Sunday, October 26, 2014

Financial Astrology - Oct. 26, 2014


Summary
Another week of volatility ahead. Last week we had the Oct 22 pullback but were surprised at the strength on Oct 23, 24. Nevertheless we are looking for lower prices in the SP500 near the start of the week. Giving the Solar eclipse date +- 3 td's (trading days) we are still in the eclipse window. We also have a number of signatures for a change in trend including Mercury direct on Oct 25, Mars enters Capricorn on Oct 26th and the Sun trine Neptune on Oct 29. On Oct 27th there is a grand trine which is having an effect over a longer period of time and may be the trigger for more Ebola incidents. See comments further down.

With volatility news of the Ebola pandemic should continue. The Solar eclipse path was pointing to increased tensions between Russia and the USA and maybe their leaders. This may not be immediate but watch the news. This eclipse may also affect the British Royals. Also watch the news.

Beyond the eclipse there is a forming grand trine with Venus (including the eclipse point), Neptune and Hades a Uranian point. These appear to be pointing to further disease problems. The Uranus / Pluto waxing square is coming back in focus with Pluto moving forward while Uranus continues retrograde.

My trading plan includes a pull back early in the week and then assess the market status after the FED announcement on Oct. 29th. Although I'm leaning to a bearish position, major markets could move up into early November. I'm specifically looking at the week of Nov 10th for a possible high.

SP500
We are entering the 12th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  1  which started on Aug 7th.

We saw the start of a 1/2 Primary  1 on Oct 15th. At this point in the cycle, which started on Aug 7th, looks very left translated meaning this would be a very bearish 18 week cycle. With the Astrological aspects over the weekend and next week I'm looking for a pullback Oct 27,28 and all life on earth will stop at 2:00pm on Oct 29 for the FOMC meeting announcement. I will probably stand aside on Oct. 29th, until the FED's announcement is clear. This event has the potential for drastic move in either direction.

Following is the SP500 and shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.
Red squares are Mercury turning retrograde and the blue squares are Mercury returning to direct motion. The recent dates are Oct 4 for Mercury turning retrograde and Oct 25 Mercury turning direct. The description of the Mercury inferior conjunction was in the market letter and occurred on Oct 16th, one day after the low. These dates alone often mark trend changes. Friday Oct 24 was also 55 td's (trading days) from the Aug 7th low.

We are still in the Solar eclipse window as the dates were +- 3 td's. Until we take out the Sept. 19th high, this is a left translated bearish cycle pattern. Although looking for a pullback early in the week the FED announcement could change the market direction quickly.



Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

So we are at a very important point. Do we go up into the traditional positive time of the year or has 5 years of FED easy money so distorted valuations that the market can only go down. This is a difficult call, but with the Astros in front of us to the end of the year and into next year I suspect we are going down or will be flat. A dramatic increase in inflation would change this outlook.

So I'm looking for a move down early next week. In this environment where bad news is good for the markets because the crowd now expects more government monetary intervention when bad news comes out. Although I have a bearish view over the long hall we could move up after the FED announcement. The week of Nov 10th has astro events pointing to a potential high. It may be a lower high.

To follow up on the potential effects of the Solar eclipse, I was looking for changes to the financial system.

The following is from another Astrologer - Ed - Tamplin   http://www.edtamplin.com/

CHINA - INFRASTRUCTURE AND INVESTMENT BANK
"On the morning of October 24 2014 – shortly after the Scorpio Solar Eclipse with Venus, twenty nations joined China as the founding co-signatories of the new Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank. The bank will have an initial capitalization of $50 billion dollars and may eventually rival the World Bank and Asian Development Bank for international lending.

Founding signatory countries were China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Brunei, Cambodia, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Laos, Malaysia, Mongolia,

Myanmar, Nepal, Oman, the Philippines, Qatar, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Uzbekistan and Vietnam.
Australia was also invited and expressed initial interest. However, the US Secretary of State John Kerry pressured Prime Minister Tony Abbott out of the venture, involving both nations' greatest trading partner. Other notable absentees were Indonesia and South Korea, with the South Korean finance minister still considering joining at a later date.

