Sunday, December 19, 2010

Gold and Silver Jan 4, 2011

Gold and silver may be coming into a critical time band.

On Jan 4 there is a partial solar eclipse. In addition there is a Jupiter Uranus conjunction on Jan 4th, 2011 with Venus trining both Jupiter and Uranus. Venus squares Neptune the same day.

Allow an orb around Jan 4th of a few days before and after.

These signatures should coincide with turns in many markets.

We are expecting;

a high in the SP500
a low in the US dollar
a high in Gold and silver
a high in crude

These may not be a major high or low but a high or low in this time period.

In the case of Gold and Silver this may mark a significant longer term high.

The following daily chart of Gold shows the recent history of Venus in waning trine to Jupiter and Uranus and sqaure to Neptune. Note that Jupiter and Uranus have been very close to conjunction for many months.

Previous waning trines for Venus and Jupiter / Uranus and square to Neptune are circled.











Note, this is the waning trine, that is the trine between the opposition and next conjunction.

It should also be noted that Silver is due for a 111 week cycle low. The period around Jan 4th could be the crest for silver before it drops into this cycle trough.

Following is a weekly chart of Silver showing the potential 111 week cycle.

Saturday, December 4, 2010

Dec 10 - 13, 2010

Although I had Dec 6 as a CIT I'm now looking for a turn Dec 13, 2010 +- 3 tds.

As others have pointed out this is 1 td after the Mercury retrograde and the day where Mercury conjuncts Mars and Pluto. The whole time frame of December is volatile with confrontational overtones.

From my work the period around Dec 13 should mark a low. It may be the primary cycle low assuming it did not take place on Nov 30 for the SP500.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows time fibs from Oct 11, 2007 to March 6, 2009 fall next on Dec 14, 2010 at 1.214 of the move.











The US$ on the other hand is 89 td from the Aug 6, 2010 low. This may signal a short move for the US$. If it continues down this coming week, this may signal a short term low. then up.












More to come.

It is quite possible Gold and Silver put in their primary cycle bottom Nov 17, within 1 day of the Venus and Jupiter direct dates. The primary cycle is the nominal 17 - 18 week cycle which has an average cycle trough to trough time of 15-21 weeks for Gold and 13-21 weeks for Silver.

Crude put in a low on Nov 17 as well, however, crude is only 12 weeks into it's current primary cycle and therefore probably early for a cycle that is approx. 15-23 weeks on average. Nov 17 may have been then 1/2 primary cycle.

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Quantitative Easing Explained

It would be funny if it wasn't so true.

http://www.realecontv.com/videos/central-banks/the-coming-financial-disaster-in-a-nutshell.html

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Nov '10 early Dec'10

Nov 9th worked out rather well. This had a Pluto North Node conjunction (very long term aspect) and the moon came by and made a conjunction to both at approx 3:00 pm New York time.

I always like to find other market cycles or geometry that coincide with Astros.

In this case we also had

July 1, 2010 low SP
1010.91
1010.91 * (.618034 ^5) = 91.154
07/01/2010 + 91td = 11/09/2010

This is based on one of Stan Harley's calcs.

http://www.harleymarketletter.com/

We've had 2 direct dates this month, Nov. 2010
Nov 5 Chiron direct
Nov 7 Neptune direct

and have 2 coming up
Nov 18
Venus direct
Jupiter direct

And 1 in early Dec
Dec 5 Uranus direct

Both Venus and Jupiter have a record of turns close to their direct dates. This is not always the case. The fact that both planets are in their ruler-ship would portend a favourable period, however, I use them as potential CIT dates and use technicals as we get closer to determine if it is a likely crest or trough. This is also the 19th week of the Primary cycle and therefore good timing for a low to end the cycle.

There's more going on Nov 18th.
When Neptune or Chiron go direct the Sun always trines Neptune or Chiron approx 18 days before the direct date and the Sun squares Neptune or Chiron approx. 11 days after the direct date.

In this case the Sun square Neptune and Chiron occur on Nov 18.

Similarly when Uranus goes direct the Sun trines Uranus approx 16-17 days before the direct station and the Sun squares Uranus approx 13 days after the direct date.

In this case the Sun trines Uranus on Nov 19th.

In addition Nov 17 is 144 td's from the April 26, 2010 high.










In summary Nov 18 +- should be a CIT and at the time of writing appears to be shaping up to be a trough, however, we need to watch the price action in the coming few days as there are many significant moving parts at the moment particularly currencies.

Looking into December we have Uranus turning direct on Dec 5 and there is also a nasty heliocentric grand cross on Dec 5 which may result in a difficult opening on Dec 6. This is during a period where Mars squares both Jupiter and Uranus so quick changes will be the order of the day. These could represent war like aspects.

Please remember any of the dates given are +- a few and could be more for long term aspects.

Recent history of Venus and Jupiter retrograde direct dates.

Venus (red arrow left - retrograde, blue arrow - right - direct)





















Jupiter ( red circle retrograde, blue circle - direct)






Thursday, October 21, 2010

Oct 22

Since early March 2007 the major aspect of Mars and Neptune can be found at fairly significant dates in the US stock markets. Mars squares Neptune tomorrow Oct 22 which is also a full moon date, after the close.

The following daily chart of the DJIA shows the major aspects of Mars and Neptune.
Conjunction - red dot
Opposition - red double arrow
Square - red square (what else)

This may result in a significant move. Neptune will be turning direct on Nov 7 and is therefore moving very slowly backwards at the present time. This can make the effects of a planet more powerful. The fact that a number of market cycles point to a forming crest, I would expect the move to be down.

Let me state again, any dates given are +- 3 days unless stated otherwise.

Friday, October 15, 2010

Week of Oct 18

It looks like the last post labeled Oct 12 should have been Oct 13. That currently appears to have been the high, one day off.

On Friday Oct 15, the SP500 was finding resistance at 78.6% of the move from the highs in April '10 to the low July 1 '10. This is approx. 1,176.

We may be looking at a pull back into next week. The full moon on Oct 22 may be a good target short term. This also has Mars squared Neptune and is one day off the Sun moving into Scorpio.

