Saturday, April 27, 2019

Financial Astrology - April 29, 2019


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Summary

SP500.
We are in the 16th week of the Primary cycle which started Dec 24, 2018. We are looking for a crest formation and a pullback low starting in the 2nd half of April or first half of May. We could start down at any point. As mentioned, the markets are volatile.  Watch for a geophysical or terrorist event.

The normal range for the Primary circle is 15 – 21 weeks which would be April 9 – May 20. The period around April 22 or April 29th (Saturn Retrograde) could mark the start of a move down or the week of May 13 – May 17th may be the trough of the Primary cycle.

Volatility should continue in April 2019 in particular. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.

Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This is magnified with Jupiter in Sagittarius and Neptune in Pisces, both in the sign that they rule. There are also large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation coupled with the above debt problems. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or 2020. This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and coming up June 16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019.

Gold We either put the low in on March 7 or we may have put in the trough in on April 23, the day after the Sun was conjunct Uranus.
We are in week 22nd of the Primary cycle for Gold.
It is important for Gold to hold near the 50% Fib retracement which is at 1273.02 to protect against a sharp move lower. The timing is good for April 23 to be the Primary cycle low. This would mean Gold should be going up

Crude's Crude started up on Dec 24. We are entering the 17th week of the Primary cycle. I was looking for a move down and we are at a forming crest in crude. We should be headed down.

From last weeks post:
We may see some geophysical activity or some type of aggression in April.” We certainly had that. We will fine tune any forecasts as we approach each week.

SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We are currently entering the 16th week of the current Primary cycle. The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles.

The Price moving averages, the 15 day sma and the 45 day sma are both in strong positions and pointed up.

The 15 day sma is red, the 45 day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.

One can also use extended retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6  and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6

The SP500 is approaching the Sept 21, 2018 all time high. This may act as resistance as we approach the $2,940.91 area. The April 26 close was $2,939.98.

The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due May 20, 2019.



The above daily chart shows upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.

Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week

Starting off this new month we should see continued volatility with Uranus semi-square Neptune on May 1,

On the following chart are the 3 planets going retrograde.
Jupiter orange arrow pointed left
Saturn blue arrow pointed left
Pluto red arrow pointed left

The green squares show Saturn opposite the Moons North Node.

The vertical blue lines are the 65 week cycle which hits again on May 6, 2019.
The 65 week cycle is often at highs then down.



Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things. Jupiter in Sagittarius should emphasize banks, judge’s, barristers and the courts in general. This would also cover major institutions like universities. Both Jupiter and Neptune are in the signs they rule making them more natural and powerful.

When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we should remember the effect of Jupiter square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all year and beyond.

There were 3 slow moving planets turning retrograde this month. Just Saturn left as it turns retrograde on April 29th.

April 29              Saturn Retrograde
                        Early in the month Saturn will enter the 3rd Decan of Capricorn on April 4th.                                         Mercury.
                        Saturn is another business planet.  Here it is at 20 degrees in Capricorn.  Saturn                          and business can be restrictive. Saturn tends to contraction, cautiousness and                          measures of protection.
                        If the market is low late in April or early May it may be the time to buy.
                        Saturn is about conservatism. Saturn rules farms and farming, mines and                         industries connected to metals and minerals. Also rules over life threatening                         epidemics, state funerals, public sorrow and disappointments.
                        In addition to the Jupiter Retro there are two other dates close to the Jupiter                         Retro

Other pertinent Astro aspects early in May.


Aspects to the South node can be about may be pointing to past actions which require attention now.

April 30          Saturn conjunct the South Node.
                        Saturn is restriction, serious events and business dealings. It is the executive                         branch of government, the state, public sorrow.

May 1              Uranus semi-square Neptune.
                        Powerful planets with a weak aspect. Uranus is technology and sudden events                         while Neptune is illusion, secrets and idealistic. Note above that the Sun                                               conjuncts Uranus in Taurus. Could this effect crop production.
                        Uranus is also about airplanes and aviation industry.

May 2              Transiting Mars conjunct Natal Mars of the USA Sagittarius Rising chart.

                        If you don’t you don’t have a knowledge of Astrology this puts Mars in the 7th                          house of open enemies. Watch for some potential violence or attack. +- a couple of                               days.

May 7          Venus waxing square Saturn.

                      With a wide orb this aspect is associated with Primary cycle, both                        crests and troughs.

May 9             Venus waxing square Pluto.
                        Strong correlation to stock market moves. When ever we have Venus in strong aspects                          look at stock market values and currencies. This could be many currencies.
                     
                       Venus waxing trine Jupiter
                       Often associated with crests. This may be the crest we have been waiting for.

All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days)

See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.
If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn during the next 2 weeks.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)



The next hits are May 24th, 2019 then July 9, 2019

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos. Watch closely for the next few weeks.

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well.  Earthquakes were in Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others and recently in Indonesia.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.



The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving average.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.Watch for news from India and Pakistan as well.


Other

Other cycles and Astrological events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.

The vertical black lines are the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs a wide orb.

The blue x’s show when heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.




2019 Eclipses

See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses. More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

Jan 6, 2019     Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019   Total Lunar                              134                              00Le51
July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37
July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019  Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.



Gold

We are in the 22nd week of the Primary cycle. The trough was either March 7th or it is the low on April 23th. Watch the 50.0% Fibonacci level on the Gold chart, currently at 1273.02.