The date and timing are significant. The astrologer researcher Edward Johndro in choosing a time for a corporation would examine the planet ruling the purpose of the corporation and see when it was conjunct or opposite an eclipse point – preferably a solar eclipse - and barring that check whether the planet was stationary.

The Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank signing has Venus – planet of value – exactly at the eclipse point. This is also the degree that Mercury stationed at before turning retrograde on October 5. Mercury is the planet of business transactions and contracts. Mercury is now stationing before turning direct on the 26th. By choice or accident the time of this signing is astrologically auspicious."

Two days before the MH17 flight crashed in the Ukraine the BRIC nations formed their equivalent to the IMF. There are many financial related changes occurring in the financial system worldwide, many of which do not favor the USA or Europe.

It's difficult to get a straight story now on financial happenings. This may make it better or worse, don't know at this time. We do know large changes are occurring.

Grand Trine Oct 27th
Also mentioned above is the Grand trine in water signs involving Neptune in Pisces, Hades in Cancer and Venus (incl. the Sun) in Scorpio. Hades and Neptune move very slowly. We can look at Venus, and the Sun as triggers.

Scorpio is associated with birth, sex and death. In mundane astrology this includes larger survival and mortality issues that affect society. An example is the early 80's when Saturn and Pluto travelled through Scorpio. There was an increased awareness of safe sex and the aids pandemic came into focus.

Scorpio also rules over other people's money, debt and those industries that control other people's money. This would include banks, central banks, large funds, life insurance and any companies in the financial service industries and the world's financial system itself.

In mundane astrology Neptune is associated with epidemics and diseases of all kinds. During this eclipse Neptune is in a grand trine with the eclipse point (incl. Venus) and Hades. Hades 2 is a Uranian point and can be quite nasty. Although associated with antiquities it also rules ruins, waste and deprivation. It is decay, death and the process of breakdown that occurs when living organisms die and return back to the soil. The bright side, if there is one, is that life is reborn out of the ashes of prior life. Look for a possible increase in the current Ebola crisis, other possible water borne disease and any news of findings concerning antiquities.

The grand trine is exact on Monday Oct 27th. Knowing that Neptune and Hades move very slowly I went back one orbit of Venus and found the same grand trine on Nov 23, 2012. I checked the news around that date and found this.


We may be hearing more about Ebola over the next few weeks. I can't find anything tying this signature to the USA. It's a world problem.

Other issues I raised about the Solar eclipse are still relevant and should be watched over the next few weeks. These are an increase in tensions / events between Russia and the USA and the possible effect on the British Royals.

The Uranus and Pluto waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.



Gold
Gold is in the 4th week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week). I'm looking at this as the 4th week of a new Primary 1 and this would be the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary. For those who have been reading these letters for awhile I look for a pull-back in the first 2-3 weeks of a New Primary  1 .  I believe Gold and Silver are in this short term pullback now and have further upside into the 6 week cycle.  

I'm looking for Gold to hit the 50% retracement around 1265 for this first 6 week. Currently price is on the 15 day sma and bounced off the 45 day sma, a bearish move.



The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart.



Silver is also in the 4th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 . Like Gold, Silver appears to be pulling back into the 2-3 week cycle low. We then expect Silver to move up into it's 6 week cycle high.

The following chart shows the Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. Silver is currently running up the Jupiter price line. If it is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise away from the price line.



