Showing posts with label Gold. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gold. Show all posts

Saturday, June 13, 2015

Financial Astrology - June 15, 2015

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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 19th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



Being the 19th week we should be looking for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. I'm looking at May 20th to be that crest and we should therefore be headed down into the nominal 18 week cycle trough.  At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes.

DJIA               May 19, 2015
DJTI               Nov 28, 2014
SP500             May 20, 2015
NYSE             May 21, 2015
RUT               Apr 15, 2015

On the above chart price of the SP500, the 15 day sma is almost on the 45 day sma and
price is below both. Ideally we would like to see the 15 day sma below the 45 sma and price below both. We are getting close. I'm looking at 2080, 2066 or 2050 as potential targets for this Primary cycle trough for the SP500.

From last weeks market letter
"That said we also mentioned a few weeks ago an adjusted Bradley indicator (Bradley-Shramenko), the brown wavy line on the chart. It turned up on March 26 and the markets started to move lower. As we have said the indicator does not indicate polarity. So the indicator moving up when the market index is moving down is quite normal. The next turn is on Monday June 8th. IF the adjusted Bradley indicator is working this would indicate a turn up in the markets as the indicator moves down. I've been looking for a move down in the markets so Monday must be watched closely.

Also note the indicator has a shallow move on June 15th which could indicate a turn as well."

Back to this week
So we got the turn up on June 9th, a Doji . We are currently sitting 1 day before the next Bradley turn indicator and we turned down as expected. The question now is how deep we go for a nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs.

The nominal 18 week cycle low should be between Now - 07/06/2015 if it is a normal nominal 18 week cycle as the range is 15 to 21 weeks (see red line at bottom right hand corner). There are other indications for a move down reserved for subsribers.

Video

The other current cycle we've been following is the 168 td (trading day) cycle. Like last week the chart shows two possibilities shown as a blue vertical line (May 26th) and a black vertical line, coming up (June 18th).



I'm looking at the blue line on May 21st as being the crest of the 168 td cycle and another indication we should be moving down.

I'm looking for continued strife and discord. This could include social unrest, police shootings, accidents. Water and crude have been in the news and should continue with the emphasis on Neptune in it's own sign, Pisces and Mercury, also in it's own sign of Gemini, a mutable air sign. Mercury joins both the Sun and Mars in Gemini and the latter two will be conjunct on June 14 a signature that will emphasize hostile activity and with a history of sharp moves in the market given a broad range. This is  almost on the New Moon on June 16th which, at 25 degrees, 7 minutes in Gemini is within approx 3 degrees of the potentially troublesome fixed stars, Polaris and Betelgeuse.

This weekend also has Saturn Retrograde moving backward into Scorpio on June 14th. Intense Scorpio does not need Saturn. This is happening while Saturn is almost semi-square Pluto, the two thugs of the Zodiac. This is exact on June 20th and should emphasize the Saturn / Pluto energies. These two powerful bad guys are in mutual reception, that is Saturn is in Scorpio which Pluto rules and Pluto is in Capricorn which Saturn rules. This gives Pluto more support and staying power in it's role to change banking and money in general. Saturn in Scorpio creates tension and can effect the emotions in a negative way (depression?) and a detrimental effect on health. We could see a pandemic or other disease come to the fore while Saturn is in Scorpio (MERS?). Scorpio rules others peoples money so companies such as banking, stock markets, insurance, accounting and financial series may be made accountable when Saturn is in Scorpio, in this case with support from Pluto. This may take a number of weeks to develop, but there may be an initial shock. Watch bonds and watch out.

Neptune can rule things and events that are spiritual, Utopian ideals, socialism and things associated with hospitals. Neptune can also stand for lies, deceit, falsehoods, swindling, loss and lack of truth. Distorted truth may be coming from news outlets. Neptune turned retrograde on June 12th.

At any rate, Neptune is in a strong position in Pisces, the sign that it rules. As mentioned last week this should emphasize events dealing with water, crude and Natural Gas. Things that Neptune rules.

There are other transits pointing to a potential stronger move down, reserved for subscribers.

In summary I'm expecting the major US market indices to move down. This may have started on May 20th for the SP500. We may have seen the bounce I was expecting with Neptune turning Retrograde and now we move down into the nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs. This is my preferred outlook, particularly with the Saturn / Pluto aspects noted above. The FED may step in and juice the market higher but the Astros are pointing down.

One other option is we bounce and go up into the June 22 area where we have Jupiter trine Uranus. This aspect has a history of occurring near tops. This is not always the case. For example Jupiter trine Uranus occurred near the bottom of the October 1987 crash.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.


Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 13th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as Mercury turning retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down. Gold could move lower here and may have seen the top for this nominal 18 week cycle. May 18th may have been the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. This was also 2 td's from the time Fib of 2.618 noted on previous posts. This was based on the move down in Gold from October 2012 to June 2013.

We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in the summer but reserved for subscribers. That cycle and others  with the placement of Jupiter in the summer may be pointing to a strong reversal in Gold. That is we move down into the July / August period for a low in Gold from which a large rally commences. More work needed here. I'm currently short the Gold miners.

As noted last week, Mercury retrograde has a strong history of changes in trend for Gold close to the retrograde date. In this case it was to the day. The direct date also has a history of changes in Gold price. That's June 11th this week. On the following chart the red arrow pointing left is the retrograde date, the blue arrow pointing right is the direct date, the red dot is the geocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction and the blue dot is the heliocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction. The I and S denote the Inferior and Superior conjunctions.



If we have just seen the crest, Gold should be moving down from here for a few weeks, potentially a couple of months. With the Astrological aspects Gold may be very volatile, like the main market indices.




From Last Week
"Heliocentric Mercury leaves Sagittarius and moves into Capricorn on June 7th. This may have a short term reversal effect for Gold."

Gold reversed up on June 8th.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke through the Jupiter price line early in the week and has followed it sideways.



Crude
This coming week of June 15 we should be entering the 13th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune aspects and the Neptune stationary retrograde date on June 12th. Like stocks and Gold, crude could be very volatile for the next few weeks. For example May 29th had Mercury waxing square to Neptune. There was almost a $3 swing up on Friday.

Other Astrological dates are reserved for subscribers.

Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. Since the shooting star doji on May 6th Crude has been in sideways consolidation. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves and news out of the mid-East.



As seen on the following chart the Neptune price line (green) gave resistance on June 10th and 11th then fell below on the date of Neptune turning retrograde.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available for purchase.


Saturday, January 3, 2015

Financial Astrology - January 4, 2015


SP500
The markets were moving down during the low volume, slow Christmas week.  The move down leaves us lower than Dec 5th, which I thought would be the high. As it turns out it may have been close.  

For the SP500, Cycle-wise we are in the 12th week of a Primary  1  cycle (aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks) starting at the Oct 15th low.

The long discussed 6th instance of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square was exact on Monday, Dec 15th and will be in orb until the 7th and last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The two planets will be very close for the next 3 months. Perhaps we will see the dramatic moves in the markets we have expected as a number of planets make aspects to the Uranus, Pluto square.

This coming month, January, will witness a number of astrological aspects which could be explosive both for the markets and world events in general. This period of time, that the Uranus Pluto square has been active, has put a spotlight on ideological extremism. This has been seen in the fanaticism of ISIL and warring factions of political parties in many countries.

We won't have long to wait as the Sun will translate the Uranus / Pluto square on January 3, 2015 +- a couple of TD's (trading days). This time period may generate some world event as there is another astrological event on the weekend as well. If there is no significant event early next week there is another such time frame, and probably stronger, later in the month. This first quarter should be very telling for the rest of the year. Any time we have Pluto involved in an aspect we should consider "debt" as being an issue.

As a general statement going forward. For the past couple of years I have been forecasting troughs and crests in the general market indices. There has been no mention of market crashes or more dire events. The strength of the market has been impressive although it may have been manipulated up in the US and other markets, ex. Japan.

For 2015 and the first quarter of 2016 we'll be looking to call a more severe market turn and possible crash. More precise time frames are reserved for subscribers.

There are a number of longer term market cycles that could hit in 2015. Two we've discussed before are the 4 year cycle and the 6 year cycle. There are a number of longer term cycles as well which are covered in the market letter.

Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets but, the first quarter of 2015 has many astrological events which may appear extreme and negative for the markets. It will be interesting to see how the central banks of the world react if there is a strong move in the market, either up or down.



Turn on your speakers.

SP500 VIDEO

Heliocentric Jupiter / Uranus trine VIDEO
(from last week but important)


SP500 - mid-point
(see last weeks video)



Market cycles. VIDEO


Gold
Gold put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the 9th week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week) during this coming week, Dec 22 may have been the nominal 6 week low but we have had poor progress out of the trough if Dec 22 was indeed the low.

Gold is still sitting on the downward sloping trend line (light blue) and leaves Gold almost on the 45 day simple moving average (sma). The high for the day touched the 15 day sma.

If this recent action is to turn out positive for Gold it has to start moving up with some conviction almost immediately. Perhaps some extreme event will get precious metals moving up. Watch precious metals early in the week for a move (up or down) as both the Sun and Pluto, which have an effect on Gold are in aspect over the weekend.



