Saturday, November 22, 2014

Financial Astrology - Nov. 23, 2014


Summary
We got the expected volatility last week with Mars still quite active, coming in from "Out of Bounds" on Nov 20 and Mars passing over the heliocentric nodes of Pluto on Nov 22nd.

Friday Nov 21 was a dramatic day. For those with an interest in Fibonacci numbers Friday was 1440 td's (trading days) from the Mar 6, 2009 low, 144 is a Fibonacci number. Friday was also on a 39 td cycle (89 / square root of 5 = 39) which had been predominately lows but inverted with the news from China of the reduction in interest rates. 89 is a Fibonacci number. Other Fibonacci calculations and the market see (http://www.harleymarketletter.com/).

This coming week there are two Astrological aspects that have a history of turns, one on Sunday the other, later in the week. Subscribers have more details and the dates. There are also multiple declination parallel aspects later in the week most of which occur during the Thanksgiving holidays in the US. There is a brief description of declination's further down.

Last week I was looking for a move down late in the week. This didn't happen. The days around Thanksgiving are generally positive for the US markets as is this time of year, nevertheless, I'm looking for a pullback in the general US market indices.

The period in mid-December looks troublesome for the markets and for world events in general. The same could be said for the early weeks of 2015.

Mid-December may be a very important time period for many markets.

I'm short from last week, but not aggressively so.

As a general statement going forward. For the past couple of years I have been forecasting pull backs and crests in the general market indices. There has been no mention of market crashes or more dire events. The strength of the market has been impressive although it may have been manipulated up.

For 2015 and the first quarter of 2016 we'll be looking for a more severe market turn and possible crash. At this point I'm assuming some external event will cause the fall but this could change as we move forward and get closer to some hard Astrological aspects.

SP500

We are entering either the 16th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th or the 6th week, with Oct 15th being the low of a shortened nominal 18 week cycle and a 50 week cycle low.

This is looking more like a Primary cycle bottom on Oct 15th and therefore, cycle wise, we should be looking for a pullback into the nominal 6 week cycle.

The problem with Oct 15th being a nominal 18 week low is the cycle was only 10 weeks long. Also the previous cycle was a very long 27 weeks making this generally reliable cycle somewhat useless to use as a trading tool for the last few months. It could be argued the short 10 week cycle makes up for the previous, extended cycle of 27 weeks. We note both on the following daily chart of the SP500.



Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

Astrological events coming up are:

Nov 22 Mars crosses the heliocentric Nodes of Pluto ( volatility in the days around this aspect). As I write this post I note Japan has just had a 6.8 earthquake in the Nagano area. This is a Mars / Pluto issue. Pluto also rules all things nuclear so watch for news out of Japan.

Nov 23 Chiron Direct - has a history of occurring at market CIT's (Change In Trend)

Nov 25 Mercury conjunct Saturn - often found at short term changes in trend

Nov 26 Venus waning trine Uranus - found at Primary cycle changes in trend. Note, the Primary cycle could only end in this time frame if we take Aug 7th as the start of the Primary. This is still a possibility.

Nov 27 Sun waning square Neptune - this aspect is most often found near a trough. We would have to move down sharply, starting early in the week if this is going to work out to be a trough. Obviously this is in US Thanksgiving but this has a range of +- 5 td's and we should watch for other markets to be affected close by this date.

A general note on Neptune. Like any planet Neptune can rule many things. One is illusion and delusion. Other things ruled by Neptune are; health and welfare, charities, spirituality, refinement, weakness, healing, hospitals, prisons, legal and illegal drugs, chemicals, poisons, scandal, corruption, fraud, propaganda, films, socialism, the oceans, oil and gas and the navy.

On the subject of frauds there is very unusual activity in both the S&P futures and Gold markets. Unusual activity in this case means large volumes during periods of traditional low volume activity (ex: 3:00am - 4:00am).

I bring this up because Neptune is in a powerful position, it is in it's own sign, Pisces. Things that it rules come to the fore and are more potent than usual. Neptune is a slow moving Planet and is in each sign approx. 14 years. It's part of the background to history and as the book states, it's the "Sign of the Times".

In Pisces, Neptune acts with the greatest ease. It is often associated with dependency. When looking at a general population this can be dependency on the populations government, including hand-outs and all forms of programs, from pensions to food stamps. Dependency can also cover addiction to technological toys from cell phones that can't be put down, to an x-box or other games. Media propaganda is often highlighted during Neptune / Pisces transits as is depression, oppression or exploitation. Pisces is also associated with healing so watch for developments in medicines (traditional and alternative) and medical technologies and alternative healing.

Watch for the effect of the above. Market wise watch the medical sectors and those companies bringing new technologies forward.