Crude
We are in either the second week of a new Primary 1 cycle or the 26th week of an older and extended Primary 1 cycle in crude. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

There are many reason, US and Saudi intentionally over producing to drive out high cost producers and hurt Russia, ISIS and Iran. This plan seems to be working but there are always unforeseen repercussions. Western governments collect a lot of tax revenue from the price at the pump. If it is down the government revenues are down. Crude may be reflecting the real world economy. When crude does turn up it will probably be to lower highs. This is also causing problems between mid-East governments.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Oct 27 Venus trine Neptune trine Hades

Oct 28 Sun trine Neptune. I like this one best.



On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to early November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart (2 pages down) shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude.



Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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Saturday, October 18, 2014

Financial Astrology - October 19, 2014


Summary
Another week of volatility ahead. The Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd is the most obvious but there are other critical dates for trading. Subscribers have these dates. Volatility should continue as should the Ebola pandemic. The Solar eclipse path is pointing to increased tensions between Russia and the USA and maybe their leaders. This may not be immediate but watch the news. This eclipse may also affect the British Royals.

Volatility in the markets should continue with a number of astrological events which should affect the markets. Beyond the eclipse there is a forming grand trine with Venus (including the eclipse point), Neptune and Hades a Uranian point. These are pointing to further disease problems although I had thought a water borne disease but is probably Ebola. The Uranus / Pluto waxing square is coming back in focus with Pluto moving forward while Uranus continues retrograde. The meaning of this important square has been covered in previous posts.

SP500
We are entering the 11th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th.

We may be seeing the start of a 1/2 Primary  1 At this point in the cycle, which started on Aug 7th, looks very left translated meaning this would be a very bearish 18 week cycle. Although it's too early to call for the end of the bull market, this type of cycle pattern is usually seen in bear markets. The high on Sept 19th will probably be the high for this 18 week nominal cycle and may be a high of significance which will be a high for some period of time.

Following is the SP500 and shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.
Red squares are Mercury turning retrograde and the blue squares are Mercury returning to direct motion. The recent dates are Oct 4 for Mercury turning retrograde and Oct 25 Mercury turning direct. The description of the Mercury inferior conjunction was in the subscribers market letter. These dates alone often mark trend changes. Friday Oct 24 is also 55 td's (trading days) from the Aug 7th low.



We'll take the focus off the market cycles and concentrate on the Astrological events in front of us this month. As predicted this has been a very volatile month in the markets and world events. Subscribers have the dates and potential trading approach. We can't show all forecast dates and events as some information is reserved for subscribers. I can say I was up more than $99 squared shortly after the Oct 8th Lunar eclipse.

Oct 23 is the date for the Solar eclipse. There are other dates coming up that should affect the markets as well. Very volatile conditions still apply. FED squawking probably will not help. Any news of continuing QE3 or it's equivalent would be bullish short term. If at any time price goes below the Oct 15th low be very careful. There is little support below this area. As I'll be short this would be good news.

We've been following the Uranus / Pluto waxing square for some time. Due to retrograde motion this has been a 7 pass with the last two exact squares coming up on Dec 15, 2014 and then March 17, 2015.

We had mentioned illness / epidemic in the Oct 4th post. The Solar eclipse takes place in the early degrees of Scorpio and is almost conjunct Venus. Scorpio is associated with birth, sex and death. In mundane astrology this includes larger survival and mortality issues that affect society. The Solar eclipse will emphasize Scorpio as there are 4 planets in Scorpio. An example is the early 80's when Saturn and Pluto traveled through Scorpio. There was an increased awareness of safe sex and the aids pandemic came into focus.

Scorpio also rules over other people's money, debt and those industries that control other people's money. This would include banks, central banks, large funds, life insurance and any companies in the financial service industries and the world's financial system itself.

In mundane astrology Neptune is associated with epidemics and diseases of all kinds. During this eclipse Neptune is in a grand trine with the Solar eclipse point (incl. Venus) and Hades. Hades 2 is a Uranian point and can be quite nasty. Although associated with antiquities it also rules ruins, waste and deprivation. It is decay, death and the process of breakdown that occurs when living organisms die and return back to the soil. The bright side, if there is one, is that life is reborn out of the ashes of prior life. Look for a possible increase in the current Ebola crisis, other possible water borne disease and any news of findings concerning antiquities.