Gold has been in a trading zone since late December 2018. I’m looking for Gold to break up or down. I’m watching the Fibonacci levels at 38.2% and 23.6% as well as the 50% Fib. These could act as support or resistance.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks. The Sun conjunct Uranus on April 22 was very volatile and affect precious metals, Gold and Silver.

I’ve got a bullish view but the US$ has to retreat.



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being
April 17, 2019. The next is May 14, 2019.

The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.

The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Gemini and changes signs into Cancer on May 15, 2019. Note the sharp move up.
Watch for geophysical activity around this timeframe.



Crude

Oil is recovering from a strong move down and now 17 weeks up and may have reached the crest of the Primary cycle. The low on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle low. I’m expecting crude to go lower.

Price has broken through the 15 day sma. But not the 45 day sma yet. Averages are pointed up but the 15 day sma is curling over.

The USA has asked that crude prices be reduced…again

Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. April 10 +- 3 tds may have been a strong change in trend for crude. Price has fallen back for a couple of days.

Beyond affecting crude these two planets have to do with illusions and delusions.

The Sun square Saturn is often a strong price move in many market. Also Pluto is associated with Gold and crude, basically things from the ground. Crude maybe affected on April 22 Sun conjunct Uranus, April 24 Pluto retrograde and April 29 Saturn retrograde.



This puts us entering week 17 of the Primary cycle.

On the next chart note how price often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days.  The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.

Watch the green Sun price line and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down near the 40 day cycle like April 25th.



30 comments:

  1. in early 2018 this British astrologer stated that may 8 and 9th 2019 there was going to be serious trouble for the u.s.a. stock market. do you see any astro patterns to verify this information?

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    Replies
    1. I haven't heard about such a prediction but I've been looking for a pull back low in the first half of May. There also may be some conflict (see my comments on Mars in this post.

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    2. May 8 key event is Mer conjunct Ura in 3rd d. Taurus, 9th Ven trines with Jupiter RX both in fire signs and soon after Ven also squares with Pluto . Tradingdaze would you also comment on 5th May's Mars Jupiter in 23.23 Gemini and Sagit. both mutable. If the weakness begins say Tue/Wed this week can those events trigger further impact?

      Delete
  2. Hi sir,

    It seem to be that you are using the previous charts of last post. Please update new chart.....

    ReplyDelete
  3. I'll include an analysis of Trudeau's chart and Canada's chart at the election period.

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  4. Gold seem to be a new bottom right?

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  5. Today and tomorrow Saturn is turning Retrograde.

    Saturn turning Retrograde has a strong history of turns in Gold.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you dear Sir. Indeed Saturn RX with Jup also in RX can be something I can not figure out but many experienced astrologers have said that Saturn RX coincides with some kind of turns. It would be a great even if from the RX to coming new moon with this weekend would turn this market.

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    2. What do u think gold will move up or down on that day?

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    3. Hello Peter I dont follow metals but Tbonds should bounce if stocks begin some correction. In fact watching last hour it seems gold fell with stocks. ANYTHING is possible during next few days so may be Gold does rebound at some point.

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  6. Hi Sir. S&P500 seems to move down from 2950 .

    ReplyDelete
  7. I'm awaiting a move down in the SP500 and up in Precious metals.
    Remember I was looking at mid May so potentially a couple more weeks.

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  8. S&P500 fluctuated . So scared of it. Range days April 26-May 6th is still considered as turning days

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    Replies
    1. Indeed. Tech stocks seems to be the motor. Today Uranus has another interesting aspect tonight. We need a big correction asap

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  9. I think we should have a strong sell day but the trend force remains strong and it does not look weakening by any means. May is also here but the old market refrain may apply perhaps even though the market makers and big fingers keep their greed and have no fear. vix is pretty lifeless

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    Replies
    1. Finally first day after the mercury RX of March when stocks have shown some retraction. It is crazy so far specially the techs. If we could begin a real higher range downtrend it will be a revival of new zeal. Lets hope big bulls get inspired to sell a bit.

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  10. Emergency sir. S&P500 looks like moving down futher. Short orders now? Where can we take profit?

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  11. Hold on. Watch the first 1/2 hour to get a feel for the market. Looks like it wants to go up.

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    Replies
    1. Indeed the reaction rally was forceful specially in NQ and RTY.
      Technically top seems to have been formed but there is no selling with conviction as its still euphoric and or hopeful for more ATH

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    2. You were quite right about the May 2 event plus Mer Trine Jup tonight. Appreciate your good studies and also charts. Bradely sensitive date is around May 13/14?

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    3. What is your plan now sir?

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    4. Hi sir. S&P500 rebounce to 2947.but you mentioned that it will be trough in mid of May right

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  12. I follow an Australian financial astrologer/w d gann expert on social media. her square of 9 chart has the next turn date as may 24th for the u.s.a stock markets. the same day as your 24 harmonic chart. I also follow a british expert on hurst cycles. he has a low date on may 20. Manfred zimmel of Switzerland has a Bradley turn date on his siderograph highlighted in red for may 16th. his other dates are usually in black. this is shown on your Bradley chart as an upcoming spike. if you look at a 2 year daily chart of the sp 500 index it has formed an expanding sideways pattern. this pattern has occurred in the major u.s. stock indexes for many years at turning points of significance.

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    Replies
    1. Is the Australian financial Astrologer Olga Morales?

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  13. George
    Is David Hickson the British Hurst expert you mentioned?

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  14. I'm still looking for a low in the SP500 approx. mid month. Also a rise in Gold.

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  15. so informative reading your posts! thank you

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