Financial Astrology - Oct. 26, 2014

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Summary

Another week of volatility ahead. Last week we had the Oct 22 pullback but were surprised at the strength on Oct 23, 24. Nevertheless we are looking for lower prices in the SP500 near the start of the week. Giving the Solar eclipse date +- 3 td's (trading days) we are still in the eclipse window. We also have a number of signatures for a change in trend including Mercury direct on Oct 25, Mars enters Capricorn on Oct 26th and the Sun trine Neptune on Oct 29. On Oct 27th there is a grand trine which is having an effect over a longer period of time and may be the trigger for more Ebola incidents. See comments further down.

With volatility news of the Ebola pandemic should continue. The Solar eclipse path was pointing to increased tensions between Russia and the USA and maybe their leaders. This may not be immediate but watch the news. This eclipse may also affect the British Royals. Also watch the news.

Beyond the eclipse there is a forming grand trine with Venus (including the eclipse point), Neptune and Hades a Uranian point. These appear to be pointing to further disease problems. The Uranus / Pluto waxing square is coming back in focus with Pluto moving forward while Uranus continues retrograde.

My trading plan includes a pull back early in the week and then assess the market status after the FED announcement on Oct. 29th. Although I'm leaning to a bearish position, major markets could move up into early November. I'm specifically looking at the week of Nov 10th for a possible high.

SP500

We are entering the 12th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  ¹  which started on Aug 7th.

We saw the start of a 1/2 Primary  ¹ on Oct 15th. At this point in the cycle, which started on Aug 7th, looks very left translated meaning this would be a very bearish 18 week cycle. With the Astrological aspects over the weekend and next week I'm looking for a pullback Oct 27,28 and all life on earth will stop at 2:00pm on Oct 29 for the FOMC meeting announcement. I will probably stand aside on Oct. 29th, until the FED's announcement is clear. This event has the potential for drastic move in either direction.

Following is the SP500 and shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.

Red squares are Mercury turning retrograde and the blue squares are Mercury returning to direct motion. The recent dates are Oct 4 for Mercury turning retrograde and Oct 25 Mercury turning direct. The description of the Mercury inferior conjunction was in the market letter and occurred on Oct 16th, one day after the low. These dates alone often mark trend changes. Friday Oct 24 was also 55 td's (trading days) from the Aug 7th low.

We are still in the Solar eclipse window as the dates were +- 3 td's. Until we take out the Sept. 19th high, this is a left translated bearish cycle pattern. Although looking for a pullback early in the week the FED announcement could change the market direction quickly.

Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

So we are at a very important point. Do we go up into the traditional positive time of the year or has 5 years of FED easy money so distorted valuations that the market can only go down. This is a difficult call, but with the Astros in front of us to the end of the year and into next year I suspect we are going down or will be flat. A dramatic increase in inflation would change this outlook.

So I'm looking for a move down early next week. In this environment where bad news is good for the markets because the crowd now expects more government monetary intervention when bad news comes out. Although I have a bearish view over the long hall we could move up after the FED announcement. The week of Nov 10th has astro events pointing to a potential high. It may be a lower high.

To follow up on the potential effects of the Solar eclipse, I was looking for changes to the financial system.

The following is from another Astrologer - Ed - Tamplin   http://www.edtamplin.com/

CHINA - INFRASTRUCTURE AND INVESTMENT BANK

"On the morning of October 24 2014 – shortly after the Scorpio Solar Eclipse with Venus, twenty nations joined China as the founding co-signatories of the new Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank. The bank will have an initial capitalization of $50 billion dollars and may eventually rival the World Bank and Asian Development Bank for international lending.

Founding signatory countries were China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Brunei, Cambodia, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Laos, Malaysia, Mongolia,

Myanmar, Nepal, Oman, the Philippines, Qatar, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Uzbekistan and Vietnam.

