Saturday, August 30, 2014

Financial Astrology - Sept. 1, 2014


SP500
We are entering the 4th week of the Primary cycle which started on Aug 7th. We often get a more minor pullback 2-3 weeks into a Primary cycle (trading cycle) but it has not appeared at this point. The SP500 basically went sideways last week.

 SP500

 DJIA



The next period to watch is for the first Major cycle (nominal 6 weeks or 5-7 weeks) of the new Primary cycle.  This would mean a low in the weeks starting Sept 8 through Sept 22. This coincides with the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle which the subscribers have had for some time. This needs a range of +-1-2 weeks.



Look at that cycle closely and note some have been at highs. This is an example of inversion when a cycle ends time wise but ends at a high instead of an expected low.

As noted in a previous post the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle is equal to the orbit of the planet Venus. See the last letter for more details.

I bring this up now as the Trading cycle has been absent so far and the general market indices very bullish. This can mean we are looking at pattern 2, that is 2, 1/2 Primary cycles.

The fact that many analysts are calling the markets manipulated we must still work with what we are given.

The hard war aspects between Mars and Saturn have just passed but I would expect the fog of war to continue for some time. The Mars Saturn aspects in August will be replaced by a building stress between Pluto and Uranus that are an exact waxing square on Dec 15. This is a very long term aspects and I give it +- 1 month in orb. Descriptions for the Uranus / Pluto square were given last week.

The month of September has two very powerful aspects.

Late in the month there is Jupiter in waxing square to Uranus. This has a history of being the strongest aspect when it comes to trend changes in major US indexes.  This needs an orb of +- 2 weeks. Jupiter square Uranus can stand for good fortune, the desire for knowledge and a love of freedom. It can also stand for a tendency to miss the best chances or oppourtunities and getting involved with arguments specifically on questions of life-philosophy / religion. Oh Oh.

Late in August the Sun opposed Neptune, another very powerful aspect which needs +- 2 weeks, to affect the US indexes. It also has a history of showing up at changes in trend in precious metals. The Sun in opposition to Neptune can equate to weakness, sensitivity and people easily influenced by others and at times, a negative attitude towards like. Illusion and delusion may play a role.

Earlier in the month we have Jupiter quincunx Pluto, also a long term aspect and is more potent than usual as it is close to Pluto turning direct. Earlier in the month there is also another perigee Full Moon. I expect more violent weather, floods and an uptick in more powerful earthquakes and volcanic activity. Jupiter quincunx Pluto can stand for difficulties while striving for power.It can stand for the pursuit of fanatical aims and desires and can stand for the loss of social standing and loss of wealth.

The week of Aug Sept 22 has a number of Astrological aspects pointing to issues with the US$. Subscribers have the dates. Not the least of these is Pluto at 10 degrees 59 minutes in Capricorn. This is conjunct the heliocentric Jupiter nodes and is a powerful point in the Zodiac.

In summary we may see a Major cycle low in the weeks of Sept 15 and Sept 22. If we don't see a low in that time frame look to the week of Oct 6th where we may get a 1/2 Primary cycle low. This is the start of eclipse season with a powerful Lunar eclipse on Oct 8 and a partial Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd.

Following is a daily chart of the DJIA and recent lunar and solar eclipses. The blue squares are the Lunar eclipses and the red squares are the Solar eclipses. Notice that they are often near turns, not always, but enough to trade. I'll go into more detail on the upcoming eclipses in future posts.



Gold
Gold is in the 13th week of it's Primary cycle  It is close to 1280, the number I was looking at for support. We did peak below but not on strong volume.

Geocentric Mars is in the tail of Scorpio and moves to Sagittarius on Sept 13th.
Heliocentric Mercury transits through Sagittarius starting Sept 5th. This has a history of strong moves in PM's both up and down.

If it's going to move it had better start very soon. It did get support at the bottom of the symmetrical triangle (see blue lines on the following daily Gold chart). Will it test this area again or go up from here? Watch Gold closely. We may get an initial strong move close to Sept 5th which possibly fails.