The grand trine, mentioned above is all in water signs. These are the emotional signs. Trading and emotions don't mix well.

Space does not permit, but this eclipse may be associated with the British Royals. I'll bring this up in a future letter as this eclipse point gets hit by other transiting planets. Watch for news on the Royals next week.

These two eclipses (Lunar and Solar) should cause events that remind everyone the world's financial system is still unstable. We will get out of this but unfortunately not before we go through some tough times, or continued tough times for many. I'm looking past 2020 before we can say we are out of the financial mess. The Solar eclipse also can stir up geophysical problems and possibly violent weather where the eastern seaboard of the US may be hit.

The subscribers will have more details on these two powerful eclipses.



Mars will be in Sagittarius until October 26th. Expect volatility in many markets from this transit and the other major transits noted above. Mars is also "Out Of Bounds" by declination, also emphasizing volatility.

The Uranus and Pluto waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.

Gold
Gold is in the 3rd week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week). I'm looking at this as the 3rd week of a new Primary 1 and this would be the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary. For those who have been reading these letters for awhile I look for a pull-back in the first 2-3 weeks of a New Primary  1  . We may see this early next week. It may have already started with the last two days lower.

I'm looking for Gold to hit the 50% retracement around 1265 for this first 6 week cycle. Currently price is above the 15 day sma and bounced off the 45 day sma, a bearish move.



The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart.


Silver is in the 3rd or 21st week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 . Like Gold, silver may have just put in a Primary low and the bounce could be the start of a new Primary..

The following chart shows the Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. Silver is currently running up the Jupiter price line. If it is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise away from the price line.


Crude
We are in either the first week of a new Primary 1 cycle or the 25th week of an older Primary 1 cycle in crude. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

There are many reason, US and Saudi intentionally over producing to drive out high cost producers and hurt Russia, ISIS and Iran. This plan seems to be working but there are always unforeseen repercussions. Western governments collect a lot of tax revenue from the price at the pump. If it is down the government revenues are down. Crude may be reflecting the real world economy. When crude does bounce it will probably be to lower highs.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Oct 20 Sun parallel Neptune

Oct 27 Venus trine Neptune trine Hades (This may be disease central)

Oct 28 Sun trine Neptune. I like this one best but be on guard for any of the above.



On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to early November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart (2 pages down) shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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Saturday, October 11, 2014

Financial Astrology - Oct 11, 2014


Summary
The last two calls have turned out right on the day, Sept 25th and Oct. 8th. I usually give a time window of +-2  or 3 td's (trading days). Keep that in mind. All calls are a minimum of +- 2 td's unless otherwise noted. Thanks again for the kind words and encouragement.

Comments from Previous posts:

From the Oct 4, 2014 blog post.
"We have a powerful Lunar eclipse on Oct 8th that looks ominous after the Sept 25th move down. Watch for big moves near this date and quite possibly on it."

"The Lunar eclipse of Oct 8th forms a T-square with the forming Uranus / Pluto waxing square creating a T-square with Pluto as the focal planet. The focal planet will express the energy of the T-square. Pluto is in Capricorn and still very close to the heliocentric Jupiter nodes, a power point in the Zodiac."

" Volatility in the markets should continue with the likelihood of extreme volatility."

From the Sept 27, 2014 blog post
"On Sept 25th the Moon was on the spot where the Sun will be during the lunar eclipse, opposite Uranus. It invoked fear in the markets and a sharp down move. We may get a repeat performance close to the Lunar eclipse date."

From the Sept 21, 2014 Market letter:

"In addition on Sept 25 the Moon passes over the point, where the Sun will be during the Oct 8th Lunar Eclipse. The Moon will also be opposing Uranus on Sept 25th. Putting this together there appears to be some surprise and may have something to do with the US$ or some other currencies. I'm looking at this as an event or a secret comes out that effects the US$ or other currencies. This may be just the start. This period around Sept 25th should turn out to be significant."

