Financial Astrology - November 2, 2014

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Summary

From last weeks blog:

"My trading plan includes a pull back early in the week and then assess the market status after the FED announcement on Oct. 29th. Although I'm leaning to a bearish position, major markets could move up into early November. I'm specifically looking at the week of Nov 10th for a possible high."

From last weeks letter:

" My current plan is to look for a move down on Monday or Tuesday to the 1950-1954 area.  I will also stand aside during the FED announcement at 2:00pm on Oct 29th and then assess where the markets are headed. Although I'm leaning to a bearish position, major markets could move up into early November. We are in a period where bad news is positive for the markets because participants expect more government monetary intervention when bad news comes out. I'm specifically looking at the week of Nov 10th for a possible high."

Also from last weeks letter:

"October 27 Unusual grand trine between Venus, Neptune and Hades (a Uranian point). Diseases and money are involved? Neptune is particularly strong right now as it is in the sign that it rules, Pisces. All planets in the grand trine are in water signs. Water signs are emotional, not the best influence when dealing with market volatility. Is this forecasting panic or a melt up?"

I wasn't expecting such a strong move up but a "melt up" we got. The US got a strong move in the US$ as well after the Japan announcement.

China's economic indicators are not doing well. They join Europe and Japan in a global period of economic slowdown. The only country with apparent economic strength is the USA. I'm just not sure we can believe the numbers or the estimates. With a strong dollar against other trading nations how will the US exports do?

All this does not auger well for the immediate future. I'm expecting bigger market problems in 2015 and the 1st half of 2016. It could get very ugly before we are out of this.

This coming week we have a number of Astrological aspects pointing to short term turns in the market. The following week of Nov 10th has much stronger aspects which could be pointing to a move down. Hard to believe with the current strength in the US markets. There are 3 critical time periods over the next 2 months that could indicate a change in trend or a high. Subscribers have the dates.

In the USA the mid-term elections on November 4 coincide with record stock market values and very low gasoline prices. It must just be a coincidence. By listening to the mainstream media one would think Ebola is gone. Hard to find a mention of it. Perhaps after the elections {^_^}.

SP500

This week's post will be a little shorter than usual as I'm working on the 1st half 2015 forecast dates.

We are entering the 13th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  ¹ (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th.

We saw the start of a 1/2 Primary  ¹ on Oct 15th. This no longer looks like a left translated bearish cycle.

Following is the SP500 and shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.

Red squares heliocentric Venus square Jupiter and red double arrow shows heliocentric Mars opposing Jupiter. Both are short term change in trend indicators +- 3 tds

Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

So we are at a very important point. Do we go up into the traditional positive time of the year or has 5 years of FED easy money so distorted valuations that the market can only go down. This week we saw the effects of a strong market and the positive push in the US from Japan's monetary easing. I'm still looking for a pull back in the major US indices but a dramatic increase in inflation would change this outlook.

Although Ebola has disappeared from the news, we may be hearing more about Ebola over the next few weeks. Watch for news on Ebola around Nov 16th and Nov 27th. I can't find anything tying this signature to the USA. It's a world problem.

The Uranus and Pluto waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular. Following is a weekly chart.

Gold

Gold is in the 5th week or 22nd of it's Primary cycle   ¹  (nominal 18 week). If looking at this as the 5th week of a new Primary ¹ then this would be the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary and we are headed down into the trough of that cycle. This would be bearish.

If this is the 22nd week of an older Primary then it is due to reverse and reverse quickly. There are a number of reasons for looking at the week of Nov 10th as a possible turn in precious metals. Longer term, without a dramatic event, precious metals look negative.

Subscribers got a more detailed review of the longer term Gold aspects detailing an 8.5 year, 4.25 year and 17 month cycles.

The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart and has just broken through.

Silver is also in the 5th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  ¹ . Like Gold, Silver appears to be pulling back, only worse.

This brings into question Oct 3rd being Primary cycle bottom. Like Gold, if we are now seeing a trough for the first nominal 6 week this would be very bearish. There are potential turn aspects during the week of Nov 10th. Watch that week closely.

The following chart shows the Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. Silver is currently running up the Jupiter price line. If it is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise away from the price line.

Crude

We are in the 3rd week of a new Primary ¹ cycle. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

There are many reason, US and Saudi intentionally over producing to drive out high cost producers and hurt Russia, ISIS and Iran. This plan seems to be working but there are always unforeseen repercussions. Western governments collect a lot of tax revenue from the price at the pump. If it is down the government revenues are down. Crude may be reflecting the real world economy. When crude does turn up it will probably be to lower highs. This is also causing problems between mid-East governments.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart. Crude seems to have entered a consolidation area. Perhaps this is the agreed price between the US and Saudi Arabia.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Nov 11 Grand trine between Mercury / Neptune and Hades.

