Financial Astrology - February 22, 2016

Subscription

 - Our first half 2016 forecast dates are available
                      - Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with                          eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
                      - We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses

Our posts are now reported on the highly regarded FXStreet.com.

SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise Feb 11 looks like the Primary cycle trough.  ¹ that started on Aug 24th. Feb 11th was a slightly lower low than Jan 20th low. Feb 11th should start a new 18 week cycle and we are entering the 2nd week.

We are already bearish just due to the fact that Feb 11 is lower than the previous 18 week cycle low on Aug 24, 2015. However, double bottoms, and we have one here, are normally bullish so the charts aren't being helpful, giving both bearish and bullish indications.

My outlook is bearish going into the Spring due to the Astrological aspects being formed, namely the Saturn / Neptune square and the Jupiter / Saturn square. There are others. The Saturn / Pluto square is still in orb but will soon be fading. March through June of 2016 looks troublesome and bearish. I'm looking for a lower low in that time frame.

Although I'm bearish the SP500 just put in a nominal 18 week cycle low. Primary cycles are the most bullish in the early part of a cycle and usually get a rally. The length of the rally is what I'm looking for. If bearish this cycle should be left translated, that is the crest should occur in the first 1/2 of the cycle. Also remember our comments that near the start of a new Primary cycle we often get a pullback in the 2nd or 3rd week which gives traders an opportunity to buy what is usually the most bullish part of the cycle. This doesn't do so well when we are in a bear market as the crest may be left translated and right around the corner.

Please note; with the many heavy Astrological transits and events coming up we may have a distorted Primary cycle. I'm expecting a volatile environment in the markets. I'm also expecting geophysical events, possible violent weather and potential terrorist event. Watch the first couple of weeks of March and again in mid-April. Water may be a problem. Too much in some areas, none in others. Let's see if this makes the news.

From last week:

"In our cycle work we use td (trading days) and cd (calendar day) cycles. Feb 5th was

180 td's from the "All Time High" on May 20, 2015 at 2134.72.  This is basic GANN work which we'll use many times. The 180 td cycle from a high often results in a low 180 td's later and vice versa."

I believe we are close to longer term cycle bottoms, both the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle, 3.3 years (or 40 months).

Before we get to that low there may be a financial event around Feb, 26th. This is an Astrological event which marks the start of a time period where there could be major changes to the U.S.'s financial system. This is a long term event, although we could see some effects around Feb 26 this should be +- a few of months and it's long term effect over years. Whatever changes that occur to the financial system will not be undone. Listen to the financial news closely for a few weeks both before and after the end of  Feb. 2016. Decisions made in this time period may have longer term implications.  Is this the reason for the sudden interest in Gold? The video has more information.

See the following VIDEO. From Last Week Possibly Important

https://youtu.be/qoZJUC3-teI

The Astrological geocentric transits are fairly minor this week with the exception of Jupiter opposition to Chiron on Feb 23rd and the Sun conjunct Neptune on Feb 28th. We also have a Full Moon in Virgo, a mutable sign, on Feb 22nd, which has been present at short term market turns both up and down and big range days. The Sun conjunct Neptune is often a confusing time where there maybe a sense that things are getting better or bad and getting worse. In short a poor realization of what is really happening. This transit has a strong correlation to turns in the Primary cycle but it would be difficult to imagine a crest so early in the cycle. There is also the possible event on Feb 26th, see the video. Feb 23 also has a 192 td non-Astrological cycle. Give this the usual +- 2 td's.

In addition there is a heliocentric aspect of Mars opposing Uranus on Feb 26th. This has a history of volatile market moves near this transit. Mentioned last week we have heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius from Feb 15th to Feb 26th. We often see large price moves when helio Mercury is in Sagittarius in stocks and particularly precious metals.

With the sharp market moves, up and down, we should consider one or more of the longer term cycles are coming down to enter their trough. Note the longer term charts we have shown for many months, specifically the Kitchin cycle (40 months) and the 6.5- 7 year cycle. The longer term cycles typically pull everything down with them. This can be a process that takes a number of months. They can also distort the normal rhythm of the 18 week cycle. I'm looking in the April / May time frame for a more significant low.

With these longer term cycles we use the Astrological aspects and Astro events to determine a more exact time. Longer term geocentric Astrological cycles include:

Uranus waning square Pluto

- passed the exact but still in orb (1 degree). This square will slowly dissipate over this year.

Remember what this square is about.

"This aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems   with debt and Banks. The debt issue will have major negative consequences for all financial markets.

Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence. Tax revolts fit in as well. The square is about tearing down the old structures (governments, financial institutions) and building anew.Although Uranus is about sudden change and surprises, Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. It is ruthless in it’s force to change the status quo. We are only 1 degree away from the exact Uranus and Pluto square."

