Thursday, September 29, 2011

Oct 3, 2011

Solar eclipses can be in effect for many months.

Sunday Oct 2, the Sun will square the point of the July 1, 2011 partial solar eclipse.
On the same day the Moon will oppose the antiscia (mirror) point of the same July 1st eclipse.

Oct 3 may mark an important market CIT.

Oct 3 also has Mars waxing square to Jupiter which has been a signature for primary cycle troughs.

The primary cycle ala Bressart and Merriman.

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Sept 26, 2011 Update

I believe we have one more week of extreme volatility. October would appear less volatile from an Astro perspective. We may be seeing lows this week or next. In fact the Sept 27, 28 I’ve been looking at could mark the bottom from which a significant rally starts but it would work better from an Astro perspective if the low was the week of Oct 3 after the geocentric Mars waxing square to Jupiter. The Aug 8/9 lows are key targets. Hopefully they are held or not breached significantly.

There are many volatile signatures again this week but the Sept 27 new Moon, which is a perigee Moon (closest pass to Earth or Super Moon per Richard Nolle ) offers the possibility of market extremes and important world events.

We also have the Sun and Mercury translating the Uranus Pluto square. The Uranus Pluto square has been the source of much of the market turmoil. It will be backing off but returning again in 2012 with 7 exact hits between 2012 and 2015. As stated in a previous post this should mark a period of civil unrest and significant changes to any and all power structures in the world.

Geocentric Mars waxing square to Jupiter is often close by to a primary cycle turns. The next occurrence is Oct 3, 2011. This should mark an end to the extreme volatility as well and possibly a bottom for this move within 6 days of this date.

Merriman had these comments over the weekend.
"We will also closely watch September 29 when Venus forms its conjunction to Saturn in Libra. One of our rules is that any market making a low going into this aspect is a candidate for a reversal back up. Given that Venus in Libra (September 14-October 9) is usually bullish for stocks, maybe that proves to be true after it conjuncts Saturn, the “repressor.”

There are a number of signatures this week that could point to geophysical stress.

Following are chart shows the New Moon (green dot) and when the Moon is in perigee ( black dot) on a daily chart of the SP500. They have often made highs then down. I don't believe that will be happening this week, but with Uranus active most anything is possible.

Gold went down right on the Pluto direct date. It should continue to be volatile this week. Watch out for a dead cat bounce which may stop the down move momentarily and then resume. Much depends on what is coming out of Europe.

Watch the period around Sept 27, 28, 29 for a low in Silver. On the attached chart that is where the next crossing of the heliocentric Venus Jupiter lines occur. This may also be support so look for a low in Silver around 30.25. Heliocentric Venus and Jupiter are in opposition on Sept 28 and geocentric Venus and Saturn are conjunct on Sept 29. Both have a history of Silver turns.

Also attached is a weekly chart showing heliocentric Venus and Jupiter price lines and retrace lines from the October 2008 lows to the recent highs. Note the 50% retracement near 29.00 and 24.20 at the 61.8% retracement. If 30.00 is breached these are potential targets for lows.

Crude oil, with other commodities has taken a sharp set back in this volatile period. Crude has followed a nominal 17 month cycle (see red line on attached chart. Being a longer term cycle it needs a wider range and is expected to form a trough in Oct / Nov 2011. Any cycles related to crude could be influenced by events in the mid-East.

Monday, September 19, 2011

Sept 19, 2011 - Brief Update

This week is very dependent on the FOMC meeting which will be announced at 2:15pm on Wednesday. Also coming up are Japan trade data on Wednesday and Chinese manufacturing activity on Thursday. The markets have been very news driven lately so watch for this news.

There are no major Astros or transits until Friday. I'm still expecting all hell to break out sometime between Sept 23 and Sept 30 with an emphasis on Sept 27,28 (see previous posts).

I was also expecting Oil Gold and Silver to start moving lower and that may have started. If you are holding longs after Thursday be very careful.

