Showing posts with label cycles. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cycles. Show all posts

Saturday, March 14, 2015

Financial Astrology - March 15, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are in the 7th week of a new Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

The difficult time in the market I have been mentioning for the last couple of months is upon us. There are three significant Astrological aspects occurring over the next week.

Being in the 7th week of this Primary cycle we should be looking for a trough in a possible 6 week cycle (5-7 weeks) or preparing to move lower, which is what the Astrological aspects are pointing to, into a 1/2 Primary cycle low. More price action is required to determine if this is a nominal 6 week sub cycle or a 1/2 Primary cycle but at this point I'm leaning to a 1/2 Primary cycle low in the next few weeks. This is mainly based on the difficult Astrological aspects in front of us.



One of the long term aspects we have followed for months is the 7th and last occurrence of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. This square has colored the world's history over the past few years and brought the issues of the 1960's into focus again. Uranus and Pluto were conjunct in the 1960's, the period that started a new Uranus / Pluto cycle. In the US this has included racial tension and the threat of war (Vietnam in the 60's). There are a number of wars on-going with possible new confrontations coming up shortly. On the world stage many populations had to deal with controlling governments in the 60's

One of the three Astrological events coming up is the March 20th, Total Solar Eclipse. This eclipse also has an association with war. Each eclipse is in a Saros cycle. It takes 3 successive eclipses to return to the same area. Eclipses in a Saros cycle takes approx. 18 years so 18 * 3 = 54 years. If we look back 54 years we are in the early 60's and the Cold war with Russia. There are many other similarities with the current period and the 1960's, a period of dramatic change in the world.

When looking at long term Astrological aspects and events, things don't occur exactly the same but the same issues are revisited often in a different form. The intelligent use of Astrology would warn governments of potential war and social unrest issues so they could take action before the issues manifest.

The following shows the eclipse paths for this eclipse and the previous Solar eclipse. Eclipses are world events, that is, any point on the planet, or the whole planet can be affected. The actual eclipse path often shows a more direct effect for the eclipse. In this case it appears there will be issues between Russia, Europe and the US. The fact that this eclipse is almost on the powerful world point (0 degrees Aries) may signal issues between these three countries / groups.

The last time there was a Solar Eclipse in aspect to the World Point was June 21, 2001, at 0 degrees Cancer approx. 1 1/2 months before 9/11. This eclipse is going to highlight Russia / Europe / USA issues.  There are two other important issues with this eclipse reserved for subscribers. I'm expecting a dramatic event and possibly war within the next 2 months and possibly very soon.



Note, on the above chart of the SP500, we  may have put in the crest of this 6 week cycle or 1/2 Primary cycle on Feb 25th. The 15 day sma is turning over while the 45 day sma is flat. Price is below both the 15 and 45 day sma's. I'm expecting this to move lower but we need more price action to confirm. We also have a potentially explosive FOMC meeting on March 17, 18th, the latter being almost on the exact waxing square between Uranus and Pluto.

We have adjusted the estimate for the next Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle to start near June 5th, 2015 with a range from May 11th to July 6th approx. Quite possibly into July.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper.

The SP500 also moved back below the mid-point support/resistance level (dark blue line) on the following chart I have been showing the past few weeks. The new Primary cycle broke above and now back below. This level should act as good resistance now at 2046.80. The price line is based on the average geocentric longitude of Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto. The average longitude is then converted to price and is seen on the following chart.



The war aspects we have mentioned many times appear to be the mid-East and Ukraine, although we had expected another area ( Pakistan, China?). Either the Uranus / Pluto square or Solar eclipse could be signaling more drastic security measures, deception, kidnappings, strife and discord or terror attacks. Remember these aspects/ events are for the world, not just one country. I'm listing the countries / areas that may be most affected in the subscribers letter.

This does not sound very pleasant but we should add, there is the potential for some type of natural disaster. With the larger planets being aspected we can't rule out geophysical events. Look for an increase in earthquakes above 5.5 to point to something more major. The powerful Solar eclipse is also a perigee New Moon aka "Super Moon" by Riched Nolle, often a period of earth disturbances and violent weather / disasters. Disasters meaning "Away from the Stars".

I will be watching March 18th at 2:00pm for the FOMC announcement.

Fibonacci expansion values based on the period from the Oct 2007 high to the March 2009 low.
This weekly chart shows the Fib expansion values that hit on the week of March 2, 2015, very close to the start of the move down.




Gold
Gold put in a trough on Nov 7th. This puts us in the 19th week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week) during this coming week.

Gold continues down. Last week there were two Astrological signatures that have a history of occurring at Primary cycle turns. These may identify the time period for a Primary cycle trough due in the next 4-5 weeks and possibly much earlier.

Note, Gold has stooped at the 88.6 % retracement. This is an extended Fib level.

78.6% = square root of 61.8
88.6% = square root of 78.6%

Gold appears to be testing the Nov 7th low which was the start of this Primary cycle. A successful test and bounce from here would be at least short term positive. A move below the Nov 7th, 2014 lows would be very negative. Longer term I'm looking for Gold to move much higher. This should be 2nd half 2015 into 2016.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold moved down this week but seems to have found support at the Venus price line (green). It may follow the Venus price line up. Watch the Venus and Jupiter price lines for possible support and a place for the trough.



Crude
I'm looking for Astrological aspects which would equate to a move in crude. I'll be looking for aspects that involve, Jupiter, Neptune or Pluto. So far none have had an effect on Crude, in fact Crude appears to be meandering sideways to down and like Gold may be about to test the Jan 29 lows. Watch the days around March 23, April 6, April 8th and April 16th, 17th. Jupiter and Neptune co-rule crude while Pluto is relevant because it rules hidden things and things from the ground.

