triangle. I’m looking for crude to move up and gain the
lower end of the symmetrical triangle.
Crude may be
quite volatile over the summer months and into the late summer (i.e.
Sept 21, 2019). Sept 21 is the last Jupiter / Neptune square. As
covered a number of times Jupiter and Neptune are co-rulers of crude
and should have an effect on crude prices near the Sept 21 date.
Obviously, the
price of crude will go up if relations with Iran worsen. I’m
expecting a rise in crude oil price by the fall timeframe.
Will China buy
crude from Iran?
Closer in time
crude price may rise short term at Aug 12 where Jupiter turns Direct
all +- 5 tds.
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