I'll include the Uranus / Pluto waxing square chart once again as it could be very important over the next few weeks. Long term aspects like this require a trigger, another planet or event that triggers the effect of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. In this case there is a big one close by.

This daily chart of the SP500 shows the previous 5 instances of the Uranus waxing square to Pluto and the two coming up. Note; the previous exact squares most often marked a short term top then down. Also note on the chart, the horizontal purple lines are the Uranus price lines which have acted as both resistance and support. We appear to be breaking through the next Uranus price line unless the markets take a turn down, which I am expecting next week.


Declinations
Much of the Astrology covered in this blog and others deals with planet positions, the angles they make to them and the distance they travel as they revolve around the Sun. Thus we say Mars is at 25 degrees, 37 minutes in Capricorn. These are measurements of the planet moving around the Sun and are called longitude.

Think of longitude as a horizontal measurement. There is another measurement which we can look upon as a vertical measurement. That is declination's.

Declinations are a measurement of a planet north or south of the celestial equator which is the Earth's equator extended out into space. The circle each planet makes moving around the Sun are on different planes. The Sun can move north or south of the celestial equator. It's maximum distance north or south is 23 degrees, 27 minutes. If you look at a globe you would see the maxim Sun movement as the Tropic of Capricorn and the Tropic of Cancer. If another planet went beyond 23 degrees, 27 minutes, it is said to be "out of bounds". Events may happen related to the planet that are unusual or unexpected.

Gold
Gold appears to have put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the 3rd week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week).

It has been difficult forecasting many of the commodities due to possible deflationary forces, wild currency moves and market manipulation. Even if it is the 3rd week of a new Primary cycle, which is typically bullish, it could turn back down quickly.

On the daily chart below, price has broken through the 15 day sma and touched the 45 day sma on Friday. The next target would be 38.2% retracement at approx 1213.

The start of a new Primary cycle often has a pullback 2 to 4 weeks after the trough. For those that are not long this gives a second opportunity to get long. This is particularly useful when we have a pullback in the first 2-4 weeks and then you see a turn up. Watch the Fib retracement levels on the following daily chart for Gold. Be particularly careful trading Gold here as the central banks (Western World) do not want people putting their money in precious metals. China and Russia appear to be buying as much as they can. There is something brewing here.

Subscribers got a more detailed review of the longer term Gold aspects detailing an 8.5 year, 4.25 year and 17 month cycles two weeks ago.



The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Both have acted as support/resistance for Gold in the past as seen on the following daily chart. Watch for Gold to follow the Venus price line up and then cross above the Jupiter price line currently in the 1211 area. The dark blue Jupiter price line may act as strong resistance. Be very careful with Gold here. It would be extremely positive for Gold to break through the Jupiter price line, but remember the comments on fraud and manipulation above. Gold's time is coming, I'm just not sure if it is now.



Silver also appears to be in the 3rd week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 on
Nov 7th. Like Gold, Silver appears to have bottomed and now turning up. Also like Gold watch for a pullback 2-4 weeks along that then turns up.



The following chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. If this is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise and follow the Venus price line up.



Crude
Eureka, crude has moved up 2 days in a row. It's possible this is the start of a new Primary 1 cycle. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

I gave a number of reasons for the behavior in the price of crude last week. I'll add the major Astros. Crude is ruled by Jupiter and Neptune. As mentioned above Neptune is in it's home sign Pisces, where Neptune is quite powerful. Neptune is also about deceit and confusion.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart. Crude seems to have entered a consolidation area.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Nov 27 Sun square Neptune

Dec 9 Jupiter stationary retrograde.

Somewhere between the Nov 17, Neptune direct and Dec 9th, Jupiter retrograde should see a reversal in crude or a change in one of the issues involving crude.



On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to early November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude. There are sub-cycles. I'm looking at April 2015 for the next high. It will probably be a lower high.



There is also an interesting 16 x 24 week cycle. When they both match (green line) the 16 week (red) and the 24 week (blue) both hit at the same time. This is very often a change in trend. 
Next date, Dec 8.



Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?


People signing up now (after November 1st) will get the rest of 2014 and the first half of 2015, Jan. - June)

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Saturday, November 15, 2014

Financial Astrology - Nov. 16, 2014


Summary
We did not get the expected volatility last week but Mars is still quite active this coming week so we could see the expected volatility then. The Uranus / Pluto waxing square continues to tighten and is exact on Dec 15th. This is the 6th exact square in the current series of 7 exact squares. Look for continued unrest in many countries, people vs their leaders and the Russia vs the Western World (Russia vs the U.S.) confrontation.

