Saturday, May 16, 2015

Financial Astrology - May 18, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 15th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



Being the 15th week we should start to look for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. Statistically the days around May 15th and May 21st would be good timing for a primary cycle crest.

From last weeks market letter
" Other charts and factors which point to something more negative are the 224/225 cd cycle and the Saturn sesquisquare Uranus, exact on May 4th there may be a significant change in direction, possibly instigated by a surprise event. "

"In summary I expect an increase in violent war like activity. Some of these events could occur on American soil over the next couple of weeks. We are in a period of stress which will be affected by the Mars Saturn opposition on May 15th +- a few. This is also OPEX, option expiry day which is normally volatile and difficult to predict."

Although we went down the first 3 days of the week, Thursday was a big up day and has moved price out of the symmetrical triangle as it approaches the end of the pattern. A surprise move due to the one day size of the move but not the surprise event I was looking for.

I'm looking for violence to be more extreme, if that is possible. This coming week we should see more senseless violence, anger and grief, violent weather and possibly more geophysical disturbances.

On the above chart price has broken out of the symmetrical triangle we have been following. I like to follow moves in 3's so I'm looking for price to stay above the triangle for a minimum of 3 td's, a feat the SP500 has been unable to do for the past few weeks.

Although the Saturn sesquisquare Uranus signature is slowly moving out of orb the 224/225 cd cycle is still active. As seen in the history of the following chart this cycle (red vertical lines) has been very reliable in identifying moves both up and down. I expected a larger move down and still do.



This week we have Mercury turning retrograde on May 18th. The inferior conjunction between Mercury and the Sun occurs on May 29th and Mercury turns direct again on June 11th. Since this is the inferior conjunction it is also the heliocentric conjunction between the Sun and Mercury.

As a reminder the two planets inside the Earth's orbit are Mercury and Venus. Both can have inferior and superior conjunctions depending on whether they are on the Earth;s side of the Sun or the far side of the Sun.

Inferior conjunction


Superior conjunction


The following chart shows Mercury retrograde (red arrow pointing left), Mercury turning direct (blue arrow pointing right), the geocentric inferior conjunction (small red circle) and the heliocentric conjunction (small blue circle) on the same day. Note the swings in the SP500 on any of those dates in the past.



This Mercury retrograde period is occurring in Gemini, a mutable air sign which Mercury rules. Mercury also rules communication, commerce and trading, that is buying and selling. It has a reputation for problems, both communication, contracts and wrong decisions or choices. Ray Merriman of MMA has a saying for Mercury retrograde periods, that is "Take profits too soon". That meaning, if you have made a profit, don't wait until you hit resistance, get out.

The Mercury retrograde period is known to be volatile. In this instance we also have Mercury moving back from Out of Bounds, adding to the potential for increased volatility. Also, with Mars in Gemini (war of words or real war?) volatility should increase.

The last few weeks we have mentioned Venus being "Out of Bounds" OOB. Venus comes back in bounds on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds".

There are other transits hitting May 20th through the end of the month which are reserved for subscribers. I will mention May 21 and May 25 where Venus translates the separating Uranus / Pluto square. It is still close.

I'm looking for a short but sharp move down then continuing up in June with a potential high around June 22 when Jupiter trines Uranus. The question is, do we get the move down this coming week or after Memorial day? Do we get a violent event on Memorial day?

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.


Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 9th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Last weeks action has changed the short term outlook for Gold. With the surge in Gold on May 13th Gold has put in a new high for this Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. Prior to this week Gold had a very left translated cycle which was bearish. With a new hogh and potential for more Gold's cycle will be neutral or right translated which would be bullish.

Mercury retrograde (see notes above) has a strong history of changes in trend close to the retrograde date. The move last week could have been it or it is dead ahead.

Gold has now moved above the key retracement areas mentioned the last few weeks around 1218-1219. Again I would like to see 3 closes above this area.

On May 20th we hit the 2.618 time Fib based on the move down in Gold from Oct. 2012 to June 2013. Fib times often mark a move in PM's both up and down. Surprisingly Venus in opposition to Pluto on May 21st has had an inconsistent history with moves in Gold prices.

Gold made some positive moves last week but watch the May 20th date for a potential reversal. Remember the +- 2 td's.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke above the Venus price line and now sits just below the Jupiter price line (blue). The Jupiter price line is currently at 1225 and should act as resistance.



I still expect Gold to weaken very soon and be down until late June / early July. Currently this depends on a reversal up for the US$. As mentioned above watch May 20th. Mid-year or shortly thereafter should be positive for Gold

Crude
This coming week of May 18 we should be entering the 15th week of a Primary cycle which started Jan 29, 2015 and appears to have put in a nominal 6 week trough on March 18th.
Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. Since the shooting star doji on May 6th Crude has been in sideways consolidation. Price has just moved below the 15 day sma. This being the 15th week we may have seen the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. Watch for support at the 23.6% retracement around 57.50. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves.



As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (orange) gave support late in the week. If this support fails the Neptune price line (green), which has been support / resistance in the past is at the 56.40 area. If we have seen the crest on May 6th we may be moving down.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.