If we are looking at a short term pull back in stocks I would expect a short term reversal in the US$ plunge. The following daily chart shows the full moon and the fact it often reverses (short term) near full moon dates. Note that says often, not always. For interests sake this is the second full moon in Aries in a row. Other than that they do not have much in common.











A short term pull back in the US$ should coincide with a pull back in precious metals, oil, commodities etc.

Gold may also be near a s/t crest. The following daily gold chart shows the 118 cd chart. The red dots are Moon Pluto conjunctions.

To reiterate from previous post, all dates given, unless noted otherwise are +- 3 days.

Monday, October 11, 2010

Oct 12

I'm looking for a short term down turn starting tomorrow, Oct 12 with lows around Oct 22 in the SP500.

Looking at market cyles and Astros.

Often get s/t turns on Sun in Libra Moon in Sagittarius. The Moon leaves Sag tomorrow after squaring the Jupiter / Uranus conjunction. This is close to exact when the moon crosses the ascendant.

We are also at a 15-16 td high for the SP500.

We are also in the timeframe for heliocentric Mercury 3 pass. In the following chart light green shows Helio Mercury in Virgo.
When Mercury is in the middle cycle the market tends to go up into the Mercury in Virgo period then down. I use this and other similar longer term
signatures to get approx. time frames for turns well in advance. I've posted this before.












Venus, which is still in the retrograde window is again sesquisquare (135 degrees) Uranus. It was sesquisquare Uranus on Oct 7 as well,
sandwiching the Venus retrograde date. When Venus and Uranus get together things tend to change. With Venus it is often currencies.

Also looking for s/t reversal in US$ (90 cd low) and possible 13 - 14 cd low. Basically the US$ is oversold and stocks overbought
looking for monies to flow back into the US$ s/t.













As mentioned above we are still in the Venus retrograde window. It isn't just one day. On the following weekly chart the red arrows pointed left show the Venus retro periods and the US$.
I hope it doesn't disappoint me this time.











There are a number of heliocentric aspects as well. For most aspect I don't look at them as good or bad just a change in mass psychology and thus a CIT.

Heliocentricaly Mercury conjuncts Saturn and both oppose Venus. Other stuff going on but I take a special interest in all the planets between the Sun and the Earth.

Have I forgotten to mention anything. Probably, like Heliocentric Mars is trining the Mercury, Saturn conjunction and trining Venus giving the structure more energy.


Regards,

Thursday, September 30, 2010

Early October Change In Trend

I originally had the Venus retrograde period around Oct 8th as a low. I’m now looking at it as a potential big CIT, which could be a combo turn and affect stocks, Gold, Oil and other commodities and currencies.

As I have written before Venus returns to approximately the same position every 8 years so Sept 2002 was the last time it went retrograde in this area. This doesn’t necessarily mean this will be a low but with the other Astro activity I was looking for a CIT.

In addition to the Venus retrograde we also have Venus sesquisquare (135 degrees) on Oct 7 and Oct 12. Preceding the retrograde, Venus is conjunct Mars on Oct 3 which has had a history of coinciding with Gold turns. This conjunction is somewhat different than normal as Mars is moving faster than Venus, due to Venus slowing down for it’s retrograde station. The effect is Mars is overtaking Venus.

Oct 7 also has a perigee new Moon (closest pass to earth) and is often a big range day.

Following are weekly charts for the SP500, Gold and US$ showing the recent Venus retrograde history. The red arrow shows retrogrades and the blue directs.

SP500










US$











Gold










I’m looking at the period around Oct 22 and Nov 22 as potential lows and maybe a double bottom, after which we should get a significant rise. The period around Dec 21 may also be significant.

Thursday, September 23, 2010

September 24

For those who have been short we may be rewarded, well.... shortly.

The Summation Index has just turned down and the VIX registered a touch of it's lower Bolinger Band a few days ago which is often a signal for a fall in stock indexes.

The attached daily chart shows what can be done with simple parallel lines at 90 degree angles. We have been waiting for the SP to get up to the green line. It so happens it is almost at a 54 td cycle (vertical red lines).

We are looking for this line to act as firm resistance. If it is broken it is a sign the bulls are taking charge.

Monday, September 20, 2010

September 20

Be careful. The SP500 breaking through resistance at 1130 is very bullish. This has marked the highs for a number of months.

I am still playing this as a short, however, I may be covering quickly if volume picks up to the up-side.

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Week of Sept 13, 2010

This should be a volatile week in the markets we follow. That is the SP500, Gold and Oil.

All 3 are entering a period where reversals could take place quickly and sharply. The window to watch is Sept 16 - Sept 22 with emphasis on Sept 21.

This is not the crash expected later in the fall but a swift correction.

As stated in previous posts, this time frame Sept 16 - 22 is also a geophysical stress window as well.

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Week of Sept 7, 2010

I've been looking at Sept 10/13 as a CIT for stocks and also Sept 17-21st. The following daily chart of the DJIA shows a 36 cd cycle due on those dates. High or Low? I am suspecting a high then a short down but waiting to see how the week develops. It could be a low.











Tomorrow morning, Sept 8 there is a perigee moon at 6:30am, New York time, almost on the Ascendant. This may lead to a very volatile opening or other event.

This should be a volatile month. Jupiter and Uranus are retrograde and will be conjunct on Sept 18, 2010. This conjunction takes place at 28Pisces43. This is the same position Uranus held on April 25, 2010, close to the start of the decline in stocks. Sept 17th is fib 55 td from the July 1st lows. This time period, Sept 17 - 21 should mark a CIT and could be very volatile. Sept 21 has the Sun opposing both Jupiter and Uranus very close to the Autumnal Equinox. In addition this is a signature for discoveries, scientific breakthroughs and, unfortunately geophysical activity as well.

Mars enters Scorpio on Sept 14 and out of Libra where it has been in it's detriment. This should enliven all martian activities

There are Astros pointing to a possible crest in Gold and Oil. Look for Sept 13, 14 for these turns.