Jupiter waning square Saturn

- in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year

"The business cycle and direct effect on European history. Major changes will be occurring in Europe as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign change coming up when Jupiter and Saturn are conjunct in 2020. More on this 240 year conjunction in a future post."

           

Saturn square Neptune

-in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year

"This aspect is often present near times when there is a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue. This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness, would this be natural illnesses or man-made." If you feel depressed or not at ease this aspect may be the cause. One of these planets may be hitting a planet in your horoscope.

On the following weekly chart of the DJIA, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn. An ideal spot for a significant low would be between the last 2 red squares at March 23rd to May 26th. Note the green squares also. These are the Saturn / Neptune exact squares and the middle square is very close to the last Jupiter / Saturn square. Saturn is the common planet here. Among other things Saturn is fear.

For 2016 we have Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and the North Node in mutable signs. In addition both Solar eclipses are in mutable signs. Mutable signs are about flexibility and the ability or need to change. They are also about things that are not in control and extremes.

As mentioned, the month of March will have 2 eclipses, a Solar eclipse on March 8 (really the 9th) and a Lunar eclipse on March 23rd. The details of these important events will be included in the March monthly subscribers letter. Following is the Total Solar Eclipse of March 8-9. Eclipses are strong, important events. They effect the whole world.

Saturn is in Sagittarius which rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that gets perverted. Time for change to judicial systems? It's a time period where things seem depressing.

Charts we have not shown for awhile. The first 3 charts are daily charts of the SP500, the Russell 2000 and the NYSE. The horizontal blue lines are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto on all 3 charts This average is converted to price and displayed on the charts. Notice how well they have acted as support and resistance. The SP500 stopped near the 1923 resistance. Will it make it to 1968 for the crest?

The other chart we haven't shown for a while is this Fan which started on March 6, 2009 at the low. The dark blue line has acted as support most of the way up. It is the 50% line or 45 degrees. The red line we have just touched is 61.8%. It hasn't been touched since Oct. 2011. The black vertical lines are 512 cd's (calendar days) which next falls on March 9, within one day away from a powerful Total Solar Eclipse. March 8, 9 may be powerful days. I'm not discounting a geophysical event during this time period.

Other longer term cycles that may be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from now through the spring of 2016 as a potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need a broad orb.

Following is the Kitchin cycle on the SP500 chart. This is a monthly chart. The Kitchin cycle is 1/4 of the synodic Jupiter / Uranus cycle.

Other long term cycle due, including the 6.5 - 7 year.

The following weekly chart shows the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both averages Also the 21 and 34 week moving averages are pointing down.

The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us. At this point I think yes.  I'm thinking potentially deeper in the spring time frame in 2016.

“The future influences the present just as much as the past.”
-- Friedrich Nietzsche

Gold

Gold put in a  nominal 18 week cycle   ¹ trough on Dec 3rd. 2015 which has marked an important low.

This puts us entering the 12th week of the Primary cycle and entering the 6th week of the 2nd nominal 6 week cycle during this coming week. The nominal 6 week cycle has a range of 5 to 7 weeks. We may be near the peak of this cycle.

As we've mentioned before Mars in Scorpio often results in big moves in Gold both up and down. Mars entered Scorpio on Jan 3, 2016 and will leave Scorpio for Sagittarius on March 5, 2016. Due to retrograde motion Mars will be back in Scorpio later in the year, May 27th in fact, 1 day after a Jupiter / Saturn square.

In addition to Mars in Scorpio heliocentric Mercury entered Sagittarius on Feb 15th and will leave Sagittarius on Feb 26th, the date mentioned in the video above under the SP500. We often see large price moves when Mercury is in Sagittarius in stocks and particularly precious metals. Will this time period end the sharp move in Gold?   Watch the fib retracements on the following chart for both support and resistance areas. I'm looking for a high near Feb 25, 26 and then down to the Primary cycle low over the next few weeks. This could be a shortened Primary cycle.

The high so far was Feb 11th the same day the SP500 made it's Primary cycle low.

The following daily chart for Gold shows recent price action with the heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius (red x's). It also has a 14 cd cycle you can see in the bottom right area of the chart (orange vertical lines). If active it hits Feb 25th. Watch for Gold pullback. All dates are +- 2 td's at a minimum.

I'm expecting a bigger move in Gold later in the year, possibly at the end of this Primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle low. The move should be up. Subscribers have the potential dates.

The price lines on the following daily Gold chart take the longitudinal position of the planet and converts it to price. Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) have provided good support and resistance. Gold was stopped at the Jupiter price line 5 days ago and is sitting between the two price lines.. This is a potential pullback area but I think that's later next week.

