Our posts are now reported on
the highly regarded FXStreet.com.
SP500
The last Primary cycle low was February 9th. The standard for the
Primary cycle is 18 weeks. We
appeared to have put in the Primary cycle trough on February 9th at a low of 2532.69. This was late at the 23th
week but this may be distorted as there are other longer-term cycles due. This
may have been the 9-month cycle trough as well. Longer tern cycles may push the
Primary cycle further out.
The SP500 Primary cycle has a
range from 15 to 23 weeks so we were
at the limit. The high for this Primary cycle was 2872.87 on January 26th. The high for the COMPQX was Friday March 9th as of this writing.
This puts us 5 weeks along in a new Primary cycle. We
often get a short pull back in the 2nd to 3rd week at the
start of a new Primary cycle. We may have just seen that pull back, remembering
the longer-term cycles may push the Primary cycle out further.
We should be watching for a
potential pull back into the 6th week trough remembering we could
get a 9 – 9 ½ week cycle instead. The 6 and 9 and 9 ½ are sub cycles of the
Primary cycle.
The key Astro activity over the
next couple of weeks are the Sun and Mars
changing signs, Mercury turning
retrograde and Mars aspects. Mars
is about to get more active as it makes a number of aspects to other key
planets.
March 17 Mars enters Capricorn.
Mars,
being energetic, forceful, violent, destructive, and strongly discordant.
Mars powered by Capricorn has a quiet strength that you
sense and know not to mess with. The will of Mars is strong, this being a cardinal
sign. It's also one with a lot of patience, and the ability to deny short term
gratification, in favor of something down the road.
March 20 The Sun is thought,
politics and executive and administration. In politics, bosses and the ruling
class. Mars add strength and fortitude. Sun the Aries, the spring equinox, Mars
rules Aries. The Sun in sign of Mars has strength
March 22 Mercury turns retrograde
Mercury goes
retrograde approx. every 3 months and stays retrograde for 19 to 24 days.
Mercury rules correspondence, commerce, buying and selling, short term
communication and negotiations. For trading don’t hold on to stocks too long.
Mars
quintile Neptune
Confusion
March 23 Venus waxing square Pluto
Has a history
of occurring unexpectedly? These tend to be strong signatures which can result
in a sharp change in trend.
March 24 Sun squares Mars
This
is the weakest of the Sun Mars aspects.
The last two weeks of March has
challenging aspects from the FED natal
chart to the current transits to that FED chart. I will base this on March
28th. Understand the aspects can affect a number of days either
side.
Transiting Uranus in the 10th
house squares natal Neptune in the 1st house. This could represent
sudden change in politics in a country.
Transiting Venus in the 10th
house conjuncts transiting Uranus. With the previous signature this could
represent a change / problem in currency or money supply.
Transiting Pluto conjunct
Jupiter has a strong history of powerful cycles in the US indices. Watch this
with the previous signature. There may be problems with currencies.
The 15 day sma on the SP500
chart is flat to moving over. It is just below price. The 15 day sma is also
below the 45 day sma which is flat and on price. I am looking for price to move
down into a 6 week cycle trough.
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week) on Feb 9th.
- 9
month cycle
- 5
week.
These are all coming due. See
the charts below
The Primary Cycles
The week of Feb 4 had Pluto conjunct the
heliocentric nodes of Pluto which should give Pluto more power. This was
exact on Feb. 8th, 2018.
This moves very slowly and I think the
cause of the move down. The last time it occurred was Feb 20, 1772 just before 1776. This needs a broad orb +- weeks. There
were a number of other factors pointing to a move down but Pluto conjunct the heliocentric nodes of Pluto seems most precise. For
big moves there are usually multiple Astrological aspects and / or events.
Pluto stands for major change,
breakdown and regeneration. Pluto can also stand for political breakdown,
organized crime and secret intelligence. We have seen all the above in the US.
Pluto also rules banking systems, stock and shares, manipulation and
corruption. It was due. It could also be the source of the long move up. This
Pluto aspect will be exact two more times in 2018 due to retrograde motion,
July 11 and Dec 15th.
So we may see some sudden event
early in the week indicating something has been overdone.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9
month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It is due and it was late but appears
to be forming last week. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical
lines)
The 3.8 – 4 Year
The above weekly chart of the
SP500 shows the synodic cycle for Mars
and Vesta. The red circles are the conjunction of the two and the green
double arrows are the middle of the cycle. These are the heliocentric aspects
(Sun centered).
Note how the conjunction is
often at a top with a quick decline. The next Mars / Vesta conjunction is April 23,
2018.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant
earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
Feb 25 Papua New Guinea 7.5
There has been a number of
volcano’s erupting as well.
On a longer term basis the
following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows the 15 year cycle (red
vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle
(blue lines). The 15 year is due now,
the 45 year due in Sept 2019.
In May Uranus will enter Taurus. Look for financial or banking system
problems or changes. Uranus will go retrograde and then move backward into
Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may also be a problem in currencies.
Generally speaking the first
couple of months of 2018 should be volatile. There are 2 Super Moons and 2
Eclipses.
The above combination, with
Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population,
particularly the mature population (pensions?) and with the Sun could affect
the President or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years
in the future as Saturn is in a sign for approx. 2 ½ years. Other conditions
this may highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in
general. State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to
metals and mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the
Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price line (green). Both of these
price lines have a history of providing support and resistance.
