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Summary
The SP500 has been very volatile and is entering a period where volatility may increase. The days to watch are in the SP500 section. Venus and Neptune both turning Direct is a signal for a change in trend. I'm looking for a move up before month end.
Gold has just had a sharp move down on Nov 9th. This is the date Venus trine Mars . This trine has a history in moves in Gold. So does Mars sextile Uranus on Nov 15, Nov 16 has both Venus Direct and Mercury Retrograde. Nov 19 has Mars square Jupiter then Neptune Direct on Nov 24th. This looks like Gold will move up before month as well. This would be the result of a number of aspects.
Crude's Primary cycle appears to have shorten a bit. I'm looking for a low in Crude around December 3rd. Also watch Nov 24, Dec 5th
SP500
The last Primary cycle trough started
on June 28, 2018 and may have
completed it’s Primary cycle trough on Oct.
29, 2018. Please note, this is not definite and we could have a secondary
pull back so the Primary cycle trough is not firm yet. Markets should continue
to be volatile next week.
If that was the Primary cycle
low then we are in the second week
of a new Primary.
If the current Primary takes out
the Feb 9th, 2018 low at 2,532
we may be looking at a much larger drop. I’m bring this up as a possibility. I
think the low is in.
Price is above the 15 day sma
and below the 45 day sma . The 15 day average are curling up. We are in a
period of volatile congestion.
The recent move down was timing
the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year)
can distort the smaller term cycles (18 week).
September 21 seems to be the crest of the last Primary cycle and
may be the high for the 4 year cycle.
The following dates may have
significant moves or start a move. The following aspects are for a reverse in trend
or large range day. Watch Nov 16 through
Nov 19, I’m looking for another volatile week.
Nov 8 Jupiter enters Sagittarius
May
involve the start of inflationary periods.
FOMC
Nov 15 Mars sextile
Uranus as Mars enters Pisces
Signal
of a move or change in trend
Nov 16 Venus Direct
Signal
of a move or change in trend
Mercury Retrograde
Signal
of a move or change in trend
Nov 19 Mars square
Jupiter
Signal
of a move or change in trend
As usual dates are a minimum +-
3 tds. On longer timed aspects a time frame will be included.
The low of the day on Nov 9 was exactly on the 23.6% retracement. Notice we have a number of gaps. They are on the
SP500, DJIA and Nasdaq. Gaps tend to be filled meaning the markets would have
to move lower at some point to fill the gaps.
The following daily chart of the
SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the
basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic
chart we have shown for many months.
The next hits are Nov 13, 2018 and Jan. 2, 2019. The latter number is on the Uranus price line. Watch
closely. We also have the Mars (red) and
Jupiter (blue) crossing on Nov 14. Also watch for big moves or wide range
days.
Both could be big moves or big
range days.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have
formed in late October. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines).
Any green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles. The 20 week cycle was only 1 day away from
the sharp move down.
The next 40 week cycle is early February
2019.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
See the link under
“Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS.
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Japan and Hawaii.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now
or took place April – June 2018. The 45
year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
Regarding a note from a
reader the 45 year cycle is the ½ cycle to the 90 year cycle. It is the
vertical blue lines.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. Also note the dark blue
squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.
We are entering the difficult time mentioned
over the last few months.
The envelope channel charts are easy to
calculate. In the above case the blue lines are based on a 40 day average but
when they are plotted they are centered. For a 40 day it will be shifted by 20
days which is the ½ cycle.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.
I brought up Iran on the last
post. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is
getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.
4 Year
Other longer-term aspects like
the 4 year cycle are coming due. The
SP500 4 year cycle should be due in mid
to late 2019.
The Primary cycle top on Sept 21, 2018 at 2490.91 may have
been the top for the 4 year cycle. This is not confirmed.
Other
Another very long term cycle,
the 90 year, is potentially around 2022 +- a lot. More time is needed to
confirm this cycle. The ½ cycle to the 90, the 45 year ties into the 90 and is
due in the same time frame.
