Showing posts with label SP500. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SP500. Show all posts

Saturday, June 13, 2015

Financial Astrology - June 15, 2015

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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 19th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



Being the 19th week we should be looking for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. I'm looking at May 20th to be that crest and we should therefore be headed down into the nominal 18 week cycle trough.  At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes.

DJIA               May 19, 2015
DJTI               Nov 28, 2014
SP500             May 20, 2015
NYSE             May 21, 2015
RUT               Apr 15, 2015

On the above chart price of the SP500, the 15 day sma is almost on the 45 day sma and
price is below both. Ideally we would like to see the 15 day sma below the 45 sma and price below both. We are getting close. I'm looking at 2080, 2066 or 2050 as potential targets for this Primary cycle trough for the SP500.

From last weeks market letter
"That said we also mentioned a few weeks ago an adjusted Bradley indicator (Bradley-Shramenko), the brown wavy line on the chart. It turned up on March 26 and the markets started to move lower. As we have said the indicator does not indicate polarity. So the indicator moving up when the market index is moving down is quite normal. The next turn is on Monday June 8th. IF the adjusted Bradley indicator is working this would indicate a turn up in the markets as the indicator moves down. I've been looking for a move down in the markets so Monday must be watched closely.

Also note the indicator has a shallow move on June 15th which could indicate a turn as well."

Back to this week
So we got the turn up on June 9th, a Doji . We are currently sitting 1 day before the next Bradley turn indicator and we turned down as expected. The question now is how deep we go for a nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs.

The nominal 18 week cycle low should be between Now - 07/06/2015 if it is a normal nominal 18 week cycle as the range is 15 to 21 weeks (see red line at bottom right hand corner). There are other indications for a move down reserved for subsribers.

Video

The other current cycle we've been following is the 168 td (trading day) cycle. Like last week the chart shows two possibilities shown as a blue vertical line (May 26th) and a black vertical line, coming up (June 18th).



I'm looking at the blue line on May 21st as being the crest of the 168 td cycle and another indication we should be moving down.

I'm looking for continued strife and discord. This could include social unrest, police shootings, accidents. Water and crude have been in the news and should continue with the emphasis on Neptune in it's own sign, Pisces and Mercury, also in it's own sign of Gemini, a mutable air sign. Mercury joins both the Sun and Mars in Gemini and the latter two will be conjunct on June 14 a signature that will emphasize hostile activity and with a history of sharp moves in the market given a broad range. This is  almost on the New Moon on June 16th which, at 25 degrees, 7 minutes in Gemini is within approx 3 degrees of the potentially troublesome fixed stars, Polaris and Betelgeuse.

This weekend also has Saturn Retrograde moving backward into Scorpio on June 14th. Intense Scorpio does not need Saturn. This is happening while Saturn is almost semi-square Pluto, the two thugs of the Zodiac. This is exact on June 20th and should emphasize the Saturn / Pluto energies. These two powerful bad guys are in mutual reception, that is Saturn is in Scorpio which Pluto rules and Pluto is in Capricorn which Saturn rules. This gives Pluto more support and staying power in it's role to change banking and money in general. Saturn in Scorpio creates tension and can effect the emotions in a negative way (depression?) and a detrimental effect on health. We could see a pandemic or other disease come to the fore while Saturn is in Scorpio (MERS?). Scorpio rules others peoples money so companies such as banking, stock markets, insurance, accounting and financial series may be made accountable when Saturn is in Scorpio, in this case with support from Pluto. This may take a number of weeks to develop, but there may be an initial shock. Watch bonds and watch out.

Neptune can rule things and events that are spiritual, Utopian ideals, socialism and things associated with hospitals. Neptune can also stand for lies, deceit, falsehoods, swindling, loss and lack of truth. Distorted truth may be coming from news outlets. Neptune turned retrograde on June 12th.

At any rate, Neptune is in a strong position in Pisces, the sign that it rules. As mentioned last week this should emphasize events dealing with water, crude and Natural Gas. Things that Neptune rules.

There are other transits pointing to a potential stronger move down, reserved for subscribers.

In summary I'm expecting the major US market indices to move down. This may have started on May 20th for the SP500. We may have seen the bounce I was expecting with Neptune turning Retrograde and now we move down into the nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs. This is my preferred outlook, particularly with the Saturn / Pluto aspects noted above. The FED may step in and juice the market higher but the Astros are pointing down.

One other option is we bounce and go up into the June 22 area where we have Jupiter trine Uranus. This aspect has a history of occurring near tops. This is not always the case. For example Jupiter trine Uranus occurred near the bottom of the October 1987 crash.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.


Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 13th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as Mercury turning retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down. Gold could move lower here and may have seen the top for this nominal 18 week cycle. May 18th may have been the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. This was also 2 td's from the time Fib of 2.618 noted on previous posts. This was based on the move down in Gold from October 2012 to June 2013.

We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in the summer but reserved for subscribers. That cycle and others  with the placement of Jupiter in the summer may be pointing to a strong reversal in Gold. That is we move down into the July / August period for a low in Gold from which a large rally commences. More work needed here. I'm currently short the Gold miners.

As noted last week, Mercury retrograde has a strong history of changes in trend for Gold close to the retrograde date. In this case it was to the day. The direct date also has a history of changes in Gold price. That's June 11th this week. On the following chart the red arrow pointing left is the retrograde date, the blue arrow pointing right is the direct date, the red dot is the geocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction and the blue dot is the heliocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction. The I and S denote the Inferior and Superior conjunctions.



If we have just seen the crest, Gold should be moving down from here for a few weeks, potentially a couple of months. With the Astrological aspects Gold may be very volatile, like the main market indices.




From Last Week
"Heliocentric Mercury leaves Sagittarius and moves into Capricorn on June 7th. This may have a short term reversal effect for Gold."

Gold reversed up on June 8th.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke through the Jupiter price line early in the week and has followed it sideways.



Crude
This coming week of June 15 we should be entering the 13th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune aspects and the Neptune stationary retrograde date on June 12th. Like stocks and Gold, crude could be very volatile for the next few weeks. For example May 29th had Mercury waxing square to Neptune. There was almost a $3 swing up on Friday.

Other Astrological dates are reserved for subscribers.

Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. Since the shooting star doji on May 6th Crude has been in sideways consolidation. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves and news out of the mid-East.



As seen on the following chart the Neptune price line (green) gave resistance on June 10th and 11th then fell below on the date of Neptune turning retrograde.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available for purchase.


Saturday, February 14, 2015

Financial Astrology February 16, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, Cycle-wise we are in either the 3rd week of a new Primary cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015 or the 18th week of a Primary  1  cycle (aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks) starting at the Oct 15th low.

The point was made on last weeks subscriber video that a new Primary cycle had possibly started. We will need a few more days of market action to confirm this is a new Primary cycle. There are a number of rules we look for when deciding if a new Primary cycle has started. These are included in the subscribers letter.

In addition to these rules the Feb 2 low was within 4 td's (trading days) of the Sun opposition to Jupiter on Feb 6th. The Sun in opposition to Jupiter has a history of being close to Primary cycle turns. Even so, this move appears early, particularly with the other world events unfolding. Also on Friday Feb 13 heliocentric Mars was conjunct Uranus, often found near short term market reversals.

So we are in a bit of a quandary. Are we in the 3rd week of a new Primary cycle which would be bullish or the 18th week of an older Primary which would make this bearish as we descend into the trough. We should know based on market action this week.

Following are two daily charts of the SP500, one showing the 18 week cycle and the other, a new Primary cycle and the 3rd week of it. Measuring out another 18 weeks we arrive at the week of June 5, 2015 as seen on the following daily chart of the SP500.

18 week and old Primary cycle




3 week and new Primary cycle


The SP500 also edged above the mid-point chart I have been showing the past few weeks. This should be watched closely. If this is the older cycle it should fall back under the last price line. (the price line is based on the average geocentric longitude of Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto. The average longitude is then converted to price and is seen on the following chart.


Keep in mind we are expecting the 4 year and possibly 6 year cycles to hit in 2015 or 1st quarter 2016. We should keep this in mind near the end of each Primary cycle. One of the two, or both, longer term cycles may trough out with a Primary cycle trough. We may be looking at June / July or 18 weeks after the next Primary cycle trough.

We are now entering the possible very difficult period I've been discussing for the past few weeks (months?) which is Feb 18 through March 20th and may go into early April.

Feb 18th has Mars passing over the point of the upcoming March 20th Total Solar Eclipse. Feb 18th is also a perigee New Moon or Super Moon per Richard Nolle. Over the next couple of days Venus and the Moon will pass over this point which is 29 degrees, 27 minutes in Pisces. This is very close to the powerful World Point.

Eclipses can have an effect for periods of time around the exact eclipse date, both before and after the exact date. There are also other related cycles, the Saros cycle, the Metonic cycle and Antiscia points. See below for a map of this coming Solar eclipse. These are covered in the market letter.