Silver also appears to be in the 9th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 on
Nov 7th. looks like the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) trough. Like Gold, Silver needs to move up with some conviction or it is in danger of a sharp move down.



Crude
This week should start the 17th week of the Primary cycle. I expect a period of sideways consolidation looking for crude to settle in a range around $50.00-55.00 .

The questions are how long will it take demand to clear built up inventories of crude world wide and how much will continuing weak demand in 2015 effect crude inventories in 2015. I'm also expecting an increase in war like activity in the first quarter of 2015. If this affects any crude producing countries we could see an abrupt change in crude prices.

Astrologically there are aspects this weekend which could affect crude and also around Jan 15-21st.






Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates will be available after Dec 7, 2014

Subscription



Saturday, December 20, 2014

Financial Astrology - December 21, 2014


SP500
We were looking for a decline in the US market indices. It has arrived and gone as the move up from the FED announcement leaves us just off the ATH, All Time Highs. Cycle-wise we are in the
10th week of a Primary  1  cycle and I have dropped the Aug 7th date as the beginning of this Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle although this leaves us with a distorted Primary cycle 10 weeks from Aug 7th to the Oct 15th low.

The long discussed 6th instance of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square was exact on Monday, Dec 15th. It brought the markets down but not with the force or length of time we had expected. I believe it was either Bill Meridian or Charles Jayne (both astrologers) who said, "that the final aspect in a series (like this one) strikes the telling blow". The 7th and last square in this series is March 16, 2015. There are a number of other potent astrological aspects in the second half of March. This could be a very telling period of time.

Bear in mind the Uranus / Pluto aspect is a long term square which last took place in 1876 and is very much still in orb. On Sunday, Uranus turns direct meaning it will be standing still, as viewed from Earth for a number of days around the reversal date. Watch for events, and they could be the markets,  or other, on Dec 22, 23rd.

We are witnessing the effects of this square both in the stock markets of the world and social unrest on the streets of the USA. There have obviously been upsets and social unrest in many countries, much of which as a result of this long term square. Things will be changing once we get past this square (next and last occurrence March 16, 2015).

There are two major transits coming up over the next 4 weeks which will directly affect the Uranus / Pluto square. Dates are reserved for subscribers.

As a general statement going forward. For the past couple of years I have been forecasting troughs and crests in the general market indices. There has been no mention of market crashes or more dire events. The strength of the market has been impressive although it may have been manipulated up in the US and other markets, ex. Japan.

For 2015 and the first quarter of 2016 we'll be looking to call a more severe market turn and possible crash.

There are a number of longer term market cycles that could hit in 2015. Two we've discussed before are the 4 year cycle and the 6 year cycle. There are a number of longer term cycles as well which are covered in the market letter.

Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

I know we are probably in a Santa Claus rally and Xmas is next week and the FED is being supportive, and financial news is positive, BUT, looking at the astros, they look negative both in the short term, next week and again in January.

Please note the new format has additional comments. I've included the key charts as well.
Turn on your speakers.



SP500 VIDEO

Jupiter / Uranus trine VIDEO

Market cycles. VIDEO

2014 Forecast Dates

Gold
Gold appears to have put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week). We are in the time period for the first nominal 6 week pullback of the Primary cycle.

It has been difficult forecasting many of the commodities due to possible deflationary forces, wild currency moves and market manipulation.

We have fallen below the descending trend line and the 15 and 45 day sma. We are either going down into the nominal 6 week trough or a more significant move down is forming and the nominal 18 week cycle count is incorrect and the cycle started on Oct 6th. The latter would put us in the 12th week and would be very bearish considering the high was put in shortly after Oct 6th.



Gold Price Lines VIDEO

Silver also appears to be in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1  on Nov 7th. looks like the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) trough. I'm ignoring the long tail on the data from Dec 1 and assume it's bad data. We may be due for a dip into the first nominal 6 week cycle. Watch for signs of a trough.



Crude
I'm looking for crude to settle in a price range. We may have a few more weeks of volatility first There are no astrological events that would directly affect crude until mid-January where we have the heliocentric waxing trine between Jupiter and Uranus. Jupiter is a co-ruler of crude. For now I'll take Dec 16th as the Primary cycle low realizing we may get side-ways consolidation rather than a move up which is what to usually expect at cycle troughs.

The big questions is whether this huge move in crude is a more permanent structural change or shorter term. I suspect we are seeing a new outlook for crude at lower prices.

Financial analysts (I was one of those) are busy re-pricing the value of oil producers and therefore their assets and stock price. We will probably have swings for the next few days until this process is complete.



Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee and Copper reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
People signing up now (after November 1st) will get the rest of 2014 and the first half of 2015, Jan. - June). The 1st half 2015 dates will be available Dec 7, 2014


Saturday, October 4, 2014

Financial Astrology - October 5, 2014


Summary
October has the potential to be the most disruptive month of the year in many areas of life, political, economic and social. Volatility in the markets should continue with the likelihood of extreme volatility. The Uranus / Pluto waxing square is coming back in focus with Pluto moving forward while Uranus continues retrograde motion. This square will be translated by the Sun then Venus this coming week,  highlighting the conflict between freedom and control. There is also a strong possibility of debt issues coming to the fore again. 

We have a powerful Lunar eclipse on Oct 8th that looks ominous after the Sept 25th move down. Watch for big moves near this date and quite possibly on it. There is also a partial Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd. Does the eclipse path point to Russia / USA issues?  Many market analysts are sounding very positive saying "buy the dip". I'm advising subscribers to be protective or short at two critical times this month. Also watch for larger geophysical events (earthquakes and volcanoes), violent weather and sovereign debt issues. The madness of war continues. Have a nice week !  {^_^}

SP500
We are entering the 9th week of the Primary cycle  1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th.

There are potentially a number of longer term cycles due in the next couple of months. We have just put in the first Major cycle (nominal 6 week) of the Primary  1 cycle with the low which I have changed to Oct. 2nd.

Following is the SP500 with the nominal 6 week trough and shows the area for the potential low for this nominal 18 week cycle.



We'll take the focus off the market cycles and concentrate on the Astrological events in front of us this month. Events should heat up fast and I mean Oct 4th, as I start writing this blog post on October 3rd.

Oct 4th  Mercury turns retrograde which is often found near short term trend changes in the general indexes and Gold. This adds to any other confusion in the markets.

Also on Oct 4th the Sun is in waning square to Pluto. This is the start of the Sun's translation of the forming Uranus/ Pluto waxing square. We've been following the Uranus / Pluto waxing square for some time. Due to retrograde motion this will be a 7 pass with the last two exact squares coming up on Dec 15, 2014 and then March 17, 2015.

Uranus waxing square Pluto
Long term transits like this really colour the background of history for a number of years. Every once in awhile they become front page news. This will typically happen around the above exact dates and also when other planets or sensitive points pass over  or make aspects to Uranus or Pluto in this case. This week the Sun then Venus will pass over the two planets.

This aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems with debt. Look at Greece and the Eurozone, ISIS and just simply the many events over the past couple years dealing with debt and violence. The first exact square was in June 2012 but it's force could be felt before that. The debt issues have major negative consequences for all financial markets. There are clashes between the people's desire for freedom and rulers desire to retain the status quo at all costs, often bringing down draconian measures to ensure their demands are met.

Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence directed at banks, governments and rulers. Tax revolts fit in as well as well as changes to Central Bank policies. Look for governments everywhere to take steps to protect themselves from their own people. This includes gathering information on individuals and organizations. Uranus is about sudden change, surprises, technology and freedom. Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. Pluto is also debt, secrets, control, banking and lack of compromise, it represents hidden wealth and power and "the big lie".

This is the waxing square, that occurs after the two planets were in conjunction. Uranus and Pluto were conjunct in the mid 1960's. That period had social unrest. Uranus in Aries is about freedom while Pluto is about the status quo although Pluto does represent long term change and change that can't be undone.

In this environment, fear is used as a weapon. ISIS with beheadings and other brutality and fear is used by the governments of the world to sell their war efforts to the public.

On the positive side this should be a time of advancement in technology and possibly alternative energy sources. Much may go on in this area which may not become public knowledge until after the square is complete. Thinking back to the mid-1960’s the internet was being worked on and so were mini computers with the same technology that would be used for the personal computer. All of these did not become used on a broad scale until years later.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the exact Uranus / Pluto Squares. (red squares)



During the month there a couple of aspects that deal with illness / epidemics. The first is Mars squared Chiron on Oct. 4 and the other Venus in Scorpio during the Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd.

The next couple of weeks should continue the volatile swings.  Oct 7th the Sun complete it's translation of the Uranus / Pluto square then Venus starts it's translation of the same square on Oct 8th, the day of the Lunar eclipse. This looks like a powerful eclipse with the Moon conjunct Uranus (see my previous notes on Sept 25th date). On Oct 10th Mercury, travelling backwards, crosses back into Libra and on Oct 11th Venus opposes Uranus.

We'll cover other key dates next week but note the partial Solar eclipse in the beginning of Scorpio on Oct 23rd. I've noted a number of times in previous posts to watch for geophysical activity near the eclipse dates. In this case that's most of the month. Earthquakes, volcanic activity and severe weather are all possibilities.

