Saturday, December 29, 2018

Financial Astrology - January 1, 2019


Our posts are now reported on the highly regarded FXStreet.com.

Summary

SP500. The Primary Cycle probably did not start on Oct.29th
Late in the week, Dec 15th, we have the following aspect. Uranus semi-squares Neptune. This long term aspect is still in orb. This can mean someone or something is checkmated. This could be a signature of a crisis or even a revolution. These are slow moving planets and need a broad orb. +- 2 weeks. Strong planets but a weak aspects.

Starting Jan 2, 2019 Mars will cross 0 degrees of declination from South to North. Mars will be more active than usual including planets that aspect Mars and I expect more violence, war like activity or threats. Watch for earthquake or volcanic activity. We must wait on this call until we see further price action.

Gold On the Gold chart we are in the 18th week if the Primary cycle started on Aug 6, 2018. If so we should watch for a pull back for the Primary cycle low.

Crude's  Has been weak and will probably see continued losses into the 1st quarter of 2019. Watch the $42.00 level.

SP500
The last Primary cycle trough started on June 28, 2018 and we had noted the Primary cycle trough on Oct. 29, 2018. Please note, this is wrong. We could and did have a secondary pull back so the Primary cycle trough is not firm yet. Currently it is at the 18 week cycle. It may have put in the cycle low on Dec 24, 2018.

The SP500 is now lower on Dec 10th and Dec 14th. We may be looking at a further move down.

The recent move down was timing the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year) can distort the smaller term cycles (18 week).

September 21 seems to be the crest of the last Primary cycle and may be the high for the
4 year cycle.

The following dates may have significant moves or start of a move. The following aspects are for a reverse in trend or large range day. Volatile week.

Dec 15            Uranus semi-square Neptune
                        Crisis, revolution, suddenly incapacitated. Still in orb.

Jan 2               Mars crosses 0 degree of declination from South to North.
                        Mars energy will be stronger and so will planets aspecting Mars.

Jan 2               Sun conjunct Saturn
                        Physical difficulties. Misunderstanding

Jan 5               Solar Eclipse.
                        See the eclipse section of this report

Jan 6               Uranus Direct
                        Has a history of Primary cycle change.

Jan 13             Jupiter square Neptune
                        Vulnerable to deception and fraud.
                        On the other hand. Lucky mood, shortage of money
                        Credits and downgrades`

January 2019 may not be too comfortable.

Dates are a minimum +- 7 tds unless otherwise noted. On longer timed aspects a time frame will be included.



Price is now below the 15 sma and the 45 sma. Both are heading lower. Not positive.

From last week, Gaps have been filled

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.



The next hits are Jan. 2, 2019 and Feb 20, 2019. The latter number is on the Uranus price line. Watch closely.

The 9 month cycle



The above chart shows the 9 month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It is due on early February 2019. +- 10 td.s. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines).

The next 40 week cycle is early February 2019.

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”

From late December through the first Eclipse in Jan 6, 2019 watch for geophysical event.

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. There was a significant earthquake in Alaska 3 weeks ago. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well. Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others…..

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.



We are entering the difficult time mentioned over the last few months.

The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.

4 Year
Other longer-term aspects like the 4 year cycle are coming due. The SP500 4 year cycle should be due in mid to late 2019. The last 4 year cycle trough was Feb 8, 2016

The Primary cycle top on Sept 21, 2018 at 2490.91 may have been the top for the 4 year cycle. This is not confirmed.

Other

Another very long term cycle, the 90 year, is potentially around 2022 +- a lot. More time is needed to confirm this cycle. The ½ cycle to the 90, the 45 year ties into the 90 and is due in the same time frame.

2019 Eclipses

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

Jan 6, 2019     Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019   Total Lunar                              134                              00Le51
July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37
July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019  Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

I will use this list and include details on the current eclipse. The first one is Jan 6, 2019, Saros cycle 122.

Each eclipse is a member of a Saros cycle. I will go into details later.

Basically, the Saros cycle shows an 18 year cycle which repeats backwards in time. These are not exact but highlight the same themes. We are looking for similar themes.

For Saros cycle 122 that means the following years will have similar themes. The third previous cycle is 18 * 3 = 54, which is 1964/1965. The exact eclipse date is Dec 4, 1964. The third eclipse in a Saros cycle will shadow the same area on Earth.

I am concentrating on the 54th year which is 1964 / 1965.