Other points coming up are the Jupiter in waxing trine to Uranus, Mars translating the Uranus / Pluto square, Saturn turning stationary direct and the 7th and last square of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square is March 16, 2015. This has been the Astrological aspect which has colored this period of history from early 2012 to March 16th, 2015. It's effect will be around for some time but will lessen after the last exact hit. It has been the catalyst for social unrest, debt / financial problems, governments and leaders trying to control their people and the masses rebelling. Any one of these aspects is very strong by itself and together... we are about to see. Although this aspect is very powerful it's full power may not have been seen yet. I believe it was either Bill Meridian or Charles Jayne (both astrologers) who said, "that the final aspect in a series (like this one) strikes the telling blow"

We have also mentioned, the last few weeks, the period from Feb 18 through March 20th looks particularly disruptive. This could stretch into early April. The type of events we may witness may be disturbing. There are war aspects (either a greatly expanded current war or a new upset), possibly drastic security measures, deception, kidnappings, strife and discord, terror attacks. There also maybe some type of Hollywood sex scandal but this may be looked at as pretty mild stuff with the other events around this time. Except with the main stream media of course. Subscribers will get a list of exact dates. There were other comments made on the subscribers video which paint this period of time as quite violent which could cause an increase in fear. Remember these aspects are for the world, not just one country. I'm listing the countries / areas that may be most affected in the subscribers letter.

This does not sound very pleasant but we should add, there is the potential for some type of natural disaster. With the larger planets being aspected we can't rule out geophysical events. Look for an increase in earthquakes above 5.5 to point to something more major.

On Feb 11 Mercury turned stationary Direct, often a signature of a change in trend. Note the turns within 1 td when Mercury went retrograde on Jan 21 and when the Sun was in an inferior conjunction (the middle of the retrograde period) with Mercury on Jan 30th. So they have been very exact +- 1 td. Keep that in mind as we approach the Mercury shadow date on March 3rd. The day Mercury returns to the position it held when it went retrograde.

In brief, the Central Banks of the world continue to try and stir up inflation while commodities appear to be in a deflationary period. In doing so they continue to distort the true value of markets world wide.

Current conflicts include ISIS, the Ukraine, various locations in Africa and social unrest in many countries. Just think back to some of the images from the last few months with beheadings, setting a pilot ablaze and the strangulation and shooting of US citizens in broad day light, captured on video. There are other potential conflicts simmering on the back burner which could be set off. (Israel / Iran?).

Watch the US main stream media for their emphasis on who is at fault for war like activity.

Let's not forget these wise words.

"Statesmen will invent cheap lies, putting blame upon the nation that is attacked, and every man will be glad of those conscience-soothing falsities, and will diligently study them, and refuse to examine any refutations of them; and thus he will by and by convince himself that the war is just, and will thank God for the better sleep he enjoys after this process of grotesque self-deception."
-- Mark Twain

and


  
Geocentric Jupiter waxing trine Uranus VIDEO
The second exact trine in this series is March 3rd, 2015. This is the same day as the Mercury shadow date. The shadow date is the day Mercury returns to the position it held when it turned retrograde on January 21.


Fibonacci expansion values based on the period from the Oct 2007 high to the March 2009 low.
This weekly chart shows the Fib expansion values and the next one coming up on
March 2, 2015. Note the previous values have been at highs and lows.



Picture of the March 20th eclipse and previous eclipse
(subscribers have more detail as to the meaning of these eclipse lines. U.S./ Russia??)



Gold
Gold put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the 15th week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week) during this coming week.

Volatility in precious metals continue. Watch Gold closely. There are a number of technical indicators pointing to a reversal in Gold. In addition there are a number of Astrological signatures that would indicate a reversal in Gold prices. The next one being Feb 22 when Venus conjuncts Mars. This may be emphasized as Feb 22 is also a new Mars cycle as it crosses 0 degrees declination from south to north. Watch the period from Feb 16 through the 19th as well.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Note how Gold stopped on the heliocentric Jupiter price line. This appears to be good support. We may get either a bounce or reversal in the Primary cycle. Technically note the CCI(9) has just been below 100, often followed by a reversal in Gold prices.


Turn on your speakers

Some Gold history - Video

http://youtu.be/HlQMBokziqw

Silver also appears to be in the 15th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 on
Nov 7th. looks like the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) trough. Like Gold, Silver was headed down for it's Primary cycle trough and may be reversing here. Watch closely next week, in particular Feb 16th - 19th.






The following daily chart of Silver shows the heliocentric price lines for Venus and Jupiter. It is getting close to the Venus price line.




Crude
I'm looking for Astrological aspects which would equate to a move in crude. I'll be looking for aspects that involve, Jupiter, Neptune or Pluto. Jupiter and Neptune co-rule crude which Pluto is relevant because it rules hidden things and things from the ground.

Feb 6th had the Sun opposing Jupiter and Feb 25 will have the Sun conjunct Neptune. Give these signature +- 5 td's. The Neptune signature should be the strongest as Neptune is in Pisces, the sign that it rules. All Neptune aspects should be highlighted including illusion, delusion and the big lie. Spirituality would be included here as well. We need more of that.

