Summary
SP500.
We are in the 16th
week of the Primary cycle which started Dec 24, 2018. We are looking for a
crest formation and a pullback low starting in the 2nd half of April or first
half of May. We could start down at any point. As mentioned, the markets are
volatile. Watch for a geophysical or
terrorist event.
The normal range for the Primary
circle is 15 – 21 weeks which would
be April 9 – May 20. The period
around April 22 or April 29th (Saturn
Retrograde) could mark the start of a move down or the week of May 13 – May 17th may be the trough of the
Primary cycle.
Volatility should continue in
April 2019 in particular. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes
from 2020 through 2023.
Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may
be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This
is magnified with Jupiter in Sagittarius and Neptune in Pisces, both in the
sign that they rule. There are also large debt problems in many countries,
companies and individuals. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation
coupled with the above debt problems. This may be pointing to serious financial
problems late 2019 or 2020. This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and coming up June
16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019.
Gold We either put the low in on March 7 or
we may have put in the trough in on April 23, the day after the Sun
was conjunct Uranus.
We are in week 22nd of the Primary cycle for Gold.
It is important for Gold to hold
near the 50% Fib retracement which is at 1273.02 to protect against a sharp
move lower. The timing is good for April 23 to be the Primary cycle low. This
would mean Gold should be going up
Crude's Crude
started up on Dec 24. We are
entering the 17th week of the
Primary cycle. I was looking for a move down and we are at a forming crest in
crude. We should be headed down.
From last weeks post:
“We may see some geophysical activity or some type of aggression in
April.” We certainly had that. We will fine tune any forecasts as we
approach each week.
SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We are
currently entering the 16th week of the
current Primary cycle. The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9
week sub-cycles.
The Price moving averages, the
15 day sma and the 45 day sma are both in strong positions and pointed up.
The 15 day sma is red, the 45
day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal
Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.
One can also use extended
retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I
also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6 and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6
The SP500 is approaching the Sept 21, 2018 all time high. This may act as resistance as we approach the $2,940.91 area. The April 26 close was
$2,939.98.
The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due May 20, 2019.
The above daily chart shows
upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.
Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week
Starting off this new month we
should see continued volatility with Uranus semi-square Neptune on May 1,
On the following chart are the 3
planets going retrograde.
Jupiter orange arrow pointed
left
Saturn blue arrow pointed left
Pluto red arrow pointed left
The green squares show Saturn
opposite the Moons North Node.
The vertical blue lines are the
65 week cycle which hits again on May 6,
2019.
The 65 week cycle is often at
highs then down.
Jupiter square Neptune will be
with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square
Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending,
inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could
be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter
can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things. Jupiter in Sagittarius
should emphasize banks, judge’s, barristers and the courts in general. This
would also cover major institutions like universities. Both Jupiter and Neptune
are in the signs they rule making them more natural and powerful.
When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we
should remember the effect of Jupiter
square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all
year and beyond.
There were 3 slow moving planets turning
retrograde this month. Just Saturn left as it turns retrograde on April 29th.
April
29 Saturn
Retrograde
Early
in the month Saturn will enter the 3rd Decan of Capricorn on April 4th.
Mercury.
Saturn
is another business planet. Here it is
at 20 degrees in Capricorn. Saturn and
business can be restrictive. Saturn tends to contraction, cautiousness and measures of protection.
If
the market is low late in April or early May it may be the time to buy.
Saturn
is about conservatism. Saturn rules farms and farming, mines and industries connected to metals and minerals. Also rules
over life threatening epidemics, state funerals, public
sorrow and disappointments.
In
addition to the Jupiter Retro there are two other dates close to the Jupiter Retro
Other pertinent Astro aspects early in May.
Aspects to the South node can be about may
be pointing to past actions which require attention now.
April
30 Saturn conjunct
the South Node.
Saturn
is restriction, serious events and business dealings. It is the executive branch of government, the state, public sorrow.
May 1 Uranus semi-square Neptune.
Powerful
planets with a weak aspect. Uranus is technology and sudden events while Neptune is illusion, secrets
and idealistic. Note above that the Sun conjuncts Uranus in Taurus.