Saturday, May 9, 2015

Financial Astrology - May 11, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 14th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



Being the 14th week we should start to look for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle.
Statistically the days around May 15th and May 21st would be good timing for a primary cycle crest / trough.

From last weeks market letter

"... the 3 pass of this Saturn sesquisquare Uranus aspect (solid red squares). This, with the 224 cd cycle above should have a strong effect on the financial markets and world events. This is a 3 pass with May 4th as the next exact date. Both the 224 cd cycle and this aspect should point the general indices down"

And we went down Monday through Thursday with a great deal of volatility, also forecast. Friday was the jobs report which set off a reversal up that covered the weeks losses.

On the above chart watch price action around the top of the symmetrical triangle and the all time high currently at April 27th at 2125.92. The 224/225 cd cycle is still in effect as is the Saturn sesquisquare Uranus signature and I expect more of a move down. This coming Friday is OPEX, option expiry, often a volatile day.

The coming few weeks have a number of signatures that point to a pick up in war and aggressive geopolitical activity. Monday Mars moves into Gemini, a mutable air sign and there are difficult aspects in the Mars cycle chart. Tuesday, Mars is sesquisquare Pluto a signature of aggressive dominance. Mars is also in opposition to Saturn, exact on Friday May 15th, may add restraint and denial of aggressive instincts. This tension must find a release typically by an event or change in the status quo. Watch for this in the markets and general mundane events.

This coming week could be very tense. Mars and Saturn are classic war aspects where Mars aggressive energies are blocked by Saturn creating a situation of explosive frustration. Which one of the world's hot spots will be effected is difficult to forecast but don't discount the US homeland, either a terrorist threat or internal conflict. The tension should last for a few weeks.
The last few weeks we have mention Venus being "Out of Bounds" OOB starting April 17. Venus will continue to be "Out of Bounds" until early June which should bring volatility and sometimes the trend in the market, which changed near the Venus "Out of Bounds", continues until Venus comes back in bounds. That occurs on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds".

There are other transits hitting May 4th. Mercury will go OOB on May 3rd will join Venus, both being "Out of Bounds" by declination. While Venus stands for money Mercury stands for commerce and trading. This may emphasize volatility we may see in the markets over the next few weeks. Mercury comes back in bounds on May 20th.

On May 9th Mars will be conjunct the trans-Neptunian point of Admetos. From Witte's "Rules for Planetary Pictures" this can mean a sinking of the market, suppression, terror, rawness and debris. Watch for mundane or market events that would tie into the above statements. This aspect is going to exact as Mars approaches Saturn. Suppression of something seems to be in focus. Could it be suppression of the truth? This aspect gives further credence to a move down in the markets. There could be a surge up or down near the Monday opening.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.

We are still in a period of violent weather, geophysical disturbances and geomagnetic storms, the latter due to Sun spot activity.

Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 8th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Last weeks action did nothing to improve Gold's outlook. Of the upcoming transits Mars sesquisquare Pluto on May 12th has been negative for Gold although there could be a small bounce first.

Gold needs to move above the 1189.49 then 1200.86 then a new high for this 18 week cycle. If moving down, which I suspect at this point, 1171.10 could be support level. These levels are based on the retracement of the move up from March 18th to March 26th, which started this cycle.

On May 20th we hit the 2.618 time Fib based on the move down in Gold from Oct. 2012 to June 2013. Fib times often mark a move in PM's both up and down. Surprisingly Venus in opposition to Pluto on May 21st has had an inconsistent history with moves in Gold prices. All in all Gold looks like it may continue sideways consolidation or down.

It's quite possible the April 6th high is the high of this nominal 18 week cycle which would mean Gold will be headed down for quite a few weeks in an extremely left translated cycle which is quite negative.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke below the Venus price line and now sits on the Jupiter price line (blue). The Jupiter price line is currently at 1179.83 and may act as support.



As pointed out a couple of weeks ago, Gold is also in a forming Head and Shoulders pattern with currently a weaker right shoulder which may make this pattern more powerful. The green neckline shows support / resistance and it is currently around the 1147 area.



I expect Gold to weaken very soon and be down until late June / early July at the earliest. As mentioned, mid-year or shortly thereafter should be more positive for Gold. A move down from here would be very left translated and quite negative.

Crude
This coming week of May 11 we should be entering the 15th week of a Primary cycle which started Jan 29, 2015 and appears to have put in a nominal 6 week trough on March 18th.
Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. This past week we had a "Shooting Star Doji on May 6th and moved down after that. This being the 15th week we may have seen the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. Watch for support at the 23.6% retracement around 57.50. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves.



As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (orange) gave support late in the week. If this support fails the Neptune price line (green), which has been support / resistance in the past is at the 56.50 area. If we have seen the crest on May 6th we should be moving down. The drums of war mentioned above could quickly change the prospects for the price of crude.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?


The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available. 


Saturday, May 2, 2015

Financial Astrology - May 4, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 13th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



Video

From last weeks blog:

"Although there are no major Astrological exact aspects or events this week that would point to a reversal in trend. The short term trend is up. There are two minor exact aspects that could effect the short term trend as follows:

April 29th       Mars quintile Neptune

April 29th       Sun sextile Neptune.

