Summary
SP500
We are entering the 2nd
week of a new Primary cycle which started on June 3, 2019. The Primary is
not yet confirmed.
The previous Primary started on Dec 24, 2018. This was
getting late in the Primary cycle. We made a crest for this Primary cycle on
May 1, 2019 and have since moved down. The May 31, 2019 low was below the 200
day simple moving average. The new Primary cycle, starting on June 3 needs some
testing to verify.
The normal range for the Primary
circle is 15 – 21 weeks which would
be Sept 9 – Oct 28 2019. We may see
increased volatility. June has the potential to be very volatile where money
can be made quickly and lost just as fast. Longer term I’m expecting bigger
moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.
Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may
be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This
is magnified with Jupiter in Sagittarius
and Neptune in Pisces, both in the sign that they rule. There are also
large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals. One of the
reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation coupled with the above debt problems.
This may be pointing to serious
financial problems late 2019 or early on 2020.
This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and coming up June 16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019. Will
this square continue to be a delusion / illusion or another case of, “Irrational
Exuberance”?
The markets should change as we
move into June and approach the Jupiter / Neptune square on June 16. Note the
other aspects dates below in the SP500 section. Jupiter rules the court system,
judges, senators, big business, foreign relations, inflation and higher
education. This would be a good example if the courts get involved in the
Democrat impeachment charges.
June 16 +- 3 td’s could be an important day for the markets. This is a weekend so look to
June
14 and June 17 and June 21. Each one is +- 3tds. This could be a very eventful
period.
July 2 should also be important +- 7 tds. It’s a Total Solar
Eclipse
What may have a direct effect on
the markets are the FED and the G20 meetings. It is probable the FED will cut
rates a number of times this year but not the June meeting.
I’m watching moves in the SP500
closely. A move above 2952 would be bullish. I’m looking for the SP500 to roll
over here possibly due to inaccurate information or lies.
Gold We either put the low in on April 23 or
we may have put in the trough on May 2. We came back to this general
area again on May 21. This would be a triple bottom for Gold. Unusual,
but not unusual when Neptune is active. There was a big bullish move on May 31.
If May 21 was the Primary cycle trough then we may be seeing the 3rd week of
a new Primary cycle in Gold. Bullish. Remember at the start of a
Primary cycle we often get a pullback 2 to 3 weeks along but then continues up.
I’m still holding some Gold.
Crude's Crude
started up on Dec 24, 2018. We are
either entering the 24th week of the
Primary cycle or we started a new Primary cycle on June 5 and we are 7
days along.
Watch next week we may have more
room to move down,
From last week:
“We should be headed down but watch for this to reverse into a Primary
cycle bottom. Watch for OPEC moves”.
We may have the Primary Cycle crude oil trough on June 5.
This needs more confirmation.
SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We may
currently be entering a new Primary cycle starting on June 3, 2019.
I’m looking at this as a Primary cycle trough and going up in a new
Primary. The new Primary started on June
3 and we are 2 weeks (9 days along). It briefly broke through the 200 day simple
moving average. Remember the Jupiter square Neptune where lies are covered up
and general untruths are spoken.
The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles or a combo of both.
The 15 day sma is red, the 45
day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal
Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.
One can also use extended
retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I
also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6 and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6.
The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due June 14, 2019.
The above daily chart shows
upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.
Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week
Brown is the 5 week
Jupiter square Neptune will be
with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square
Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending,
inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could
be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter
can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things. Jupiter in Sagittarius
should emphasize banks, judge’s, barristers and the courts in general. This
would also cover major institutions like universities. Both Jupiter and Neptune
are in the signs they rule making them more natural and powerful. Together they
may have the astrology of “Irrational Exuberance”.
Whenever we get longer term
aspects we should look at other planets in transit that may hit the longer term
aspect.
In this case we have:
June 14 Mars trine
Neptune and Mars opposition Saturn
These
do not have a history of big moves
June 16 Is the next
Jupiter square Neptune and Mercury trine Neptune
Jupiter
in Sagittarius can emphasize trade and not just the USA. It can emphasize the positive aspects of
Jupiter square Neptune that is a liberating, positive
energy which can effect trade and other aspects of life.
June 18 Saturn sextile
Neptune.
Habits,
chronic ill health. Gas poisoning and diseases of the lungs. A nations health.
June 21 Neptune
retrograde
It
is not unusual that Neptune retrograde will result in a basing pattern with double or triple bottoms instead
of a V bottom. Look at the triple bottom forming in the SP500 and Gold.
June 23 Venus opposition
Jupiter
This
and Venus square Neptune below should emphasize the Jupiter / Neptune square.
June 24 Venus square
Neptune.
More illusion
July 2
Solar Eclipse
Mars conjunct
Vulcanus . This could be a violent time. Literally there could be a volcanic eruption.
The above list of aspects should
make for one of the most volatile time periods of the year.
When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we
should remember the effect of Jupiter
square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all
year and beyond.
All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days) at a minimum.
See the Bradley Indicator at the
end of this section.
If the current volatility
continues watch for a cycle turn. We may be seeing a distorted Primary cycle.
The following daily chart of the
SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the
basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic
chart we have shown for many months.
The Jan 2 date was a big range
day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)
The next hits are July 9, 2019 then Aug 22, 2019.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.” Late June through early July may see more
geophysical activity.
See the link under “Earthquakes”.
This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now
or took place April – June 2018. The 45
year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle
possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle is pointing to Sept
2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make
the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle
I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the
centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the
Sun / Neptune square which is often a short-term change in trend.
