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SP500
The last Primary cycle low was February 9th. The standard for the
Primary cycle is 18 weeks. This was
late at the 23th week but this may
be distorted as there are other longer-term cycles due. This may have been the
9-month cycle trough as well. Longer tern cycles may push the Primary cycle
further out.
The SP500 Primary cycle has a
range from 15 to 23 weeks so we were
at the limit. The high for this Primary cycle was 2872.87 on January 26th. The high for the COMPQX was Friday March 9th as of this writing.
This puts us entering the 8th weeks in a new Primary
cycle. We may have seen the nominal 6th
week trough on March 23 remembering we could get a 9 – 9 ½ week cycle
instead. The 6 and 9 ½ are sub cycles of
the Primary cycle. The move down on March 23 could be the nominal 6 week cycle
trough. If so, this Primary cycle may be
unfolding as a 3 pass.
The current 4 year cycle for the SP500 started on Feb 11, 2016. We should be looking for a 15.5 month cycle low.
There are typically 3 - 15.5 month cycles in the 4 year cycles.
The 4 year may have 3 -15.5 month cycles and / or 2 - 23 month cycles
(a half cycle).
The Primary cycle that started
on Feb 9th will form an
ending trough near the week of June 11th.
I’m looking for a low in May or June, probably May.
We don’t often repeat all our
calls but the February low was forecast on a number of blog posts in January.
It is Pluto conjunct the helio-nodes of
Pluto for Feb 8th.
The last blog post had the Mercury retrograde dates and possible
turns.
Those dates were:
Mercury Retrograde March 22
Inferior Conjunction April 1st
(watch April 2)
Mercury Direct April 15th (watch April
16)
There is one more date, May 3. This is the date Mercury returns
to the place it went retrograde.
The key Astro activity over the
next couple of weeks has Mars very active. Look for terrorist events, military
maneuvers and hostilities.
March 29 Sun square Saturn
Suppressed
energy, serious persons, seclusion, inhibitions, mental or physical
development. There was a powerful
earthquake and tsunami on March 29th
April 1 Mercury Inferior conjunction.
April 2 Mars conjunct Saturn
Harming or
destroying energy, violence or health destroying power. Paralysis of the
muscles belonging to breathing.
April 4 Mercury
squared Mars
The power of
resolution or determination, the love of discussion or argument, the ability of
judgment. Mercury is currently retrograde, a period one should mot make
important decisions but instead prepare for a potential decision after Mercury
turns direct Important decisions include things like trading stocks. This is a
period to be very careful.
The last two weeks of March has
challenging aspects from the FED natal
chart to the current transits to that FED chart. I will base this on March
28th. Understand the aspects can affect a number of days either
side.
Transiting Uranus in the 10th
house squares natal Neptune in the 1st house. This could represent
sudden change in politics in a country.
Transiting Venus in the 10th
house conjuncts transiting Uranus. With the previous signature this could
represent a change / problem in currency or money supply.
Transiting Pluto conjunct
Jupiter has a strong history of powerful cycles in the US indices. Watch this
with the previous signature. There may be problems with currencies.
The 15 day sma on the SP500
chart is moving down. The 15 day sma is also below the 45 day sma which is also
rolling over. Price is below both the 15 and 45 sma. This is a negative setup.
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week) on Feb 9th.
- 9
month cycle
- 5
week.
The Primary Cycles
We may have seen the lows on
March 23. This was the retest of the low on Feb 9th. If March 23 was
the nominal 6 week low and retest then we would usually expect the SP500 to
rise next week, somewhat opposite of the analysis of price. Mars continues to
be an issue and there are implications of war. Russia vs the US etc.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It is due and it was late but appears
to be forming last week. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical
lines)
The 3.8 – 4 Year
The above weekly chart of the
SP500 shows the synodic cycle for Mars
and Vesta. The red circles are the conjunction of the two and the green
double arrows are the middle of the cycle. These are the heliocentric aspects
(Sun centered).
Note how the conjunction is
often at a top with a quick decline. The next Mars / Vesta conjunction is April 23,
2018.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
Feb 25 Papua New Guinea 7.5
Mar 6 Papua New Guinea 6.7
Mar 8 Papua New Guinea 6.8
Mar 24 Papua New Guinea 6.3
Mar 24 Southeast Indian Ridge 6.3
Mar 25 Indonesia 6.4
Mar 26 Papua New Guinea 6.6
Mar 29 Papua New Guinea 6.9
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA shows the 15
year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The
15 year is due now, the 45 year due in Sept 2019.
In May Uranus will enter Taurus. Look for financial or banking system
problems or changes. Uranus will go retrograde and then move backward into
Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may also be a problem in currencies.
