First of all let me thank the many subscribers who emailed
in congratulating the call for Sept.
25th. It's not often we get such a big move on the exact date forecast but
this was fairly obvious. A number of subscribers paid for their subscription
many times over. If you missed out on the Sept 25th date, don't worry. There
will be many more. One possibly very soon.
From last weeks subscriber
market letter:
"In addition
on Sept 25 the Moon passes over the point, where the Sun will be
during the Oct 8th Lunar Eclipse. The Moon will also be opposing Uranus
on Sept 25th. Putting this together there appears to be some surprise and
may have something to do with the US$ or some other currencies. I'm
looking at this as an event or a secret comes out that effects the US$ or other
currencies. This may be just the start. This
period around Sept 25th should turn out to be significant."
Trading Note:
It's difficult to short the market when you expect a pullback after a long
bullish period. You could short the index via an ETF or buy puts. In instances
like this I put in resting buy orders on 2 times reverse ETF's and then let the
market take me in if it goes down.
SP500
We are entering
the 8th
week of the Primary cycle
1
(nominal 18 week) which started on
Aug 7th. There are potentially a number of longer term cycles due
in the next couple of months. September has a number of intermediate cycles
due. We have just put in the
first Major
cycle (nominal 6 week) of the Primary 1
cycle with the
low which I have changed to Sept 25th. This was also the 224 cd cycle
trough.
From last weeks blog post:
"So normally the
SP500 should be back in bullish mode as it starts it's 2nd Major cycle of the
Primary cycle.
I said normally
because we have a number of Astrological events that have a history of
occurring around trend changes. These start next week and carry on through to
Oct 23, the partial Solar eclipse."
Following is a daily chart of the SP500 with the nominal 6 week trough and
shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.
The 224 cd (calendar day) cycle troughed out with the
nominal 6 week low on Sept 25.
The 168 td (trading day) cycle turned down on the high just
like previous highs.
The next couple of weeks should continue the volatile
swings. This coming week of September 29
starts a little quieter on the Astro front, but does have Mars moving "Out
of Bounds" by declination. There are two major Astrological events coming
up. Their force should start to be felt this week.
First, the Jupiter,
Uranus trine will be joined by Mars making it a grand trine in fire signs. This
will be most exact during the week of Oct.
5th. This has the potential of being quite positive and innovative with a
possible break through in one of the sciences. We may find people to be more
bold, challenging and outspoken, including ourselves. Watch for this in your
personal lives. Remember I said has the potential.
Metaphysical Interlude:
A brief note on trines or 3rd harmonic aspects vs hard
aspects (squares, oppositions etc.) or 8th harmonic aspects. With trines, the
energy is smooth flowing between the planets involved. Everything is running
smooth so there's no need for action. With the hard aspects the energy is not
smooth flowing, it is disruptive and prods people to action. The point is
trines feel so "nice" people sit back and enjoy the feelings of the
trine and nothing gets accomplished. Squares and other 8th harmonic aspects prod
people / groups to get up and do something. Action takes place as the result.
This can also equate to manifestation in the physical world while trines, many
times, do not manifest in the physical world and result in positive feelings
only. Put down the phone, turn off the TV, get off the couch and do something.
The grand trine will then be of help to you. Enough of our metaphysical rant
and on with the forecast.
This grand trine includes Mars so I expect some action. The
fact all 3 planets are in fire signs should be creative. Mars in Sagittarius, Uranus in Aries and Jupiter in Leo. There is
certainly an element of luck in this grand trine. With all the problems in the
world it would be most beneficial to use this grand trine's energy to tackle
some of the most pressing difficulties. It does seem to address freedom.
On the other side of the coin we have the Sun then Venus
translating the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. In fact the Lunar eclipse of Oct 8th forms a T-square with the forming Uranus /
Pluto waxing square creating a T-square with Pluto as the focal planet. The
focal planet will express the energy of the T-square. Pluto is in Capricorn and
still very close to the heliocentric Jupiter nodes, a power point in the
Zodiac. Pluto is all about debt, deficits and taxes. If we include
Kronos (a Uranian point) we have a grand square. This would
appear to be quite negative. Could debt
or defaults be affecting Uranus freedoms?