Nov 17 Neptune stationary direct on Sunday Nov 16

On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to early November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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Financial Astrology - Sept, 28, 2014

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First of all let me thank the many subscribers who emailed in congratulating the call for Sept. 25th. It's not often we get such a big move on the exact date forecast but this was fairly obvious. A number of subscribers paid for their subscription many times over. If you missed out on the Sept 25th date, don't worry. There will be many more. One possibly very soon.

From last weeks subscriber  market letter:

"In addition on Sept 25 the Moon passes over the point, where the Sun will be during the Oct 8th Lunar Eclipse. The Moon will also be opposing Uranus on Sept 25th. Putting this together there appears to be some surprise and may have something to do with the US$ or some other currencies. I'm looking at this as an event or a secret comes out that effects the US$ or other currencies. This may be just the start. This period around Sept 25th should turn out to be significant."

Trading Note: It's difficult to short the market when you expect a pullback after a long bullish period. You could short the index via an ETF or buy puts. In instances like this I put in resting buy orders on 2 times reverse ETF's and then let the market take me in if it goes down.

SP500

We are entering the 8th week of the Primary cycle  ¹  (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th. There are potentially a number of longer term cycles due in the next couple of months. September has a number of intermediate cycles due. We have just put in the first Major cycle (nominal 6 week) of the Primary  ¹ cycle with the low which I have changed to Sept 25th. This was also the 224 cd cycle trough.

From last weeks blog post:

"So normally the SP500 should be back in bullish mode as it starts it's 2nd Major cycle of the Primary cycle.

I said normally because we have a number of Astrological events that have a history of occurring around trend changes. These start next week and carry on through to Oct 23, the partial Solar eclipse."

Following is a daily chart of the SP500 with the nominal 6 week trough and shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.

The 224 cd (calendar day) cycle troughed out with the nominal 6 week low on Sept 25.

The 168 td (trading day) cycle turned down on the high just like previous highs.

The next couple of weeks should continue the volatile swings.  This coming week of September 29 starts a little quieter on the Astro front, but does have Mars moving "Out of Bounds" by declination. There are two major Astrological events coming up. Their force should start to be felt this week.

First, the Jupiter, Uranus trine will be joined by Mars making it a grand trine in fire signs. This will be most exact during the week of Oct. 5th. This has the potential of being quite positive and innovative with a possible break through in one of the sciences. We may find people to be more bold, challenging and outspoken, including ourselves. Watch for this in your personal lives. Remember I said has the potential.

Metaphysical Interlude:

A brief note on trines or 3rd harmonic aspects vs hard aspects (squares, oppositions etc.) or 8th harmonic aspects. With trines, the energy is smooth flowing between the planets involved. Everything is running smooth so there's no need for action. With the hard aspects the energy is not smooth flowing, it is disruptive and prods people to action. The point is trines feel so "nice" people sit back and enjoy the feelings of the trine and nothing gets accomplished. Squares and other 8th harmonic aspects prod people / groups to get up and do something. Action takes place as the result. This can also equate to manifestation in the physical world while trines, many times, do not manifest in the physical world and result in positive feelings only. Put down the phone, turn off the TV, get off the couch and do something. The grand trine will then be of help to you. Enough of our metaphysical rant and on with the forecast.

This grand trine includes Mars so I expect some action. The fact all 3 planets are in fire signs should be creative. Mars in Sagittarius, Uranus in Aries and Jupiter in Leo. There is certainly an element of luck in this grand trine. With all the problems in the world it would be most beneficial to use this grand trine's energy to tackle some of the most pressing difficulties. It does seem to address freedom.

On the other side of the coin we have the Sun then Venus translating the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. In fact the Lunar eclipse of Oct 8th forms a T-square with the forming Uranus / Pluto waxing square creating a T-square with Pluto as the focal planet. The focal planet will express the energy of the T-square. Pluto is in Capricorn and still very close to the heliocentric Jupiter nodes, a power point in the Zodiac. Pluto is all about debt, deficits and taxes. If we include Kronos (a Uranian point) we have a grand square. This would appear to be quite negative. Could debt or defaults be affecting Uranus freedoms?

The subscribers will have all the exact dates. For our purposes here the period around

Oct 8th should be very important. If a sovereign debt issue comes up, these aspects could be pointing in that direction, it's obviously going to have a very negative affect on the markets.

On Sept 25th the Moon was on the spot where the Sun will be during the lunar eclipse, opposite Uranus. It invoked fear in the markets and a sharp down move. We may get a repeat performance close to the Lunar eclipse date. The issue of freedom I originally saw may turn out to be the curtailment of freedom due to debt / default issues. Following is some history of eclipses on a daily chart of the SP500. Lunar eclipses ( blue circle) Solar eclipses (red circles). More details on eclipses are in the subscribers letter.