Crude

The week of Feb 8th had another lower low and is now marked a Primary cycle trough. It was on Feb 11th (there's that date again) which has us in the 2nd week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. Bear in mind there are geopolitical issues affecting crude which can effect the price quickly and directly. With this in mind we could go lower. I would at least like to see the 15 day sma start to curl up.

I've been looking for Astrological aspects that hit Jupiter or Neptune. Both are co-rulers of crude. There is one on Feb 28th when the Sun conjuncts Neptune. This is particularly powerful as Neptune is in Pisces, the sign that it rules.

Many commodities and financials should be affected by the Saturn / Neptune waning square this year. This is a 3 pass with the last 2 occurring mid-Year and then September 2016. This is a 36 year cycle so looking back 36 years we had severe problems with the lack of crude and interest rates went over 20%. Things are never the same, but often close as we now have an abundance of crude and very low (negative?) interest rates approximately 36 years later. These longer term aspects color a period of history rather than a day, week or month.

Looking at the crude chart we see a Primary cycle low now on Feb 11. The last cycle is an example of a left translated cycle with the crest forming closer to the beginning trough. Left translated cycles are bearish, they simply spend more time going down than moving up. After 7 years of QE in the U.S. and loose monetary policy we haven't seen many left translated cycles for some time.

It appears we are now in the 2nd week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. I've mentioned before when a Primary cycle trough is formed it is usually bullish and we typically get a short dip cycle 2 - 3 weeks after the 18 week cycle trough. This gives traders the opportunity to get in if they missed the original trough. In this market this is a good strategy as the 18 week low could be lower a number of times as we wait for geopolitical events to unfold.

I'm in Canada where there appears to be some good buys but I'm waiting until I see a move above the Jan 28th high before considering even a short term trade.

Subscription

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2016 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in Jan) are available for purchase.

Financial Astrology - June 15, 2015

Subscription  - Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now available.

                      - This is the best time to subscribe for the 2nd half if you have been considering it.
                      - Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts                          for imminent trading opportunities
                      - We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses

SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 19th week of the Primary  ¹ cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

Being the 19th week we should be looking for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. I'm looking at May 20th to be that crest and we should therefore be headed down into the nominal 18 week cycle trough.  At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes.

DJIA               May 19, 2015

DJTI               Nov 28, 2014

SP500             May 20, 2015

NYSE             May 21, 2015

RUT               Apr 15, 2015

On the above chart price of the SP500, the 15 day sma is almost on the 45 day sma and

price is below both. Ideally we would like to see the 15 day sma below the 45 sma and price below both. We are getting close. I'm looking at 2080, 2066 or 2050 as potential targets for this Primary cycle trough for the SP500.

From last weeks market letter

"That said we also mentioned a few weeks ago an adjusted Bradley indicator (Bradley-Shramenko), the brown wavy line on the chart. It turned up on March 26 and the markets started to move lower. As we have said the indicator does not indicate polarity. So the indicator moving up when the market index is moving down is quite normal. The next turn is on Monday June 8th. IF the adjusted Bradley indicator is working this would indicate a turn up in the markets as the indicator moves down. I've been looking for a move down in the markets so Monday must be watched closely.

Also note the indicator has a shallow move on June 15th which could indicate a turn as well."

Back to this week

So we got the turn up on June 9th, a Doji . We are currently sitting 1 day before the next Bradley turn indicator and we turned down as expected. The question now is how deep we go for a nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs.

The nominal 18 week cycle low should be between Now - 07/06/2015 if it is a normal nominal 18 week cycle as the range is 15 to 21 weeks (see red line at bottom right hand corner). There are other indications for a move down reserved for subsribers.

Video

The other current cycle we've been following is the 168 td (trading day) cycle. Like last week the chart shows two possibilities shown as a blue vertical line (May 26th) and a black vertical line, coming up (June 18th).

I'm looking at the blue line on May 21st as being the crest of the 168 td cycle and another indication we should be moving down.

I'm looking for continued strife and discord. This could include social unrest, police shootings, accidents. Water and crude have been in the news and should continue with the emphasis on Neptune in it's own sign, Pisces and Mercury, also in it's own sign of Gemini, a mutable air sign. Mercury joins both the Sun and Mars in Gemini and the latter two will be conjunct on June 14 a signature that will emphasize hostile activity and with a history of sharp moves in the market given a broad range. This is  almost on the New Moon on June 16th which, at 25 degrees, 7 minutes in Gemini is within approx 3 degrees of the potentially troublesome fixed stars, Polaris and Betelgeuse.