Sometimes the Astros don't work out as planned. What I'm seeing maybe some other type of world event happening in that time frame. Anyway, we don't have long to wait.

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Sept 12, 2011 Update

Although we may get a bounce early this week my opinion that stocks will be heading down for September has not changed. Stocks often have a move around the Full Moon and the New Moon and Monday Sept 12 is a Full Moon. As the Full Moon is squaring the Moon's nodes any bounce will probably be short lived.

This week has Pluto turning direct on Sept 16, see the daily chart below (blue arrow point right marks the Pluto direct dates). One thing that Pluto rules is debt so expect debt, either in Europe or the US to be front and center.

As mentioned in a previous post Venus, the ruler of resources and things of value is translating the Uranus / Pluto square by first opposing Uranus and then squaring Pluto. These are occurring over the weekend on Sept 17 and 18. Venus also is squaring the Uranian point Hades on Sept 16. If we do not get a move down by Sept 16 then I would expect Monday Sept 19 to be quite unpleasant in the financial markets and probably all week.

All the above point to a period of time that should be, at the very least volatile for the markets. It is difficult to see the above aspects as positive

The week of Sept 19 includes the next FED meeting. If the FED announces QE3 or something equivalent the markets can be expected to bounce, and possibly strongly, but I would look at this as an oppourtunity to sell or short the market.

Between Sept 24 to Sept 29 we have the Sun and Mercury translating the Uranus / Pluto square, a Super Moon (per Richard Nolle) on the 27th and Venus conjunct Saturn on the 29th. Again, it would be difficult to construe any of the aforementioned transits as positive.

Market cycle wise we should be seeing a trough in the stock market in late Sept / early October. Perhaps the negative transits around Sept 27/28 are the worst of it and the markets take a few days to stabilize and then start to rise in early October.

Looking out a little further a grand trine will be forming between Mars, Jupiter and Pluto in November all at a time when Jupiter is in a positive position in the skies. In addition the Uranus / Pluto square will be separating. This could point to rising markets in October and November.

As mentioned in a previous post, the Uranus / Pluto square will be separating later in 2011 but will come back and make 7 exact squares from 2012 through 2015.

Gold and silver have neutral trends at this time. Pluto moving direct has had a correlation to moves in Gold usually within 6 trading days after the direct date which again is Sept 16th. These are averages so a move in Gold before the Pluto direct is also possible. As stated before a rising US$ will bring down Gold, Silver prices and many commodities in the short term. For those who follow the Primary cycle (15-21 weeks) we are currently in the 17th week.

Same comments as Gold although our chart showing heliocentric Venus and Jupiter is losing it’s correlation to Silver. This happens so we’ll watch and see if Silver can break out of it’s sideways move and follow either Venus or Jupiter onward.

Crude appears to be weakening and may be the first to show signs of a strengthening US$. Of course a recession in the US or broader world-wide recession would bring crude prices down. Cycle wise a low in crude is possible in the November time frame.

Friday, September 9, 2011

April 9, 2011 ALERT

GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A strong geomagnetic storm (Kp=7) is in progress following the impact of a CME during the middle hours of the day on Sept. 9th. This could be the first of several hits from a series of CMEs expected to reach Earth during the weekend. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras after nightfall. (Observing tip: The hours around midnight are often best for aurora sightings.) Check for more information and updates.

SPACE WEATHER ALERTS: Would you like a call when geomagnetic storms are in progress? Storm alerts are available from (text) and (voice).

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Sept 7, 2011 ALERT Solar Flare

On Sept. 6th, active sunspot 1283 produced two major eruptions including an impulsive X2-class solar flare. The blasts hurled a pair of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) toward Earth, which could spark geomagnetic activity when they arrive on Sept. 8-10. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras in the nights ahead.

Geomagnetic activity like this has preceded some of the earthquakes we have been getting the last few years.

