Summary
SP500.
We are in the 15th week of the Primary cycle which
started Dec 24, 2018. We will start looking for a crest formation. Even with an
18 week cycle, the top is a process
and the trough an event.
The normal range would be 15 – 21 weeks which would be April 9 – May 20. With the bumpy road I
see coming up I expect the crest to be earlier than later. The period around April 29th or the week of May 13 – May 17th
may be the trough of the Primary cycle.
Volatility should continue in
April 2019 in particular. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes
from 2020 through 2023.
Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may
be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This
is magnified with Jupiter in Sagittarius and Neptune in Pisces, both in the
sign that they rule. There are also large debt problems in many countries,
companies and individuals. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation
coupled with the above debt problems. This may be pointing to serious financial
problems late 2019 or 2020. This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and coming up June
16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019.
Gold We either put the low in on March 7 or
we are putting in the trough to a Primary cycle low over the next 2 weeks. The
move up into mid-March was complete. We may see a move in precious metals or
currencies with heliocentric Mercury exiting
Sagittarius which is close to April 12.
We are in week 20th week of the Primary cycle.
Crude's Crude
started up on Dec 24. We are
entering the 15th week of the
Primary cycle. I was looking for a move down in Crude but with Jupiter and Neptune
active it may move up. The US is looking for a drop in pricing.
We may see some geophysical
activity or some type of aggression in April. We will fine tune any forecasts
as we approach each week.
SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We are
currently entering the 15th week of the
current Primary cycle. This is also 55 Fib along. The Primary cycle is
approx.18 weeks and is typically
composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles.
The Price moving averages, the
15 day sma and the 45 day sma are both in strong positions and pointed up. This
may be pointed to a Primary Cycle which is on the long side.
The 15 day sma is red, the 45
day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal
Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.
One can also use extended
retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I
also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6 and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6
The SP500 is approaching the Sept 21, 2018 all time high. This may act as resistance as we approach the $2,940.91 area.
The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due April 22, 2019. The other vertical line
is blue and a 144 td cycle next due April 19th. They are close.
The above daily chart shows
upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.
Light blue is the 40 week
Red is the 20 week
Light green 10 week
The month of April looks more
volatile with the potential for 3 changes in trend. April has 3 planets going retrograde. Jupiter turns retrograde on April
10th then Pluto and
Saturn. There are also a number of aspects involving the South Node of the
Moon which may be pointing to past actions which require attention now. It
should be noted these are 3 large,
slower moving planets. It will take a number of days around the exact date
to complete the planet moving retrograde.
On the following chart are the 3
planets going retrograde.
Jupiter orange arrow pointed
left
Saturn blue arrow pointed left
Pluto red arrow pointed left
The green squares show Saturn
opposite the Moons North Node.
The vertical blue lines are the
65 week cycle which hits again on May 6,
2019.
Jupiter square Neptune will be
with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square
Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending,
inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could
be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter
can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things.
When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we
should remember the effect of Jupiter
square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all
year and beyond.
There are 3 slow moving planets turning
retrograde this month as follows. This often results in more volatile markets.
These are slow moving planets. There effect is over a long period of time.
Jupiter and Saturn are the business planets so th retrograde periods may have
more of an effect in the financial markets.
April
10
Jupiter Retrograde
Jupiter is at
24 degrees Sagittarius and the 3rd Decan which is the Sun.
Jupiter
is the ruler of Sagittarius and is in a strong position here
Jupiter
is a business planet, that is finance, commerce and is the planet of capitalism.
Jupiter
also rules the law, the courts, religion, the Clergy and high courts. The justice system.
Watch
for favorable outcomes in the business world. Watch for issues to arrive that
deal with finance, debt and banks. These could signal a positive change or a negative one.
I
am looking at the early to mid April to be the time for a move up in the SP500.
April
24 Pluto
Retrograde
Pluto
is at 23 degrees of Capricorn. Pluto is in the 3rd decan which is Mercury. Watch for issues with short
term communication and transportation.
Pluto
is about change. This is sometimes radical. One should not fight a Pluto transit. The word is “go with the flow”. Pluto is power,
influence and as far as threats. What is coming is a very
powerful force that changes things that will not be changed back.
This
aspect, Saturn conjunct Pluto, will be exact in January 2020. I expect big market trouble around those dates
With
Mercury being the ruler of the 3rd Decan may emphasize commerce,
short term trading verses long term
investments.
April
29 Saturn
Retrograde
Early
in the month Saturn will enter the 3rd Decan of Capricorn on April 4th.
Mercury.
Saturn
is another business planet. Here it is
at 20 degrees in Capricorn. Saturn and
business can be restrictive. Saturn tends to contraction, cautiousness and measures of protection.
If
the market is low late in April or early May it may be the time to buy.
Saturn
is about conservatism. Saturn rules farms and farming, mines and industries connected to metals and minerals. Also rules
over life threatening epidemics, state funerals, public
sorrow and disappointments.
In
addition to the Jupiter Retro there are two other dates close to the Jupiter Retro
Other pertinent Astro aspects.
April
10 Sun squared Saturn
This can be a
powerful aspect often associated with crests and changes in trend.
April
14 Sun trine Jupiter
Possible
powerful cycle. This may point to a crest.