This weekend also has Saturn Retrograde moving backward into Scorpio on June 14th. Intense Scorpio does not need Saturn. This is happening while Saturn is almost semi-square Pluto, the two thugs of the Zodiac. This is exact on June 20th and should emphasize the Saturn / Pluto energies. These two powerful bad guys are in mutual reception, that is Saturn is in Scorpio which Pluto rules and Pluto is in Capricorn which Saturn rules. This gives Pluto more support and staying power in it's role to change banking and money in general. Saturn in Scorpio creates tension and can effect the emotions in a negative way (depression?) and a detrimental effect on health. We could see a pandemic or other disease come to the fore while Saturn is in Scorpio (MERS?). Scorpio rules others peoples money so companies such as banking, stock markets, insurance, accounting and financial series may be made accountable when Saturn is in Scorpio, in this case with support from Pluto. This may take a number of weeks to develop, but there may be an initial shock. Watch bonds and watch out.

Neptune can rule things and events that are spiritual, Utopian ideals, socialism and things associated with hospitals. Neptune can also stand for lies, deceit, falsehoods, swindling, loss and lack of truth. Distorted truth may be coming from news outlets. Neptune turned retrograde on June 12th.

At any rate, Neptune is in a strong position in Pisces, the sign that it rules. As mentioned last week this should emphasize events dealing with water, crude and Natural Gas. Things that Neptune rules.

There are other transits pointing to a potential stronger move down, reserved for subscribers.

In summary I'm expecting the major US market indices to move down. This may have started on May 20th for the SP500. We may have seen the bounce I was expecting with Neptune turning Retrograde and now we move down into the nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs. This is my preferred outlook, particularly with the Saturn / Pluto aspects noted above. The FED may step in and juice the market higher but the Astros are pointing down.

One other option is we bounce and go up into the June 22 area where we have Jupiter trine Uranus. This aspect has a history of occurring near tops. This is not always the case. For example Jupiter trine Uranus occurred near the bottom of the October 1987 crash.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.

Gold

Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   ¹ trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 13th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as Mercury turning retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down. Gold could move lower here and may have seen the top for this nominal 18 week cycle. May 18th may have been the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. This was also 2 td's from the time Fib of 2.618 noted on previous posts. This was based on the move down in Gold from October 2012 to June 2013.

We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in the summer but reserved for subscribers. That cycle and others  with the placement of Jupiter in the summer may be pointing to a strong reversal in Gold. That is we move down into the July / August period for a low in Gold from which a large rally commences. More work needed here. I'm currently short the Gold miners.

As noted last week, Mercury retrograde has a strong history of changes in trend for Gold close to the retrograde date. In this case it was to the day. The direct date also has a history of changes in Gold price. That's June 11th this week. On the following chart the red arrow pointing left is the retrograde date, the blue arrow pointing right is the direct date, the red dot is the geocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction and the blue dot is the heliocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction. The I and S denote the Inferior and Superior conjunctions.

If we have just seen the crest, Gold should be moving down from here for a few weeks, potentially a couple of months. With the Astrological aspects Gold may be very volatile, like the main market indices.

From Last Week

"Heliocentric Mercury leaves Sagittarius and moves into Capricorn on June 7th. This may have a short term reversal effect for Gold."

Gold reversed up on June 8th.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke through the Jupiter price line early in the week and has followed it sideways.

Crude

This coming week of June 15 we should be entering the 13th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune aspects and the Neptune stationary retrograde date on June 12th. Like stocks and Gold, crude could be very volatile for the next few weeks. For example May 29th had Mercury waxing square to Neptune. There was almost a $3 swing up on Friday.

Other Astrological dates are reserved for subscribers.

Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. Since the shooting star doji on May 6th Crude has been in sideways consolidation. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves and news out of the mid-East.

As seen on the following chart the Neptune price line (green) gave resistance on June 10th and 11th then fell below on the date of Neptune turning retrograde.

Subscription

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available for purchase.

Financial Astrology - March 15, 2015

Subscription

SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are in the 7th week of a new Primary  ¹ cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

The difficult time in the market I have been mentioning for the last couple of months is upon us. There are three significant Astrological aspects occurring over the next week.

Being in the 7th week of this Primary cycle we should be looking for a trough in a possible 6 week cycle (5-7 weeks) or preparing to move lower, which is what the Astrological aspects are pointing to, into a 1/2 Primary cycle low. More price action is required to determine if this is a nominal 6 week sub cycle or a 1/2 Primary cycle but at this point I'm leaning to a 1/2 Primary cycle low in the next few weeks. This is mainly based on the difficult Astrological aspects in front of us.