We are also in the middle of a grand trine between Mars in Sagittarius, Uranus in Aries and Jupiter in Leo, all fire signs. So far we haven't seen much from this powerful trine. Perhaps it's energy is suppressed due to the other more negative transits occurring at this time, but watch for any creative, surprise events this week.

The Lunar eclipse of Oct 8th forms a T-square with the forming Uranus / Pluto waxing square creating a T-square with Pluto as the focal planet. The focal planet will express the energy of the T-square. Pluto is in Capricorn and still very close to the heliocentric Jupiter nodes, a power point in the Zodiac. Pluto is all about debt, deficits and taxes. If we include Kronos (a Uranian point) we have a grand square. This would appear to be quite negative. Could debt or defaults be affecting Uranus freedoms? Could a debt event be close to the Oct 8th Lunar eclipse?

The subscribers will have more details on these two powerful eclipses.



Mars will be in Sagittarius until October 26th. Expect market volatility in many markets from this transit and the other major transits noted above.

The Pluto and Uranus waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.


Gold
Gold is in the 18th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1  (nominal 18 week). After a couple of weeks of free fall Gold is approaching the December 2013 low. I had looked at that date as a retest of the 4.5 year low which I had noted in late June 2013.

If Gold breaks below either of these levels we'll have to reassess the longer term cycle count.



We are getting late in the cycle and with Pluto involved we could see a quick change.

The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart. This week should be critical for Gold, either to reverse this downtrend or continue down and break below the two critical areas noted above.



Silver is in the 19th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 . Like Gold we are lower in price than at the start of the Primary cycle on May 30, 2014. The Primary cycle is also left translated, which is bearish. Watch this week.

Our call on silver being below the 200 level in the CCI (Commodity channel index) didn't pan out. Gold and Silver are in convincing downtrends. They have me convinced. Nevertheless both are near the end of their cycles and should be due for a bounce at a minimum.



Crude
Nobody sounds the trumpet when cycles end. Crude may have put in it's Primary cycle cycle  1 trough on Oct 2nd. We would therefore be in the 1st week of a new Primary cycle or the 23rd week of an older cycle.

If this is a new cycle we must bear in mind it could be left translated and therefore we would get the top early in the cycle. Many commodities have been going through a deflationary period at least partly attributable to the high US$. I'm referring to WTIC crude. I was expecting the US$ to turn down which would help the declining prices in many commodities.



On a longer term basis, Crude could drop to the 85.00/CL area in the 4th quarter of 2014

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

Saturday, July 12, 2014

Financial Astrology - July 13, 2014


Worldwide we had expected an increase in earthquake activity and a number of large storms. You can typically expect such activity around the days of a perigee Full Moon (Super Moon -- Richard Nolle) July 12th. We got both with a major typhoon in Japan and earthquakes in Mexico and off the coast of Japan. You can monitor earthquake activity here.


I'm expecting more geophysical events and violent weather around July 20-23 and then July 28-31 both +- a few days.

SP500
We have been expecting a pullback in the markets. So far it has been very small. We were looking for a trough in the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) with a range of 15-23 weeks. Currently we are 23 weeks along the Primary cycle. Very late and very unusual to have a new high so late in the cycle.

A minimal expectation would be for a pullback into the $1925 area. This would be 23.6% of the move up from Feb 5, 2014 to July 3, 2014. (23.6 % = 61.8% * 38.2 % all Fibonacci ratios). Even a move to the 45 sma, currently at $1931 would indicate a possible Primary cycle trough. Also due at this time was a 9 week cycle and a longer term 55 week cycle. For the latter cycle we were looking for a crest. It may have started but too early too tell. Earnings season should tell the story. The Astrological events coming up over the next 2-3 weeks look negative for the markets. Violence should continue in the hot-spots of the world.



There are a number of Planets changing signs with can often result in changes in attitude of people.

July 13 Mercury enters Cancer. This is the second time in about a month for Mercury to enter Cancer due to retrograde motion. Mercury is short term thinking and is leaving the more light hearted sign of Gemini to the more serious and protective sign of Cancer.

July 16 Jupiter enters Leo. An approx. 12 year event. Jupiter is the co-ruler of crude. This transit has a lot of history with crude in the mid-East, wars about control of crude and various agreements regarding the same subject. Subscribers were given a number of dates two weeks ago regarding potential critical time periods in July and August when crude and the mid-east should be in the news. See notes on Crude, below.

July 18 Venus enters Cancer

July 22 Sun enters Leo

See last weeks blog post for other dates.

The whole month looks a little shaky. Astrological events that should affect the market seem to be July 20- July 24th.

A chart I've shown a number of times is the Pluto (blue) and North Node (red) price lines. Pluto was resistance, then support. The index then jumped to the North Node price line quickly, broke through and has since fallen back and seems to be getting support at the North Node price line. Watch the area around $1956 to see if price can break through on the downside.



