Sunday, February 24, 2013

Financial Astrology - Feb 25, 2013

The following daily chart of the SP500 finally shows a turn which should be the crest of the current Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) with a range 15-23 weeks. We are currently at the 15th week. Note the Fibonacci extension at 1533.13 and 127.2. 127.2 is the square root of 1.618.

If not the crest of the Primary cycle it should at least be the crest of the Major cycle (nominal 6 week).  This is getting late in the Primary cycle but continued FED manipulation is distorting the market. We are now in the Mercury retrograde period until March 17th so normal cycle lengths and support / resistance areas can become distorted. I’m watching the banks and the Nasdaq to get a sense of short term direction. Of course we have sequestration which could have a short term effect on the markets.

If this Primary cycle were to last it’s average length of 18 weeks we would get to the weeks of March 18 and 25th. This timeframe has some powerful Astros that could indicate a Primary cycle trough as follows;

March 17         Mercury direct
March 19         North Node opposes the position of the May 9, 2013 Solar eclipse
March 22, 26   Mars translates the Uranus / Pluto square by Mars conjuncting Uranus on the 22th and squaring Pluto on March 26th
March 28,31    The Sun translates the Uranus / Pluto square by the Sun conjuncting Uranus and Venus on the 28th and squaring Pluto on March 31. Venus translates the same square on the same dates.

The last two weeks of March 2013 look like troubled times for many markets, with the translation of the Uranus / Pluto square, discussed in a number of previous posts.

Mars is also quite active in this time period and into April.

Looking at the attached daily chart Gold has to get back into the channel and quickly. Gold is 16 weeks along in it’s Primary cycle. The Sun is currently in Pisces and tomorrow the Moon will be in Virgo and a Full Moon in the late afternoon. This has a history of short sharp moves in precious metals. The move however could be up or down. Due to it’s recent down move out of the downward channel this looks likes it is setting up for a rebound, possibly 2.5% to 4%. I’ll be watching this one closely as it may be a very quick trade. 

Normally in a down trending market we would sell the rallies. Tomorrow or Tuesday would be the exception.

Crude is 16 weeks along in it’s Primary cycle and turned down just a little later than the Jan 1, 2013 post indicated. See the following weekly chart for crude.

I'm looking for a more meaningful decline as long as a very active Mars doesn't stir up more aggression.

Sunday, February 17, 2013

Financial Astrology February 18 2013

Continuing to look for any Astros which could signal a market reversal. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle). This cycle has an average range of from 15-23 weeks. As can be seen markets have shot up since mid-November. Let's not forget the FED is producing new money at approx. 80 billion per month. Also remember the market is a reflection of what investors think the future will be. Is everyone confident the unemployment rate will improve by the third quarter? What about GDP, CPI or any government calculated indicator? I don't. I also had the interesting experience of spending some time in Brazil in the mid 1980's when inflation was 15% per month. The price of everything goes up, but everyone gets poorer.

Next week has Saturn turning retrograde on Feb 18 and the Sun conjunct Neptune on Feb 21.

Saturn retrograde often correlates to crests in the US stock market. The Sun conjunct Neptune also correlates to crests in the US stock market.

There are also some longer term cycles hitting over the next couple of weeks. They are pointing to a top as well.

The Primary cycle is 14 weeks along and due for a crest. Following is a daily chart of the SP500.

Gold and Silver have turned down. The question is, is this the 11.33 month, 17 month or 4.25 year cycle trough forming. At this point I suspect it is the 17 month but more price action is required to make a judgement.

Saturn retro and Gold - In many cases, the retrograde date correlates with an end of a short, sharp price direction., often being the end of a trough in which short, sharp rises follows

Sun conjunct Neptune and Gold - Prominent cycles in gold prices tend to occur within 2 days of the Sun conjunct Neptune

Crude's daily trend is still up but signs of a turn and weakness are starting to show up.

Gold, Silver and Crude were first mentioned on our Jan 1st 2013 post.

“The ultimate test of all formulae must lie in prediction”

-- Dr. D Justin Schove

Monday, February 11, 2013

Financial Astrology Feb 11, 2013

Very difficult working with cycles when the central banks of the world of pumping in so much money and devaluing their currencies. Nevertheless cycles may be delayed or advanced but can't be stopped.

Currently I'm looking for any Astros which could signal a market reversal. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle). This cycle has an average range of from 15-23 weeks. PB means Primary bottom and PT, you guessed it, Primary top. Many cycles break down into 2 or 3 sub cycles.

In the following chart we can see the nominal 6 week cycle, also known as the Major cycle has a range of 5-7 weeks.

We should be seeing a turn soon, either the top of the Major cycle or the top of the primary cycle.

This week there are two possible Astro turn signals.

Feb 12 Mars conjunct Chiron - usually short term turns
Feb 13 Moon conjunct Uranus - short term but sharp turns.

There are two Astros the following week with a history of being near Primary cycle turns. They are:

Feb 18 Saturn retrograde (markets closed)
Feb 21 Sun conjunct Neptune

As usual give any dates +- 3 tds

Of course the market may move most based on the tone of the mighty POTUS's speech tomorrow night. I see some environmental companies have already moved up.

Review the January 1, 2013 post. Both Gold and Crude may be turning down as forecast. They are both in their 14th week of their Primary cycle.

Saturday, February 9, 2013

Financial Astrology Feb 10, 2013

In follow up to some previous posts tomorrow, Feb 10th, the New Moon will square the position of the Solar Eclipse on Nov 13, 2012. The mid November 2012 time frame was a turn in many markets.

The New Moon is also in a close square to the transiting North Node which is almost conjunct the last Nov 13 eclipse.

Transits aspecting eclipse points can be powerful and often times result in a change in trend in many markets.

Unfortunately North Node aspects can occur with earthquakes, something the Solomon Islands inhabitants are very familiar with after this week.

For interest sake the following is path of the Nov 13, 2012 Solar eclipse.

And the following map showing the same eclipse path and the planetary positions for the Feb 10, 2013 New Moon. There have been a series of earthquakes in the Solomon Island and South Pacific over the last week.

And the next chart shows the November 13, 2012 Solar eclipse and the coming May 10, 2013 Solar eclipse path. This should increase the potential for more severe earthquakes in the area.

Sunday, February 3, 2013

The Next Bubble

It's often useful to look at the longer term picture. The following weekly chart of the SP500 shows the previous two peaks in 2000 and 2007 and what is coming up.

The red squares show Jupiter square Uranus and the red double arrow shows the Jupiter Pluto opposition. These show up prominently at the noted tops. The next Jupiter Uranus square is a three pass and is active between August 2013 and April 2014. These 3 planets are in a T-square. On August 26, 2013 Venus will oppose Uranus and make this a powerful (not that it isn't powerful enough) cardinal grand square. This would appear to be good timing for a top but more work needs to be done on market cycles in this time frame and other Astrological signatures. For example there is a grand trine in the previous month which is still in orb. The grand trine is between Jupiter Saturn and Neptune, all in emotional water signs.

Nevertheless a longer term chart like this shows the potential based on recent history. These are based on geocentric positions.