Such strong moves down, as seen in crude the last few months very often try to retest the recent lows. Watch the heliocentric price lines for Neptune (green) and Jupiter (orange) for resistance and support.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.

Saturday, January 3, 2015

Financial Astrology - January 4, 2015


SP500
The markets were moving down during the low volume, slow Christmas week.  The move down leaves us lower than Dec 5th, which I thought would be the high. As it turns out it may have been close.  

For the SP500, Cycle-wise we are in the 12th week of a Primary  1  cycle (aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks) starting at the Oct 15th low.

The long discussed 6th instance of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square was exact on Monday, Dec 15th and will be in orb until the 7th and last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The two planets will be very close for the next 3 months. Perhaps we will see the dramatic moves in the markets we have expected as a number of planets make aspects to the Uranus, Pluto square.

This coming month, January, will witness a number of astrological aspects which could be explosive both for the markets and world events in general. This period of time, that the Uranus Pluto square has been active, has put a spotlight on ideological extremism. This has been seen in the fanaticism of ISIL and warring factions of political parties in many countries.

We won't have long to wait as the Sun will translate the Uranus / Pluto square on January 3, 2015 +- a couple of TD's (trading days). This time period may generate some world event as there is another astrological event on the weekend as well. If there is no significant event early next week there is another such time frame, and probably stronger, later in the month. This first quarter should be very telling for the rest of the year. Any time we have Pluto involved in an aspect we should consider "debt" as being an issue.

As a general statement going forward. For the past couple of years I have been forecasting troughs and crests in the general market indices. There has been no mention of market crashes or more dire events. The strength of the market has been impressive although it may have been manipulated up in the US and other markets, ex. Japan.

For 2015 and the first quarter of 2016 we'll be looking to call a more severe market turn and possible crash. More precise time frames are reserved for subscribers.

There are a number of longer term market cycles that could hit in 2015. Two we've discussed before are the 4 year cycle and the 6 year cycle. There are a number of longer term cycles as well which are covered in the market letter.

Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets but, the first quarter of 2015 has many astrological events which may appear extreme and negative for the markets. It will be interesting to see how the central banks of the world react if there is a strong move in the market, either up or down.



Turn on your speakers.

SP500 VIDEO

Heliocentric Jupiter / Uranus trine VIDEO
(from last week but important)


SP500 - mid-point
(see last weeks video)



Market cycles. VIDEO


Gold
Gold put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the 9th week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week) during this coming week, Dec 22 may have been the nominal 6 week low but we have had poor progress out of the trough if Dec 22 was indeed the low.

Gold is still sitting on the downward sloping trend line (light blue) and leaves Gold almost on the 45 day simple moving average (sma). The high for the day touched the 15 day sma.

If this recent action is to turn out positive for Gold it has to start moving up with some conviction almost immediately. Perhaps some extreme event will get precious metals moving up. Watch precious metals early in the week for a move (up or down) as both the Sun and Pluto, which have an effect on Gold are in aspect over the weekend.



Silver also appears to be in the 9th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 on
Nov 7th. looks like the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) trough. Like Gold, Silver needs to move up with some conviction or it is in danger of a sharp move down.



Crude
This week should start the 17th week of the Primary cycle. I expect a period of sideways consolidation looking for crude to settle in a range around $50.00-55.00 .

The questions are how long will it take demand to clear built up inventories of crude world wide and how much will continuing weak demand in 2015 effect crude inventories in 2015. I'm also expecting an increase in war like activity in the first quarter of 2015. If this affects any crude producing countries we could see an abrupt change in crude prices.

Astrologically there are aspects this weekend which could affect crude and also around Jan 15-21st.






Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates will be available after Dec 7, 2014

Subscription



Saturday, December 20, 2014

Financial Astrology - December 21, 2014


SP500
We were looking for a decline in the US market indices. It has arrived and gone as the move up from the FED announcement leaves us just off the ATH, All Time Highs. Cycle-wise we are in the
10th week of a Primary  1  cycle and I have dropped the Aug 7th date as the beginning of this Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle although this leaves us with a distorted Primary cycle 10 weeks from Aug 7th to the Oct 15th low.

The long discussed 6th instance of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square was exact on Monday, Dec 15th. It brought the markets down but not with the force or length of time we had expected. I believe it was either Bill Meridian or Charles Jayne (both astrologers) who said, "that the final aspect in a series (like this one) strikes the telling blow". The 7th and last square in this series is March 16, 2015. There are a number of other potent astrological aspects in the second half of March. This could be a very telling period of time.