One of the long term aspects we have followed for months is the 7th and last occurrence of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. This square has colored the world's history over the past few years and brought the issues of the 1960's into focus again. Uranus and Pluto were conjunct in the 1960's, the period that started a new Uranus / Pluto cycle. In the US this has included racial tension and the threat of war (Vietnam in the 60's). There are a number of wars on-going with possible new confrontations coming up shortly. On the world stage many populations had to deal with controlling governments in the 60's

One of the three Astrological events coming up is the March 20th, Total Solar Eclipse. This eclipse also has an association with war. Each eclipse is in a Saros cycle. It takes 3 successive eclipses to return to the same area. Eclipses in a Saros cycle takes approx. 18 years so 18 * 3 = 54 years. If we look back 54 years we are in the early 60's and the Cold war with Russia. There are many other similarities with the current period and the 1960's, a period of dramatic change in the world.

When looking at long term Astrological aspects and events, things don't occur exactly the same but the same issues are revisited often in a different form. The intelligent use of Astrology would warn governments of potential war and social unrest issues so they could take action before the issues manifest.

The following shows the eclipse paths for this eclipse and the previous Solar eclipse. Eclipses are world events, that is, any point on the planet, or the whole planet can be affected. The actual eclipse path often shows a more direct effect for the eclipse. In this case it appears there will be issues between Russia, Europe and the US. The fact that this eclipse is almost on the powerful world point (0 degrees Aries) may signal issues between these three countries / groups.

The last time there was a Solar Eclipse in aspect to the World Point was June 21, 2001, at 0 degrees Cancer approx. 1 1/2 months before 9/11. This eclipse is going to highlight Russia / Europe / USA issues.  There are two other important issues with this eclipse reserved for subscribers. I'm expecting a dramatic event and possibly war within the next 2 months and possibly very soon.

Note, on the above chart of the SP500, we  may have put in the crest of this 6 week cycle or 1/2 Primary cycle on Feb 25th. The 15 day sma is turning over while the 45 day sma is flat. Price is below both the 15 and 45 day sma's. I'm expecting this to move lower but we need more price action to confirm. We also have a potentially explosive FOMC meeting on March 17, 18th, the latter being almost on the exact waxing square between Uranus and Pluto.

We have adjusted the estimate for the next Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle to start near June 5th, 2015 with a range from May 11th to July 6th approx. Quite possibly into July.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper.

The SP500 also moved back below the mid-point support/resistance level (dark blue line) on the following chart I have been showing the past few weeks. The new Primary cycle broke above and now back below. This level should act as good resistance now at 2046.80. The price line is based on the average geocentric longitude of Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto. The average longitude is then converted to price and is seen on the following chart.

The war aspects we have mentioned many times appear to be the mid-East and Ukraine, although we had expected another area ( Pakistan, China?). Either the Uranus / Pluto square or Solar eclipse could be signaling more drastic security measures, deception, kidnappings, strife and discord or terror attacks. Remember these aspects/ events are for the world, not just one country. I'm listing the countries / areas that may be most affected in the subscribers letter.

This does not sound very pleasant but we should add, there is the potential for some type of natural disaster. With the larger planets being aspected we can't rule out geophysical events. Look for an increase in earthquakes above 5.5 to point to something more major. The powerful Solar eclipse is also a perigee New Moon aka "Super Moon" by Riched Nolle, often a period of earth disturbances and violent weather / disasters. Disasters meaning "Away from the Stars".

I will be watching March 18th at 2:00pm for the FOMC announcement.

Fibonacci expansion values based on the period from the Oct 2007 high to the March 2009 low.

This weekly chart shows the Fib expansion values that hit on the week of March 2, 2015, very close to the start of the move down.

Gold

Gold put in a trough on Nov 7th. This puts us in the 19th week of it's Primary cycle   ¹  (nominal 18 week) during this coming week.

Gold continues down. Last week there were two Astrological signatures that have a history of occurring at Primary cycle turns. These may identify the time period for a Primary cycle trough due in the next 4-5 weeks and possibly much earlier.

Note, Gold has stooped at the 88.6 % retracement. This is an extended Fib level.

78.6% = square root of 61.8

88.6% = square root of 78.6%

Gold appears to be testing the Nov 7th low which was the start of this Primary cycle. A successful test and bounce from here would be at least short term positive. A move below the Nov 7th, 2014 lows would be very negative. Longer term I'm looking for Gold to move much higher. This should be 2nd half 2015 into 2016.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold moved down this week but seems to have found support at the Venus price line (green). It may follow the Venus price line up. Watch the Venus and Jupiter price lines for possible support and a place for the trough.

Crude

I'm looking for Astrological aspects which would equate to a move in crude. I'll be looking for aspects that involve, Jupiter, Neptune or Pluto. So far none have had an effect on Crude, in fact Crude appears to be meandering sideways to down and like Gold may be about to test the Jan 29 lows. Watch the days around March 23, April 6, April 8th and April 16th, 17th. Jupiter and Neptune co-rule crude while Pluto is relevant because it rules hidden things and things from the ground.

