Trading Daze: June 2015

Friday, June 26, 2015

Financial Astrology - June 29, 2015

SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 21st week of the Primary ¹ cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

It is possible June 15th was the nominal 18 week cycle low but it was very shallow. Price was below both the 15 and 45 day sma' and the 15 day sma was below the 45 day sma. A Primary cycle is usually deeper but we should watch developments next week. If it is a new Primary it should get bullish fairly quickly. My work will assume we are in the 21st week of an older Primary. It should be pointed out there are some favourable aspects next week with Venus trining Uranus and then Venus conjunct Jupiter. We may see a rise in the markets early in the week (favorable Greece outcome??) but then we see some heavier aspects. The end of the month in particular has Venus and Uranus turning retrograde then Saturn turning direct. This is potentially a momentous period of change. I'm look specifically at precious metals and perhaps changes in currency.

At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes.

DJIA May 19, 2015

DJTI Nov 28, 2014

SP500 May 20, 2015

NYSE May 21, 2015

RUT Jun 23, 2015

I was looking at 2080, 2066 or 2050 as potential targets for this Primary cycle trough for the SP500. We did dip below 2080.

From last weeks market letter

"We do have a potent aspect on Monday, that is the Jupiter trine Uranus aspect. As mentioned this is most often associated with highs so we may see a rise on Monday but I'm looking for a move down next week. We will still have the Saturn semi-square Pluto aspect in orb. That's a weak aspect between 2 strong planets. This is much heavier and more in line with a falling market, or at least one that is not rising."

Back to this week

So we got the high on June 22nd and then down the rest of the week. The week ended on a Doji which is indecision. We also have favourable aspect early next week through July 1st so we may see some upside before we head further down. That's my main line of thought. If we continue higher into the following week I'll have to consider the Primary cycle low on June 15th.

Both the Sun and Mars entered Cancer last week. In mundane Astrology Cancer rules the general public and can reflect the moods and collective conscious of a society. When planets travel through Cancer we tend to see fluctuations of the general mood of the people.

The nominal 18 week cycle low should be between Now - 07/06/2015 if it is a normal nominal 18 week cycle as the range is 15 to 21 weeks (see red line at bottom right hand corner). Subscribers have more exact dates.

Video

The other current cycle we've been following is the 168 td (trading day) cycle. Like last week the chart shows two possibilities shown as a blue vertical line (May 26th) and a black vertical line, coming up (June 18th).

I'm looking at the blue line on May 21st as being the crest of the 168 td cycle and another indication we should be moving down.

Last weekend had Saturn Retrograde moving backward into Scorpio on June 14th. Intense Scorpio does not need Saturn. This is happening while Saturn is almost semi-square Pluto, the two thugs of the Zodiac. This is exact on June 20th and should emphasize the Saturn / Pluto energies. These two powerful bad guys are in mutual reception, that is Saturn is in Scorpio which Pluto rules and Pluto is in Capricorn which Saturn rules. This gives Pluto more support and staying power in it's role to change banking and money in general. Saturn in Scorpio creates tension and can effect the emotions in a negative way (depression?) and a detrimental effect on health. We could see a pandemic or other disease come to the fore while Saturn is in Scorpio (MERS?).

Neptune can rule things and events that are spiritual, utopian ideals, socialism and things associated with hospitals. Neptune can also stand for lies, deceit, falsehoods, swindling, loss and lack of truth. Distorted truth may be coming from news outlets. Neptune turned retrograde on June 12th.

At any rate, Neptune is in a strong position in Pisces, the sign that it rules. As mentioned last week this should emphasize events dealing with water, crude and Natural Gas. Things that Neptune rules.

There are other transits pointing to a potential stronger move down, reserved for subscribers.

Gold

Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle ¹ trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 15th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.

Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as Mercury turned retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down. Gold has a Doji on Friday another sign of indecision, perhaps worry about the Greek decision. The aspects I mentioned at the end of the month are potentially momentous for precious metals and possibly currencies. Gold could move lower here and may have seen the top for this nominal 18 week cycle.

We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in the summer but reserved for subscribers. That cycle and others with the placement of Jupiter in the summer may be pointing to a strong reversal in Gold. That is we move down into the July / August period for a low in Gold from which a large rally commences. More work needed here. I'm no longer short the Gold miners.