Bear in mind the Uranus / Pluto aspect is a long term square which last took place in 1876 and is very much still in orb. On Sunday, Uranus turns direct meaning it will be standing still, as viewed from Earth for a number of days around the reversal date. Watch for events, and they could be the markets,  or other, on Dec 22, 23rd.

We are witnessing the effects of this square both in the stock markets of the world and social unrest on the streets of the USA. There have obviously been upsets and social unrest in many countries, much of which as a result of this long term square. Things will be changing once we get past this square (next and last occurrence March 16, 2015).

There are two major transits coming up over the next 4 weeks which will directly affect the Uranus / Pluto square. Dates are reserved for subscribers.

As a general statement going forward. For the past couple of years I have been forecasting troughs and crests in the general market indices. There has been no mention of market crashes or more dire events. The strength of the market has been impressive although it may have been manipulated up in the US and other markets, ex. Japan.

For 2015 and the first quarter of 2016 we'll be looking to call a more severe market turn and possible crash.

There are a number of longer term market cycles that could hit in 2015. Two we've discussed before are the 4 year cycle and the 6 year cycle. There are a number of longer term cycles as well which are covered in the market letter.

Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

I know we are probably in a Santa Claus rally and Xmas is next week and the FED is being supportive, and financial news is positive, BUT, looking at the astros, they look negative both in the short term, next week and again in January.

Please note the new format has additional comments. I've included the key charts as well.
Turn on your speakers.



SP500 VIDEO

Jupiter / Uranus trine VIDEO

Market cycles. VIDEO

2014 Forecast Dates

Gold
Gold appears to have put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week). We are in the time period for the first nominal 6 week pullback of the Primary cycle.

It has been difficult forecasting many of the commodities due to possible deflationary forces, wild currency moves and market manipulation.

We have fallen below the descending trend line and the 15 and 45 day sma. We are either going down into the nominal 6 week trough or a more significant move down is forming and the nominal 18 week cycle count is incorrect and the cycle started on Oct 6th. The latter would put us in the 12th week and would be very bearish considering the high was put in shortly after Oct 6th.



Gold Price Lines VIDEO

Silver also appears to be in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1  on Nov 7th. looks like the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) trough. I'm ignoring the long tail on the data from Dec 1 and assume it's bad data. We may be due for a dip into the first nominal 6 week cycle. Watch for signs of a trough.



Crude
I'm looking for crude to settle in a price range. We may have a few more weeks of volatility first There are no astrological events that would directly affect crude until mid-January where we have the heliocentric waxing trine between Jupiter and Uranus. Jupiter is a co-ruler of crude. For now I'll take Dec 16th as the Primary cycle low realizing we may get side-ways consolidation rather than a move up which is what to usually expect at cycle troughs.

The big questions is whether this huge move in crude is a more permanent structural change or shorter term. I suspect we are seeing a new outlook for crude at lower prices.

Financial analysts (I was one of those) are busy re-pricing the value of oil producers and therefore their assets and stock price. We will probably have swings for the next few days until this process is complete.



Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee and Copper reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
People signing up now (after November 1st) will get the rest of 2014 and the first half of 2015, Jan. - June). The 1st half 2015 dates will be available Dec 7, 2014


Sunday, November 9, 2014

Financial Astrology - November 9, 2014


Summary
This coming week looks very volatile with Mars translating the Uranus / Pluto waxing square, Mercury moving to the position of the Oct 23 Solar eclipse, Mercury moving into a grand trine with Neptune and Hades (a Uranian point) and the Sun squaring Jupiter.

Mars conjunct Pluto is a war aspect.

I'm looking for very volatile activity in many markets this coming week. We could get a high in this time frame and then down. Another option is a high near Dec 15th when the Uranus / Pluto waxing square is exact.

I'm looking to get short on any new high in price and if no new high late Monday or Tuesday.

SP500
This week's post will be a little shorter than usual as I'm working on the 1st half 2015 forecast dates.

We are entering the 14th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th. Some Astrologers are looking at the Oct 15th V-shaped low as the 50 week or a new Primary cycle  1

I am still looking at the Oct 15th low as the  1/2 Primary  1 This no longer looks like a left translated bearish cycle, it is right translated and bullish. Being in the 14th week it is in the time frame for a Primary crest then down.

Following is the SP500 and shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.



Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

So we are at a very important juncture. Do we go up into the traditional positive time of the year or has 5 years of FED easy money so distorted valuations that the market can only go down. I'm still looking for a pull back but a dramatic increase in inflation would change this outlook.

This coming week should be very volatile in many markets. Subscribers have the dates.
The Uranus and Pluto waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.

The following weekly chart of the Dow shows the occurrence of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square.



Gold
Gold is in the 1st week or 23rd of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week). It is difficult to forecast most of the commodities at this time due to possible deflationary forces and manipulation. Even if it is the 1st week of a new Primary cycle, which is typically bullish, it could turn back down quickly.

