Saturday, June 29, 2019

Financial Astrology - July 1, 2019


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Summary

We are entering the summer period where interest and action in the markets and financials in general usually dissipates somewhat. We will continue with the weekly blog posts but the posts will be shorter than usual with a couple of weekends off.

The biggest astrological event in the near future is the Solar eclipse and the aspects around it  on July 2, 2019.

July 1              Mars enters Leo which is a fire sign. Possible conflict. A time for leaders.

July 2              The heliocentric nodes of Jupiter are at 10 degrees of Cancer 38 minutes.                          This should give the Solar Eclipse a more positive spin than otherwise would                           occur.

July 2              The Solar eclipse occurs at 10 degrees Cancer and 37 minutes. This eclipse                          has a number of positive influences and may signal an ending of any conflict                          through peaceful negotiations.
                        The cycles in the Solar eclipse were covered in last weeks post.
                        There are a number of ways eclipses can forecast the future. There are two                          cycles associated with eclipses. The Metonic cycle (19 years) and the Saros                          cycle (18 year) cycle with an emphasis on 18, 36, 54 years or every 18 years.                          Every 19 or 18 year cycle the same themes appear.

                        When planets travel through the sign of Cancer we should see fluctuations in the                          general mood of the people.

                        See last weeks post on eclipses.

July 2              Mars conjunct Vulcanos. Mars is masculine energy and can stand for conflict or                         war. Vulcanus rules great power and potential. It is a Uranian point (use google).
                       
July 4              Saturn conjunct the South Node. This stands for things from the past that                          surface again and must be dealt with. This may not be pleasant. They are in                          Capricorn and may deal with business or reputation.
                       
July 7              Mercury turns Retrograde. Don’t sign agreements. Watch for confusion and                          confusion in trading. Often get a change in trend when Mercury turns retrograde or                               Direct.

SP500
We are entering the 4th week of a new Primary cycle which started on June 3, 2019.

The normal range for the Primary circle is 15 – 21 weeks which would be Sept 9 – Oct 28 2019. We may see increased volatility. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.

Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or early on 2020.

This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and June 16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019. Will this square continue to be a delusion / illusion?

I’m watching moves in the SP500 closely. A move above 2952 would be bullish. I’m looking for the SP500 to roll over here possibly due to inaccurate information or lies.

Gold I am long Gold. I have been looking for Gold to rise. It may be time to sell if Gold breaks 1380 or we are on our way to top similar to the Nov 2011 high. June 30 starts the translation of heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius. The latter can mark a period of rising price or a period where Gold price changes trend.

Crude's Crude started up on Dec 24, 2018. We are either entering the 24th week of the Primary cycle or we started a new Primary cycle on June 5 and we are 17 days along.

From two weeks ago:
“We should be headed down but watch for this to reverse into a Primary cycle bottom. Watch for OPEC moves”.

We may have had the Primary Cycle trough for crude oil on June 5. This needs more confirmation.

SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We may currently be entering a new Primary cycle starting on June 5, 2019.  

I’m looking at this as a Primary cycle trough and going up in a new Primary. The new Primary started on June 3 and we are 4 weeks along. It briefly broke through the 200 day simple moving average. Remember the Jupiter square Neptune where lies are covered up and general untruths are spoken.

The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles or a combo of both.

The 15 day sma is red, the 45 day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.

One can also use extended retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6  and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6.

The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due June 14, 2019.



The above daily chart shows upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.

Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week
Brown is the 5 week

Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things. Jupiter in Sagittarius should emphasize banks, judge’s, barristers and the courts in general. This would also cover major institutions like universities. Both Jupiter and Neptune are in the signs they rule making them more natural and powerful.

Whenever we get longer term aspects we should look at other planets in transit that may hit the longer term aspect.

When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we should remember the effect of Jupiter square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all year and beyond.

All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days) at a minimum.

See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.

If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn. We may be seeing a distorted Primary cycle.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)



The next hits are July 9, 2019 then Aug 22, 2019.

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos. Late June through early July may see more geophysical activity.

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle is pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel.

They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit. Next up July 11, 2019.



The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving average.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. Iran may be active starting today if they were responsible for the attack of the crude ship
Watch for news from India and Pakistan as well.

 The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator. Note the May 17, 2019 date. Price reversed along with the Bradley Indicator. There is another turn possible on June 17th.



Gold

Gold found support at 1273, in fact it found support here 3 times. We are now moving up and Gold should be in the 5th week of a new Primary cycle which started om May 22. Like any new Primary cycle there may be a pullback in the 2nd or 3rd week.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks. The Sun conjunct Uranus on April 22 was very volatile and affect precious metals, Gold and Silver.

I’ve had a bullish view but the US$ has to retreat. Bitcoin has been on the rise



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being
June 10th The next is July 5th.

The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.

The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius. This with Mars entering Leo may see an effect on Gold.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Cancer and changes signs into Leo on July 1, 2019. The same day a Uranian point Vulcanus conjuncts Mars. Could be a conflict / war like signature.

Watch July 1 for a change in trend.
Watch for geophysical activity around this timeframe.
The next will be Mars entering Leo on July 1, 2019. The next day is the Total Solar Eclipse.



Crude

With the problems involving Iran and crude, transport price may be going up.

I’m expecting crude to go up if problems persist between Iran and the US.. Notice price broke through the 45 day sma and the 15 day sma.

Beyond any technicals Iran may have shot at a large crude boat. Any shortages or perceived shortages could push the price of crude up.

We need more confirmation of this being a new Primary cycle.

I am expecting crude and possibly marijuana stocks to be affected by the forming Jupiter / Neptune square.

Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. Price has fallen back for a couple of days.

Beyond affecting crude these two planets have to do with illusions and delusions. Thus marijuana stocks.



This puts us entering week 24 of the Primary cycle or we have just started a new Primary cycle on June 5 and we are in the fourth week.

Following is a chart for crude with the 17 month crude cycle shown as the red vertical lines. The next 17 month cycle date is May 11, 2020


18 comments:

  1. Hi sir,

    What are you looking for at S&P500, Gold in this week? Please give us the trend of that. We are so confusing of that.

    ReplyDelete
  2. At the moment I'm confused. I was looking for Gold to go up. I was also expecting the SP500 to trend down.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. But gold is moving down the s&P500 move up then filled the gal already. So if you are looking for gold to go up? Which support for that? But if gold chart breaks 1380 then we may sell it

      Delete
  3. You are not the only one. Even Merriman is confused. If today is an isolated low, then gold should rally. If not, then a sharp sell-off is due. I think nfp on Friday is the key. A poor nfp and gold to rally, not so bad nfp, gold to sell of sharp as downward momentum has been established. Mercury retrograde is making things tough. Preferably best to be cautious. Gold's time to shine is only in a few months time from Nov 2019.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Two days that may see a move up in Gold are:
    July 7, Mercury Retrograde and
    July 9, Sun opposition Saturn.
    Both are +- 3 td;s

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