Australia was also invited and expressed initial interest. However, the US Secretary of State John Kerry pressured Prime Minister Tony Abbott out of the venture, involving both nations' greatest trading partner. Other notable absentees were Indonesia and South Korea, with the South Korean finance minister still considering joining at a later date.

The date and timing are significant. The astrologer researcher Edward Johndro in choosing a time for a corporation would examine the planet ruling the purpose of the corporation and see when it was conjunct or opposite an eclipse point – preferably a solar eclipse - and barring that check whether the planet was stationary.

The Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank signing has Venus – planet of value – exactly at the eclipse point. This is also the degree that Mercury stationed at before turning retrograde on October 5. Mercury is the planet of business transactions and contracts. Mercury is now stationing before turning direct on the 26th. By choice or accident the time of this signing is astrologically auspicious."

Two days before the MH17 flight crashed in the Ukraine the BRIC nations formed their equivalent to the IMF. There are many financial related changes occurring in the financial system worldwide, many of which do not favor the USA or Europe.

It's difficult to get a straight story now on financial happenings. This may make it better or worse, don't know at this time. We do know large changes are occurring.

Grand Trine Oct 27th

Also mentioned above is the Grand trine in water signs involving Neptune in Pisces, Hades in Cancer and Venus (incl. the Sun) in Scorpio. Hades and Neptune move very slowly. We can look at Venus, and the Sun as triggers.

Scorpio is associated with birth, sex and death. In mundane astrology this includes larger survival and mortality issues that affect society. An example is the early 80's when Saturn and Pluto travelled through Scorpio. There was an increased awareness of safe sex and the aids pandemic came into focus.

Scorpio also rules over other people's money, debt and those industries that control other people's money. This would include banks, central banks, large funds, life insurance and any companies in the financial service industries and the world's financial system itself.

In mundane astrology Neptune is associated with epidemics and diseases of all kinds. During this eclipse Neptune is in a grand trine with the eclipse point (incl. Venus) and Hades. Hades ² is a Uranian point and can be quite nasty. Although associated with antiquities it also rules ruins, waste and deprivation. It is decay, death and the process of breakdown that occurs when living organisms die and return back to the soil. The bright side, if there is one, is that life is reborn out of the ashes of prior life. Look for a possible increase in the current Ebola crisis, other possible water borne disease and any news of findings concerning antiquities.

The grand trine is exact on Monday Oct 27th. Knowing that Neptune and Hades move very slowly I went back one orbit of Venus and found the same grand trine on Nov 23, 2012. I checked the news around that date and found this.

http://www.nathnac.org/pro/clinical_updates/ebola_uganda_161112.htm

We may be hearing more about Ebola over the next few weeks. I can't find anything tying this signature to the USA. It's a world problem.

Other issues I raised about the Solar eclipse are still relevant and should be watched over the next few weeks. These are an increase in tensions / events between Russia and the USA and the possible effect on the British Royals.

The Uranus and Pluto waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.

Gold

Gold is in the 4th week of it's Primary cycle   ¹  (nominal 18 week). I'm looking at this as the 4th week of a new Primary ¹ and this would be the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary. For those who have been reading these letters for awhile I look for a pull-back in the first 2-3 weeks of a New Primary  ¹ .  I believe Gold and Silver are in this short term pullback now and have further upside into the 6 week cycle.  

I'm looking for Gold to hit the 50% retracement around 1265 for this first 6 week. Currently price is on the 15 day sma and bounced off the 45 day sma, a bearish move.

The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart.

Silver is also in the 4th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  ¹ . Like Gold, Silver appears to be pulling back into the 2-3 week cycle low. We then expect Silver to move up into it's 6 week cycle high.

The following chart shows the Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. Silver is currently running up the Jupiter price line. If it is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise away from the price line.

Crude

We are in either the second week of a new Primary ¹ cycle or the 26th week of an older and extended Primary ¹ cycle in crude. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

There are many reason, US and Saudi intentionally over producing to drive out high cost producers and hurt Russia, ISIS and Iran. This plan seems to be working but there are always unforeseen repercussions. Western governments collect a lot of tax revenue from the price at the pump. If it is down the government revenues are down. Crude may be reflecting the real world economy. When crude does turn up it will probably be to lower highs. This is also causing problems between mid-East governments.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Oct 27 Venus trine Neptune trine Hades

Oct 28 Sun trine Neptune. I like this one best.

