Summary
We are entering the summer period where interest and action in the
markets and financials in general usually dissipates somewhat. We will continue
with the weekly blog posts but the posts will be shorter than usual with a
couple of weekends off.
The biggest astrological event in the near future is the Solar eclipse
and the aspects around it on July 2,
2019.
July 1 Mars enters
Leo which is a fire sign. Possible conflict.
A time for leaders.
July 2 The heliocentric nodes of Jupiter are at 10 degrees of Cancer 38 minutes. This should give the Solar
Eclipse a more positive spin than otherwise would occur.
July 2 The Solar eclipse occurs at
10 degrees Cancer and 37 minutes. This eclipse has a
number of positive influences and may signal an ending of any conflict through peaceful negotiations.
The cycles
in the Solar eclipse were covered in last weeks post.
There are a number of ways eclipses can forecast the
future. There are two cycles associated with eclipses. The
Metonic cycle (19 years) and the Saros cycle (18 year) cycle with an emphasis on 18, 36, 54 years or every 18 years. Every 19 or 18 year cycle the same themes appear.
When planets
travel through the sign of Cancer we should see fluctuations in the general
mood of the people.
See last
weeks post on eclipses.
July 2 Mars conjunct Vulcanos.
Mars is masculine energy and can stand for conflict or war.
Vulcanus rules great power and potential. It is a Uranian point (use google).
July 4 Saturn conjunct the South Node. This stands for things from the past that surface
again and must be dealt with. This may not be pleasant. They are in Capricorn and may deal with business or reputation.
July 7 Mercury turns Retrograde.
Don’t sign agreements. Watch for confusion and confusion in trading. Often get a
change in trend when Mercury turns retrograde or Direct.
SP500
We are entering the 4th
week of a new Primary cycle which started on June 3, 2019.
The normal range for the Primary
circle is 15 – 21 weeks which would
be Sept 9 – Oct 28 2019. We may see
increased volatility. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from
2020 through 2023.
Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may
be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This
may be pointing to serious financial
problems late 2019 or early on 2020.
This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and June 16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019. Will this square continue to be a
delusion / illusion?
I’m watching moves in the SP500
closely. A move above 2952 would be bullish. I’m looking for the SP500 to roll
over here possibly due to inaccurate information or lies.
Gold I am long Gold. I have been looking for Gold
to rise. It may be time to sell if Gold breaks 1380 or we are on our way to top
similar to the Nov 2011 high. June 30 starts the translation of heliocentric
Mercury in Sagittarius. The latter can mark a period of rising price or a
period where Gold price changes trend.
Crude's Crude
started up on Dec 24, 2018. We are
either entering the 24th week of the
Primary cycle or we started a new Primary cycle on June 5 and we are 17
days along.
From two weeks ago:
“We should be headed down but watch for this to reverse into a Primary
cycle bottom. Watch for OPEC moves”.
We may have had the Primary
Cycle trough for crude oil on June 5. This needs more confirmation.
SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We may
currently be entering a new Primary cycle starting on June 5, 2019.
I’m looking at this as a Primary cycle trough and going up in a new
Primary. The new Primary started on June
3 and we are 4 weeks along. It briefly broke through the 200 day simple
moving average. Remember the Jupiter square Neptune where lies are covered up
and general untruths are spoken.
The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles or a combo of both.
The 15 day sma is red, the 45
day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal
Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.
One can also use extended
retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I
also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6 and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6.
The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due June 14, 2019.
The above daily chart shows
upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.
Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week
Brown is the 5 week
Jupiter square Neptune will be
with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square
Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending,
inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could
be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter
can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things. Jupiter in Sagittarius
should emphasize banks, judge’s, barristers and the courts in general. This
would also cover major institutions like universities. Both Jupiter and Neptune
are in the signs they rule making them more natural and powerful.
Whenever we get longer term
aspects we should look at other planets in transit that may hit the longer term
aspect.
When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we
should remember the effect of Jupiter
square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all
year and beyond.
All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days) at a minimum.
See the Bradley Indicator at the
end of this section.