If we have just seen the crest, Gold should be moving down from here for a few weeks.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke through both the Venus and Jupiter price lines then basically went sideways for 3 days with a Doji at the end.

Crude

This coming week of June 29 we should be entering the 15th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune or Jupiter aspects. July 1st has Venus conjunct Jupiter and Neptune trine Kronos on July 28th. Other Astrological dates are reserved for subscribers.

Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. Since the shooting star doji on May 6th Crude has been in sideways consolidation. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves and news out of the mid-East. I had heard Saudi Arabia was going to max production which would push prices down.

As seen on the following chart crude finally dropped away from the Neptune price line (green) and put in a Doji on Friday. More indecision.

This post is a little shorter than usual as we finish other projects.

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Saturday, June 20, 2015

Financial Astrology - June 22, 2015

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SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 20th week of the Primary ¹ cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

Being the 20th week, May 20th appears to have been the crest and we are headed down into the nominal 18 week cycle trough. At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes.

DJIA May 19, 2015

DJTI Nov 28, 2014

SP500 May 20, 2015

NYSE May 21, 2015

RUT Jun 18, 2015

On the above chart we had mentioned Neptune turning retrograde (turned on June 12th) is often associated with double tops and double bottoms. The lows on June 9th and June 15th in the SP500 are good examples of a double bottom.

On the above chart price of the SP500 did dip below the 15 and 45 day sma's and the 15 day sma was briefly lower than the 45 day sma. This could be read as a very shallow Primary cycle trough. Bear that in mind over the next couple of week. I think we should see the SP500 index lower for the final trough.

I was looking at 2080, 2066 or 2050 as potential targets for this Primary cycle trough for the SP500. We did dip below 2080. We do have a potent aspect on Monday, that is the Jupiter trine Uranus aspect. As mentioned this is most often associated with highs so we may see a rise on Monday but I'm looking for a move down next week. We will still have the Saturn semi-square Pluto aspect in orb. That's a weak aspect between 2 strong planets. This is much heavier and more in line with a falling market, or at least one that is not rising.

From last weeks market letter

"I'm expecting the major US market indices to move down. This may have started on May 20th for the SP500. We may have seen the bounce I was expecting with Neptune turning Retrograde and now we move down into the nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs. This is my preferred outlook. The FED may step in and juice the market higher but the Astros are pointing down.

One other option is we bounce and go up into the June 22 area where we have Jupiter trine Uranus. This aspect has a history of occurring near tops. This is not always the case. For example Jupiter trine Uranus occurred near the bottom of the October 1987 crash."

Back to this week

So we got a low on June 15th, the day after Saturn entered Scorpio. Saturn is about restrictions and discipline while Scorpio is about other peoples money, illness, crime and abuse. Other peoples money covers banking, stock markets, insurance, accounting and financial services. This may take a couple of weeks to develop, but there may be an initial shock. Watch bonds and watch out.

Both the Sun and Mars will enter Cancer this week. In mundane Astrology Cancer rules the general public and can reflect the moods and collective conscious of a society. When planets travel through Cancer we tend to see fluctuations of the general mood of the people.

Video

I'm looking at the blue line on May 21st as being the crest of the 168 td cycle and another indication we should be moving down.

There are other transits pointing to a potential stronger move down, reserved for subscribers.

In summary It is possible the nominal 18 week cycle put in a very weak ending trough this week but I'm looking for an additional move down. We may have seen the bounce (double bottom) I was expecting with Neptune turning Retrograde and now we should move down into the nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs. This is my preferred outlook. I'll ignore the FED's actions. Remember the aspect on Monday and we could get a big move that day or close by. The Jupiter trine Uranus aspect has more often been seen at tops but there have been instances where it marked a bottom or very close by a bottom.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.

Gold

Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle ¹ trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 14th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.

Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as Mercury turned retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down with one big up day on Thursday then a tight Doji on Friday, a sign of indecision and potentially down.. Gold could move lower here and may have seen the top for this nominal 18 week cycle. May 18th may have been the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. This was also 2 td's from the time Fib of 2.618 noted on previous posts. This was based on the move down in Gold from October 2012 to June 2013.