It's interesting to note a very reliable market cycle 22/44 weeks did not appear to work. The indices would have to start down almost immediately if this cycle is going to manifest on-time.



We had added the chart of the Russell 2000 (RUT) a couple of weeks ago as it is felt an index of 2000 stocks is less open to manipulation than the major U.S. index's (SP500, Nasdaq 100 and DJIA).

The Russell 2000 appears to have put in a Primary cycle low on May 15th which means it is entering the 8th week of the Primary cycle. It is thus due for a Major cycle trough which seems to be forming and pullback potentially to the 1138-1151 area. This is at the 38.2% and 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.





Following is a repeat of the Primary cycle and it's cycle components.

Primary cycles have an average length of 18 weeks.
Primary cycles most often break down into 3 Major cycles of approx. 6 weeks each. (Note: some behave differently).
Each Major cycle often breaks down into 2 or 3 week Trading cycles. The Trading cycle often gives the trader a second chance of buying the Primary cycle low if the trader missed the actual low.

Gold
We were waiting for a pullback in Gold and got a small one. I added more positions on July 10th in the $1333 area although I still feel we could get another pullback but didn't want Gold to run away from me. I would buy here or buy on any pullbacks.

Again the subscribers have the forecast dates. All should be looked at as +- a couple of TD's, trading days. These dates will have everything to do with Jupiter and the Sun entering Leo, Mars entering Scorpio and the potentially volatile period from July 20 - 25.

Gold is currently in the 6th week of the Primary cycle. It may have just put in a very weak trough and entering the second Major cycle of the Primary cycle. That would be bullish It's still possible we are in the first Major cycle of the Primary so be careful and watch for a possible move lower early next week. Any move below $1280 and I will be out. Subscribers have more detail.



Silver is in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle. Like Gold I was looking for a more substantial pullback which we did not get. Nevertheless I bought. We could still get a pullback. I'm looking for Silver to take out previous highs, first, on Feb 24, 2014 then Oct 30, 2013. Like Gold I'll buy any declines from here. Any move below the May 30 low and I will be out. Remember the only metals that has been manipulated more than Gold is Silver.



Two specific dates for Silver were given to subscribers this week.

One of the precious metals ETF's I buy is CEF.A on the TSX. I'm in Canada you see. It is also in the US, ticker CEF. It's called the Central Canada Fund, has been around since the 1960's and holds the metal bars, Gold and Silver. The bars are in Canadian banks, segregated and shockingly audited every year. The concept of auditing Gold bars seems foreign to the FED. More importantly it's run by honorable men. Stand up Mr. Ian McAvity.

Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude, however, with the disruption of crude production in Iraq, Libya etc. price had shot up and now moved down, at least in the US. (WTIC).

Seasonally week, yes, but Jupiter is moving into degrees in the Zodiac which have been very important for the price of crude and decisions on the mid-East.

Will borders be changed? Will Israel be receiving more oil from the Kurds? Will the US, Britain or France stick their respective noses into this situation. I'll wait and see. There is big trouble in the making. Watch closely.
On another note, Jupiter is the "King's planet". This may signal changes in the head's of state or other organization in any of the mid-Eastern countries. Any country with a stake in crude production in the mid-East. I would add Turkey to the mix. I'm watching Saudi Arabia as well.

What I'm saying here is many people are watching Gold and other PM's. Watch crude as well. Subscribers, use the dates I supplied two weeks ago.

We got a larger pullback than I expected in WTIC (West Texas Intermediate Crude). Realizing the US is becoming a major producer, nevertheless, serious problems with crude production in the mid-East will affect crude prices in the US.

I should add here I have worked for an Oil company and a Mining company.






Sunday, June 8, 2014

Financial Astrology - June 8, 2014


SP500
A number of analysts are recently looking at the Russell 2000 index when reviewing cycles and market moves. The thinking is the DJIA and SP500 can be manipulated too easily by activity in a few stocks.

With that in mind, following is a daily chart Russell 2000. An index with 2000 stocks becomes less easily manipulated. I've included the 15 and 45 sma.



This is interesting as it shows the probability of May 15th being a Primary cycle low. The 15 dma is below the 45 sma and price is below both, with the 15 sma turning up after the bottom. What's wrong with the chart? The Primary cycle is very short at 14 weeks. The Primary cycle also known as 18 weeks cycle has an average range of 15 - 23 weeks. The Primary cycle started on Feb 5th on the above chart as did the Primary cycle on the following chart for the SP500 (ignore the red and blue dots). The moving averages are the same as is the start date for the Primary cycle at Feb 5, 2014. There is nothing pointing to May 15th as being a Primary cycle low in the SP500 chart below.