Of more importance there is a longer term transit that is exact the week of May 4th which is already in orb, that is Saturn sesquisquare (135 degrees) Uranus. These can be looked at as two of the most powerful planets in the zodiac. This has the potential for sudden change or events in many fields over a longer period of time. Saturn represent the solid or permanent structures in our world while Uranus sudden change. This can represent actual physical changes like earthquakes, violent weather etc. It can also represent changes, or the break down in the institutions or structures in our lives. For the markets, the fact we are close to all time highs in the major indices seems to indicate a more severe move and it wouldn't be up. This signature represents a dangerous time period."

Back to this week:
So May 4th the Saturn sesquisquare Uranus is exact. In fact these slower moving planets need a broad orb of influence covering weeks and sometimes months. Nevertheless, the period around the exact date may manifest some of it's energy, which may not be pleasant. The earthquake in Nepal, social unrest and police forces that are acting like they are in a police state echo the energies of this aspect. The sesquisquare aspect which is 135 degrees, is an 8th harmonic aspect (360 / 8 = 45 degrees) and includes 45, 90, 135, 180, 225, 270, 315 degrees. 8th harmonic aspects tend to manifest in the physical world.

The last few weeks we have mention Venus being "Out of Bounds" OOB starting April 17. Venus will continue to be "Out of Bounds" until early June which should bring volatility and sometimes the trend in the market, which changed near the Venus "Out of Bounds", continues until Venus comes back in bounds. That occurs on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds".
There are other transits hitting May 4th. Mercury will go OOB on May 3rd will join Venus, both being "Out of Bounds" by declination. While Venus stands for money Mercury stands for commerce and trading. This may emphasize volatility we may see in the markets over the next few weeks. Mercury comes back in bounds on May 20th.

Other transits are the Sun in waning square to Jupiter and a Full Moon late on May 3rd. Since the Sun is in square to Jupiter, Jupiter is the apex of the T-square. This Full Moon is in the money signs, Sun in Taurus, Moon in Scorpio with both squaring Jupiter in Leo.

In mundane Astrology Jupiter rules the public faith, the court system, wealthy people and big business, banks,  prosperity, foreign countries and that which we may have too much of. Jupiter in Leo on it's face, would appear to be a very positive aspect. Expansive benevolent, optimistic Jupiter in Royal Leo. Jupiter can also indicate that which is overdone and in hard aspect in Leo can bring out the negative qualities of Leo like egotism and can indicate unwise speculation or gambling. Watch the early part of the week and specifically Monday for possible manifestation of the more negative aspects of Jupiter in Leo as the Sun squares Leo right after the Full Moon.

Remember these aspects relate to world events, not just one country although when it comes to the financial markets the US still rules....for now. I'm looking at US$ currency issues later in the year.

I'm also looking at Astrological cycle charts and the Mars and Uranus cycle chart are showing a number of aspects which could create a great amount of tension. This tension must find a release typically by an event or change in the status quo. Watch for this in the markets and general mundane events.

Keep in mind the comments made on the Solar and Lunar eclipse as well in past weeks.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.


Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 7th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Last weeks action has been negative for PM's. Since we are in the 7th week we could be putting in a low for the first nominal 6 week cycle which could be positive if we make a sharp upswing this week.  I'm looking at this as potentially negative with the Sun waxing trine to Pluto on May 6th. WE may see a move in Gold early in the week and down after the Sun Pluto trine.

It's quite possible the April 6th high is the high of this nominal 18 week cycle which would mean Gold will be headed down for quite a few weeks and quite negative.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke below the Venus price line on May 1st, a negative event. Note where Venus crosed Jupiter. Once again we had a sharp move when these two heliocentric planets cross. Watch for a potential small bounce early in the week but PM's will probably move down from here.



As pointed out last week, Gold is also in a forming Head and Shoulders pattern with currently a weaker right shoulder which may make this pattern more powerful. The green neckline shows support / resistance and it is currently around the 1147 area.



All-in all I expect Gold to weaken very soon and be down until late June / early July at the earliest. As mentioned, mid-year or shortly thereafter should be more positive for Gold.

Crude
This coming week of May 4 we should be entering the 14th week of a Primary cycle which started Jan 29, 2015 and appears to have put in a nominal 6 week trough on March 18th. There was a lot of volatility in currencies the last few weeks which has affected the price of many commodities.

Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom and has reached the 23.6% retracement of the move down from June 2014 to January 2015. This is the area I was considering buying and I'm now looking for under valued Canadian oil companies.

Overall crude looks positive here. Although we are looking at crude as bullish although there is probably too many geopolitical issues with crude to effectively trade. One questionable statement and the price of crude could rocket up or down. Now appears to be a time to buy value for longer term holds.



As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (orange) gave resistance most of last week in the $58.00 area. Crude did break above the 58.27 area which was the next Jupiter price line (orange). Crude ended the week, up, and should get support at the Jupiter price line (orange). With crude, we have to consider possible actions which could drive price up or down very quickly. If buying, it's a longer term hold.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.


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