Next hit June 9, 2019.
We have had this noted it was
due for a sell. Also note the mauve
squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit. Next up July 11, 2019.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving
average.
I brought up Iran on the last
couple of posts. Iran may be active starting today if they were responsible for
the attack of the crude ship
Watch for news from India and
Pakistan as well.
2019 Eclipse
See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses.
More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.
Date Eclipse Saros Cycle Sign
July 2, 2019 Solar
Total 127 10Cn37
The Bradley
Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer
Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market
Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and
inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called
"the Bradley". The
Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points
(where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or
SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.
It does not forecast or anticipate whether that
turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn
up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not
important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who
had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked
with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked
so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it
goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for
months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered)
but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.
In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a
siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually
do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective
attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock
averages"
So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are
trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways
The red line is the Bradley Indicator. Note the May 17, 2019
date. Price reversed along with the Bradley Indicator. There is another turn
possible on June 17th.
There was a question about Neptune
retrograde as follows.
June 21 Neptune retrograde
It is not unusual that Neptune retrograde will result in a basing pattern with double or triple bottoms instead of a V bottom forming in the SP500 and Gold
It is not unusual that Neptune retrograde will result in a basing pattern with double or triple bottoms instead of a V bottom forming in the SP500 and Gold
Here’s examples of V bottom and a double
or triple bottom.
Gold
Gold found support at 1273, in
fact it found support here 3 times. We are now moving up and Gold should be in
the 4th week of a new Primary cycle which started om May 22. Like
any new Primary cycle there may be a pullback in the 2nd or 3rd
week.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away
from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks. The Sun conjunct Uranus on April 22 was
very volatile and affect precious metals, Gold and Silver.
I’ve had a bullish view but the US$ has to
retreat. Bitcoin has been on the rise
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last being
May 14. The next is June 10,
2019.
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun
takes 27 days to revolve once at the
Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up
and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker
red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish
now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move
up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart
show when heliocentric Mercury is in
Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters
heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Cancer and changes signs into Leo
on July 1, 2019. The same day a Uranian point Vulcanus conjuncts Mars. Could be
a war like signature.
Watch July 1 for a change in
trend.
Watch for geophysical activity
around this timeframe.
The next will be Mars entering Leo
on July 1, 2019. The next day is the Total Solar Eclipse.
Crude
Thursday and Friday, May 30 and
May 31 were big down days for crude.
Oil is recovering from a strong
move down and may have reached the trough of the Primary cycle on June 5, 2019. Since putting in a high
on April 23 ,2019 crude has started down. The low on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a
larger cycle low.
I’m expecting crude to go lower.
Notice price broke through the 45 day sma and the
15 day sma. Beyond any technical
Iran may have shot at a large crude boat. Any shortages or perceived shortages
could push the price of crude up.
We need more confirmation of
this being a new Primary cycle.
I am expecting crude and
possibly marijuana stocks to be affected by the forming Jupiter / Neptune
square.
Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. Price has fallen
back for a couple of days.
Beyond affecting crude these two
planets have to do with illusions and delusions. Thus marijuana stocks.
This puts us entering week 24 of the Primary cycle or we have
just started a new Primary cycle on June 5 and we are in the second
week.
On the next chart note how price
often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses
at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar
day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.
Watch the green Sun price line
and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down
near the 40 day cycle like April 25th.
Hi sir.
ReplyDeleteTo sum up, what are looking for at S&P500 and Gold? We are so confusing in your post. You’re looking for a bottom or a top of each aspect.
Yes, agreed. Gord, would you please clarify if you are expecting the S&P to turn down or continue to trade up this coming week. Also mid to end July and though August is being considered by some astrologers as a very negative period for the financial markets.
ReplyDeleteFrom the last post
ReplyDeleteSP500
“I’m watching moves in the SP500 closely. A move above 2952 would be bullish. I’m looking for the SP500 to roll over here possibly due to inaccurate information or lies. “
Gold
“If May 21 was the Primary cycle trough then we may be seeing the 3rd week of a new Primary cycle in Gold. Bullish. Remember at the start of a Primary cycle we often get a pullback 2 to 3 weeks along but then continues up.”
Why do you wait s&p500 over 2952 then bullish. So that we missed potential price to buy. How about gold? Tomorrow, Fed has conference
ReplyDeleteIf you look at a chart for the SP500 you will see the 2952 area has been resistance. You should look at some other trading sites.
DeleteShould we sell gold sir
ReplyDeleteI'm holding
ReplyDeleteHolding for buying?
DeleteHolding what I have. Not buying more presently. I'm now waiting for Neptune retrograde to see it's effect on Gold.
ReplyDeleteWhat are you looking for the effect on gold?
DeleteI'm looking at statistics based on the previous times Neptune turned retrograde.
DeleteGold is gonna be a top. What are you looking for at Gold chart next week? A significantly move down?
DeleteIn one of your earlier posts, you were expecting firework in the month of June which did not materialize. Merrimann's forecast of a huge dip from June 9 - 24th also did not materialize. Currently, the the stock markets seem to be following the "unpredictable" bradley indicator which was a dud the past couple of years.
ReplyDeleteI'm still looking at fireworks between now and the first week in July. Bradley shows the change in trend.
ReplyDeleteThank you sir. Your analysis is uncannily spot on. Given that S&P is stalling around the high resistance area of 2554, do you consider this bearish? Certainly the surge of the last 100 points or so has been strong.
ReplyDeleteI'm looking for a move down into September. It may be a slow move with some volatility. I'm watching closely.
ReplyDelete