On a 30 minute chart. The last 2 red arrows are those two calls on Sept. 25th and Oct 8th. The two green arrows are from our published forecast dates.



This blog post will be short as I'm a little late writing the subscribers letter. Back to normal next week. Be careful the markets should be very volatile. We have a Solar eclipse coming up and other important dates that will effect the markets.

To give you one possibility for the coming week the following weekly Gold chart shows the Jupiter price lines (blue). Looking back it has acted as support for many years. Watch this to see if Gold can break up. Subscribers have some specific dates to watch.





Saturday, October 4, 2014

Financial Astrology - October 5, 2014


Summary
October has the potential to be the most disruptive month of the year in many areas of life, political, economic and social. Volatility in the markets should continue with the likelihood of extreme volatility. The Uranus / Pluto waxing square is coming back in focus with Pluto moving forward while Uranus continues retrograde motion. This square will be translated by the Sun then Venus this coming week,  highlighting the conflict between freedom and control. There is also a strong possibility of debt issues coming to the fore again. 

We have a powerful Lunar eclipse on Oct 8th that looks ominous after the Sept 25th move down. Watch for big moves near this date and quite possibly on it. There is also a partial Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd. Does the eclipse path point to Russia / USA issues?  Many market analysts are sounding very positive saying "buy the dip". I'm advising subscribers to be protective or short at two critical times this month. Also watch for larger geophysical events (earthquakes and volcanoes), violent weather and sovereign debt issues. The madness of war continues. Have a nice week !  {^_^}

SP500
We are entering the 9th week of the Primary cycle  1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th.

There are potentially a number of longer term cycles due in the next couple of months. We have just put in the first Major cycle (nominal 6 week) of the Primary  1 cycle with the low which I have changed to Oct. 2nd.

Following is the SP500 with the nominal 6 week trough and shows the area for the potential low for this nominal 18 week cycle.



We'll take the focus off the market cycles and concentrate on the Astrological events in front of us this month. Events should heat up fast and I mean Oct 4th, as I start writing this blog post on October 3rd.

Oct 4th  Mercury turns retrograde which is often found near short term trend changes in the general indexes and Gold. This adds to any other confusion in the markets.

Also on Oct 4th the Sun is in waning square to Pluto. This is the start of the Sun's translation of the forming Uranus/ Pluto waxing square. We've been following the Uranus / Pluto waxing square for some time. Due to retrograde motion this will be a 7 pass with the last two exact squares coming up on Dec 15, 2014 and then March 17, 2015.

Uranus waxing square Pluto
Long term transits like this really colour the background of history for a number of years. Every once in awhile they become front page news. This will typically happen around the above exact dates and also when other planets or sensitive points pass over  or make aspects to Uranus or Pluto in this case. This week the Sun then Venus will pass over the two planets.

This aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems with debt. Look at Greece and the Eurozone, ISIS and just simply the many events over the past couple years dealing with debt and violence. The first exact square was in June 2012 but it's force could be felt before that. The debt issues have major negative consequences for all financial markets. There are clashes between the people's desire for freedom and rulers desire to retain the status quo at all costs, often bringing down draconian measures to ensure their demands are met.

Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence directed at banks, governments and rulers. Tax revolts fit in as well as well as changes to Central Bank policies. Look for governments everywhere to take steps to protect themselves from their own people. This includes gathering information on individuals and organizations. Uranus is about sudden change, surprises, technology and freedom. Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. Pluto is also debt, secrets, control, banking and lack of compromise, it represents hidden wealth and power and "the big lie".

This is the waxing square, that occurs after the two planets were in conjunction. Uranus and Pluto were conjunct in the mid 1960's. That period had social unrest. Uranus in Aries is about freedom while Pluto is about the status quo although Pluto does represent long term change and change that can't be undone.