Friday, August 20, 2010

Week of August 23

For stocks the last two calls of Aug 9 and Aug 19 have been right on. Oil has also turned lower; however, Gold and Silver have not turned down although Friday Aug 20 may have been the start of a turn.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. It is our working chart and therefore quite busy. There are multiple fib retracements shown based on different highs and lows. Note the low today around 1062 (green). If this level fails we are looking at the 1040-1042 area quickly. We may be near the trough (or close) of the 1st major cycle of the primary cycle. As noted we are in the 7th or 8th week. Next Monday and Tuesday, Aug 23/24 are critical in determining short term direction. It appears the 1100 area will act as firm resistance. Any quick move up, which cannot break through 1100 should be shorted.

Cycles and technicals are not very definitive. The busy Astro period is in the process of ending.

Generally speaking the whole market is weak and down is the easiest path. We are sitting on shorts, awaiting Aug 23/23 action with an eye toward Sept 1/3 for a short term low.











Looking back to the March 2009 low and calculating fib time series from the low we get the following chart. The previous fib counts (red lines) have been close to lows. The next fib count is Sept 1/3. We are looking for a low around the Sept 1/3. Keep in mind these can invert.











Looking at a fib time expansion from the Feb 5, 2010 low to the April 26, 2010 high we get August 27th at 1.618 (red lines). On the same chart we are showing the 30 cd cycle (blue lines). This next occurs on Sept 3, 2010.












More on Oil and Gold later

As we are looking at these short term charts we should keep the big picture in mind. Following is a monthly log scale chart of the DJIA showing an approx. 17.6 year chart. Note the successive swings from up to down. As noted on the chart, this is much more powerful on an inflation adjusted chart. Note the cycle we are in. We are in a bull market rally in cyclical bear market.

Sunday, August 15, 2010

Week of August 15th

We are in a decisive time period where we either are going down or up quickly. I'm looking at Aug 19 and 20th as the key swing dates although it appears there will be great volatility at the open and the close of each trading day.

Although it is very difficult to pick intra day swings using Astrology the afternoon of August 19th looks very volatile and could be the main CIT (change in trend).

I'll post charts, time permitting, tomorrow.

This is option expiry week.

Investors should be out of the market, long term traders should be out of the market. Short term traders, fasten your seat belts, put on your trading diapers (you are not leaving that screen this week) and have fun.

Sunday, August 8, 2010

Week of Aug 9, 2010

To repeat the quotation:

Neils Bohr
"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future."

It is a difficult time right now.

That being the case here goes. We are looking for a significant top between now and August 23. Previously posted date were;
There are triggers
July 30, 31
Aug 3
Aug 6,9
Aug 20,23
Sept 23

All dates should be +- a couple. As a wiser man than me has said, "Don't make a fetish about exact dates". There's so much more to make fetishes about I guess.

To refine these dates we are now looking for CITs at

Aug 9,10 . This is at the 72td cycle and at a Perigee Moon. We continue in the Cardinal Climax period, which could affect any day, and maybe none.












At this time we are also assuming the early July lows were the 72 week low and therefore the nominal 18 week primary cycle low as well. As such we should expect a surge out of these lows which we are getting.

The next key dates for CITS are Aug 20, 23. Aug 20 has Mercury starting retrograde, the Sun opposing Neptune which is a Merriman 3* date and Venus at maximum elongation east of the Sun (Evening Star) and starting towards it's inferior conjunction. That weekend we have Saturn squared Pluto, a long term transit and Venus conjunct Mars. This time frame could tie into a 16 week cycle crest and then down.











Although we are looking for a CIT which would take the market down we should keep in mind the Summation Index is pointed up and quite strong. On the daily chart the 13 ema has crossed the 34 ema. The weekly charts look even stronger.











The bottom line. Let price action guide your decisions.

On other markets and commodities we have been looking for Gold to peak out soon and expect a decline to begin within the next 1 to 1 1/2 weeks. Silver would follow.

Cycle wise crude should fall into mid August.

With any analysis we put more emphasis on cycles, both market and astrological and technical analysis. We view the news as just interrupting the current cycles that are at play.

That said this is a news driven market with wild intra-day swings. We have the FED meeting on Tuesday with the possibility of further quantitative easing. This would have the short term effect of driving stocks, PM's and crude up and create a wild currency market.

Much more to say here but running out of time. One last point, without a chart, we had a target of 1140-1150 in the SP based on Fib retracements. We could certainly get there if additional quantitative easing is on the table.

And why did kamikaze pilots wear helmets? People want to know.

Monday, August 2, 2010

Week of Aug 2, 2010 start

In addition to the long term Astro events there are a number of time Fib cycles coming due.

Aug 2 is 61.8% the number of days from the March 6, 2009 low to the January 19, 2010 high. (See the red grid on the attached chart)











Aug 3 is 1.272% the number of days from Feb 5, 2010 low to the April 26, 2010 high.
(See the green grid on the attached chart)










Remember the measured move. We may be rising, with a lot of volatility into mid-month before a more significant correction and get to the 1140 - 1150 range in the SP500.

With the Astros in effect, anything can and may happen. See previous dates.

Saturday, July 17, 2010

Week of July 19 and Coming T Square / Grandcross

We are now approaching the astrological time frame now known as the "Cardinal Climax".

This group of planets have been coming together for a few months and are now becoming more exact.

The planetary configuration is know as a T square or a grand cross if you include the Uranian planet Hades.

Briefly the planets include
Jupiter square Pluto (13-14 year event)
Saturn opposition Uranus July 26 (45 year event)
Jupiter opposition Saturn Aug 16 (20 year event)
Saturn square Pluto Aug 21 (32-37 year event)

This configuration is more powerful due to the fact the above planets are in Cardinal signs.

The longer term transits which are part of the Cardinal climax are 20, 30 and 45 year transits. It is difficult to identify a specific day with such long term events. They will need a faster moving planet to trigger them.

There are triggers
July 30, 31
Aug 3
Aug 6,9
Aug 20,23
Sept 23

In particular Mars will be conjunct Saturn, opposing Jupiter and Uranus and squared Pluto from July 20 - Aug 3.