If we have just seen the crest, Gold should be moving down from here for a few weeks, potentially a couple of months. With the Astrological aspects Gold may be very volatile, like the main market indices.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold was moved up on Thursday after testing the Jupiter price line (blue) for a few days. The Doji on Friday means indecision.

Crude

This coming week of June 22 we should be entering the 14th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune or Jupiter aspects. June 22nd has the very strong Jupiter trine Uranus aspect and June 23rd has Mercury square Neptune. Like stocks and Gold, crude could be very volatile for the next few weeks. For example May 29th had Mercury waxing square to Neptune. There was almost a $3 swing up on Friday.

Other Astrological dates are reserved for subscribers.

As seen on the following chart the Neptune price line (green) continues to provide resistance to any upward move in crude.

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Saturday, June 13, 2015

Financial Astrology - June 15, 2015

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SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 19th week of the Primary ¹ cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

Being the 19th week we should be looking for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. I'm looking at May 20th to be that crest and we should therefore be headed down into the nominal 18 week cycle trough. At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes.

DJIA May 19, 2015

DJTI Nov 28, 2014

SP500 May 20, 2015

NYSE May 21, 2015

RUT Apr 15, 2015

On the above chart price of the SP500, the 15 day sma is almost on the 45 day sma and

price is below both. Ideally we would like to see the 15 day sma below the 45 sma and price below both. We are getting close. I'm looking at 2080, 2066 or 2050 as potential targets for this Primary cycle trough for the SP500.

From last weeks market letter

"That said we also mentioned a few weeks ago an adjusted Bradley indicator (Bradley-Shramenko), the brown wavy line on the chart. It turned up on March 26 and the markets started to move lower. As we have said the indicator does not indicate polarity. So the indicator moving up when the market index is moving down is quite normal. The next turn is on Monday June 8th. IF the adjusted Bradley indicator is working this would indicate a turn up in the markets as the indicator moves down. I've been looking for a move down in the markets so Monday must be watched closely.

Also note the indicator has a shallow move on June 15th which could indicate a turn as well."

Back to this week

So we got the turn up on June 9th, a Doji . We are currently sitting 1 day before the next Bradley turn indicator and we turned down as expected. The question now is how deep we go for a nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs.

The nominal 18 week cycle low should be between Now - 07/06/2015 if it is a normal nominal 18 week cycle as the range is 15 to 21 weeks (see red line at bottom right hand corner). There are other indications for a move down reserved for subsribers.

Video

I'm looking at the blue line on May 21st as being the crest of the 168 td cycle and another indication we should be moving down.

I'm looking for continued strife and discord. This could include social unrest, police shootings, accidents. Water and crude have been in the news and should continue with the emphasis on Neptune in it's own sign, Pisces and Mercury, also in it's own sign of Gemini, a mutable air sign. Mercury joins both the Sun and Mars in Gemini and the latter two will be conjunct on June 14 a signature that will emphasize hostile activity and with a history of sharp moves in the market given a broad range. This is almost on the New Moon on June 16th which, at 25 degrees, 7 minutes in Gemini is within approx 3 degrees of the potentially troublesome fixed stars, Polaris and Betelgeuse.

This weekend also has Saturn Retrograde moving backward into Scorpio on June 14th. Intense Scorpio does not need Saturn. This is happening while Saturn is almost semi-square Pluto, the two thugs of the Zodiac. This is exact on June 20th and should emphasize the Saturn / Pluto energies. These two powerful bad guys are in mutual reception, that is Saturn is in Scorpio which Pluto rules and Pluto is in Capricorn which Saturn rules. This gives Pluto more support and staying power in it's role to change banking and money in general. Saturn in Scorpio creates tension and can effect the emotions in a negative way (depression?) and a detrimental effect on health. We could see a pandemic or other disease come to the fore while Saturn is in Scorpio (MERS?). Scorpio rules others peoples money so companies such as banking, stock markets, insurance, accounting and financial series may be made accountable when Saturn is in Scorpio, in this case with support from Pluto. This may take a number of weeks to develop, but there may be an initial shock. Watch bonds and watch out.

Neptune can rule things and events that are spiritual, Utopian ideals, socialism and things associated with hospitals. Neptune can also stand for lies, deceit, falsehoods, swindling, loss and lack of truth. Distorted truth may be coming from news outlets. Neptune turned retrograde on June 12th.