Generally speaking the first
couple of months of 2018 should be volatile. There are 2 Super Moons and 2
Eclipses and many Mars contacts.
The above combination, with
Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population,
particularly the mature population (pensions?) and with the Sun could affect
the President or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years
in the future as Saturn is in a sign for approx. 2 ½ years. Other conditions
this may highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in
general. State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to
metals and mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the
Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price line (green). Both of these
price lines have a history of providing support and resistance.
When the two lines cross we often see a big range
day or reversal. Note how price went down and stopped on the Sun / Earth Price
Line. Price touched the Sun (thick blue) price line today but finished close to
the next
The blue horizontal lines are the Jupiter price
line. The thicker blue line just above price may act as solid resistance to any
move up in price. The two lines will cross again on March 13 which is a trine
between the Sun and Jupiter. This signature would typically be indicating a
positive mood in the market but remember, Jupiter can stand for something that
is overdone.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for
short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the
following daily chart. The blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The next hit was March 29, 2018 and was a big range day.
The next dates are May 14, 2018 then
June 27th. I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn – black
-
Uranus – purple
-
Neptune - light blue
Note the date, Feb 9th, 2018 was the day of the low and a big range
day.
These price lines can act as support / resistance. It
has been at highs and lows. Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in
price on a short-term basis. Also note, near the top of the chart is a light
blue line. This is the Neptune Price Line. Note how it has been strong
resistance to price but has broken through. It should act as strong support
when the market turns down.
Gold
Gold started a new
Primary cycle on December 12. We are
entering the 16th week of a Primary
cycle. Watch Gold closely here, we may have just put in a shortened Primary cycle
or Gold is preparing to move down into the Primary cycle trough. The 18 week low is the week of April 16 and April 17, 18 possible low dates.
Gold
has been moving up as the US$ has moved down. It was / is important for Gold to
stay above 1309.
I’m
watching Gold to see if it breaks above the
Jan 25 high or Feb 16 highs.
Price
is just below the 45 sma and on the 15 day sma. The 15 sma and 45 day sma are
flat.
The following chart shows
seasonal tendencies for Gold. The 2nd half of the year, on average, is up.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle
is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still early in the latest 7.4
year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being April 9,
2018. The Moon takes 27 days to
orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. We went through the
Mars price line. Moving below the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we
need to move above the darker red Mars price line. It may hit resistance. Price
went through the next Mars price line and is just under it.
The 27cd cycle (Blue vertical
line) showed a turn on March 13th. There was also a Jupiter
semi-square Saturn signature on March 14th. These may have been the
start of a move down. I
was l
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note
price went down to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this
using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The last
date was March 17.. These can be at highs or lows. Dec 8 was Mars entering
Scorpio the sign that it rules. Note on
the chart, Mars changing signs, to any sign, often has a change in trend in
Gold price.. The last red circle shows Mars entering Sagittarius on January 26th. The next sign was
Mars entering Capricorn on March 17th.
Expect a change in trend. Then mark down May 15th as the next time Mars changes signs.
Crude
We were looking at February 9th as being the trough of the
Primary cycle. We are 7 weeks along. Crude price has moved above
the 45 day sma and the 15 day sma and was
making a strong move up then pulled back for 3 days and on March 29 stopped at
the planetary average line (blue line).
A high in crude next week would
be the next phase of the 8 – 9 week cycle progression. I’ll be watching
for that and the potential pull back which should occur shortly afterward.
My understanding is that China will start trading oil contracts
priced in Yuan on March 26th
I'm not expecting anything immediate but this should affect the
US based Petrodollar. Over some time, which may not be long this should be a
big issue as it has the potential to hurt the US based Petrodollar.
The Shanghai exchange already trades physical Gold and other
countries could get paid in physical Gold instead of the Yuan.
The next couple of weeks should be very interesting.
It is quite possible we make
another low or at least attempt a low. Neptune
rules Pisces, the sign it is currently in and Jupiter is the co-ruler.
The horizontal blue lines on the
chart below are the average longitude of
the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue). Note how
price stopped on August 1 and August 31,
right on the average longitude. See it again on Sept 14 and now Jan 16, 2018 which was also a 27 td
(trading day’s). Now the last few day got support at the blue planet average line.
The horizontal red lines are the
Fibonacci retracement from Nov 14, 2016 to Feb 21, 2017.
Watch the red Fibonacci
retracement lines and the blue planetary averages.
On the following daily chart of Crude
note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the Sun/Earth. The
blue lines moving horizontal is the Pluto price line (blue). The Pluto price
line acted as support on March 1st and 2nd
and again on March 9th, although on March 9th crude
made a strong move during the day.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We often get big range days when the
two lines cross, like October 27th.and Nov 22 and recently March 23rd.
Last Thursday March 29 crude hit resistance at the Pluto price line.
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