The subscribers will have all the exact dates. For our
purposes here the period around
Oct 8th should be very important. If a sovereign debt
issue comes up, these aspects could be pointing in that direction, it's
obviously going to have a very negative affect on the markets.
On Sept 25th the Moon was on the spot where the Sun will be
during the lunar eclipse, opposite Uranus. It invoked fear in the markets and a
sharp down move. We may get a repeat performance close to the Lunar eclipse
date. The issue of freedom I originally saw may turn out to be the curtailment
of freedom due to debt / default issues. Following is some history of eclipses on a daily chart of the SP500. Lunar eclipses ( blue circle) Solar eclipses (red circles). More details on eclipses are in the subscribers letter.
Mars will be in Sagittarius until October 26th. Expect
volatility in many markets.
The Pluto and Uranus
waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks. It will be an exact waxing square on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in
this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16,
2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could
be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.
I view this aspect as the aspect which has given rise to
many of the world's difficult events over the past couple of years particularly
debt, secretive financial manipulation, taxes etc. This is a very long term aspects and I give it
+- 1 month in orb. It is an aspect that colors the background of history for a
number of years. We have covered the Uranus Pluto in waxing square extensively
in previous posts. We will do so again as we get closer.
In summary I am looking for market volatility
for 5 to 6 weeks. There are a number of significant aspects occurring over the next
2 weeks. Although this coming week markets may start slowly, critical aspects start Oct
4 through to Oct 11 with Oct 8th,
the Lunar eclipse potentially being the trigger to set off a market event. This
Lunar eclipse should be given a few days either side but the T-square formation
mentioned above may be the catalyst to set things off. With Pluto as the focal
point of a T-square we could be looking at a sovereign debt default or other
debt problem. I've mentioned the US$ for the last couple of weeks.
Keep watching currencies and the US$. There could be a quick move in
the Oct 8th time frame +- a few .
Gold
Gold is in
the 17th
week of it's Primary cycle cycle
1
(nominal 18 week). After a couple of weeks
of free fall, Gold at least went sideways last week. We may be close to an 18
week low. I'm watching for a break above the 1239 area. That's the 23.6%
retracement of the move down from July 10th to Sept 25th. There's that date
again. It's quite possible Sept 25th was the trough of the Primary cycle. It's
in the range of the Pluto direct aspect on Sept 22nd.
Two other charts pointing to a potential reversal in Gold
follow. Be advised, if Gold does reverse here it could be entering a left
translated cycle. That could mean after a brief bullish rise it may turn bearish early. Keep this in mind.
The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter
price line. It has acted as support for Gold in the past as seen on the
following chart.
There is another shorter term aspect which is the 7th
harmonic aspect between the Sun and Jupiter. The following daily chart shows some
history. It has marked short term trend changes. The next exact date is Sept. 30th.
I've been working on the premise that June 28, 2013 was the
4.5 year cycle low in Gold and Dec 31, 2013 was a retest. If Gold goes below
1180 we may be seeing the 4.5 year low unfolding now.
Silver is in the 18th
week of it's Primary cycle cycle
1
. Like Gold we are lower in price than at the start of
the Primary cycle on May 30, 2014. The Primary cycle is also left translated,
which is bearish. Watch this week.
Silver was below the 200 level in the CCI (Commodity channel
index), a level from which Silver often makes a move higher within a couple of
weeks. It was sitting on the 1.236 Fib level for the move up from May 30, 2014
to July 11, 2014 on Sept 19th. Watch this level which is at 17.86 on the
following daily chart. Were late in the 18th week cycle.
Crude
Nobody sounds the trumpet when cycles end. Crude may have
put in it's Primary cycle cycle
1
trough on
Sept
22nd. We would
therefore be in the
1st week of a new Primary cycle or the 22nd week of an older cycle. I
suspect we are in a new Primary which should be bullish. I bought a bullish
crude ETF on Friday.
If this is a new cycle we must bear in mind it could be left
translated and therefore we would get the top early in the cycle. Many
commodities have been going through a deflationary period at least partly
attributable to the high US$. I'm referring to WTIC crude.
On a longer term basis, Crude could drop to the 85.00/CL
area in the 4th quarter of 2014
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month
subscription, can you afford not to have it?
