Our posts are now reported on the highly regarded FXStreet.com.
This follows along from last week.
I was looking for a low March 8 to March 12. The low was March 8th. We are now in the bounce. I’m expecting a change in trend in the SP500 and also Gold on March 20, 21 +- 4 tds
On further review the 4 year low may have been Feb 19, 2018 or December 24, 2018 or it is still forming.
The change is due to a chart I saw some time ago. I believe this was from Bill Meridian. It shows a Mars, Vesta conjunction approximately every 3.9 years.
This does look like the Primary cycle low (18 week) on Dec 24, 2018.
Volatility should continue although probably moving down after this coming week. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.
Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. There are also large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation coupled with the above debt problems. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or 2020.
Gold From last week. “When the pullback is complete, I’m looking for Gold to move up into mid-March”. The move up into mid-March is complete. We may see another pullback then another rise in Gold/Silver over the next few weeks. Precious metals may turn on March 21 +- 2 tds. It could move up or down.
We are in week 16th week of the Primary cycle.
Crude's Crude started up on Dec 24. This should be the Primary cycle trough and we are entering the 11th week of the Primary cycle. I’m looking for a move down in Crude.
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We are currently entering the 11th week of a new Primary cycle. This is also 55 Fib along. The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles. This Primary cycle put in a Primary top on March 4th the 9 week.
The Price moving averages, the 15 day sma is just under price and above the 45 day sma which is turning up. Notice price hit resistance at the 200 day sma.
The 15 day sma is red, the 45 day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Also note price just touched the Fibonacci retracement at 78.6%. Note; the normal Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.
One can also use extended retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6 and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6
Note the recent high on Feb 25, 2019 then Mar 4, 2019. The highs were stopped at the 78.6% retracement. Watch this early in the week. Remember we are near the end of the 10 week cycle.
The recent move down to the Primary low was timing the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year) can distort the shorter term cycles (18 week). As noted above we may be seeing the 4 year cycle low later in the year although it could have been at the Dec 24 low.
September 21, 2018 seems to be the crest of the last Primary cycle and may have been the cycle high for the 4 year cycle.
The following dates may have significant moves or start of a move. The following aspects are for a reverse in trend or large range day.
March 13 Sun square Jupiter
This will highlight the Jupiter / Neptune square aspect and can be quite inflationary. There are also large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals.
March 14 Mars trine Saturn
This is a war aspect often dealing with frustration, blockages and blocked energies.
March 20 Mars trine Pluto
A powerful aspect which may involve war as well. This can manifest as destructive power or moves in the market (SP500).
Also the Sun enters Aries on March 20, the spring equinox. This is one of the powerful Cardinal points along with 0 degrees Cancer, Libra and Capricorn.
March 21 Venus square Mars
Positive for a change in trend for Gold and Silver. Looking for a move and probably up.
March 28 Mercury turns Direct.
This can cause market fluctuations, confusion, problems with agreements.
The above aspects are for the next couple of week. A list of powerful outer planets aspects follows. They will be covered in detail as we approach them.
This week we have Mercury turning retrograde on March 5th. The inferior conjunction between Mercury and the Sun occurs on March 14th and Mercury turns direct again on March 28th. Since this is the inferior conjunction it is also the heliocentric conjunction between the Sun and Mercury. There can be a change in trend at any of those dates.
This Mercury retrograde period is occurring in late Pisces, a mutable water sign. Mercury also rules communication, commerce and trading, that is buying and selling. It has a reputation for problems, both communication, contracts and wrong decisions or choices.
The Mercury retrograde period is known to be volatile. There is potential for increased volatility and problems for both the Retrograde and Direct dates.
Any aspects, like those noted above are a minimum of 3 tds (trading days). Longer term aspects will be noted separately. The following list are planet aspects. There will also be Eclipses, Fixed stars, cycle charts and other Astrological items.
Longer Term Aspects
2019 Jupiter square Neptune
2020 Jupiter conjunct Saturn
Jupiter conjunct Pluto
Saturn conjunct Pluto
2021 Jupiter squared Uranus
Saturn square Uranus
2022 Jupiter conjunct Neptune
Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but tends to overdoing things.
See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.
If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn during the next 2 weeks. Remember I’m looking for Gold and Silver to move up near March 21 +- 2tds.
The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.
The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)
The next hits are April 10, 2019 and May 24th.
The 4 Year cycle
The above chart shows the 4 year (red). The last 4 year cycle trough was Feb 2016. The next 4 year cycle should be Dec 2019 +- 10 months or it was Dec 24, 2018. See the chart above.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.
There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well. Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others.
On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.
See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses. More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.
Date Eclipse Saros Cycle Sign
Jan 6, 2019 Solar Partial 122 15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019 Total Lunar 134 00Le51
July 2, 2019 Solar Total 127 10Cn37
July 16, 2019 Partial Lunar 139 24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019 Solar Annular 132 4Cp6
The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The
Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.
It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.
In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"
So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways
The red line is the Bradley Indicator.
The move up into mid-March is complete. We may see another pullback then another rise in Gold/Silver over the next few weeks. Precious metals may turn on March 21 +- 2 tds. It could move up or down.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal 18 week length
Note the blue Fibonacci retracement grid. I’m looking to put sell stops at the 50% and 61.8% levels.
The following chart shows two daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being
Feb 22, 2019. The next is March 21, 2019.
The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Aries and changes signs into Taurus on Feb 14, 2019. Note the sharp move up.
Watch for geophysical activity around this timeframe. The next change in sign for Gold is March 29, 2019.
Oil is recovering from a strong move down. The low on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle low.
Price has broken through the 15 day sma. The 45 day sma is moving up but may have trouble breaking through the 38.2% retracement.
On Jan 13 we had Jupiter square Neptune. Both are co-rulers of Pisces which rules crude amongst other things. As mentioned, this square will be seen off and on during 2019. Among other things this square can indicate a period where things get overdone including the price of crude, spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies.
Watch the Fibonacci retracement levels for turning pints.
The Sun will aspect these two planets on
March 6 (Sun conjunct Neptune) and
March 13 (Sun square Jupiter).
Beyond affecting crude these two planets have to do with illusions and delusions.
This puts us entering week 11 of the Primary cycle.
On the next chart note how price often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.
Watch the green Sun price line and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down near the 40 day cycle.
And finally, a weekly chart of crude showing a 17 / 34 month cycle. Red vertical lines. The 17 month cycle chart is shown below. Note the Fibonacci retracement at 23.6% or 59.41.