The meat of the transits is between July 23 and August 21, however, it should be understood the effects of these longer term transits can be for many months or years.

I look at most of these transits having more to do with geophysical events, terrorism or war, radical changes especially government changes etc. than the stock market, however, they do have financial market implications as well.

Watch for potential armed conflict, geophysical stresses (earthquakes and volcanoes) and revolutionary activity. The latter would include terrorism. A return or further emphasis of the world's financial system debt problems is also a possibility.

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Uranus Retrograde July 5 2010

Uranus is about to go retrograde (or backward) as seen from Earth. Whenever planets go retrograde they are more powerful than usual. At this time Uranus is already in a powerful position as part of the forming T Square and Grand Cross, depending if you use Hades or not.

At every Uranus retrograde you always have a Sun Square Uranus 14-15 days before and Sun Trine Uranus 15-18 days afterwards. These can all be powerful points and times that should be watched. The dates and daily chart for the SP500 follow.

Sun Square Uranus June 21, 2010
Uranus Retrograde July 5, 2010
Sun Trine Uranus July 23, 2010

Any of the above dates is a potential CIT as is July 12th from other work.

More on the T Square / Grand Cross as we get closer to late July / early August.






Added July 1, Today has Heliocentric Mercury Squared Venus which can be a short term change in trend, although it doesn't look like it intra day.

Thursday, June 24, 2010

June 24th

Although I was concerned this pull-back may be very deep I now believe there is a good possibility we trough out tomorrow June 25th or Monday June 28th.

This would tie in with the 30cd cycle tomorrow and would also end the 1st trading or major cycle of the primary cycle. See chart of SP500. Of course this would also tie in with the Lunar eclipse occuring on June 26th which has been mentioned a few times in previous posts.







This also ties in with the fib chart below which shows time fibs for the March 6, 2090 low to the Jan 19, 2010 top. 50% of this move in time is June 24th.

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Earthquake Watch

Although not the purpose of this blog we have mentioned the possibility of earth disturbances in mid 2010. The prime dates are around June 26, July 11 and late July / early August.

I bring this up again because we just had a minor shake in southern Ontario Canada.

The dates above are based on Astrology. Unfortunatly if you choose not to believe in Astrology it often works anyway. The above are not firm dates, just areas of time when the potential is greater.

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

June 22

Look back at the June 14th post. It appears the pull back forecast to occur near June 26 is now underway. Stock, oil and gold all appear to be pulling back.

This should be short term, probably starting up again at least by next week.

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

June 16 - Antiscia for the June 26th Lunar Eclipse

For those with a more advanced knowledge of Astrology tomorrow morning 7:43am EDT based at New York, the Sun will be at the antiscia point for the upcoming partial Lunar Eclipse of June 26th. This should be a powerful eclipse as it lights up the forming T-square and grand cross if you include Hades.

The astiscia is at 25 degrees 14 minutes in Gemini and therefore the contra-antiscia is close to the Galactic center.

This should make for an interesting morning on many fronts.

Monday, June 14, 2010

June 14

Rats, failed right at the 200 dma (yellow ma). Also one of my favourite short term indicators (Time Segmented Volume TSV) turned back down. It's a Worden Bros. creation.



See http://www.freestockcharts.com/ for TSV and lots more.

I still think we will be moving higher over the next couple of weeks but we may have a pull back. Look at the move out of the Feb 5, 2010 low as an example. The SP must break through the 200 dma on significant volume.

A good time frame for a pull back would be June 25/28 as we have a volatile partial lunar eclipse on June 26. We could be looking at a high early in the week of June 14 then down into the eclipse date.

Friday, June 11, 2010

Intraday Example

As an example of intra-day analysis, the following chart is a Gartly pattern.

Currently waiting for a break below $1,078 on the SP to enter a short. If entered may hold until Monday morning.



Monday June 14 is 34td from the April highs and 89td from the Feb 5 low. Expecting a turn on Monday / Tuesday, ideally a low then up.

Astros wise the Sun is in Gemini with Venus and the Moon in Leo starting on June 15. This is usually a volatile period and we could see a big move June 14, 15 to start a move. The move could be up or down but overall I think we should see a trough early in the week than up. Generally speaking the market is very oversold.

The time period of late July / early August is looming with it's very negative Astros. I am expecting an event that will affect the markets, unfortunately it may affect much more than the stock markets.

Monday, June 7, 2010

Week Of June 7

As mentioned in the last pots, looking for a turn, and probably up from June 11 - 15. This appears to be more June 14 /15 for a turn up in stocks.

Another possible turn date is around June 25 nevertheless we are curretnly looking for an uptrending stock market after mid June to late July / early August where we are looking for a steep downturn.

More later.

Saturday, May 29, 2010

June 2010

To start with a general outline of June 2010 market activity we are looking for turn dates around June 11/14 and June 25/28. The latter could be related to some world event. There is a lunar eclipse on June 26th. With the Sun in exact opposition to Pluto on June 25th this could portend a significant event.

It should be noted the official start of the Korean war was June 25, 1950, sixty years ago, to the day.

June should continue with the market volatility we have seen in May as long term aspects and astrological events continue to unfold.

June 6 has Jupiter entering Aries on June 6th and joining Uranus in a conjunction on June 8th. More on this in a future post.

June 11 has heliocentric Saturn in waning square to Pluto and on the 12th a new moon. June 10th has geocentric Mercury changing signs into Gemini. This is the first Mercury sign change since it's retrograde period and therefore at the longest period of time since it's last sign change. This can often result in a more significant change in trend than the usual Mercury sign change.

Short term, for the trading week of June 1 in the US, we may see a short term bounce. Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The green lines show a descending wedge pattern which often resolves to the upside.



Although I have brought up the period in late-July / August of this year as representing a period of time with many stresses and shocks I believe we can say June 2010 is the start of this period. We have seen over the past months, even years, events taking place that have been historic in nature. Expect more and expect the events to be more severe. These will affect all parts of our life and should be reflected in geophyical events on earth as well.