On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to early November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart (2 pages down) shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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Financial Astrology - August 3, 2014

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From July 13, 2014 Market letter, page 6

"Allow me to add July 28-31 to the forecast date list. This is a time period where Venus will be in T-Square to the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. Venus rules resources and money. Both may be under stress during this short period."

So we added July 28-31 to the list of forecast dates on July 13th. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows these two aspects. Venus opposition Pluto is the red double arrow and Venus squared Uranus is the red square.

So we finally got the big move we have been waiting for. Are we out of the woods? Probably not, although we may have a short term bounce this week.

From last weeks blog post.

" What is coming up in August looks nasty. I've mentioned July 20 had Saturn turning direct and July 21 Uranus turning retrograde. I've also mentioned in previous posts there is a time window around the dates of retrograde and direct movement. The above mentioned time windows extend to Aug 8 when the Sun trines Uranus and Aug 9th the Sun squares Saturn. That weekend there is another perigee Full Moon on Aug 10th (or Super Moon). Saturn is in a T-Square configuration to this Super Moon. Watched out for major accidents, violent weather and geophysical events.

The above are stressing Saturn which is in the sign of Scorpio. Both Saturn and Pluto transiting Scorpio have a history of epidemics and general health concerns. Currently there is an Ebola outbreak in Africa and a possible bubonic plague occurrence in China. With Saturn in Scorpio and Mars catching up to Saturn with a conjunction on Aug 25th, I would expect these epidemic outbreaks to worsen in the month of August.

Saturn in Scorpio can also represent changes in tax structure and problems with debt. Portugal has had some recent bank debt problems. I expect there will be more."

In addition to the above we may see increased geopolitical tensions, although it's difficult seeing them increased.

Since we are reviewing previous posts content I should mention the Primary cycle. I've been questioned by one reader why I mention the Primary cycle when this is an Astrological blog. The answer is, the stock market has cycles separate from the Astrological cycles. The Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) is one of many cycles in the stock market. I use the Primary cycle, it's sub-cycles and longer term market cycles to approximate where the market will change trend. I then look at the main Astrological events that fine tune my forecast of where the market changes trend. I do this for the sub-cycles as well i.e. the Major cycle ( nominal 6 week cycle which has a range of 5-7 weeks).

Last week I brought up the subject of changing the Primary cycle count from a start on Feb 5, 2014 to May 15, 2014 for the SP500. I changed the count for the DJIA and Nasdaq as well. With the dramatic move down in all the indices we track I must reconsider the Primary cycle count.

If Feb 5th was the last Primary cycle count then this is the 25th week. This is just outside our normal range of 15-23 weeks.

If May 15th was the last Primary cycle count then this is the 11th week of a newer Primary cycle.

The Dow had a larger percentage drop and has the same Primary cycle issue. Are we in at the end of a Primary cycle which started Feb 5th or in the middle of a newer Primary which started May 15th.

To resolve this question I'm watching the retracement levels for this move down. Primary cycle troughs usually get back to the 38.2% - 61.8% retracement levels.

The following daily chart of the SP500 assumes the retracement from the May 15th date. You can see we are "in the box" between the 38.2% and 61.8% retracements. In fact we are very close to the 50% level, a level which is often the trough.

The next chart is the same as above except it assumes the retracement from the Feb 15th, 2014 Primary cycle trough. This shows we have only hit the 23.6% retracement level. This would be deemed as shallow or we have quite a bit more down-side, which is quite possible.

Similar analysis can be done for the Dow or Nasdaq.