Mars will be in Sagittarius until October 26th. Expect volatility in many markets.

The Pluto and Uranus waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be an exact waxing square on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.

I view this aspect as the aspect which has given rise to many of the world's difficult events over the past couple of years particularly debt, secretive financial manipulation, taxes etc.  This is a very long term aspects and I give it +- 1 month in orb. It is an aspect that colors the background of history for a number of years. We have covered the Uranus Pluto in waxing square extensively in previous posts. We will do so again as we get closer.

In summary I am looking for market volatility for 5 to 6 weeks. There are a number of significant aspects occurring over the next 2 weeks. Although this coming week markets may start slowly, critical aspects start Oct 4 through to Oct 11 with Oct 8th, the Lunar eclipse potentially being the trigger to set off a market event. This Lunar eclipse should be given a few days either side but the T-square formation mentioned above may be the catalyst to set things off. With Pluto as the focal point of a T-square we could be looking at a sovereign debt default or other debt problem. I've mentioned the US$ for the last couple of weeks. Keep watching currencies and the US$. There could be a quick move in the Oct 8th time frame +- a few .

Gold

Gold is in the 17th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  ¹  (nominal 18 week). After a couple of weeks of free fall, Gold at least went sideways last week. We may be close to an 18 week low. I'm watching for a break above the 1239 area. That's the 23.6% retracement of the move down from July 10th to Sept 25th. There's that date again. It's quite possible Sept 25th was the trough of the Primary cycle. It's in the range of the Pluto direct aspect on Sept 22nd.

Two other charts pointing to a potential reversal in Gold follow. Be advised, if Gold does reverse here it could be entering a left translated cycle. That could mean after a brief bullish rise it may turn bearish early. Keep this in mind.

The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the following chart.

There is another shorter term aspect which is the 7th harmonic aspect between the Sun and Jupiter. The following daily chart shows some history. It has marked short term trend changes. The next exact date is Sept. 30th.

I've been working on the premise that June 28, 2013 was the 4.5 year cycle low in Gold and Dec 31, 2013 was a retest. If Gold goes below 1180 we may be seeing the 4.5 year low unfolding now.

Silver is in the 18th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  ¹ . Like Gold we are lower in price than at the start of the Primary cycle on May 30, 2014. The Primary cycle is also left translated, which is bearish. Watch this week.

Silver was below the 200 level in the CCI (Commodity channel index), a level from which Silver often makes a move higher within a couple of weeks. It was sitting on the 1.236 Fib level for the move up from May 30, 2014 to July 11, 2014 on Sept 19th. Watch this level which is at 17.86 on the following daily chart. Were late in the 18th week cycle.

Crude

Nobody sounds the trumpet when cycles end. Crude may have put in it's Primary cycle cycle ¹  trough on Sept 22nd. We would therefore be in the 1st week of a new Primary cycle or the 22nd week of an older cycle. I suspect we are in a new Primary which should be bullish. I bought a bullish crude ETF on Friday.

If this is a new cycle we must bear in mind it could be left translated and therefore we would get the top early in the cycle. Many commodities have been going through a deflationary period at least partly attributable to the high US$. I'm referring to WTIC crude.

On a longer term basis, Crude could drop to the 85.00/CL area in the 4th quarter of 2014

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

Financial Astrology - July 13, 2014

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Worldwide we had expected an increase in earthquake activity and a number of large storms. You can typically expect such activity around the days of a perigee Full Moon (Super Moon -- Richard Nolle) July 12th. We got both with a major typhoon in Japan and earthquakes in Mexico and off the coast of Japan. You can monitor earthquake activity here.

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/

I'm expecting more geophysical events and violent weather around July 20-23 and then July 28-31 both +- a few days.

SP500

We have been expecting a pullback in the markets. So far it has been very small. We were looking for a trough in the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) with a range of 15-23 weeks. Currently we are 23 weeks along the Primary cycle. Very late and very unusual to have a new high so late in the cycle.

A minimal expectation would be for a pullback into the $1925 area. This would be 23.6% of the move up from Feb 5, 2014 to July 3, 2014. (23.6 % = 61.8% * 38.2 % all Fibonacci ratios). Even a move to the 45 sma, currently at $1931 would indicate a possible Primary cycle trough. Also due at this time was a 9 week cycle and a longer term 55 week cycle. For the latter cycle we were looking for a crest. It may have started but too early too tell. Earnings season should tell the story. The Astrological events coming up over the next 2-3 weeks look negative for the markets. Violence should continue in the hot-spots of the world.

There are a number of Planets changing signs with can often result in changes in attitude of people.