The Russell 2000 is telling us we are entering the 4th week of a new Primary cycle. This would typically go up to the 4th to 5th week in a bullish environment. This may still be a good place to buy the Russell. Subscribers will have my buy or sell recommendations for both indexes.

Keep the following quotes in mind as I suspected problems in this time period for some time.

From the May 17th post.
"Also what is coming shortly is Mercury stationary retrograde on June 7 and Neptune stationary retrograde on June 9. This seems to indicate a period of lies, deceit and false hoods. Since we already have all these, perhaps a period of enhanced lies, deceit and false hoods better sates the case."

From the May 24th post.
"Rather than look at the exact date of the Neptune station I look at the time period from May 28 to June 29 as a window for Neptune related activity. Neptune can equate to issues with water (especially now since it's in Pisces, the sign of it's ruler ship), oil and gas, charities, spirituality, hospitals and things that are hard to grasp. Like me. The feeling of being lost or the unknown. In it's highest form it is the recognition of the spiritual and the lowest, lies, deceit, fraud and corruption. With the way things are at this time I unfortunately look to the latter to manifest."

From the May 31st post.
"although beneficial for the arts, music, poetry etc. also stands for illusion and delusion."

Illusion and delusion may turn out to be very fitting for this time period.

What to expect? Mercury and Neptune turning retrograde both have a history of occurring near market turns or CIT's (Change In Trend). There is also a Full Moon late in the week with Venus opposing Saturn on the same day. Not positive for stocks and both are in the "Money Signs", Taurus and Scorpio.

From our earlier analysis the SP500 is in the 18th week of it's Primary cycle, and due for a turn, while the Russell 2000 may be about to enter the 4th week of a new Primary cycle. That said, an old saying is don't fight the FED. Their dovish monetary policy is undoubtedly responsible for these market moves, although late last week looked like a short covering rally.

I'm expecting increased volatility over the next couple of weeks and the possibility of a resolution to the status of the SP500 and DJIA.

As I write this post things seem to be a little quieter on the world stage. At least there seems to be less things being blown up and less blood being spilled, at least there has been less reporting on the above. Astrological signatures coming up will probably change this once again. Mars squares Pluto on June 15th and is forming a T-square with Pluto and Uranus. Although not exact it should be close enough to stir up war like activities, bad weather or geophysical problems. This should be from June 14th on for a few weeks with an emphasis on June 25 +-.


Gold
Gold may have just put in a Primary cycle low on June 3rd. It's a little early to confirm as I would want to see this rise off the bottom. If this isn't the Primary low then we are in the 23rd week of an older Primary cycle. The timing is right and so are the 15 and 45 day sma's vs price.

Gold is entering a period where it usually becomes very volatile. Heliocentric Mercury will be entering Sagittarius on June 9th through June 20th. I'm looking at this as a good trading opportunity both up and down. Subscribers will have the dates.

Keep in mind I'm looking at this as a short term opportunity while the 2nd half of 2014 should yield a very strong move in precious metals.



Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude. Unlike Gold, Crude has not defined whether we are at the end of a Primary cycle (22nd week) or we just had the crest of the first Major cycle (6 week) and we are headed down to a trough. The latter assumes May 1st was a Primary cycle low. It was 15 weeks along but difficult to confirm. If it was, it wasn't very deep. Watch crude closely. We want to see price below the 15 sma and 45 sma.



Other things to watch. Neptune is active. Neptune rules Crude and NatGas. There are many issues surrounding both here and in Europe. Russia continues to negotiate with the Ukraine over gas contracts. This should continue most of the month.

Neptune also rules coffee. The following chart is the JO, ETF, for coffee. The green lines are the Neptune price lines. Notice how they have acted as both support and resistance. Watch coffee, crude and NatGas closely in the month of June. I'm expecting volatility and breaks in support / resistance lines.

Coffee has just bounced off the 50% retracement of the move up from Jan 27, 2014 to April 24, 2014 and is sitting on the Neptune price line. This area is an old support line now turned into resistance. If it breaks through the Neptune price line it could move quickly.



From the last post
"I use the date of Aug 15, 1971 for the US$. This is the date Nixon took the US off the gold standard. Based on this chart watch the US$ from June 4-6 for either a significant issue and at the least a big range day. June 6th seems to be the most exact. Transiting Mars will be conjunct natal Uranus on this chart. Looking at mundane events that could be the trigger, the ECB meets on June 5th."

June 5th was a very big range day for the US$ Index.



Saturday, May 31, 2014

Financial Astrology - June 1, 2014

SP500
I've been expecting a Primary cycle low on or around May 30. What we are seeing is a cycle inversion where a high comes in where one expected a low. Some indices made new highs while others did not. This has the earmarks of a high and this coming week has further aspects indicating a turn down.