2001
            Some of the themes in 2001 are:
  • Ariel Sharon wins election in Israel (Feb. 6). Right-wing leader chosen overwhelmingly as nation's fifth prime minister in just over five years during worst Israeli-Palestinian violence in years. Background: Middle East.
  • The long-simmering resentment of Macedonia's ethnic Albanians erupts into violence in March. The rebels seek greater autonomy within Macedonia. After six months of fighting, a peace agreement is signed (Aug. 13). British-led NATO forces enter the country and disarm the guerrillas. Background: Macedonia and the Balkans.
  • U.S. spy plane and Chinese jet collide (April 2); Sino-American relations deteriorate during a standoff. The 24 crew members of the U.S. plane were detained for 11 days and released after the U.S. issued a formal statement of regret.
  • Former Yugoslav president Slobodan Milosevic is delivered to UN tribunal in The Hague to await war-crime trial (June 29).
  • Without U.S., 178 nations reach agreement on climate accord, which rescues, though dilutes, 1997 Kyoto Protocol (July 23).
  • In response to Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, U.S. and British forces launch bombing campaign on Taliban government and al-Qaeda terrorist camps in Afghanistan (Oct. 7). Bombings continue on a daily basis. Background: Afghanistan.
  • Irish Republican Army announces that it has begun to dismantle its weapons arsenal, marking a dramatic leap forward in Northern Ireland peace process (Oct. 23). Background: Northern Ireland Primer.
  • At a UN-sponsored summit in Bonn, Germany, Afghani factions meet to create a post-Taliban government (Nov. 27). Hamid Karzai is selected as head of the transitional government (Dec. 5). Background: Who's Who in Afghanistan.
  • Taliban regime in Afghanistan collapses after two months of bombing by American warplanes and fighting by Northern Alliance ground troops (Dec. 9).
  • Israel condemns the Palestinian Authority as a "terror-supporting entity" and severs ties with leader Yasir Arafat following mounting violence against Israelis (Dec. 3). The Israeli Army beOklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeighexecuted (June 11).
  • gins bombing Palestinian areas. Background: Middle East.
  • Terrorists attack United States. Hijackers ram jetliners into twin towers of New York City's World Trade Center and the Pentagon. A fourth hijacked plane crashes 80 mi outside of Pittsburgh (Sept. 11). Toll of dead and injured in thousands. Within days, Islamic militant Osama bin Laden and the al-Qaeda terrorist network are identified as the parties behind the attacks.
  • Anthrax scare rivets nation, as anthrax-laced letters are sent to various media and government officials. Several postal workers die after handling the letters (throughout October).
1983
            Some of the themes in 1983 are:
1965

Some of the themes in 1964/1965 are:
-          The Civil Rights Act of 1964
-          The first US combat troops arrive in Vietnam
-          Brezhnev becomes the 1st secretary of the Communist Party
-          China detonates it’s first Atomic bomb.
-          Malcom X shot to death. Riots
-          France withdraws its Atlantic fleet from NATO.
-          There are others but this should get the idea across.

Look for the same themes in 2019. Here is the chart



The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.





Gold

Gold is 91 td (trading days) or 18 weeks away from the Primary cycle bottom on Aug 16, 2018. This could be near the end of the 3nd 6 week cycle. The Primary cycle is approx. 18 weeks long and we are at the18th week. We should see a Primary cycle trough late in December or early January 2019.

We may have seen a low on Aug 16th but it must be confirmed. This was 4 trading days after the Lunar Eclipse on Aug 11. The next Solar eclipse is Jan 5, 2019.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal 18 week length.

I’m looking for a crest in Gold probably during December but Gold could go further up.

Seasonally Gold is usually flat over the early summer months.


Price is now  above the 15 sma and the 45 day sma. Both have turned up and looking positive.



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares are the aspects duplicate the transits noted above.  



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being Dec 3, 2018. The next is Dec 31st 2018. Note that price is moving up in the Mars price line (red).

The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.

The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury exits heliocentric Sagittarius.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign.(red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is moving into Aries on Dec 31. This is just about 18 weeks so we may see a Primary cycle trough close to this date.



Crude

Oil  put in a top on Oct. 3rd. I’m looking at some longer term cycles and technicals to get a handle on future direction.

Price is now down to the low on June 21, 2017 . This can be very telling for crude. Watch this for a possible bear market starting in crude.

June 18 was the date Neptune turned Retrograde and has been moving backwards until November 24th when Neptune turns Direct.

There have been a number of aspects involving Jupiter and Neptune. Both are co-rulers of crude. Coming up there are Jupiter squared Neptune on Jan 6, 2019. June 14 Jupiter will parallel Pluto. I’m looking for a change in direction near to January 14, 2019

My understanding is the Saudis want to raise prices and the US is expanding it’s shale output, hoping to keep prices lower.



This puts us at week 2.

On the next chart note how price often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days.  The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.

Watch the green Sun price line and see if crude follows that price line up.



And finally, a weekly chart of crude showing a 17 / 34 month cycle. Red vertical lines. The 17 month cycle chart is shown below.