Gold
Gold is 59 td (trading days) away from the
Primary cycle bottom on Aug 16, 2018. This could be near the end of the 2nd
6 week cycle and possibly close to the 3rd 6, week cycle.
The Primary cycle in Gold has been difficult to
ascertain. There was a Primary cycle trough on Dec 12, 2017 but determining the
next Primary trough has been very difficult.
We may have seen a low on Aug 16th but it must be confirmed. This was 4 trading
days after the Lunar Eclipse on Aug 11.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away
from it’s more normal 18 week length.
I’m looking for astrological aspects which have
a history of changing the trend for Gold.
Mars changing signs into Pisces on Nov 15 has a history of moves in Gold.
So does Venus Direct on Nov 16, Mars sextile Uranus on Nov 15, Mars square Jupiter on Nov 19 and Mercury retrograde on Nov 16 as seen on the following chart.
Mars changing signs into Pisces on Nov 15 has a history of moves in Gold.
So does Venus Direct on Nov 16, Mars sextile Uranus on Nov 15, Mars square Jupiter on Nov 19 and Mercury retrograde on Nov 16 as seen on the following chart.
Seasonally Gold is usually flat over the early
summer months with a history of moving up starting in August.
Price is now just below the 15 sma and the 45
day sma. Gold price often pulls back 2 to 4 weeks after a new Primary cycle
commences and then continues with a move up. We are currently 59 td along.
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares
are the aspects duplicate the transits noted above.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last being Nov 6,
2018. The next is Dec 3rd.
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun
takes 27 days to revolve once at the
Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving
sideways and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The
darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line
was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive
sign for a move up in Gold which we got on Oct 11. Gold may follow the red,
Mars price line up. Watch closely.
Remember the list of aspects
that could affect Gold above.
The small blue x’s on the chart
show when heliocentric Mercury is in
Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury exits
heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign.(red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is moving
into Pisces on Nov 15th.
Crude
Oil appears we have put in Primary low on June 18th. I’m loking at
some longer term cycles and technical to get a handle on future direction.
Price is now lower than the June
18, 2018 low of the Primary cycle. This can be very telling for crude. Watch
this for a possible bear market starting in crude.
The vertical blue lines shows a
15 month cycle. The red Fibonacci retracement shows crude between the 38.2% and
50% retracement. The move down is often caught in this range.
Crude started up on June 18 when
Neptune turned retrograde.
The 38.2% retracement looks like
a possible bottom for this move down. Watch crude closely around 57.23.
On the next chart note how price
often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses
at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line. We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar
day) lines. Crude price is currently sitting on a Pluto price line (blue)
Watch the green Sun price line
and see if crude follows that price line up.
Lately the crude 15 month cycle has expanded. Following is a weekly chart of crude and a 17 month cycle. As seen this is almost due for a low.
The move for SP 500 would be up or down as you await for Nov15 to Nov19?
ReplyDeleteVolatile but up. Then down starting late Nov or early Dec. There are so many powerful aspects this forecast can change.
ReplyDeleteSir do you think that crude will bottom out near Dec 5 and move upwards after this date.
ReplyDeleteDec 5 is a good fit with the Sun in waning square to Neptune. The low could come in earlier near Nov 23 +- 5 tds.
ReplyDeletetoday is numerology date 11-11-2018=33. I have been reading about it online. it only occurs once maybe twice in a persons lifetime. I read it is usually a major turning point in peoples lives. how do you think it will effect society as a whole? anything is the planets to back it up?
ReplyDeleteI know a little numerology but unaware of this.
ReplyDeleteThere are strong Astros starting Nov 15 through the 19th, then again at month end.
Hi sir, what do u think gold now? Are you still holdin buy or ???
ReplyDeleteHolding and nervous. There are a number of Astrological aspects and events coming up from Nov 15 to Nov 19 that have a history of a change in trend in Gold as well as stocks.
ReplyDelete