When the two lines cross we often see a big range
day or reversal. Note how price went down and stopped on the Sun / Earth Price
Line. Price touched the Sun (thick blue) price line today but finished close to
the next
The blue horizontal lines are the Jupiter price
line. The thicker blue line just above price may act as solid resistance to any
move up in price. The two lines will doss again on March 13 which is a trine
between the Sun and Jupiter. This signature would typically be indicating a
positive mood in the market but remember, Jupiter can stand for something that
is overdone.
The month of March is open to high drama with
possible major surprises out of Washington DC.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for
short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the
following daily chart. The blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The next hit is March 29, 2018 and May 14, 2018 I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn – black
-
Uranus – purple
-
Neptune - light blue
Note the date, Feb 9th, 2018 was the day of the low and a big range
day.
These price lines can act as support / resistance. It
has been at highs and lows. Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in
price on a short-term basis. Also note, near the top of the chart is a light blue
line. This is the Neptune Price Line. Note how it has been strong resistance to
price but has broken through. It should act as strong support when the market
turns down.
Mercury Retrograde
This week we have Mercury turning retrograde on March 22nd. The inferior conjunction
between Mercury and the Sun occurs on April
1st and Mercury turns direct again on April 15th. Any one of these three dates could see a change in
trend close by. I have placed this description between the SP500 and Gold. The
samples charts are for Gold.
As a reminder the two planets inside the Earth's orbit are
Mercury and Venus. Both can have inferior and superior conjunctions depending
on whether they are on the Earth’s side of the Sun or the far side of the Sun.
Inferior conjunction
Superior
The following chart shows Mercury retrograde (red arrow
pointing left), Mercury turning direct (blue arrow pointing right), the
geocentric inferior conjunction (small red circle) and the heliocentric
conjunction (small blue circle) on the same day. They are on a daily Gold chart. Note the swings in the SP500 and Gold charts on any of those dates in the past.
This Mercury retrograde period is occurring in Aries, a
Cardinal, Fire sign. Mercury also rules communication, commerce and trading,
that is buying and selling. It has a reputation for problems, both
communication, contracts and wrong decisions or choices. Pay close attention to
moves in stocks or Gold when Mercury is retrograde. Note the 3 dates above. The
Mercury retrograde period is known to be volatile.
Gold
Gold started a new
Primary cycle on December 12. We are
entering the 13th week of a new
Primary cycle. December 12 was close to the Mars entering Scorpio mentioned a
few weeks ago.
Gold
has been moving up as the US$ has moved down. It is important for Gold to stay
above 1309. Look back to see days that could act as support around $1309.
We
have seen the crest of the nominal 6-week cycle on January 25th and then
a nominal 6 week cycle trough. To
continue up, Gold needed to move above the Jan 25 high.
March 14th
or early in the week may
have been critical for precious metals.
Price
is below the 45 sma and the 15 day sma. The 15 sma is curling over while the 45
day sma is moving sideways. This looks like Gold is trying to turn down.
The following chart shows
seasonal tendencies for Gold. The 2nd half of the year, on average, is up.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle
is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still early in the latest 7.4
year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being March 13,
2018. The Moon takes 27 days to
orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. We went through the
Mars price line. Moving below the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we
need to move above the Mars price line. It may hit resistance. Price went
through the next Mars price line and is sitting on it.
The 27cd cycle (Blue vertical
line) showed a turn on March 13th. There was also a Jupiter
semi-square Saturn signature on March 14th. These may have been the
start of a move down. I was looking for this time frame to be a move up..
Looking at this whole chart it
is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to
the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note
price went down to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this
using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The last
date was Jan 26th. These can be at highs or lows. Dec 8 was Mars entering
Scorpio the sign that it rules. Note on
the chart, Mars changing signs, to any sign, often has a change in trend in
Gold price. The blue circles highlight when Mars enters Scorpio, the sign that
it rules. The last red circle shows Mars entering Sagittarius on January 26th. The next sign is
Mars entering Capricorn on March 17th.
Expect a change in trend.
Crude
We were looking at February 9th as being the trough of the
Primary cycle. We are 5 weeks along, remembering we often get
a pullback near the 1st 2 – 3 week period of a New Primary. Crude price has
moved below the 45 day sma and the 15
day sma but made a strong move up on March 16th.
It is quite possible we make
another low or at least attempt a low. Neptune
rules Pisces, the sign it is currently in and Jupiter is the co-ruler. The week
of March 12 had the Sun in trine with Jupiter just after it
turned retrograde and thus appears slower than usual These signatures may affect
the price of crude and / or NatGas.
The horizontal blue lines on the
chart below are the average longitude of
the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue). Note how
price stopped on August 1 and August 31,
right on the average longitude. See it again on Sept 14 and now Jan 16, 2018 which was also a 27 td
(trading day’s). Now the last few days have got support at the blue planet
average line as well.
The horizontal red lines are the
Fibonacci retracement from Nov 14, 2016 to Feb 21, 2017.
Watch the red Fibonacci
retracement lines and the blue planetary averages. Crude price made a strong
move on Friday March 16. I had expected
some resistance at this level. Note the 15 and 45 day sma are curling over. The
next level is currently at 64.68.
On the following daily chart of
crude note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the
Sun/Earth. The blue lines moving horizontal is the Pluto price line (blue). The
Pluto price line acted as support on March 1st and 2nd
and again on March 9th, although on March 9th crude
made a strong move during the day.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We
often get big range days when the two lines cross, like October 27th.and
Nov 22.
Watch March 23rd where the Sun
price line crosses the Pluto price line. We often see a big range day or a
change in trend.
Yes
ReplyDeleteThis wwas great to read
ReplyDelete