This coming week of March 16th should be the 7th week of a Primary cycle which started Jan 29, 2015 and in the time frame for a nominal 6 week cycle trough although geopolitical, supply and demand appear to be bigger factors at this time.

The following daily chart shows the 15 day sma is now above the 45 day sma, which is bullish, but the 15 day sma has turned down and is about to cross the 45 day sma, and price is below both. The latter is negative and crude is about to start of the 7th week may be going down into a trough. With the other negative Astrological aspects and events crude may continue being very volatile over the next few weeks.

As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (dark orange) should give support in the 49.50 area. If this area is broken we may be going down for a retest of the Jan 29th lows.

Subscription

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.

Financial Astrology - October 19, 2014

Subscription

Summary

Another week of volatility ahead. The Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd is the most obvious but there are other critical dates for trading. Subscribers have these dates. Volatility should continue as should the Ebola pandemic. The Solar eclipse path is pointing to increased tensions between Russia and the USA and maybe their leaders. This may not be immediate but watch the news. This eclipse may also affect the British Royals.

Volatility in the markets should continue with a number of astrological events which should affect the markets. Beyond the eclipse there is a forming grand trine with Venus (including the eclipse point), Neptune and Hades a Uranian point. These are pointing to further disease problems although I had thought a water borne disease but is probably Ebola. The Uranus / Pluto waxing square is coming back in focus with Pluto moving forward while Uranus continues retrograde. The meaning of this important square has been covered in previous posts.

SP500

We are entering the 11th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  ¹ (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th.

We may be seeing the start of a 1/2 Primary  ¹ At this point in the cycle, which started on Aug 7th, looks very left translated meaning this would be a very bearish 18 week cycle. Although it's too early to call for the end of the bull market, this type of cycle pattern is usually seen in bear markets. The high on Sept 19th will probably be the high for this 18 week nominal cycle and may be a high of significance which will be a high for some period of time.

Following is the SP500 and shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.

Red squares are Mercury turning retrograde and the blue squares are Mercury returning to direct motion. The recent dates are Oct 4 for Mercury turning retrograde and Oct 25 Mercury turning direct. The description of the Mercury inferior conjunction was in the subscribers market letter. These dates alone often mark trend changes. Friday Oct 24 is also 55 td's (trading days) from the Aug 7th low.

We'll take the focus off the market cycles and concentrate on the Astrological events in front of us this month. As predicted this has been a very volatile month in the markets and world events. Subscribers have the dates and potential trading approach. We can't show all forecast dates and events as some information is reserved for subscribers. I can say I was up more than $99 squared shortly after the Oct 8th Lunar eclipse.

Oct 23 is the date for the Solar eclipse. There are other dates coming up that should affect the markets as well. Very volatile conditions still apply. FED squawking probably will not help. Any news of continuing QE3 or it's equivalent would be bullish short term. If at any time price goes below the Oct 15th low be very careful. There is little support below this area. As I'll be short this would be good news.

We've been following the Uranus / Pluto waxing square for some time. Due to retrograde motion this has been a 7 pass with the last two exact squares coming up on Dec 15, 2014 and then March 17, 2015.

We had mentioned illness / epidemic in the Oct 4th post. The Solar eclipse takes place in the early degrees of Scorpio and is almost conjunct Venus. Scorpio is associated with birth, sex and death. In mundane astrology this includes larger survival and mortality issues that affect society. The Solar eclipse will emphasize Scorpio as there are 4 planets in Scorpio. An example is the early 80's when Saturn and Pluto traveled through Scorpio. There was an increased awareness of safe sex and the aids pandemic came into focus.

Scorpio also rules over other people's money, debt and those industries that control other people's money. This would include banks, central banks, large funds, life insurance and any companies in the financial service industries and the world's financial system itself.

In mundane astrology Neptune is associated with epidemics and diseases of all kinds. During this eclipse Neptune is in a grand trine with the Solar eclipse point (incl. Venus) and Hades. Hades ² is a Uranian point and can be quite nasty. Although associated with antiquities it also rules ruins, waste and deprivation. It is decay, death and the process of breakdown that occurs when living organisms die and return back to the soil. The bright side, if there is one, is that life is reborn out of the ashes of prior life. Look for a possible increase in the current Ebola crisis, other possible water borne disease and any news of findings concerning antiquities.

The grand trine, mentioned above is all in water signs. These are the emotional signs. Trading and emotions don't mix well.

Space does not permit, but this eclipse may be associated with the British Royals. I'll bring this up in a future letter as this eclipse point gets hit by other transiting planets. Watch for news on the Royals next week.

These two eclipses (Lunar and Solar) should cause events that remind everyone the world's financial system is still unstable. We will get out of this but unfortunately not before we go through some tough times, or continued tough times for many. I'm looking past 2020 before we can say we are out of the financial mess. The Solar eclipse also can stir up geophysical problems and possibly violent weather where the eastern seaboard of the US may be hit.