July 13 Mercury enters Cancer. This is the second time in about a month for Mercury to enter Cancer due to retrograde motion. Mercury is short term thinking and is leaving the more light hearted sign of Gemini to the more serious and protective sign of Cancer.

July 16 Jupiter enters Leo. An approx. 12 year event. Jupiter is the co-ruler of crude. This transit has a lot of history with crude in the mid-East, wars about control of crude and various agreements regarding the same subject. Subscribers were given a number of dates two weeks ago regarding potential critical time periods in July and August when crude and the mid-east should be in the news. See notes on Crude, below.

July 18 Venus enters Cancer

July 22 Sun enters Leo

See last weeks blog post for other dates.

The whole month looks a little shaky. Astrological events that should affect the market seem to be July 20- July 24th.

A chart I've shown a number of times is the Pluto (blue) and North Node (red) price lines. Pluto was resistance, then support. The index then jumped to the North Node price line quickly, broke through and has since fallen back and seems to be getting support at the North Node price line. Watch the area around $1956 to see if price can break through on the downside.

It's interesting to note a very reliable market cycle 22/44 weeks did not appear to work. The indices would have to start down almost immediately if this cycle is going to manifest on-time.

We had added the chart of the Russell 2000 (RUT) a couple of weeks ago as it is felt an index of 2000 stocks is less open to manipulation than the major U.S. index's (SP500, Nasdaq 100 and DJIA).

The Russell 2000 appears to have put in a Primary cycle low on May 15th which means it is entering the 8th week of the Primary cycle. It is thus due for a Major cycle trough which seems to be forming and pullback potentially to the 1138-1151 area. This is at the 38.2% and 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.

Following is a repeat of the Primary cycle and it's cycle components.

Primary cycles have an average length of 18 weeks.

Primary cycles most often break down into 3 Major cycles of approx. 6 weeks each. (Note: some behave differently).

Each Major cycle often breaks down into 2 or 3 week Trading cycles. The Trading cycle often gives the trader a second chance of buying the Primary cycle low if the trader missed the actual low.

Gold

We were waiting for a pullback in Gold and got a small one. I added more positions on July 10th in the $1333 area although I still feel we could get another pullback but didn't want Gold to run away from me. I would buy here or buy on any pullbacks.

Again the subscribers have the forecast dates. All should be looked at as +- a couple of TD's, trading days. These dates will have everything to do with Jupiter and the Sun entering Leo, Mars entering Scorpio and the potentially volatile period from July 20 - 25.

Gold is currently in the 6th week of the Primary cycle. It may have just put in a very weak trough and entering the second Major cycle of the Primary cycle. That would be bullish It's still possible we are in the first Major cycle of the Primary so be careful and watch for a possible move lower early next week. Any move below $1280 and I will be out. Subscribers have more detail.

Silver is in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle. Like Gold I was looking for a more substantial pullback which we did not get. Nevertheless I bought. We could still get a pullback. I'm looking for Silver to take out previous highs, first, on Feb 24, 2014 then Oct 30, 2013. Like Gold I'll buy any declines from here. Any move below the May 30 low and I will be out. Remember the only metals that has been manipulated more than Gold is Silver.

Two specific dates for Silver were given to subscribers this week.

One of the precious metals ETF's I buy is CEF.A on the TSX. I'm in Canada you see. It is also in the US, ticker CEF. It's called the Central Canada Fund, has been around since the 1960's and holds the metal bars, Gold and Silver. The bars are in Canadian banks, segregated and shockingly audited every year. The concept of auditing Gold bars seems foreign to the FED. More importantly it's run by honorable men. Stand up Mr. Ian McAvity.

Crude

Seasonally this is a weak period for crude, however, with the disruption of crude production in Iraq, Libya etc. price had shot up and now moved down, at least in the US. (WTIC).

Seasonally week, yes, but Jupiter is moving into degrees in the Zodiac which have been very important for the price of crude and decisions on the mid-East.

Will borders be changed? Will Israel be receiving more oil from the Kurds? Will the US, Britain or France stick their respective noses into this situation. I'll wait and see. There is big trouble in the making. Watch closely.

On another note, Jupiter is the "King's planet". This may signal changes in the head's of state or other organization in any of the mid-Eastern countries. Any country with a stake in crude production in the mid-East. I would add Turkey to the mix. I'm watching Saudi Arabia as well.

What I'm saying here is many people are watching Gold and other PM's. Watch crude as well. Subscribers, use the dates I supplied two weeks ago.

We got a larger pullback than I expected in WTIC (West Texas Intermediate Crude). Realizing the US is becoming a major producer, nevertheless, serious problems with crude production in the mid-East will affect crude prices in the US.

I should add here I have worked for an Oil company and a Mining company.