Those individuals who have Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Pluto (and more) aspecting the planets in their natal charts will feel these transists on a deep inner level as well as experiencing them on the outward level as well.

From here on in to at least the end of the year we should see:
Technological and scientific breakthroughs
Revolution in the air
War
Terorism
Geophysical upsets

As far as the markets, extreme volatility with a possible crash. Again late July / August looks critical but look for problems to arise at any time forward from here.

More on these aspects later.

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

May 25, 2010

Looking for a market bounce May 27/28. This would be a short term move as volatility should continue into June.

Await the start of the move. Don't blindly use the dates.

Sunday, May 23, 2010

Week of May 24, 2010

I'm looking for a bounce in stocks as measured by the SP500 early in the week. The bounce may be short lived as their are some short term CITs due on May 28.

Although Gold has fallen as forecast it may have further to go. As I covered my shorts I will looking to go short again on a breal between 1150-1160.

Generally the market volatility should continue. There are many long term astrological aspects occurring and this is only going to continue. As discussed late July / early August has a particularly heavy period of long term astros. My advice to investors is get out of the markets and traders be nimble. Take profits fast.

With the world-wide debt problems occurring this is a recipe for deflation. I would expect the central banks of the world to respond with more quantitative easing. When the debt problem becomes well pubicised in the US, both federally and state government debt, the shell game may be close to over. You will want to be in cash and precious metals in the safest banks and currencies you can find.

Saturday, May 22, 2010

A Brief Look Forward

A brief astrological look forward for those with no astrological background.

Introduction

Although there has been much written and discussion in astrological circles, periodicals and magazines very little about the ominous, forming astrological configuration has made it to the general public.

This short article will try and summarise these events without going into too much astrological jargon. Most people’s view of Astrology is the sun sign silliness typically seen next to the cartoons in the newspaper.

In fact Astrology is a huge subject studied by many scholars for many centuries. There are various areas of specialities. This article covers mundane astrology, that is, the astrology of events. There will be no mention of when Mr. tall dark and handsome will appear or when the businessman will make his first million.

The movement of the planets appears to have a correlation to events on earth. These can be political events, geophysical stresses and the mood of the population. Anyone of these can be included but always open to interpretation. What we need is a concrete measuring tool to see if events in the sky have an effect on issues here on earth or, as it has been said “As above, so below”.

Of course we have such a measuring tool. Something that is recorded each day, even second by second and retained for decades and soon centuries. It is the result of the work of a large group of the population. If astrology works it’s effect should show up in this record.

That record is the historical prices of the stock market, commodities and bonds etc. Nothing in the history of man has been so meticulously recorded, studied and analyzed. What a perfect measuring tool for the effects of the planets on events on earth.

I have studied this subject intently for a number of years and have convinced myself that not only is there an effect of the planetary movement on the stock market, the stock market follows certain mathematical and geometric rules that aid in forecasting. This is not an instant guide to wealth as the cycles and astrological events must be interpreted to derive a valid forecast.

Mundane Astrology – Some Background

Briefly when looking at mundane astrology one of the main tools is the study of planetary pairs and cycles. That is we watch when two planets are together in the sky and then mark what happens at each major angle as the faster planet first separates from the slower planet, makes it to 90 degrees away, then 180 degrees then 270 degrees then back to conjunction or 360 degrees of the circle. Each planet travels at different speeds so, for example, the cycle of Saturn / Uranus is measured in years while the cycle of Mercury / Venus would be measured in days or weeks. There are many other angles which are typically studied (ex. 60 degrees, 120 degrees) but the ones noted above are part of the 8th harmonic aspects, which is the harmonic of manifestation, that is they will appear in concrete form in our life.

All of these cycles are happening at the same time along with other astrological events, Neptune goes retrograde, Mars changes signs etc. etc.

Our purpose here is to make the reader aware of the important astrological cycles culminating in the early part of this decade and more specifically in August 2010. The August timeframe will not be the last of it but it should be a very intense time. This article will concentrate on the financial ramifications, however, the reader should be aware astrological events of this significance can effect many areas of life. Many new age astrologers would say that no aspects can be called good or bad, just challenges to be enjoyed for what they are. To this I respond, crap. The astrological aspects to occur in the summer of 2010 will not be construed by anyone as good when they are happening.

So what are the astrological aspects about to form. In fact their effects have already been felt in the crash of the world’s financial system, the government debt problems (more than Greece here) as we will see. Have you noticed the increase in natural disasters from earthquakes to volcanoes and man-made disasters with oil spills etc. And as of this writing May 22, 2010, the main aspects have not hit yet.

The main aspects that are forming are called a T-square and consist of the following.

Jupiter opposition Saturn (180 degrees)
Saturn waning square Pluto (90 degrees)
Saturn Opposition Uranus (180 degrees)

We also have Jupiter conjunction Uranus which first forms in early June but it does not have the heavy energies carried by the first three. It should also be mentioned these planets are in Cardinal signs, which means they are more powerful and will have a more direct influence.

If any astrologers are reading this, the formation is actually a grand cross with the Uranian planet Hades on the other side of the T-square. So few people follow Hades that we will not mention it here again.

Let’s look back in time when similar aspects took place. They will never be exactly the same.

The two last times these planets were aligned in hard aspects (squares and oppositions) were the early 1930’s and the middle part of the 1960’s.

When Saturn, Uranus and Pluto form hard aspects it is typically a time of socio-economic change, political destabilization, tension and contraction. This is usually a stressful period where evolution is called for but revolution often results. Saturn is about the status quo, security, responsibility, discipline, control, tradition, order and limits. It represents the establishment. Uranus is about change, the unexpected, the non-conformist, the anti-establishment revolutionary, unbound by limits and traditions. It is also about inventions, originality, genius and being a visionary. We may have many new inventions come out of this period. Pluto is about change and transformation at a very deep level, change that is permanent, the basic survival instinct. It also about debts and big government and companies. Elimination and hidden forces are also themes. Forces that want the power over people and things.