Using Astrology and market cycles we continually look for dates that will start changes in trend. We are expecting a change in trend for the broad market indices at two specific dates over the next couple of weeks. In addition note the Sun waxing square to Jupiter on Nov 13th on the following chart and notes below.

I'm looking for a change in trend in many markets this coming week. We could get a high in this time frame and then down. Another option is a high closer to Dec 15th when the Uranus / Pluto waxing square is exact.

I'm short the SP500 from last week, but not aggressively so. Remember the dates below and the dates from last week are +- 3 td's (trading days). They are still in orb.

Precious metals may have just put in a Primary cycle bottom and Crude is due to bottom in the next few weeks if it hasn't already done so.

SP500

We are entering either the 15th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th or the 5th week, with Oct 15th being the low of a shortened nominal 18 week cycle and a 50 week cycle low. I'll wait until next week to determine if we are in the 5th week of a new 18 week cycle. Either way, 5th or 15th we are due for a turn down.

The problem with Oct 15th being a nominal 18 week low is the cycle was only 10 weeks long, weel out of the range for valid cycles. Also the previous cycle was a very extended 27 weeks making this somewhat useless to use as a trading tool. It could be argued the short 10 week cycle makes up for the previous, extended cycle of 27 weeks. We note both on the following daily chart of the SP500.


It can also be argued market cycles are off due to the constant manipulation. Possible, but we have no control over this situation. History does tell us, if the markets are being manipulated there will be a day of reckoning. If so it won't be pretty.

Last week we did not get the expected volatility. Note the orange square on Nov 13th. This is the Sun in waxing square to Jupiter an aspect which has a strong history of changes in trend +- approx 1 week either side.

This weeks subscriber letter includes charts of many of the world's markets specifically showing some US indices at all time highs. The rest of the world does not look so good.

Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

Other Astrological events coming up are:

Nov 16 Neptune turns direct - confusion, change, illusion / delusion ( Neptune is in Pisces, the sign it rules and is stronger than usual. This is long term and is coloring a period of history rather than anything short term)

            Venus enters Sagittarius - a mutable fire sign where change is expected.

Nov 18 Mars square the North Node
            Sun conjunct Saturn
            Moon opposition Uranus ( this one has been very active the past few months)

Nov 20            Venus square Neptune ( highlights change, with Venus it could involve money)
            Mars comes back in from "Out of Bounds" by declination

Nov 22 Mars crosses the heliocentric Nodes of Pluto ( volatility in the days around this aspect)

Although Ebola has disappeared from the news, we may be hearing more about Ebola over the next few weeks. I can't find anything tying this signature to the USA. It's a world problem. Hitler's Germany controlled the news outlets as well. Enough said on that one? Maybe more should be said.

Early in the New Year Pluto oppose the US Sun. Attitudes toward money, governance and financial institutions are coming to a head and the relationship is inevitably changing. As the Uranus / Pluto square will still be in orb this turns the opposition into a powerful T-square with Uranus as the apex planet. This could be a period of sudden change.

Gold
Gold appears to have put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the 2nd week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week).

It has been difficult forecasting many of the commodities due to possible deflationary forces, wild currency moves and market manipulation. Even if it is the 2nd week of a new Primary cycle, which is typically bullish, it could turn back down quickly.

The start of a new Primary cycle often has a pullback 2 to 4 weeks after the trough. For those that are not long this gives a second opportunity to get long. This is particularly useful when we have a pullback in the first 2-4 weeks and then you see a turn up. Watch the Fib retracement levels on the following daily chart for Gold. Be particularly careful trading Gold here as the central banks (Western World) do not want people putting their money in precious metals. China and Russia appear to be buying as much as they can.

Subscribers got a more detailed review of the longer term Gold aspects detailing an 8.5 year, 4.25 year and 17 month cycles.


The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Both have acted as support/resistance for Gold in the past as seen on the following daily chart. Watch for Gold to follow the Venus price line up and then cross above the Jupiter price line currently in the 1211 area.


Silver also appears to be in the 2nd week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 on
Nov 7th. Like Gold, Silver appears to have bottomed and now turning up. Also like Gold watch for a pullback 2-4 weeks along that then turns up. The same comment on central banks applies to Silver as it does to Gold.


The following chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. If this is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise and follow the Venus price line up.



Crude
We are either in the 1st week of a new Primary 1 cycle or the 28th week of a very over extended market. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

There are many reason, US and Saudi intentionally over producing to drive out high cost producers and hurt Russia, ISIS and Iran. This plan seems to be working but there are always unforeseen repercussions. Western governments collect a lot of tax revenue from the price at the pump. If it is down the government revenues are down. Crude may be reflecting the real world economy. When crude does turn up it will probably be to lower highs. This is also causing problems between mid-East governments.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart. Crude seems to have entered a consolidation area. Perhaps this is the agreed price between the US and Saudi Arabia.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Nov 17 Neptune stationary direct on Sunday Nov 16

Nov 27 Sun square Neptune

Dec 9 Jupiter stationary retrograde.