In this environment, fear is used as a weapon. ISIS with beheadings and other brutality and fear is used by the governments of the world to sell their war efforts to the public.

On the positive side this should be a time of advancement in technology and possibly alternative energy sources. Much may go on in this area which may not become public knowledge until after the square is complete. Thinking back to the mid-1960’s the internet was being worked on and so were mini computers with the same technology that would be used for the personal computer. All of these did not become used on a broad scale until years later.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the exact Uranus / Pluto Squares. (red squares)



During the month there a couple of aspects that deal with illness / epidemics. The first is Mars squared Chiron on Oct. 4 and the other Venus in Scorpio during the Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd.

The next couple of weeks should continue the volatile swings.  Oct 7th the Sun complete it's translation of the Uranus / Pluto square then Venus starts it's translation of the same square on Oct 8th, the day of the Lunar eclipse. This looks like a powerful eclipse with the Moon conjunct Uranus (see my previous notes on Sept 25th date). On Oct 10th Mercury, travelling backwards, crosses back into Libra and on Oct 11th Venus opposes Uranus.

We'll cover other key dates next week but note the partial Solar eclipse in the beginning of Scorpio on Oct 23rd. I've noted a number of times in previous posts to watch for geophysical activity near the eclipse dates. In this case that's most of the month. Earthquakes, volcanic activity and severe weather are all possibilities.

We are also in the middle of a grand trine between Mars in Sagittarius, Uranus in Aries and Jupiter in Leo, all fire signs. So far we haven't seen much from this powerful trine. Perhaps it's energy is suppressed due to the other more negative transits occurring at this time, but watch for any creative, surprise events this week.

The Lunar eclipse of Oct 8th forms a T-square with the forming Uranus / Pluto waxing square creating a T-square with Pluto as the focal planet. The focal planet will express the energy of the T-square. Pluto is in Capricorn and still very close to the heliocentric Jupiter nodes, a power point in the Zodiac. Pluto is all about debt, deficits and taxes. If we include Kronos (a Uranian point) we have a grand square. This would appear to be quite negative. Could debt or defaults be affecting Uranus freedoms? Could a debt event be close to the Oct 8th Lunar eclipse?

The subscribers will have more details on these two powerful eclipses.



Mars will be in Sagittarius until October 26th. Expect market volatility in many markets from this transit and the other major transits noted above.

The Pluto and Uranus waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.


Gold
Gold is in the 18th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1  (nominal 18 week). After a couple of weeks of free fall Gold is approaching the December 2013 low. I had looked at that date as a retest of the 4.5 year low which I had noted in late June 2013.

If Gold breaks below either of these levels we'll have to reassess the longer term cycle count.



We are getting late in the cycle and with Pluto involved we could see a quick change.

The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart. This week should be critical for Gold, either to reverse this downtrend or continue down and break below the two critical areas noted above.



Silver is in the 19th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 . Like Gold we are lower in price than at the start of the Primary cycle on May 30, 2014. The Primary cycle is also left translated, which is bearish. Watch this week.

Our call on silver being below the 200 level in the CCI (Commodity channel index) didn't pan out. Gold and Silver are in convincing downtrends. They have me convinced. Nevertheless both are near the end of their cycles and should be due for a bounce at a minimum.



Crude
Nobody sounds the trumpet when cycles end. Crude may have put in it's Primary cycle cycle  1 trough on Oct 2nd. We would therefore be in the 1st week of a new Primary cycle or the 23rd week of an older cycle.

If this is a new cycle we must bear in mind it could be left translated and therefore we would get the top early in the cycle. Many commodities have been going through a deflationary period at least partly attributable to the high US$. I'm referring to WTIC crude. I was expecting the US$ to turn down which would help the declining prices in many commodities.



On a longer term basis, Crude could drop to the 85.00/CL area in the 4th quarter of 2014

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?