The subscribers will have more details on these two powerful eclipses.

Mars will be in Sagittarius until October 26th. Expect volatility in many markets from this transit and the other major transits noted above. Mars is also "Out Of Bounds" by declination, also emphasizing volatility.

The Uranus and Pluto waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.

Gold

Gold is in the 3rd week of it's Primary cycle   ¹  (nominal 18 week). I'm looking at this as the 3rd week of a new Primary ¹ and this would be the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary. For those who have been reading these letters for awhile I look for a pull-back in the first 2-3 weeks of a New Primary  ¹  . We may see this early next week. It may have already started with the last two days lower.

I'm looking for Gold to hit the 50% retracement around 1265 for this first 6 week cycle. Currently price is above the 15 day sma and bounced off the 45 day sma, a bearish move.

The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart.

Silver is in the 3rd or 21st week of it's Primary cycle cycle  ¹ . Like Gold, silver may have just put in a Primary low and the bounce could be the start of a new Primary..

The following chart shows the Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. Silver is currently running up the Jupiter price line. If it is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise away from the price line.

Crude

We are in either the first week of a new Primary ¹ cycle or the 25th week of an older Primary ¹ cycle in crude. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

There are many reason, US and Saudi intentionally over producing to drive out high cost producers and hurt Russia, ISIS and Iran. This plan seems to be working but there are always unforeseen repercussions. Western governments collect a lot of tax revenue from the price at the pump. If it is down the government revenues are down. Crude may be reflecting the real world economy. When crude does bounce it will probably be to lower highs.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Oct 20 Sun parallel Neptune

Oct 27 Venus trine Neptune trine Hades (This may be disease central)

Oct 28 Sun trine Neptune. I like this one best but be on guard for any of the above.

On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to early November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart (2 pages down) shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

Subscription

Financial Astrology - August 3, 2014

Subscription

From July 13, 2014 Market letter, page 6

"Allow me to add July 28-31 to the forecast date list. This is a time period where Venus will be in T-Square to the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. Venus rules resources and money. Both may be under stress during this short period."

So we added July 28-31 to the list of forecast dates on July 13th. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows these two aspects. Venus opposition Pluto is the red double arrow and Venus squared Uranus is the red square.

So we finally got the big move we have been waiting for. Are we out of the woods? Probably not, although we may have a short term bounce this week.

From last weeks blog post.

" What is coming up in August looks nasty. I've mentioned July 20 had Saturn turning direct and July 21 Uranus turning retrograde. I've also mentioned in previous posts there is a time window around the dates of retrograde and direct movement. The above mentioned time windows extend to Aug 8 when the Sun trines Uranus and Aug 9th the Sun squares Saturn. That weekend there is another perigee Full Moon on Aug 10th (or Super Moon). Saturn is in a T-Square configuration to this Super Moon. Watched out for major accidents, violent weather and geophysical events.

The above are stressing Saturn which is in the sign of Scorpio. Both Saturn and Pluto transiting Scorpio have a history of epidemics and general health concerns. Currently there is an Ebola outbreak in Africa and a possible bubonic plague occurrence in China. With Saturn in Scorpio and Mars catching up to Saturn with a conjunction on Aug 25th, I would expect these epidemic outbreaks to worsen in the month of August.

Saturn in Scorpio can also represent changes in tax structure and problems with debt. Portugal has had some recent bank debt problems. I expect there will be more."

In addition to the above we may see increased geopolitical tensions, although it's difficult seeing them increased.

Since we are reviewing previous posts content I should mention the Primary cycle. I've been questioned by one reader why I mention the Primary cycle when this is an Astrological blog. The answer is, the stock market has cycles separate from the Astrological cycles. The Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) is one of many cycles in the stock market. I use the Primary cycle, it's sub-cycles and longer term market cycles to approximate where the market will change trend. I then look at the main Astrological events that fine tune my forecast of where the market changes trend. I do this for the sub-cycles as well i.e. the Major cycle ( nominal 6 week cycle which has a range of 5-7 weeks).

Last week I brought up the subject of changing the Primary cycle count from a start on Feb 5, 2014 to May 15, 2014 for the SP500. I changed the count for the DJIA and Nasdaq as well. With the dramatic move down in all the indices we track I must reconsider the Primary cycle count.

If Feb 5th was the last Primary cycle count then this is the 25th week. This is just outside our normal range of 15-23 weeks.

If May 15th was the last Primary cycle count then this is the 11th week of a newer Primary cycle.

The Dow had a larger percentage drop and has the same Primary cycle issue. Are we in at the end of a Primary cycle which started Feb 5th or in the middle of a newer Primary which started May 15th.