If this is the 23rd week of an older Primary then it is due to reverse and reverse quickly. There are a number of reasons for looking at the week of Nov 10th as a turn in precious metals.

Subscribers got a more detailed review of the longer term Gold aspects detailing an 8.5 year, 4.25 year and 17 month cycles.



The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter (blue) and Venus (green) price lines. The Jupiter price line has acted as support for Gold in the past but has clearly broken through to the downside. This looks like a strong Doji on the weekly and we had a big range day up on the daily chart.


Like many markets, Gold should be volatile this coming week. Silver as well.

Silver is also in the 1st or 5th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 . The fist few days of the coming week may see a significant move in Gold and Silver.

The following chart shows the Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. If this is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise along the Venus (green) price line.



Crude
We are in the 1st week of a new Primary 1 cycle. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

There are many reason, US and Saudi intentionally over producing to drive out high cost producers and hurt Russia, ISIS and Iran. This plan seems to be working but there are always unforeseen repercussions. Western governments collect a lot of tax revenue from the price at the pump. If it is down the government revenues are down. Crude may be reflecting the real world economy. When crude does turn up it will probably be to lower highs. This is also causing problems between mid-East governments.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart. Crude seems to have entered a consolidation area. Perhaps this is the agreed price between the US and Saudi Arabia.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Nov 11 Grand trine between Mercury / Neptune and Hades.

Nov 13 Sun waxing square to Jupiter

Nov 17 Neptune stationary direct on Sunday Nov 16

Nov 27 Sun square Neptune



On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to mid November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude.



Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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Saturday, October 4, 2014

Financial Astrology - October 5, 2014


Summary
October has the potential to be the most disruptive month of the year in many areas of life, political, economic and social. Volatility in the markets should continue with the likelihood of extreme volatility. The Uranus / Pluto waxing square is coming back in focus with Pluto moving forward while Uranus continues retrograde motion. This square will be translated by the Sun then Venus this coming week,  highlighting the conflict between freedom and control. There is also a strong possibility of debt issues coming to the fore again. 

We have a powerful Lunar eclipse on Oct 8th that looks ominous after the Sept 25th move down. Watch for big moves near this date and quite possibly on it. There is also a partial Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd. Does the eclipse path point to Russia / USA issues?  Many market analysts are sounding very positive saying "buy the dip". I'm advising subscribers to be protective or short at two critical times this month. Also watch for larger geophysical events (earthquakes and volcanoes), violent weather and sovereign debt issues. The madness of war continues. Have a nice week !  {^_^}

SP500
We are entering the 9th week of the Primary cycle  1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th.

There are potentially a number of longer term cycles due in the next couple of months. We have just put in the first Major cycle (nominal 6 week) of the Primary  1 cycle with the low which I have changed to Oct. 2nd.

Following is the SP500 with the nominal 6 week trough and shows the area for the potential low for this nominal 18 week cycle.



We'll take the focus off the market cycles and concentrate on the Astrological events in front of us this month. Events should heat up fast and I mean Oct 4th, as I start writing this blog post on October 3rd.

Oct 4th  Mercury turns retrograde which is often found near short term trend changes in the general indexes and Gold. This adds to any other confusion in the markets.

Also on Oct 4th the Sun is in waning square to Pluto. This is the start of the Sun's translation of the forming Uranus/ Pluto waxing square. We've been following the Uranus / Pluto waxing square for some time. Due to retrograde motion this will be a 7 pass with the last two exact squares coming up on Dec 15, 2014 and then March 17, 2015.

Uranus waxing square Pluto
Long term transits like this really colour the background of history for a number of years. Every once in awhile they become front page news. This will typically happen around the above exact dates and also when other planets or sensitive points pass over  or make aspects to Uranus or Pluto in this case. This week the Sun then Venus will pass over the two planets.

This aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems with debt. Look at Greece and the Eurozone, ISIS and just simply the many events over the past couple years dealing with debt and violence. The first exact square was in June 2012 but it's force could be felt before that. The debt issues have major negative consequences for all financial markets. There are clashes between the people's desire for freedom and rulers desire to retain the status quo at all costs, often bringing down draconian measures to ensure their demands are met.

Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence directed at banks, governments and rulers. Tax revolts fit in as well as well as changes to Central Bank policies. Look for governments everywhere to take steps to protect themselves from their own people. This includes gathering information on individuals and organizations. Uranus is about sudden change, surprises, technology and freedom. Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. Pluto is also debt, secrets, control, banking and lack of compromise, it represents hidden wealth and power and "the big lie".