There are other transits pointing to a potential stronger move down, reserved for subscribers.

In summary I'm expecting the major US market indices to move down. This may have started on May 20th for the SP500. We may have seen the bounce I was expecting with Neptune turning Retrograde and now we move down into the nominal 18 week and 168 td cycle troughs. This is my preferred outlook, particularly with the Saturn / Pluto aspects noted above. The FED may step in and juice the market higher but the Astros are pointing down.

One other option is we bounce and go up into the June 22 area where we have Jupiter trine Uranus. This aspect has a history of occurring near tops. This is not always the case. For example Jupiter trine Uranus occurred near the bottom of the October 1987 crash.

Gold

Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle ¹ trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 13th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.

Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as Mercury turning retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down. Gold could move lower here and may have seen the top for this nominal 18 week cycle. May 18th may have been the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. This was also 2 td's from the time Fib of 2.618 noted on previous posts. This was based on the move down in Gold from October 2012 to June 2013.

As noted last week, Mercury retrograde has a strong history of changes in trend for Gold close to the retrograde date. In this case it was to the day. The direct date also has a history of changes in Gold price. That's June 11th this week. On the following chart the red arrow pointing left is the retrograde date, the blue arrow pointing right is the direct date, the red dot is the geocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction and the blue dot is the heliocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction. The I and S denote the Inferior and Superior conjunctions.

From Last Week

"Heliocentric Mercury leaves Sagittarius and moves into Capricorn on June 7th. This may have a short term reversal effect for Gold."

Gold reversed up on June 8th.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke through the Jupiter price line early in the week and has followed it sideways.

Crude

This coming week of June 15 we should be entering the 13th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune aspects and the Neptune stationary retrograde date on June 12th. Like stocks and Gold, crude could be very volatile for the next few weeks. For example May 29th had Mercury waxing square to Neptune. There was almost a $3 swing up on Friday.

Other Astrological dates are reserved for subscribers.

As seen on the following chart the Neptune price line (green) gave resistance on June 10th and 11th then fell below on the date of Neptune turning retrograde.

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Saturday, June 6, 2015

Financial Astrology - June 8, 2015

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SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 18th week of the Primary ¹ cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

Being the 18th week we should be looking for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. I'm looking at May 20th to be that crest and we should therefore be headed down into the nominal 18 week cycle trough. At this point following are the highs in the US indexes.

DJIA May 19, 2015

DJTI Nov 28, 2014

SP500 May 20, 2015

NYSE May 21, 2015

RUT Apr 15, 2015

On the above chart price of the SP500, the 15 day sma is above the 45 day sma but curling over down. Price is now below both the 15 and 45 day sma's. All pointing to an index about to go down to a trough and within the range of the 18 week cycle we defined last February (see red line at the bottom right on the chart).

That said we also mentioned last week an adjusted Bradley indicator (Bradley-Shramenko), the brown wavy line on the chart. It turned up on March 26 and the markets started to move lower. As we have said the indicator does not indicate polarity. So the indicator moving up when the market index is moving down is quite normal. The next turn is on Monday June 8th. IF the adjusted Bradley indicator is working this would indicate a turn up in the markets as the indicator moves down. I've been looking for a move down in the markets so Monday +- 2 td's must be watched closely.

Also note the indicator has a shallow move on June 15th which could indicate a turn as well.

So we should be heading down into the trough for this nominal 18 week cycle which should be between Now - 07/06/2015 if it is a normal nominal 18 week cycle as the range is 15 to 21 weeks (see red line at bottom right hand corner). There are other indications for a move down, as seen below.

Video

http://youtu.be/X5OLZP2Y1tg

From last weeks market letter

"...From the list of events above I'm looking for the US markets to move down to a trough for the nominal 18 week cycle and 168 td cycle. Approx. dates for a low could be June 1, 4, 11, 12 ,14 , 24 all +- 3 td's. 1 and 4 seem a little too close. June 4th and 5th could be important with Pluto at 15 degrees of Capricorn on June 4th and the Sun on 14 degrees of Gemini which is the heliocentric Nodes of Uranus. Jupiter trine Uranus on June 22nd has usually been at a high but not always. The market crash of October 1987 found Jupiter trine Uranus at the bottom of the crash zone."