Somewhere between the Nov 17, Neptune direct and Dec 9th, Jupiter retrograde should see a reversal in crude or a change in one of the issues involving crude.



On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to early November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude. There are sub-cycles. I'm looking at April 2015 for the next high. It will probably be a lower high.



There is also an interesting 16 x 24 week cycle. When they both match (green line) the 16 week (red) and the 24 week (blue) both hit at the same time. This is very often a change in trend.



Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?


Sunday, November 9, 2014

Financial Astrology - November 9, 2014


Summary
This coming week looks very volatile with Mars translating the Uranus / Pluto waxing square, Mercury moving to the position of the Oct 23 Solar eclipse, Mercury moving into a grand trine with Neptune and Hades (a Uranian point) and the Sun squaring Jupiter.

Mars conjunct Pluto is a war aspect.

I'm looking for very volatile activity in many markets this coming week. We could get a high in this time frame and then down. Another option is a high near Dec 15th when the Uranus / Pluto waxing square is exact.

I'm looking to get short on any new high in price and if no new high late Monday or Tuesday.

SP500
This week's post will be a little shorter than usual as I'm working on the 1st half 2015 forecast dates.

We are entering the 14th week of the nominal 18 week cycle  1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th. Some Astrologers are looking at the Oct 15th V-shaped low as the 50 week or a new Primary cycle  1

I am still looking at the Oct 15th low as the  1/2 Primary  1 This no longer looks like a left translated bearish cycle, it is right translated and bullish. Being in the 14th week it is in the time frame for a Primary crest then down.

Following is the SP500 and shows the area for the potential low for this 18 week cycle.



Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

So we are at a very important juncture. Do we go up into the traditional positive time of the year or has 5 years of FED easy money so distorted valuations that the market can only go down. I'm still looking for a pull back but a dramatic increase in inflation would change this outlook.

This coming week should be very volatile in many markets. Subscribers have the dates.
The Uranus and Pluto waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks.  It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.

The following weekly chart of the Dow shows the occurrence of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square.



Gold
Gold is in the 1st week or 23rd of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week). It is difficult to forecast most of the commodities at this time due to possible deflationary forces and manipulation. Even if it is the 1st week of a new Primary cycle, which is typically bullish, it could turn back down quickly.

If this is the 23rd week of an older Primary then it is due to reverse and reverse quickly. There are a number of reasons for looking at the week of Nov 10th as a turn in precious metals.

Subscribers got a more detailed review of the longer term Gold aspects detailing an 8.5 year, 4.25 year and 17 month cycles.



The following weekly chart shows the heliocentric Jupiter (blue) and Venus (green) price lines. The Jupiter price line has acted as support for Gold in the past but has clearly broken through to the downside. This looks like a strong Doji on the weekly and we had a big range day up on the daily chart.


Like many markets, Gold should be volatile this coming week. Silver as well.

Silver is also in the 1st or 5th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1 . The fist few days of the coming week may see a significant move in Gold and Silver.

The following chart shows the Venus (green) and Jupiter(blue) price lines on a daily chart for Silver. The trend often changes when these two price lines cross. If this is a new Primary cycle I would expect Silver to rise along the Venus (green) price line.



Crude
We are in the 1st week of a new Primary 1 cycle. The last cycle was left translated which is bearish. If this is a new cycle forming watch for it to be left translated as well. There is a lot of deflationary pressure on many commodities, precious metals included.

There are many reason, US and Saudi intentionally over producing to drive out high cost producers and hurt Russia, ISIS and Iran. This plan seems to be working but there are always unforeseen repercussions. Western governments collect a lot of tax revenue from the price at the pump. If it is down the government revenues are down. Crude may be reflecting the real world economy. When crude does turn up it will probably be to lower highs. This is also causing problems between mid-East governments.

For crude I'm watching the 23.6% retracement level on the following daily chart. Crude seems to have entered a consolidation area. Perhaps this is the agreed price between the US and Saudi Arabia.

I'm looking for a trigger for crude. Aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the rulers of crude would be good candidates. Possible candidates are:

Nov 11 Grand trine between Mercury / Neptune and Hades.

Nov 13 Sun waxing square to Jupiter

Nov 17 Neptune stationary direct on Sunday Nov 16

Nov 27 Sun square Neptune



On a longer term basis there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the US$. The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now to mid November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart shows the 38/39 month cycle in crude.



Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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