To resolve this question I'm watching the retracement levels for this move down. Primary cycle troughs usually get back to the 38.2% - 61.8% retracement levels.

The following daily chart of the SP500 assumes the retracement from the May 15th date. You can see we are "in the box" between the 38.2% and 61.8% retracements. In fact we are very close to the 50% level, a level which is often the trough.

The next chart is the same as above except it assumes the retracement from the Feb 15th, 2014 Primary cycle trough. This shows we have only hit the 23.6% retracement level. This would be deemed as shallow or we have quite a bit more down-side, which is quite possible.

Similar analysis can be done for the Dow or Nasdaq.

Watch these areas this week. We may get an early bounce but there are some rough transits on the week-end of Aug 9th including another perigee Full Moon (aka Super Moon -- Richard Nolle ). On the physical plane, Super Moons have been associated with geophysical events (large earthquakes and volcanic activity) and violent weather. Some would say this violence is also peeked in man's activity.

My comments on crude and key dates involving crude and mid-Eastern agreements or changes in power structure were given to subscribers a few weeks ago. They will be upon us soon.

Also mentioned were Mars and Saturn in the sign of Scorpio and their history with epidemics. These two planets will be conjunct later in the month. This may point to a peak in epidemic activity or the beginning. With Saturn involved, this latest Ebola or other epidemic may be with us for some time.

For those who are into mid-points in Astrology, the following is from COSI "Combination Of Stellar Influences" published in 1940. This is for the Mars / Saturn conjunction on the Moon / North Node mid-point.

"The system of self-defense against infection in the human body. Sufferings, disadvantages or losses through associations. Death through suffocation."

It get's worse if I look at the 90 degree mid-points which hits the Sun / Neptune 90 degree mid-points so I'll leave it at that.

Aug 25th is 1,998 cd's (calendar days) from the March 6, 2009 low on the SP500 which was 666. 1998 = 666 * 3. Watch this date.

I had mentioned problems with debt and we have continued debt problems with Portuguese banks and now Argentina. Watch closely, there should be more debt problems to come. I'm looking at Europe but there may be other countries.

Gold

Gold is in the 9th week of it's Primary cycle and may have just put in a trough for the first Major cycle (6 week, with a range of 5-7 weeks) of the Primary. Note the move down stopped on the 61.8% retracement level last Thursday and moved up on Friday, Aug 1st the day Venus squared Uranus and trined Saturn and Mars squared Jupiter. Remember Mars has just entered Scorpio and has a strong history of moves up when it is in Scorpio.

From last weeks blog.

" Any move below $1280,on strong volume and I will be out." Spot Gold bottomed at 1280.14 on Friday August 1st. The October contract bottomed at 1280.50 on the same day.

So I'm holding, but will adhere to the " Any move below $1280,on strong volume and I will be out." The move up on Friday stopped at the 45 day sma and any move down in Gold will have the 15 day sma crossing down through the 45 day sma. This would be very negative.

Where Gold goes early next week is very important. What we need to see is Gold taking out the high on July 10th then the high on March 17th (i.e. previous highs).

We may be in a symmetrical triangle, light blue lines. Price often exits a symmetrical triangle in the same direction it entered it. In this case up.

Silver is in the 10th week of it's Primary cycle. It looks like we put in a 1/2 Primary top on July 10th and are in the time frame for a 1/2 Primary bottom. We are just past the 38.2% retracement (we're in the box) of the move up from May 30th to July 10th.

Crude

We are in the 14th week of the Primary cycle in crude. The current cycle appears to be  left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. A stronger US$ is not good for crude, at least WTIC.

The whole crude picture world-wide is changing. The US is becoming a major supplier while fighting in the mid-East is affecting production and transport. Turkey is accepting crude from the Kurd's who have taken over oil fields in northern Iraq during the ISIS upheaval. Turkey is loading this crude into tankers but I don't know the destination. A number of countries are preparing to trade crude and other commodities in something other than the US$. This would mean the world needs less US bucks and they become less important for international trade.

All these problems are occurring around the dates we sent to subscribers a few weeks ago. The dates concerned crude, countries producing crude, agreements between these countries including crude production and changes in head's of state of crude producing countries.

Previously I've mentioned the issue with the US$ and international trade being largely conducted in US$ for many decades. This may be changing.

Subscribers, have had critical dates for a few weeks.

There are some other issues regarding crude. There has been a dramatic increase in small earthquakes in the states of Kansas and Oklahoma. Some are pointing to waste water pumped into the ground after drilling shale projects as the problem. This situation needs to be monitored closely. The last thing we should be doing is wasting water. Neptune, which rules water, amongst other things is in it's own sign, Pisces. It's importance should increase over the next few years.

Other items, US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.