Think back to the early 1930’s and middle 1960’s. The images I have are the early formations of the Nazi party in Germany and riots in the US with the army on campuses putting down rioting students due to their opposition with the Vietnam war.

You’ll often find the themes of the time period in the music of the day.

But I had said we would be using stock market or financial information to track the effects of planets in the sky to development on earth. The following chart of the Dow Jones shows most of the past century. It’s in log scale so that the inflated US dollar won’t cover up price movements from decades gone buy.

This is not an inflation adjusted chart. If it was we would see the period in the middle of the chart around the early 1960’s to the early 1980’s pointed down rather steeply as the non inflated adjusted chart as shown shows this as almost completely sideways.



Even on this non inflation adjusted chart we can see the markets moved up from the 1930's to the early 1960's then went sideways around the time period of the Saturn, Uarnus, Pluto aspects and then started up again in the early 1980's.

In the 1930’s the principles of lack scarcity and hard times prevailed. There was economic paralysis in the North America and Europe and unemployment levels rose to historic levels. Remember this was after a bubble burst, the stock market crash of 1929 which was preceded by the roaring twenties. During this time fascist governments and Nazism got there foothold which manifested a few years later.

In the mid-60’s the counter-culture rose up against authority. It was a face-off between the old guard and the new and unconventional. Race riots were in the news and the Viet Nam protests created civil unrest between the establishment and the flower children.

So what to look for in 2010 and beyond. First on the positive side we may see some astounding invention or new technology with the shorter term Jupiter / Uranus conjunction takes place in Aries.

But what of the more negative aspects. Already we are seeing dissidents in the US known as the T Party movement not happy with the federal government. We also have building debt loads in the US. In Europe again government debt is also a problem and governments are scrambling to pay off debts with more borrowed money. Kicking the can down the road, as politicians everywhere are wont to do, is going to have a limited life this time around. Worldwide government debt may well be the largest issue coming out of this T-square time period. If it is, it may be with us for a while since Uranus squares Pluto well into the current decade.

But what of other problems. If the debt problems get worse the stock markets of the world may crash again. This will be at a time when the large baby-boom population is looking to retire. Remember, the pension funds these boomers are relying on are heavily invested in the stock market and bonds. If there are serious sovereign debt issues this often comes with deflation, reducing the amounts in pension funds and life insurance companies.

What is an individual to do to help protect his investments. It may be prudent to get out of the stock market, bonds etc. and hold cash and perhaps 20% in precious metals. I would say before July 2010 and wait until the end of the year. If everything is stable at that point get back in. Look at this as a defensive strategy. You will have only given up any stock market gains and bond yields for 1/2 a year but you have guared against a more serious decline.

Beyond debt problems look for more civil unrest. We have started to see some unrest already in Greece protesting against the needed austerity measures and protests in Thailand with people unhappy with the current government.

Other issues include increased terrorism as the terrorists will use these uncertain times to push their own causes.

We can see there has been an increase in earthquake and volcanic activity. This equates well to Saturn (firm stable structures) and Uranus (unpredictable change). Throw Pluto in with permanent change and ruler of things coming from the ground and watch out. There may be more activity. The Lunar and Solar eclipse dates or associated dates are often triggers.

Whatever happens, it won’t necessarily be the same as previous times but with this type of T-square with Saturn, Uranus and Pluto expect the changes to be permanent and lasting and perhaps not too pleasant. As Mark Twain said “History doesn’t repeat – at best it sometimes rhymes”.

Monday, May 17, 2010

May 17th Comment Followup

It appears this week will not be a crash but a prelude to the late July / early August time frame. The next 2 weeks should have a downward bias and very volatile.

Still looking for a CIT in Gold and Oil around May 19th.

Sunday, May 16, 2010

Week Of May 17, 2010 Oh Oh

Although we were looking at late July / early August 2010 as being the focus of a stock market crash the coming week or possibly the week after have the potential for that crash to either start now or be a prelude to what is coming in the above noted period. It should be noted that many analysts have gone bearish with some expecting a large down move. Whenever everyone is expecting the same thing it won't happen.

Thursday, May 6, 2010

May 6, 2010

Well we were looking for a pull back, but somewhat surprised by it's intensity.
Our short term outlook is as follows.
Stocks rebound somewhere between May 7 and May 11th and continue up until somewhere bewteen May 17-19 then down into June 6-10th. Markets should rally for a few weeks after that but major problems are on the horizon somewhere bewteen late July and the Fall 2010.

Gold should reverse either May 10-12 or May 17-21 with emphasis on the former. If Gold reverses in the May 10-12th time frame it could be sharp and severe. After that we are looking at October 2010 for Gold.
Chart added May 8, 2010. The red lines are 60 cd's. Heliocentric Mercury is still in Sagitarius, however, Geocentric Mercury turns direct on the evening of May 11th.




Oil should reverse either around May 7th or May 17-21 after which it should rally into July 2010.

Charts added May 8, 2010
The 16 and 24 week cycles hit in early May.



The 120cd cycle hits this week.




Remember all dates are subject to change as time progresses and are all +- a few.

This is simply the current roadmap for planning trades. Without a roadmap any road will do.

Sunday, May 2, 2010

May 3, 2010 Open

The first chart is a 60 minute chart of SPY showing the strong rise out of the Feb,5 2010 lows. It also shows we have been grinding sideways with an attempt on April 26th to break up which failed. This is the type of action often seen at tops and we are looking for a top in this timeframe, that is a top for the primary cycle which started on Feb 5th.















The second chart is a 5 minute picture showing the large red volume bars which depict large volume selling. Note the end of the day on April 28th. It should be an interesting open on May 3rd with the potential for a gap down. We say potential as the PPT (plunge protection team) will be watching this closely as well. If there is large volume buying early Monday we will be adding to shorts.
















Astro wise there is some very negative energy Monday and Tuesday. May 5th, Wednesday has heliocentric Mercury going into Sagitarius which usually results in moves in precious metals and currencies. This is usually positive for precious metals but that will depend on where PM's are at the start of Wednesday. As we write this PM's have already made a strong move and a pull-back would seem to make sense.

