SP500
The markets were moving down
during the low volume, slow Christmas week.
The move down leaves us lower than Dec 5th, which I thought would be the
high. As it turns out it may have been close.
For the SP500, Cycle-wise we are
in the 12th week of a Primary 1
cycle (aka, the nominal 18 week with a range
of 15 to 21 weeks) starting at the Oct 15th low.
The long discussed 6th instance of
the Uranus / Pluto waxing square was
exact on Monday, Dec 15th and
will be in orb until the 7th and last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The two planets will be
very close for the next 3 months. Perhaps we will see the dramatic moves in the
markets we have expected as a number of planets make aspects to the Uranus, Pluto square.
This coming month, January, will
witness a number of astrological aspects which could be explosive both for the
markets and world events in general. This period of time, that the Uranus Pluto
square has been active, has put a spotlight on ideological extremism. This has
been seen in the fanaticism of ISIL and warring factions of political parties
in many countries.
We won't have long to wait as the
Sun will translate the Uranus / Pluto square on January 3, 2015 +- a couple of TD's (trading days). This time period may generate some
world event as there is another astrological event on the weekend as well. If
there is no significant event early next week there is another such time frame,
and probably stronger, later in the month. This first quarter should be very
telling for the rest of the year. Any time we have Pluto involved in an aspect we should consider "debt" as being an issue.
As a general statement going
forward. For the past couple of years I have been forecasting troughs and
crests in the general market indices. There has been no mention of market
crashes or more dire events. The strength of the market has been impressive
although it may have been manipulated up in the US
and other markets, ex. Japan .
For 2015 and the first quarter of
2016 we'll be looking to call a more severe market turn and possible crash. More
precise time frames are reserved for subscribers.
There are a number of longer term
market cycles that could hit in 2015. Two we've discussed before are the 4 year
cycle and the 6 year cycle. There are a number of longer term cycles as well
which are covered in the market letter.
Historically we are entering the strong period of the year
for the markets but, the first quarter of 2015 has many astrological events
which may appear extreme and negative for the markets. It will be interesting to see how the central banks of the world react if there is a strong move in the market, either up or down.
Turn on your speakers.
SP500 VIDEO
Heliocentric Jupiter / Uranus trine VIDEO
(from last week but important)
SP500 - mid-point
(see last weeks video)
Market cycles. VIDEO
Gold
Gold put in a trough on Nov
7th. This would put us in the 9th
week of it's Primary cycle 1
(nominal 18 week) during this coming week,
Dec 22 may have been the nominal 6 week low but we have had poor progress out
of the trough if Dec 22 was indeed the low.
Gold is still sitting on the downward sloping trend line
(light blue) and leaves Gold almost on the 45 day simple moving average (sma).
The high for the day touched the 15 day sma.
If this recent action is to turn out positive for Gold it
has to start moving up with some conviction almost immediately. Perhaps some
extreme event will get precious metals moving up. Watch precious metals early
in the week for a move (up or down) as both the Sun and Pluto, which have an
effect on Gold are in aspect over the weekend.
Silver also appears
to be in the 9th week of it's Primary cycle cycle 1
on
Nov 7th. looks like the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week
cycle) trough. Like Gold, Silver needs to move up with some conviction or it is
in danger of a sharp move down.
Crude
This week should start the 17th week of the Primary cycle. I
expect a period of sideways consolidation looking for crude to settle in a
range around $50.00-55.00 .
The questions are how long will it take demand to clear
built up inventories of crude world wide and how much will continuing weak
demand in 2015 effect crude inventories in 2015. I'm also expecting an increase
in war like activity in the first quarter of 2015. If this affects any crude
producing countries we could see an abrupt change in crude prices.
Astrologically there are aspects this weekend which could affect crude and also around Jan 15-21st.
Astrologically there are aspects this weekend which could affect crude and also around Jan 15-21st.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 1st half 2015
dates will be available after Dec 7, 2014
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