This coming week of March 16th should be the 7th week of a Primary cycle which started Jan 29, 2015 and in the time frame for a nominal 6 week cycle trough although geopolitical, supply and demand appear to be bigger factors at this time.

The following daily chart shows the 15 day sma is now above the 45 day sma, which is bullish, but the 15 day sma has turned down and is about to cross the 45 day sma, and price is below both. The latter is negative and crude is about to start of the 7th week may be going down into a trough. With the other negative Astrological aspects and events crude may continue being very volatile over the next few weeks.



As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (dark orange) should give support in the 49.50 area. If this area is broken we may be going down for a retest of the Jan 29th lows.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.


Saturday, May 31, 2014

Financial Astrology - June 1, 2014

SP500
I've been expecting a Primary cycle low on or around May 30. What we are seeing is a cycle inversion where a high comes in where one expected a low. Some indices made new highs while others did not. This has the earmarks of a high and this coming week has further aspects indicating a turn down.

This weeks post will be short as I am working on the second half 2014 forecast dates for subscribers.

This is 17th week of the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week). Previous posts had been expecting a Primary cycle low in late May / early June. I'm now looking for a high and a turn down in that period. It could stretch into the second week of June but I'm going with a turn in the first week of June.

May 30           Geocentric Jupiter is on the heliocentric North Node of Pluto (could be                              volatile)
June 1             Jupiter is on the it's shadow date or back to the point in the Zodiac where                           is was when it last went retrograde on Nov 8, 2013
June 2             This is a date where a Lunar mystery cycle hits. Sometimes indentifies a                             strong move and sometimes not very much. Nevertheless we should be                              aware it may tale affect. More details in this weeks subscriber letter
June 4             Jupiter conjunct the Antiscia (mirror point) of the April 29 Solar eclipse
June 5             Mercury returns from being "Out of Bounds". This is often a turn or at a                             minimum a big range volatile day in the markets. This is the date of the next ECB meeting as well. Note the US$ comments further down.

Later this week and early the following week we have Mercury and Neptune turning retrograde within 2 days of each other. As stated in the special report "Change is in the Air", this could be a very confusing time as Mercury is about ideas and short term thought while Neptune, although beneficial for the arts, music, poetry etc. also stands for illusion and delusion. We are not dealing with the arts. We are dealing with the hard world of money and the markets. Note the comments on the window in time between May 28 and June 29th.

This could be the time for fraudulent activity regarding the markets or exposing some lies from the past. This includes more than the US. This could be closer to June 6th-9th.

I'm expecting increased volatility over the next couple of weeks and the Primary cycle trough.

Following is a chart of the first half forecast dates for the SP-500 to date or as of May 30, 2014. The red circles are the forecast dates. The forecast dates were prepared in mid-November 2013 and based strictly on Astrology. They did a good job of identifying swing highs but didn't capture the early February and mid April lows. Also I had thought the April 23rd date would be much more significant. The original forecast had all the dates +- 1 week. As you can see they are pretty much +- 1 td (trading day). For the second half subscription I'll be supplying the forecast dates as before, but will be revising them once per month as market cycles develop.

Included in the forecast letter was a Gold date. This turned out to be the best trade of the first half of the year.

From the 1sthalf market letter sent out with subscriptions.

"There is one date in the attached list is for Gold. It is added here because it is so close and maybe a spike low and change in trend to up.

The date is Dec 23 +- a week. June 27, 2013 was the previous low and I was looking at that date as the 4.25 year low. If we are now successfully retesting that low, Gold should be ready to move up. The same is true if we have a spike low in this time frame. This should be a great buying opportunity"

I bring up the Gold trade here because Gold and Silver should be a very good trade for the second half of the year and is included in the 2nd Half Forecast dates, available next week.



Gold
Gold's status has cleared up. Gold is in the 22nd week of the older Primary cycle and due to trough out. I'm expecting a rise into mid-June although I'm expecting a much better opportunity early in the 2nd half of the year. Although the average length of the Primary cycle is 18 weeks it can range from 15-21 weeks. This one is a little late.

As you can see from the following daily chart of the SP500 Gold price has plummeted. Price is below both the 15 sma  and 45 sma and the 15 sma is below is below the 45 sma. All conditions we look for during a Primary cycle trough.



Gold should reverse shortly and should be volatile. Subscribers have the dates.

Crude
Seasonally this is a weak period for crude. Even weaker for NatGas. Unlike Gold, Crude has not defined whether we are at the end of a Primary cycle (21st week) or we just had the crest of the first Major cycle (6 week) and we are headed down to a trough. The latter assumes May 1st was a Primary cycle low. If it was, it wasn't very deep. Watch crude closely. We want to see price below the 15 sma and 45 sma.



Other things to watch. Neptune is active. Neptune rules Crude and NatGas. There are many issues surrounding both here and in Europe. Russia continues to negotiate with the Ukraine over gas contracts. This should continue most of the month.

Neptune also rules coffee. The following chart is the JO, ETF, for coffee. The green lines are the Neptune price lines. Notice how they have acted as both support and resistance. Watch coffee, crude and NatGas closely in the month of June. I'm expecting volatility and breaks in support / resistance lines.



I use the date of Aug 15, 1971 for the US$. This is the date Nixon took the US off the gold standard. Based on this chart watch the US$ from June 4-6 for either a significant issue and at the least a big range day. June 6th seems to be the most exact. Transiting Mars will be conjunct natal Uranus on this chart. Looking at mundane events that could be the trigger, the ECB meets on June 5th.