If Gold is still going up around the Mercury Direct date of May 11th then look to sell. If by any chance it is still going up on May 14th sell as Heliocentric Mercury will be moving out of Sagittarius to Capricorn on May 16th.

Thursday, April 29, 2010

May 2010

The last two dates, April 27/28 worked out rather well. We may be in a short term bounce with more downside to come. Cycle wise a timeframe around May 11th, when Mercury goes direct, would be good timing for a more serious correction. We are in currently in the 12th week of the primary cycle.

Cycle wise Oil should be making a short term hight around May 2-7 and Gold as well, although Gold may crest out a little later around May 10-11.

There are currently a number of events which could affect the stock market, Gulf Oil spill etc. The most significant event, the sinking of the South Korean warship back on March 26. There appears to be strong evidence that it was North Korea, yet there is only cursory mention of these events in the mainstream media. Apparently there was at least one South Korean official who stated they would not challenge North Korea on this action due to it's negative effect on the economy. The link this was wriiten on has since been deleted.

This should be a lesson for all of us. If there is a significant event it can be covered up by mainstream media who effectively ignore the event. Be on guard, your freedoms are being taken away by such actions.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8648970.stm

More later.....

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

April 28th Intra day

Looking at intra day CIT's.

Potential CITs on April 28th are
10:00 - 10:30am and
12:41pm.

Give them a range of 10 to 15 minutes.

Expecting a volatile day; however, the powers that be will be doing their best to keep things on an even keel.

Good luck!

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

April 27 / 28th

We are quite possibly looking for a low in the April 27 / 28, 2010 range.

April 27th is fib 55 trading days from the Feb 5th low.
April 28th is 288 trading days from the March 6, 2009 low (fib 144 *2).

There is a full Moon near the open on April 28th (Moon in Scorpio which is often volatile) and the Sun is in inferior conjunction with Mercury which approx. 1/2 the way through it's retrograde period.

Leading up to these dates there are a number of Venus transits and on April 26 there is the long term Saturn opposition to Uranus. These longer term transits typically need a faster moving trigger and in this case Venus is in waning trine to Saturn on April 24th. The Sun is trine Pluto on April 25 but we are looking at the 27th / 28th dates for a potential low or at the least a CIT (change in trend).

Sunday, April 18, 2010

Week Of April 19, 2010

The pull back expected to start around April 19, started on April 16 with the news from the SEC and Goldman Sachs. I'm looking at February 5th as the nominal 18 week and 50 week cycle lows. Since we have not had a sunstantial pullback this is the timeframe (11 weeks along) for a 1/2 primary (18 week) pullback. If so this could be a very sharp steep pullback.

I'm looking for a pullback to either the 1175 or 1150's area for the SP. This ideally would be somewhere in the next 2 weeks. See fibs on the following chart. If this is a 1/2 primary cycle low forming then 1090 - 1110 is not out of the question.





Gold and Oil both made major cycle (approx. 6 week) lows in late March there the next major cycle lows may be forming.

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Week Of April 12, 2010 cont

Following along from the previous post there is a 30 cd / 90 cd (cd = calendar days instead of trading days) falling on April 19th. The following chart is the DJIA and the red lines 30 cd's apart.

As stated before Saturday April 17 has Mercury retrograde so Monday April 19th could be a CIT (change in trend).


Monday, April 12, 2010

Week Of April 12, 2010

I'm looking for a turn in the broad stock market indexes somewhere from April 14- 19.

The next 2 weeks are filled with Saturn transits with the longer term Saturn opposition to Uranus occurring April 26th.

This week we have a new moon on April 14, a Heliocentric Mercury waxing square to Venus on April 15 and Mercury retrograde on April 17.

These along with the Saturn aspects point to a change in direction. They could point to changes in commodities as well , but the history seems to be more with the broad stock averages (SP, DJ etc.).

I'll try and post a chart later.

Gold and Oil are in the upswing that was called in late March but maybe due for pullbacks this week.

The Saturn transits mentioned above, particularly the Saturn / Uranus opposition on April 26th could signal more and serious geophysical upsets. Please note the word could. Such disturbances do not usually happen right on an aspect date (i.e. April 26) but tend to build up and would be released with some other gravitional or magnetic forces. New and full moons or a significant solar flair could set things off.

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

April 2010

This approx. 13 td (trading day) cycle has been working well on the SP500.






It appear both Gold and Oil 6 week cycles troughed out in late March. Gold has been rising sharply. Watch Natural Gas after the inventories at 10:30am tomorrow.

Monday, March 29, 2010

March 29th Update

We continue to wait for a pullback in the SP bewteen March 25 and April 7 even though the stock averages look positive.

There are a number of cycles and time fibs which point to this period to be a low. In addition tomorrow, March 30, the full moon will be Monday evening and possibly more importantly Mercury will be squaring the last solar eclipse point at 8:45 am March 30 in New York. The last time Mercury made a major aspect to this point was Saturday, February 6 one day after the significant low.

In addition Venus will be changing signs into Taurus on March 31 and the Moon will be entering volatile Scorpio. There are a number of heliocentric aspects on March 31, notably Venus squaring Neptune while in sextile to Uranus. This is an aspect of volatility.

We are also still looking for Oil and Gold to commence bullish trends based on factors outlined in our last post.

Saturday, March 20, 2010

Dabbling with numberz

I believe the high for the 6 week cycle occured on March 17th. In such a strong bullish market, this remains to be seen at this point, but we'll do the analysis based on the March 17 high.

This being the crest we need to look for the trough of the nominal 6 week. See the following chart of the SP500.




Some notes. The chart displays time fibs as the red verical bars from the high on Jan 19 to the low on Feb 5. This shows the next time fib of 2.618 on March 26th. I often calculate the time fibs from Solar Eclipse points which in this case would be one bar earlier on Jan 15 and would give a date of March 31st. The above are based on trading days.

Using a Gann approach and a cycle of 30 calendar days we would get a date of
April 6th which is from the Feb 5th low and is shown as the blue vertical line.

