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The following chart shows the geocentric Bradley indicator. It’s the red line on the daily chart of the SP500. You can search the blog to find my description of the Bradley and why we should ignore the apparent trend. It’s not accurate.
What is quite accurate are the changes in trend. I have circled that dates in blue. Note the upcoming dates (blue circles). These are all potential turn dates but ignore the direction of the red line. Give each occurrence an orb of +- 3 tds. (trading days).
The August 30 date would appear to be a reversal up and potentially a run at the All Time High.
So the Bradley trend line was pointed down but price went up when looking just at the date.
Currently the markets are still trending up but have just had a hard move down on Sept 20th. This may move down to either the Oct 8 date or Oct 3 – 6. All dates are +- 3 tds. The next 2 weeks should be volatile. Be careful.
Sept 18 Saturn Direct and FOMC
Sept 21 Jupiter square Neptune.
Jupiter is also parallel Saturn which emphasizes the control and discipline Saturn is known for.
Sept 22 Mercury square North Node
The disturbance of friendly relationships.
Sept 25 Venus square North Node
Lack of adaptability.
Sept 28 Saturn square North Node
Feeling of inhibition / depression
Oct 3 Pluto Direct
Effects cycles in Gold
Watch for 11 month cycle along with Primary cycle.
Watch for 11 month cycle along with Primary cycle.
Oct 6 Sun square North Node
Associations between male persons. The termination of associations.
So there are a number of aspects to the North and South Nodes. In a nut shell this may be standing for unions that get separated.
This coming week Sept 23, may be very volatile.
Also of interest is the vertical blue lines. This is a 54 day cycle. In Vedic (Indian) Astrology 108 is a sacred number. 54 is 108 / 2 then 54 / 2 = 27. 27 days is the length of time it takes the Moon to circle the Earth. It takes 2.5 days more for the Moon to catch up to the Earth which has moved 2.5 days and therefore we get to 29.5 days for the orbit of the Moon. In addition the Sun rotates once every 27 days at the equator of the Sun. The next vertical blue line which is the
27 cd cycle is on Sept 30.
We have been watching the Jupiter / Neptune square for some months. Sept 21 has the 3rd square. Jupiter and Neptune express a lack of self-control, unreliability, Money losses / speculators and a lack of clarity. With Saturn turning Direct on Sept 18 I will be looking for a change in outlook. Saturn will bring more structure, seriousness. Saturn will cause social order, control, law and order and more discipline. This will take a number of weeks to see the effects of Saturn turning Direct.
On August 18 Mars entered Virgo. This often equates to powerful market moves. We have covered Mars changing signs in some detail. Following is a daily chart of the SP500 and the red squares show when Mars entered a new sign. The next sign change is Oct 4, 2019 into Libra and could be the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) trough. Since we are at the 15th week in the Primary cycle the more exact cycle would be the week of October 7 although I like Oct 3 – 7 +- 3 tds.
We may get another war but I'm looking at September 9, 2020 and beyond for a major war effort. That day Mars turns retrograde while squaring the conjunction of Saturn / Pluto. December 2020 is going to be a very interesting time. Much more on this as 2020 progresses.
We are entering the earthquake season. Keep an eye on the news.
We are entering the 15th week of a Primary cycle which started on June 3, 2019. In the current situation I am looking for a crest of the 9 week cycle which we probably had on July 26. This would be the ½ Primary cycle crest and down.
Looking at the above summary, there was a strong move down on Sept 20. Although I’m looking for strong volatility Friday's action may point to a further move down.
It is possible we start down into mid Sept / early October. During the month we have a number of signatures which point to a trough for the SP500. All have a history with the Primary cycle. We may see the SP500 break through the all time high but it is not definitive.
Saturn turning direct just 2 days before the last Jupiter / Neptune square on Sept 21.
Saturn Direct is a signature for the 50 week cycle trough. The 50 week cycle may join the current Primary cycle.
The above aspects are emphasizing the Jupiter / Neptune square. This is the last of 3 exact squares and may cause the biggest move.
The potent Sun/ Mars conjunction will be in orb from now until the end of September. This conjunction has a record of stock market reversals. They are aspecting the forming Jupiter / Neptune square.
The combination of Sun and Mars aspecting the Jupiter / Neptune square may result in:
A lack of control
Money losses / speculators
Lack of clarity
Big claims which result in nothing.
Later in the month there are other aspects which could affect when the Primary cycle will hit it’s trough. Watch for the 27 CD (calendar day) cycle.
I’m looking at the period of Sept 18 where we have Saturn turning direct through Sept 21 where we have the last Jupiter / Neptune square. This period could either mark the start of the move down to the Primary trough or be the Primary trough. Truth will be hard to find during this period. Saturn will change this over time.
This coming week, Sept 23, may be very volatile.
Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. With Neptune involved we may not be getting the truth. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or early on 2020. Saturn will add truthfulness, veracity and discipline.
Following is an up to date daily chart of the SP500.
Much of the market’s movement will be due to the extent of the trade wars between China and the US.
Notice at the bottom of the chart. The light blue line is the 39 or 40 week cycle. It is due to hit the trough around October 2nd. I’m looking for the Primary cycle trough mid Sept to early Oct. We call the Primary cycle the 18 week cycle. It typically lands in the 15 week to 21 week time frame.
Price is now above the 15 day sma and the 45 day sma. We seem to have broken through the sideways consolidation.
The Jupiter / Neptune square is still in scope and the effects are still being felt. The next and last square is Sept 21. The Saturn / Pluto conjunction is also still in orb.
Following is the envelope channel chart for the SP500. The envelope are centered moving averages. Note price made a low in August and bounced off the 20 day envelope.
Centered moving averages are used to find cycles.
Gold is entering the 17th week of the nominal 18 week Primary cycle. We are in the third and last 6 week cycle of the 18 week cycle. I’m looking at Sept 4 as the top of this Primary cycle. When moving down I look for the box. In this case the box is 38.2% to 50.0%.
When commodities are moving with such strength it is difficult to see a turn. Price has just come down to the 15 day sma. Gold is getting support around the 23.6% fib retracement.
I’m looking for a trough in Gold over the next 2 weeks. In particular I’m looking at Sept 26 and Sept 28.
We had the Primary Cycle trough for crude oil on June 5th and are entering the 15th week of a Primary cycle. Notice the green symmetrical triangle providing support and resistance. Crude price quickly broke the bottom of the symmetrical triangle.
From last week:
“Crude will either break above or below the symmetrical triangle over the next week. “
It broke up.
There may be more significant moves in crude over the next week.
Crude has a dual rulership of both Jupiter and Neptune and will be directly affected by the Sept 21 Jupiter / Neptune square. As usual +- 3 tds.
Crude, like the SP500 and Gold will be strongly affected by the coming aspects. I’m looking for crude to break up from the triangle.
Crude may be quite volatile over this month. Obviously, the price of crude will go up if relations with Iran worsen. I’m expecting a rise in crude oil price by the fall timeframe.
Will China buy crude from Iran?
Following is the weekly Crude chart with the 17 month cycle. It’s due early May 2020.