Back to this week

We got the move down or at least the start of a move down last week. I'll update the dates in the subscription letter.

I'm looking at the blue line on May 20th as being the crest of the 168 td cycle and another indication we should be moving down.

I'm looking for continued strife and discord. This could include social unrest, police shootings, accidents. Water and crude have been in the news and should continue with the emphasis on Neptune in it's own sign, Pisces and Mercury retrograde, also in it's own sign of Gemini, a mutable air sign. Mercury joins both the Sun and Mars in Gemini and the latter two will be conjunct on June 14 a signature that will emphasize hostile activity and with a history of sharp moves in the market given a broad range.

During the last few weeks Mercury retrograde and Neptune preparing for retrograde many people feel out of sorts. The path forward is unclear in the markets and in everyday life. Late this coming week has Mercury turning stationary direct on June 11 and Neptune stationary retrograde on June 12th. If we happen to still be moving down watch for a reversal up near the June 11, 12 dates. If we are moving up watch for a reversal down near these dates. Neptune retrograde has a history of occurring near double tops and bottoms. I've been looking at May 20th as the crest so it's possible we see the markets make another crest close to the Neptune retrograde date, June 12th.

From last weeks post following is some history of the Mercury retrograde and direct periods. The red arrow pointing left is the retrograde date, the blue arrow pointing right is the direct date, the red dot is the geocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction and the blue dot is the heliocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction. The I and S denote the Inferior and Superior conjunctions.

The Mercury retrograde period is known to be volatile. Also, with Mars in Gemini (war of words or real war?) market volatility should increase. Geophysical (earthquakes, volcanoes) could also increase.

The last few weeks we have mentioned Venus being "Out of Bounds" OOB. Venus comes back in bounds on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds". Another potentially volatile signature and potential change in trend.

To repeat from last week and stress the points on Neptune above.

One of the aspect coming up is Neptune turning retrograde. Neptune is in a powerful position in Pisces, the sign that it rules. Neptune rules crude, natural gas, water, beliefs (religious beliefs?), socialism, communism, left-wing politics, fraud, misinformation, swindling, loss and vice, the soul and psychic connections. It is in each sign approx. 13-14 years but it varies quite a bit due to retrograde motion. Neptune was hit by a square from Mars and a square from the Sun before the retrograde period. Neptune has a history of occurring near market double tops and bottoms. In our case right now this could mean a retest of the May 20th crest.

In summary I'm expecting the major US market indices to move down. This may have started on May 20th for the SP500. We could get a move up first (Neptune double top) but we are getting late in the nominal 18 week cycle and in time for the 168 td cycle which may have seen it's crest on May 20th as well.

One other option is we bounce and go up into the June 22 area where we have Jupiter trine Uranus. This aspect has a history of occurring near tops. This is not always the case however. For example Jupiter trine Uranus occurred near the bottom of the October 1987 crash.

Gold

Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle ¹ trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 12th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.

Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as Mercury turning retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down and rests on the 78.6% Fib retracement of the move up from Nov 7, 2014 to Jan 22, 2015. Gold could move lower here and may have seen the top for this nominal 18 week cycle. May 18th may have been the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. This was also 2 td's from the time Fib of 2.618 noted on previous posts. This was based on the move down in Gold from October 2012 to June 2013.

We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in the summer but reserved for subscribers. That cycle and the placement of Jupiter in the summer may be pointing to a strong reversal in Gold. More on this as we approach the reversal time frame.

If we have just seen the crest on May 18th, Gold should be moving down from here for a few weeks, potentially a couple of months. This would be opposite the US buck. With the Astrological aspects Gold may be very volatile, like the main market indices.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke through the Jupiter price line and appears to be moving down to at least the next Venus price line.

Heliocentric Mercury leaves Sagittarius and moves into Capricorn on June 7th. This may have a short term reversal effect for Gold.

Crude

This coming week of June 8 we should be entering the 12th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

Other Astrological dates are reserved for subscribers.

As seen on the following chart the Neptune price line (green) gave resistance on June 2nd and 3rd then fell through the Jupiter price line (orange) but ended the week near the top of the day. This was after the OPEC meetings. Watch early next week to see if crude can hold above the Jupiter price line at $58.70

Subscription

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available for purchase.