If the current volatility
continues watch for a cycle turn. We may be seeing a distorted Primary cycle.
The following daily chart of the
SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the
basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic
chart we have shown for many months.
The Jan 2 date was a big range
day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)
The next hits are July 9, 2019 then Aug 22, 2019.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.” Late June through early July may see more
geophysical activity.
See the link under
“Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has
been picking up.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now
or took place April – June 2018. The 45
year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle is pointing to Sept
2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make
the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle
I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the
centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel.
They are the dates of the
Mars square Uranus transit. Next up July
11, 2019.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving
average.
I brought up Iran on the last
couple of posts. Iran may be active starting today if they were responsible for
the attack of the crude ship
Watch for news from India and
Pakistan as well.
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer
Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market
Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and
inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called
"the Bradley". The
Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points
(where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or
SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.
It does not forecast or anticipate whether that
turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn
up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not
important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who
had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked
with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked
so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it
goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for
months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered)
but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.
In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a
siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually
do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective
attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock
averages"
So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are
trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways
The red line is the Bradley Indicator. Note the May 17, 2019
date. Price reversed along with the Bradley Indicator. There is another turn
possible on June 17th.
Gold
Gold found support at 1273, in
fact it found support here 3 times. We are now moving up and Gold should be in
the 5th week of a new Primary cycle which started om May 22. Like
any new Primary cycle there may be a pullback in the 2nd or 3rd
week.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend
away from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks. The Sun conjunct Uranus on
April 22 was very volatile and affect precious metals, Gold and Silver.
I’ve had a bullish view but the US$ has to
retreat. Bitcoin has been on the rise
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last being
June 10th The next is July 5th.
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun
takes 27 days to revolve once at the
Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up
and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker
red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish
now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move
up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart
show when heliocentric Mercury is in
Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters
heliocentric Sagittarius. This with Mars entering Leo may see an effect on
Gold.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Cancer and changes signs into Leo
on July 1, 2019. The same day a Uranian point Vulcanus conjuncts Mars. Could be
a conflict / war like signature.
Watch July 1 for a change in
trend.
Watch for geophysical activity
around this timeframe.
The next will be Mars entering Leo
on July 1, 2019. The next day is the Total Solar Eclipse.
Crude
With the problems involving Iran
and crude, transport price may be going up.
I’m expecting crude to go up if
problems persist between Iran and the US.. Notice price broke through the 45
day sma and the 15 day sma.
Beyond any technicals Iran may
have shot at a large crude boat. Any shortages or perceived shortages could
push the price of crude up.
We need more confirmation of
this being a new Primary cycle.
I am expecting crude and
possibly marijuana stocks to be affected by the forming Jupiter / Neptune
square.
Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. Price has fallen
back for a couple of days.
Beyond affecting crude these two
planets have to do with illusions and delusions. Thus marijuana stocks.
This puts us entering week 24 of the Primary cycle or we have
just started a new Primary cycle on June 5 and we are in the fourth
week.
Following is a chart for crude
with the 17 month crude cycle shown as the red vertical lines. The next 17
month cycle date is May 11, 2020
Hi sir,
ReplyDeleteWhat are you looking for at S&P500, Gold in this week? Please give us the trend of that. We are so confusing of that.
At the moment I'm confused. I was looking for Gold to go up. I was also expecting the SP500 to trend down.
ReplyDeleteBut gold is moving down the s&P500 move up then filled the gal already. So if you are looking for gold to go up? Which support for that? But if gold chart breaks 1380 then we may sell it
DeleteYou are not the only one. Even Merriman is confused. If today is an isolated low, then gold should rally. If not, then a sharp sell-off is due. I think nfp on Friday is the key. A poor nfp and gold to rally, not so bad nfp, gold to sell of sharp as downward momentum has been established. Mercury retrograde is making things tough. Preferably best to be cautious. Gold's time to shine is only in a few months time from Nov 2019.
ReplyDeleteTwo days that may see a move up in Gold are:
ReplyDeleteJuly 7, Mercury Retrograde and
July 9, Sun opposition Saturn.
Both are +- 3 td;s
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