This is the waxing square, that occurs after the two planets were in conjunction. Uranus and Pluto were conjunct in the mid 1960's. That period had social unrest. Uranus in Aries is about freedom while Pluto is about the status quo although Pluto does represent long term change and change that can't be undone.

In this environment, fear is used as a weapon. ISIS with beheadings and other brutality and fear is used by the governments of the world to sell their war efforts to the public.

On the positive side this should be a time of advancement in technology and possibly alternative energy sources. Much may go on in this area which may not become public knowledge until after the square is complete. Thinking back to the mid-1960’s the internet was being worked on and so were mini computers with the same technology that would be used for the personal computer. All of these did not become used on a broad scale until years later.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the exact Uranus / Pluto Squares. (red squares)



During the month there a couple of aspects that deal with illness / epidemics. The first is Mars squared Chiron on Oct. 4 and the other Venus in Scorpio during the Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd.

The next couple of weeks should continue the volatile swings.  Oct 7th the Sun complete it's translation of the Uranus / Pluto square then Venus starts it's translation of the same square on Oct 8th, the day of the Lunar eclipse. This looks like a powerful eclipse with the Moon conjunct Uranus (see my previous notes on Sept 25th date). On Oct 10th Mercury, travelling backwards, crosses back into Libra and on Oct 11th Venus opposes Uranus.

We'll cover other key dates next week but note the partial Solar eclipse in the beginning of Scorpio on Oct 23rd. I've noted a number of times in previous posts to watch for geophysical activity near the eclipse dates. In this case that's most of the month. Earthquakes, volcanic activity and severe weather are all possibilities.

We are also in the middle of a grand trine between Mars in Sagittarius, Uranus in Aries and Jupiter in Leo, all fire signs. So far we haven't seen much from this powerful trine. Perhaps it's energy is suppressed due to the other more negative transits occurring at this time, but watch for any creative, surprise events this week.

The Lunar eclipse of Oct 8th forms a T-square with the forming Uranus / Pluto waxing square creating a T-square with Pluto as the focal planet. The focal planet will express the energy of the T-square. Pluto is in Capricorn and still very close to the heliocentric Jupiter nodes, a power point in the Zodiac. Pluto is all about debt, deficits and taxes. If we include Kronos (a Uranian point) we have a grand square. This would appear to be quite negative. Could debt or defaults be affecting Uranus freedoms? Could a debt event be close to the Oct 8th Lunar eclipse?

The subscribers will have more details on these two powerful eclipses.



Mars will be in Sagittarius until October 26th. Expect market volatility in many markets from this transit and the other major transits noted above.

The Pluto and Uranus waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.


Gold
Gold is in the 18th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1  (nominal 18 week). After a couple of weeks of free fall Gold is approaching the December 2013 low. I had looked at that date as a retest of the 4.5 year low which I had noted in late June 2013.

If Gold breaks below either of these levels we'll have to reassess the longer term cycle count.



We are getting late in the cycle and with Pluto involved we could see a quick change.

The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart. This week should be critical for Gold, either to reverse this downtrend or continue down and break below the two critical areas noted above.



Silver is in the 19th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 . Like Gold we are lower in price than at the start of the Primary cycle on May 30, 2014. The Primary cycle is also left translated, which is bearish. Watch this week.

Our call on silver being below the 200 level in the CCI (Commodity channel index) didn't pan out. Gold and Silver are in convincing downtrends. They have me convinced. Nevertheless both are near the end of their cycles and should be due for a bounce at a minimum.



Crude
Nobody sounds the trumpet when cycles end. Crude may have put in it's Primary cycle cycle  1 trough on Oct 2nd. We would therefore be in the 1st week of a new Primary cycle or the 23rd week of an older cycle.

If this is a new cycle we must bear in mind it could be left translated and therefore we would get the top early in the cycle. Many commodities have been going through a deflationary period at least partly attributable to the high US$. I'm referring to WTIC crude. I was expecting the US$ to turn down which would help the declining prices in many commodities.



On a longer term basis, Crude could drop to the 85.00/CL area in the 4th quarter of 2014

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

Sunday, June 8, 2014

Financial Astrology - June 8, 2014


SP500
A number of analysts are recently looking at the Russell 2000 index when reviewing cycles and market moves. The thinking is the DJIA and SP500 can be manipulated too easily by activity in a few stocks.

With that in mind, following is a daily chart Russell 2000. An index with 2000 stocks becomes less easily manipulated. I've included the 15 and 45 sma.



This is interesting as it shows the probability of May 15th being a Primary cycle low. The 15 dma is below the 45 sma and price is below both, with the 15 sma turning up after the bottom. What's wrong with the chart? The Primary cycle is very short at 14 weeks. The Primary cycle also known as 18 weeks cycle has an average range of 15 - 23 weeks. The Primary cycle started on Feb 5th on the above chart as did the Primary cycle on the following chart for the SP500 (ignore the red and blue dots). The moving averages are the same as is the start date for the Primary cycle at Feb 5, 2014. There is nothing pointing to May 15th as being a Primary cycle low in the SP500 chart below.