This weeks post will be short as I am working on the second half 2014 forecast dates for subscribers.

This is 17th week of the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week). Previous posts had been expecting a Primary cycle low in late May / early June. I'm now looking for a high and a turn down in that period. It could stretch into the second week of June but I'm going with a turn in the first week of June.

May 30           Geocentric Jupiter is on the heliocentric North Node of Pluto (could be                              volatile)
June 1             Jupiter is on the it's shadow date or back to the point in the Zodiac where                           is was when it last went retrograde on Nov 8, 2013
June 2             This is a date where a Lunar mystery cycle hits. Sometimes indentifies a                             strong move and sometimes not very much. Nevertheless we should be                              aware it may tale affect. More details in this weeks subscriber letter
June 4             Jupiter conjunct the Antiscia (mirror point) of the April 29 Solar eclipse
June 5             Mercury returns from being "Out of Bounds". This is often a turn or at a                             minimum a big range volatile day in the markets. This is the date of the next ECB meeting as well. Note the US$ comments further down.

Later this week and early the following week we have Mercury and Neptune turning retrograde within 2 days of each other. As stated in the special report "Change is in the Air", this could be a very confusing time as Mercury is about ideas and short term thought while Neptune, although beneficial for the arts, music, poetry etc. also stands for illusion and delusion. We are not dealing with the arts. We are dealing with the hard world of money and the markets. Note the comments on the window in time between May 28 and June 29th.

This could be the time for fraudulent activity regarding the markets or exposing some lies from the past. This includes more than the US. This could be closer to June 6th-9th.

I'm expecting increased volatility over the next couple of weeks and the Primary cycle trough.

Following is a chart of the first half forecast dates for the SP-500 to date or as of May 30, 2014. The red circles are the forecast dates. The forecast dates were prepared in mid-November 2013 and based strictly on Astrology. They did a good job of identifying swing highs but didn't capture the early February and mid April lows. Also I had thought the April 23rd date would be much more significant. The original forecast had all the dates +- 1 week. As you can see they are pretty much +- 1 td (trading day). For the second half subscription I'll be supplying the forecast dates as before, but will be revising them once per month as market cycles develop.

Included in the forecast letter was a Gold date. This turned out to be the best trade of the first half of the year.

From the 1sthalf market letter sent out with subscriptions.

"There is one date in the attached list is for Gold. It is added here because it is so close and maybe a spike low and change in trend to up.

The date is Dec 23 +- a week. June 27, 2013 was the previous low and I was looking at that date as the 4.25 year low. If we are now successfully retesting that low, Gold should be ready to move up. The same is true if we have a spike low in this time frame. This should be a great buying opportunity"

I bring up the Gold trade here because Gold and Silver should be a very good trade for the second half of the year and is included in the 2nd Half Forecast dates, available next week.



Gold
Gold's status has cleared up. Gold is in the 22nd week of the older Primary cycle and due to trough out. I'm expecting a rise into mid-June although I'm expecting a much better opportunity early in the 2nd half of the year. Although the average length of the Primary cycle is 18 weeks it can range from 15-21 weeks. This one is a little late.

As you can see from the following daily chart of the SP500 Gold price has plummeted. Price is below both the 15 sma  and 45 sma and the 15 sma is below is below the 45 sma. All conditions we look for during a Primary cycle trough.



Gold should reverse shortly and should be volatile. Subscribers have the dates.

Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude. Even weaker for NatGas. Unlike Gold, Crude has not defined whether we are at the end of a Primary cycle (21st week) or we just had the crest of the first Major cycle (6 week) and we are headed down to a trough. The latter assumes May 1st was a Primary cycle low. If it was, it wasn't very deep. Watch crude closely. We want to see price below the 15 sma and 45 sma.



Other things to watch. Neptune is active. Neptune rules Crude and NatGas. There are many issues surrounding both here and in Europe. Russia continues to negotiate with the Ukraine over gas contracts. This should continue most of the month.

Neptune also rules coffee. The following chart is the JO, ETF, for coffee. The green lines are the Neptune price lines. Notice how they have acted as both support and resistance. Watch coffee, crude and NatGas closely in the month of June. I'm expecting volatility and breaks in support / resistance lines.



I use the date of Aug 15, 1971 for the US$. This is the date Nixon took the US off the gold standard. Based on this chart watch the US$ from June 4-6 for either a significant issue and at the least a big range day. June 6th seems to be the most exact. Transiting Mars will be conjunct natal Uranus on this chart. Looking at mundane events that could be the trigger, the ECB meets on June 5th.