On March 25 the Sun and Moon are trine each other and both trine the antiscion point (4Sag59) of the last solar eclipse on Jan 15, 2010. The moon is almost on the ascendant at that time which is approx. 2:00pm in New York. This may mark a short term CIT.

Based on the above we are looking for a low between March 25 and April 6 for this 6 week cycle trough.

Can we get any closer?

The period around March 26 has other significant events.
March 26 is 34 tds from the Feb 5th low. Important fib number.
March 27 and 30th have Venus then Mercury squaring the Jan 15 Solar Eclipse point.
March 29 is a full moon. The full moon is in a loose sqaure to Pluto in Capricorn, however, Pluto is almost at a retrograde point, which means it is almost standing still and more powerful than usual, if that is possible.
April 6 Pluto goes retrograde.

There are of course many other Astros events going on, but from the above I am looking for a 6 week cycle trough in the SP500 around March 25, 29 or April 6th.

I'll be using technicals to try and fine tune the bottom as we approach those dates.

Of course if the markets shoot up over the highs of March 17 then all of the above is quite worthless.

Watch 1147 for important support then 1128-1130 in the SP500. A crash through either and we could be looking at a panic low forming.

The plunge protection team in the US has done such a good job of managing the markets up, I don't believe we will be looking at a panic situation.

Oil
The atached chart shows Oil. The middle pane is a detrended 20 day average. The blue vertical lines are 37 td. It can be seen the 37 td has been very consitent while Oil has been in the current range fron 70.00 - 83.00. It appears Oil is heading down for a low and trough of the 6 week cycle around March 30 /31.



Longer term cycle point to higher highs in July 2010 so this may give us a chance to get well positioned. Look at the 18 month cycle. It should be noted there is no fundamental reason Oil is priced at this range. Demand is down and supplies are up and increasing. One can only surmise there is either a war premium built in, that is a potential war with Iran or the speculators have driven Oil prices up in which case they could bring them down very quickly.

I'm looking for a short term low in Gold either Friday March 26 or Monday March 29th. March 26th is 34tds(fib) from the Feb 5th low and 17 tds from a high. I bring up Monday because we often get turns on Moon events and the Moon is at perigee and it's southward crossing on March 28 nad the full moon is on March 29. Either way, we should have a low on one of those two dates. Technically Gold does not look strong so any low forming here may see a slight rebound but Gold needs some technicals to improve. Higher highs would help.

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

March 2010 6 week Cycle

As suspected the 50 week cycle trough appears to have hit Feb 5th, although we were expecting it mid March. As noted shorts should have been covered as the SP500 broke the 61.8% retracement level. It also appears a 3-4 week trading cycle hit on Feb 25th.

The dates around March 15 - 17 still appear to have some significance from an Astrological perspective. We are now in the time frame for a 5-7 week Major cycle trough. This would be the first major cycle of the 18 week primary cycle which started on Feb 5th. Therefore be aware we may have a pullback next week.

Normally we would have looked for a pull back to the 61.*% retracement level or approx. 1110 on the SP but this market has been so bullish that may be too deep a target. Watch for a turn down between March 11-17 and probably March 15-17.

Friday, February 26, 2010

March 2010

We are now approaching the timeframe we had identified as the ideal spot for the 50 week low. Please bear in mind Feb 5th could have been it, as it satified all our technical requirements for a 50 week low although it was quite shallow.

The following SP500chart shows the 61.8% fib retracement held firm although it appears the MACD and stochastic indicators may be curling up for another assault. If at any time 1110 is broken (and I'll give it to 1115) then I will be covering my shorts. We may go up to test the 1110 area one more time. Again we are looking for the low in the March 10-17th timeframe.









This may be another demonstration of using astrology with technical indicators. March 10th has Mars turning direct and March 17 is a Uranus shadow date. Both dates are associated with turns in the stock market. They are also associated with turns in Gold and precious metals as well. The whole month has strong astrological aspects and could be very volatile. Debt in particular (Greece, Dubai etc.) will probably in the fore front of the news. There is a long term aspect forming called a T square. It involves the slow moving planets Saturn, Uranus and Pluto. Although not exact, it will be hit by aspects from Venus, the Sun and Mercury during March 2010. The longer term aspect will become more exact during July and August of this year. This may be a very unpleasant time not only in the stock market, but other areas of life as well. This blog will stick to the stock market, however, I will say it could be a time for more geophysical activity. Get ready for a wild month in the stock market. The week of March 15th looks particularly interesting.

In addition to the Astro activity the 108 trading day cycle hits on March 8 / 9 in the SP500. The 108 trading days are identified by the red lines on the following chart.












Since we spend most of our time looking at intra-day charts but seldom publish them, the folloing is an hourly chart of SPY an etf for the SP500. Two things worthy of note. There appears to be strong resistance in the 111.00 111.50 area and there is descending broadening wedge pattern (red lines) forming. The latter tends to be bullish. Since this is an hourly chart we may see upward pressure Monday which could mean a short term top either Monday or early in the week.
















Le Corbusier
Behind the wall, the Gods play with numbers"

St. Francis of Assisi
"What everyone is looking for, is what is looking."

Neils Bohr
"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future."

Gold

See the following chart for Gold. The sloping red lines show a falling wedge which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. We have to see if Gold crosses back into the wedge or takes off up from here. Notice also the fib retracements from the top in early December '09 to the bottom in early February '10. Gold is trying to break out of the 38.2% retracement. 50% may act as resistance as well. These levels should be watched closely.

The vertical red lines show the 110 trading day cycle which would typically point to a low around March 9 2010. It's quite possible Gold follows the wedge line down and puts in a low around March 9th then moves up. It should be mentioned March 10th is a Mars direct date, which is often associated with reversals in the the price of Gold.













Oil












US$

The US$ has been driving everything, stocks, gold and oil. The following weekly chart shows the US$ in an uptrend with $.82 as a target which is at the 50% retracement of the move down. The US$ only being strong in relative terms with the week Euro and questionalable other currencies. If the US buck weakins, I would expect gold and the commodities to really take off.