Watch these areas this week. We may get an early bounce but there are some rough transits on the week-end of Aug 9th including another perigee Full Moon (aka Super Moon -- Richard Nolle ). On the physical plane, Super Moons have been associated with geophysical events (large earthquakes and volcanic activity) and violent weather. Some would say this violence is also peeked in man's activity.

My comments on crude and key dates involving crude and mid-Eastern agreements or changes in power structure were given to subscribers a few weeks ago. They will be upon us soon.

Also mentioned were Mars and Saturn in the sign of Scorpio and their history with epidemics. These two planets will be conjunct later in the month. This may point to a peak in epidemic activity or the beginning. With Saturn involved, this latest Ebola or other epidemic may be with us for some time.

For those who are into mid-points in Astrology, the following is from COSI "Combination Of Stellar Influences" published in 1940. This is for the Mars / Saturn conjunction on the Moon / North Node mid-point.

"The system of self-defense against infection in the human body. Sufferings, disadvantages or losses through associations. Death through suffocation."

It get's worse if I look at the 90 degree mid-points which hits the Sun / Neptune 90 degree mid-points so I'll leave it at that.

Aug 25th is 1,998 cd's (calendar days) from the March 6, 2009 low on the SP500 which was 666. 1998 = 666 * 3. Watch this date.

I had mentioned problems with debt and we have continued debt problems with Portuguese banks and now Argentina. Watch closely, there should be more debt problems to come. I'm looking at Europe but there may be other countries.

Gold

Gold is in the 9th week of it's Primary cycle and may have just put in a trough for the first Major cycle (6 week, with a range of 5-7 weeks) of the Primary. Note the move down stopped on the 61.8% retracement level last Thursday and moved up on Friday, Aug 1st the day Venus squared Uranus and trined Saturn and Mars squared Jupiter. Remember Mars has just entered Scorpio and has a strong history of moves up when it is in Scorpio.

From last weeks blog.

" Any move below $1280,on strong volume and I will be out." Spot Gold bottomed at 1280.14 on Friday August 1st. The October contract bottomed at 1280.50 on the same day.

So I'm holding, but will adhere to the " Any move below $1280,on strong volume and I will be out." The move up on Friday stopped at the 45 day sma and any move down in Gold will have the 15 day sma crossing down through the 45 day sma. This would be very negative.

Where Gold goes early next week is very important. What we need to see is Gold taking out the high on July 10th then the high on March 17th (i.e. previous highs).

We may be in a symmetrical triangle, light blue lines. Price often exits a symmetrical triangle in the same direction it entered it. In this case up.

Silver is in the 10th week of it's Primary cycle. It looks like we put in a 1/2 Primary top on July 10th and are in the time frame for a 1/2 Primary bottom. We are just past the 38.2% retracement (we're in the box) of the move up from May 30th to July 10th.

Crude

We are in the 14th week of the Primary cycle in crude. The current cycle appears to be  left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. A stronger US$ is not good for crude, at least WTIC.

The whole crude picture world-wide is changing. The US is becoming a major supplier while fighting in the mid-East is affecting production and transport. Turkey is accepting crude from the Kurd's who have taken over oil fields in northern Iraq during the ISIS upheaval. Turkey is loading this crude into tankers but I don't know the destination. A number of countries are preparing to trade crude and other commodities in something other than the US$. This would mean the world needs less US bucks and they become less important for international trade.

All these problems are occurring around the dates we sent to subscribers a few weeks ago. The dates concerned crude, countries producing crude, agreements between these countries including crude production and changes in head's of state of crude producing countries.

Previously I've mentioned the issue with the US$ and international trade being largely conducted in US$ for many decades. This may be changing.

Subscribers, have had critical dates for a few weeks.

There are some other issues regarding crude. There has been a dramatic increase in small earthquakes in the states of Kansas and Oklahoma. Some are pointing to waste water pumped into the ground after drilling shale projects as the problem. This situation needs to be monitored closely. The last thing we should be doing is wasting water. Neptune, which rules water, amongst other things is in it's own sign, Pisces. It's importance should increase over the next few years.

Other items, US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.