Uranus
is also about airplanes and aviation industry.
May 2 Transiting Mars conjunct Natal
Mars of the USA Sagittarius Rising chart.
If you don’t you don’t have a
knowledge of Astrology this puts Mars in the 7th house of open enemies. Watch for some potential violence
or attack. +- a couple of days.
May 7 Venus
waxing square Saturn.
With a wide orb this aspect is
associated with Primary cycle, both crests and troughs.
May 9 Venus waxing square Pluto.
Strong correlation to stock market moves. When ever we have Venus in strong aspects look at stock market values and currencies. This could be many currencies.
Venus waxing trine Jupiter
Often associated with crests. This may be the crest we have been waiting for.
All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days)
See the Bradley Indicator at the
end of this section.
If the current volatility
continues watch for a cycle turn during the next 2 weeks.
The following daily chart of the
SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the
basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic
chart we have shown for many months.
The Jan 2 date was a big range
day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)
The next hits are May 24th, 2019 then July 9,
2019
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.” Watch closely for the next few weeks.
See the link under
“Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has
been picking up.
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Earthquakes
were in Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others and recently in Indonesia.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now
or took place April – June 2018. The 45
year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022
this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90
year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m
looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the
centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. Also note the dark blue
squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving
average.
I brought up Iran on the last
couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of
conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.Watch for
news from India and Pakistan as well.
Other
Other cycles and Astrological
events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.
The vertical black lines are
the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs
a wide orb.
The blue x’s show when
heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving
up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in
Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.
2019 Eclipses
See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses.
More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.
Date Eclipse Saros Cycle Sign
Jan 6, 2019 Solar
Partial 122 15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019 Total
Lunar 134 00Le51
July 2, 2019 Solar
Total 127 10Cn37
July 16, 2019 Partial
Lunar 139 24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019 Solar
Annular 132 4Cp6
The Bradley
Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer
Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market
Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and
inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called
"the Bradley". The
Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points
(where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or
SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.
It does not forecast or anticipate whether that
turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn
up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not
important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who
had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked
with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked
so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it
goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for
months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered)
but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.
In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a
siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually
do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective
attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock
averages"
So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are
trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways
The red line is the Bradley Indicator.
Gold
We are in the 22nd week of the Primary
cycle. The trough was either March 7th or it is the low on April 23th. Watch the 50.0%
Fibonacci level on the Gold chart, currently at 1273.02.
Gold has been in a trading zone
since late December 2018. I’m looking for Gold to break up or down. I’m
watching the Fibonacci levels at 38.2% and 23.6% as well as the 50% Fib. These
could act as support or resistance.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away
from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks. The Sun conjunct Uranus on April 22 was
very volatile and affect precious metals, Gold and Silver.
I’ve got a bullish view but the US$ has to
retreat.
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last being
April 17, 2019. The next is May
14, 2019.
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun
takes 27 days to revolve once at the
Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up
and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker
red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish
now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move
up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart
show when heliocentric Mercury is in
Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters
heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it is
based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the
next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Gemini and changes signs into Cancer
on May 15, 2019. Note the sharp move up.
Watch for geophysical activity
around this timeframe.
Crude
Oil is recovering from a strong
move down and now 17 weeks up and may have reached the crest of the Primary
cycle. The low on Dec 24 was the Primary
cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle low. I’m expecting crude to go
lower.
Price has broken through the 15
day sma. But not the 45 day sma yet. Averages are pointed up but the 15 day sma
is curling over.
The USA has asked that crude
prices be reduced…again
Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. April 10 +- 3 tds
may have been a strong change in trend for crude. Price has fallen back for a
couple of days.
Beyond affecting crude these two
planets have to do with illusions and delusions.
The Sun square Saturn is often a
strong price move in many market. Also Pluto is associated with Gold and crude,
basically things from the ground. Crude maybe affected on April 22 Sun conjunct
Uranus, April 24 Pluto retrograde and April 29 Saturn retrograde.
This puts us entering week 17 of the Primary cycle.
On the next chart note how price
often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses
at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar
day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.
Watch the green Sun price line
and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down
near the 40 day cycle like April 25th.