Friday, December 21, 2018

Financial Astrology - December 24, 2019


This will be a short post and the last post for this year. We will start up again in the first week of January 2019. I will cover the Mars move from South to North declination and the upcoming Eclipses for 2019. In addition the Bradley cycle and some dates.

Mars Cycle Charts

The first week and a ½ of 2019 may be very unusual. Mars will cross over the 0 degree declination from South to North. The exact date is Jan 2nd but this needs a wider orb.

In addition Mars will be trining Vulcanus. The latter is a Uranian point. Watch out for strife, turmoil and aggression. This could also be  martial activity, geophysical or geopolitical activity. Watch out in the first couple of weeks of the new year. This could be troublesome.

The bottom of the following chart shows Mars crossing 0 degrees of declination from South to North.




2019 Eclipses

Date                Eclipse                                    Saros Cycle                Sign

Jan 6, 2019      Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019    Total Lunar                             134                              00Le51
July 2, 2019    Solar Total                              127                              10Cn37
July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019   Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

I will use this list and include details on the current eclipse. The first one is Jan 6, 2019, Saros cycle 122.

Each eclipse is a member of a Saros cycle. I will go into details later.

Basically, the Saros cycle shows an 18 year cycle which repeats backwards in time. These are not exact but highlight the same themes. We are looking for similar themes.

For Saros cycle 122 that means the following years will have similar themes. The third previous cycle is 18 * 3 = 54, which is 1964/1965. The exact eclipse date is Dec 4, 1964. The third eclipse in a Saros cycle will shadow the same area on Earth.

I am concentrating on the 54th year which is 1964 / 1965.

2001
            Some of the themes in 2001 are:
  • Ariel Sharon wins election in Israel (Feb. 6). Right-wing leader chosen overwhelmingly as nation's fifth prime minister in just over five years during worst Israeli-Palestinian violence in years. Background: Middle East.
  • The long-simmering resentment of Macedonia's ethnic Albanians erupts into violence in March. The rebels seek greater autonomy within Macedonia. After six months of fighting, a peace agreement is signed (Aug. 13). British-led NATO forces enter the country and disarm the guerrillas. Background: Macedonia and the Balkans.
  • U.S. spy plane and Chinese jet collide (April 2); Sino-American relations deteriorate during a standoff. The 24 crew members of the U.S. plane were detained for 11 days and released after the U.S. issued a formal statement of regret.
  • Former Yugoslav president Slobodan Milosevic is delivered to UN tribunal in The Hague to await war-crime trial (June 29).
  • Without U.S., 178 nations reach agreement on climate accord, which rescues, though dilutes, 1997 Kyoto Protocol (July 23).
  • In response to Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, U.S. and British forces launch bombing campaign on Taliban government and al-Qaeda terrorist camps in Afghanistan (Oct. 7). Bombings continue on a daily basis. Background: Afghanistan.
  • Irish Republican Army announces that it has begun to dismantle its weapons arsenal, marking a dramatic leap forward in Northern Ireland peace process (Oct. 23). Background: Northern Ireland Primer.
  • At a UN-sponsored summit in Bonn, Germany, Afghani factions meet to create a post-Taliban government (Nov. 27). Hamid Karzai is selected as head of the transitional government (Dec. 5). Background: Who's Who in Afghanistan.
  • Taliban regime in Afghanistan collapses after two months of bombing by American warplanes and fighting by Northern Alliance ground troops (Dec. 9).
  • Israel condemns the Palestinian Authority as a "terror-supporting entity" and severs ties with leader Yasir Arafat following mounting violence against Israelis (Dec. 3). The Israeli Army beOklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeighexecuted (June 11).
  • gins bombing Palestinian areas. Background: Middle East.
  • Terrorists attack United States. Hijackers ram jetliners into twin towers of New York City's World Trade Center and the Pentagon. A fourth hijacked plane crashes 80 mi outside of Pittsburgh (Sept. 11). Toll of dead and injured in thousands. Within days, Islamic militant Osama bin Laden and the al-Qaeda terrorist network are identified as the parties behind the attacks.
  • Anthrax scare rivets nation, as anthrax-laced letters are sent to various media and government officials. Several postal workers die after handling the letters (throughout October).
1983
            Some of the themes in 1983 are:
1964 / 1965

Some of the themes in 1964/1965 are:
-          The Civil Rights Act of 1964
-          The first US combat troops arrive in Vietnam
-          Brezhnev becomes the 1st secretary of the Communist Party
-          China detonates it’s first Atomic bomb.
-          Malcom X shot to death. Riots
-          France withdraws its Atlantic fleet from NATO.
-          There are others but this should get the idea across.

Look for the same themes in 2019. Here is the chart



The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.




And a chart for today, Dec 21, 2018. We await a reversal. The first couple of weeks in 2019 could be difficult. I’m holding Gold.