The Russell 2000 is telling us we are entering the 4th week of a new Primary cycle. This would typically go up to the 4th to 5th week in a bullish environment. This may still be a good place to buy the Russell. Subscribers will have my buy or sell recommendations for both indexes.

Keep the following quotes in mind as I suspected problems in this time period for some time.

From the May 17th post.
"Also what is coming shortly is Mercury stationary retrograde on June 7 and Neptune stationary retrograde on June 9. This seems to indicate a period of lies, deceit and false hoods. Since we already have all these, perhaps a period of enhanced lies, deceit and false hoods better sates the case."

From the May 24th post.
"Rather than look at the exact date of the Neptune station I look at the time period from May 28 to June 29 as a window for Neptune related activity. Neptune can equate to issues with water (especially now since it's in Pisces, the sign of it's ruler ship), oil and gas, charities, spirituality, hospitals and things that are hard to grasp. Like me. The feeling of being lost or the unknown. In it's highest form it is the recognition of the spiritual and the lowest, lies, deceit, fraud and corruption. With the way things are at this time I unfortunately look to the latter to manifest."

From the May 31st post.
"although beneficial for the arts, music, poetry etc. also stands for illusion and delusion."

Illusion and delusion may turn out to be very fitting for this time period.

What to expect? Mercury and Neptune turning retrograde both have a history of occurring near market turns or CIT's (Change In Trend). There is also a Full Moon late in the week with Venus opposing Saturn on the same day. Not positive for stocks and both are in the "Money Signs", Taurus and Scorpio.

From our earlier analysis the SP500 is in the 18th week of it's Primary cycle, and due for a turn, while the Russell 2000 may be about to enter the 4th week of a new Primary cycle. That said, an old saying is don't fight the FED. Their dovish monetary policy is undoubtedly responsible for these market moves, although late last week looked like a short covering rally.

I'm expecting increased volatility over the next couple of weeks and the possibility of a resolution to the status of the SP500 and DJIA.

As I write this post things seem to be a little quieter on the world stage. At least there seems to be less things being blown up and less blood being spilled, at least there has been less reporting on the above. Astrological signatures coming up will probably change this once again. Mars squares Pluto on June 15th and is forming a T-square with Pluto and Uranus. Although not exact it should be close enough to stir up war like activities, bad weather or geophysical problems. This should be from June 14th on for a few weeks with an emphasis on June 25 +-.


Gold
Gold may have just put in a Primary cycle low on June 3rd. It's a little early to confirm as I would want to see this rise off the bottom. If this isn't the Primary low then we are in the 23rd week of an older Primary cycle. The timing is right and so are the 15 and 45 day sma's vs price.

Gold is entering a period where it usually becomes very volatile. Heliocentric Mercury will be entering Sagittarius on June 9th through June 20th. I'm looking at this as a good trading opportunity both up and down. Subscribers will have the dates.

Keep in mind I'm looking at this as a short term opportunity while the 2nd half of 2014 should yield a very strong move in precious metals.



Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude. Unlike Gold, Crude has not defined whether we are at the end of a Primary cycle (22nd week) or we just had the crest of the first Major cycle (6 week) and we are headed down to a trough. The latter assumes May 1st was a Primary cycle low. It was 15 weeks along but difficult to confirm. If it was, it wasn't very deep. Watch crude closely. We want to see price below the 15 sma and 45 sma.



Other things to watch. Neptune is active. Neptune rules Crude and NatGas. There are many issues surrounding both here and in Europe. Russia continues to negotiate with the Ukraine over gas contracts. This should continue most of the month.

Neptune also rules coffee. The following chart is the JO, ETF, for coffee. The green lines are the Neptune price lines. Notice how they have acted as both support and resistance. Watch coffee, crude and NatGas closely in the month of June. I'm expecting volatility and breaks in support / resistance lines.

Coffee has just bounced off the 50% retracement of the move up from Jan 27, 2014 to April 24, 2014 and is sitting on the Neptune price line. This area is an old support line now turned into resistance. If it breaks through the Neptune price line it could move quickly.



From the last post
"I use the date of Aug 15, 1971 for the US$. This is the date Nixon took the US off the gold standard. Based on this chart watch the US$ from June 4-6 for either a significant issue and at the least a big range day. June 6th seems to be the most exact. Transiting Mars will be conjunct natal Uranus on this chart. Looking at mundane events that could be the trigger, the ECB meets on June 5th."

June 5th was a very big range day for the US$ Index.