April
15 Venus square
Jupiter.
Looking
for a positive cycle high.
Jupiter
will be emphasized on April 14 and 15. Jupiter is still in Sagittarius, the sign
that it rules. Sagittarius is to do with the law, religion, philosophy and
science.
Any of those dates could mark a move in the
index.
Two days that may be difficult are:
Aspects to the South node can be about may
be pointing to past actions which require attention now.
April
4
Pluto conjunct the South Node
April
30
Saturn conjunct the South Node.
All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days)
See the Bradley Indicator at the
end of this section.
If the current volatility
continues watch for a cycle turn during the next 2 weeks.
The following daily chart of the
SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the
basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic
chart we have shown for many months.
The Jan 2 date was a big range
day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)
The next hits are May 24th, 2019 then July 9,
2019
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
See the link under
“Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been
picking up.
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well. Earthquakes
were in Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others and recently in Indonesia.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now
or took place April – June 2018. The 45
year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022
this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90
year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m
looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the
centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. Also note the dark blue
squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.
I brought up Iran on the last
couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict.
It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.Watch for news from
India and Pakistan as well.
Other
Other cycles and Astrological
events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.
The vertical black lines are the
20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs a
wide orb.
The blue x’s show when
heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving
up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in
Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.
2019 Eclipses
See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses.
More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.
Date Eclipse Saros Cycle Sign
Jan 6, 2019 Solar
Partial 122 15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019 Total
Lunar 134 00Le51
July 2, 2019 Solar
Total 127 10Cn37
July 16, 2019 Partial
Lunar 139 24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019 Solar
Annular 132 4Cp6
The Bradley
Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer
Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market
Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and
inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called
"the Bradley". The
Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points
(where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or
SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.
It does not forecast or anticipate whether that
turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn
up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not
important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who
had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked
with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked
so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it
goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for
months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered)
but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.
In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a
siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually
do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective
attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock
averages"
So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are
trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways
The red line is the Bradley Indicator.
Gold
We are in the 20th week of the Primary
cycle. The trough was either March 7th or it is forming. Watch the
38.2% Fibonacci level on the Gold chart, currently at 1295.20.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away
from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks It is possible that March 6 was the
Primary cycle trough. This would make the following weeks more positive.
Gold has been in a trading zone
since late December 2018. I’m looking for Gold to break up or down. I’m
watching the Fibonacci levels at 38.2% and 23.6%.
Note the blue Fibonacci retracement grid. I’m
looking to put sell stops at the
50% levels.
Use the dates detailed for the SP500 for Gold
as well.
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last being
March 27, 2019. The next is April
23, 2019.
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun
takes 27 days to revolve once at the
Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up
and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker
red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish
now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move
up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart
show when heliocentric Mercury is in
Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters
heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it is
based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the
next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
Watch the same dates as noted
above, 3 Retros etc.
The following chart shows when Mars
enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Gemini and changes signs into Cancer on May 15, 2019. Note
the sharp move up.
Watch for geophysical activity
around this timeframe.
Crude
Oil is recovering from a strong
move down and now 15 weeks up. The low
on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle
low.
Price has broken through the 15
day sma. and 45 day sma. Averages are pointed up and look positive but a
Primary cycle is due.
The USA has asked that crude
prices be reduced.
April 14 has the Sun trine
Jupiter and April 15 Venus squares Jupiter. Jupiter events should be apparent.
Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. April 10 +- 3 tds
may have been a strong change in trend for crude. Price has fallen back for a
couple of days.
Beyond affecting crude these two
planets have to do with illusions and delusions.
The Sun square Saturn is often a
strong price move in many markets.
This puts us entering week 15 of the Primary cycle.
On the next chart note how price
often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses
at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar
day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.
Watch the green Sun price line
and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down
near the 40 day cycle.
The Sun will square Pluto on the
weekend. This may be an aspect to change the trend in Crude.
Yes I'm looking for a low near the dates I posted, April 29 or May 13 - May 17. We may go higher first and the crest is forming. The formation of highs is a process which can take a period of time. I'm looking for the Primary cycle low (18 week).
ReplyDeleteHi sir. You are looking for a new bottom for Gold in this week it means the gold can break the Fibonaci 50 and 38.2???
ReplyDeleteThe break of the Fib 50% would indicate a low is being put in. Late Jan and early March hit resistance in the Fib 50% area.
ReplyDeletePS..wait until price breaks through the Fib 50% area.
ReplyDeleteHi sir, s&p will have strong turning day April 26-May 6? It may go up then moving down ?
DeleteHi sir. Gold is moving down
DeleteI set a sell stop at 1273 which is the Fib 50% retracement. A low in the next few days maybe the Primary cycle trough.
ReplyDeleteHi sir. How about OiL?
DeleteOn the short term it should go up. Unsure on longer term.
ReplyDeleteJupiter and Netupe does not affect?
DeleteI'm looking for Crude to turn down into the 18 week +- cycle trough. We are in the 15 week now.
ReplyDelete3 more weeks. OMG
ReplyDeleteFor the SP500 we should have a pull back low May 6 to May 11 +- 3 td's.
ReplyDeleteWatch out for an unplanned event which may effect the markets.