Monitor this page:

Monday, September 5, 2011

Oil Update for Sept 2011 Report

Sept 6, 2011 is fib 89 trading days from the crude high on May 5, 2011. Also we had the Sun trine Jupiter on Friday Sept 2nd.

The last 2 instances of the Sun trining Jupiter there was a gap on the open of crude the following trading day. That would be tomorrow Sept 6th. The last 2 times it did not stay down for long. In this instance it may. As always price action will tell the story. Jupiter is the co-ruler of crude.

Saturday, September 3, 2011

Summary for September

The first couple of weeks appear relatively quiet on the Astro front. This does not mean we won’t get market moves but the extreme volatility we’ve seen in August should calm down, at least until Sept 16. The second half of September looks far more volatile.

Dates we are watching.

Sept 6 or 7 may get a little bounce recovering from last weeks down move and the President will be speaking so the news outlets will be spinning at high speed depending on which party they support. The next FED moves should be in the news as well or at least the main topic of discussion amongst traders unless European debt issues come to center stage.

Sept 16 Significant Astros are back with Pluto turning direct and Venus squaring Hades then Venus opposing Uranus (with the Moon making secondary aspects) and then Venus squaring Pluto. Yes the Uranus / Pluto square is back. We may see another move down during this time.

This square is slowly separating and it’s effects will lesson over the next few months. Nevertheless it will be back in 2012 and will be an exact square 7 times from 2012 through 2015.

Sept 27 This is a New Moon and a Super Moon, that is perigee, or closest pass to earth for this orbit. The Sun and Moon therefore are in the early cardinal sign of Libra and both are in a T square with Uranus and Pluto. Opposition to Uranus and square Pluto. Mercury is also conjuncting this Super Moon and Mars is in Sextile. This could be quite an explosive situation. With Pluto involved it could be the European debt situation or currency issues. There are a number of other potent aspects in this time frame but the above should be enough to give you the idea that this is an important time period.

It’s possible this time period is close to a bottom in stocks as I see the month of September as flat to down. In the back of mind I've been looking for a rise in the US buck which would bring down the price of most commodities including Gold, Silver and Crude. For this to happen either the Euro must take it big hit or some nasty world event. I wait and am monitoring these events.

All dates +- 3 trading days (tds).

Overall I'm expecting September to be down with a reversal in the last week or first week in October then up into year end, then down.

My longer term outlook may change and it may change quickly but without a plan, as they say, any path will do. A boss I had many years ago gave me some great business advice. That is, in business, if you don't write it down it didn't happen. One reason I write it down.

Gold obviously continues its advance. There is a signature on Sept 16, Pluto turning direct which use to have a good correlation to Gold turns. This has not worked well over the last two years. This time we have Venus translating the Uranus / Pluto square within days of Pluto station. This may be a good time for a turn. This is a watch and wait situation.

The following chart shows the Venus Uranus opposition coming up (red line with 2 arrows). It also shows how Gold has peaked near the Venus Uranus trine and Venus Neptune square. They are circled in blue. This comes up again Oct 31 - Nov 3, 2011.

Back to the Silver chart from previous posts. Silver has made it up to the 61.8% retracement of the move down from late April to early May. If it advance from here I would expect it to follow the heliocentric Venus line further up. Like Gold, overdue for a pull back.

Looking at crude on a short term time frame it has often made short term crests around the New Moon. Blue circle on the following chart while the Full Moon is red. This has not been consistent but worth watching. The next Full Moon is Sept 12 and the next New Moon is Sept 27. As mentioned above the 27th is a Super Moon and has a number of very volatile aspects.

Looking at a longer term chart crude is due for a 17 month trough in the late Oct early Nov time frame. Assuming we have no significant mid east problems Oil should be making a low of significance in that time frame.

As stated in previous posts please allow 3 trading days around any date given in this blog unless otherwise noted.

Regards, and thanks for the positive comments.