Silver is in the 14th week of it's Primary cycle. If Gold does not look positive, Silver looks worse. We may be near a 1/2 Primary cycle so like Gold, watch Silver closely next week.


Crude
We are in the 18th week of the Primary cycle in crude. The current cycle appears to be very left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. A stronger US$ is not good for crude, at least WTIC.

We may have just seen the Primary cycle low.. We may now see a rebound into 96.80-97.30


On a longer term basis, Crude could drop from 105 - 85.00/CL in the 4th quarter of 2014

Other items, More specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.

Saturday, August 23, 2014

Financial Astrology - August 24, 2014


SP500
We are entering the 3rd week of the Primary cycle which started on Aug 7th. We often get a more minor pullback 2-3 weeks into a Primary cycle (trading cycle) so watch for that this week. The DJIA is also in week 3 of it's Primary cycle.
 SP500


DJIA 


For the SP500, a move down to the 1959/ESU area would mark the trading cycle mentioned above, while a break below 1938/ESU would signal the start of a more significant move down.

The next period to watch is for the first Major cycle (6 weeks or 5-7 weeks) of the new Primary cycle.  This would mean a low in the weeks starting Sept 8 through Sept 22. This coincides with the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle which the subscribers have had for some time. This needs a range of +-1 to 2 weeks.



Look at that cycle closely and note some have been at highs. This is an example of inversion when a cycle ends time wise but ends at a high instead of an expected low.

As noted in a previous post the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle is equal to the orbit of the planet Venus.

Also 365 earth days * .618 = 225 and
The square root of 5 = 2.236
slide the decimal 2 positions = 224
and 1.618 * 1.382 = 2.236
slide the decimal 2 positions = 224

There are many Fibonacci relationships when looking at time, both in calendar days (cd) and trading days (td).

This week continues with more hard transits including Mars conjunct Saturn in Scorpio on Monday August 25th.

From last weeks subscriber letter.

" The following Monday, Aug 25th, has Mars conjunct Saturn in Scorpio. As has been stated this is a war aspect. Mars is the co-ruler of Scorpio along with Pluto. I've also mentioned Saturn transiting through Scorpio has a history of epidemics."

In addition, Aug 25th is also 1,998 cd's (calendar days) from the March 6, 2009 low on the SP500 which was 666. 1998 = 666 * 3. Watch this date.

The Mars, Saturn conjunction has been building for some time. After the conjunction it will slowly start to fade with Mars leaving Scorpio into Sagittarius on Sept 13th. Unfortunately it will soon be replaced with the Uranus / Pluto waxing square which will be exact in December. This is the square that has been affecting the world since June 2012. Due to retrograde motion it will be exact 7 times between June 2012 and March 2015.

Following is a daily chart of the DJIA showing Uranus Pluto square (red squares).



From the June 9, 2012 bog post. Yes that's a 2012 blog post.

"Long term transits like this really colour the background of history for a number of years. Every once in awhile they become front page news. This will typically happen around the above exact dates and also when other planets or sensitive points pass over Uranus or Pluto in this case."

" This aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems with debt. Look at Greece and the Eurozone. The current problems will be around for a few years. The debt issue will have major negative consequences for all financial markets.

Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence directed at banks and governments. Tax revolts fit in as well. Look for governments everywhere to take steps to protect themselves from their own people. Although Uranus is about sudden change and surprises, Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. It is ruthless in it’s force to change the status quo."

This is the square that occurs after the two planets were in conjunction. Uranus and Pluto were conjunct in the mid 1960's. That period had social unrest. Uranus in Aries is about freedom while Pluto is about the status quo although Pluto does represent long term change and change that can't be undone.

On the positive side this should be a time of advancement in technology and possibly alternative energy sources. Much may go on in this area which may not become public knowledge until after the square is complete. Thinking back to the mid-1960’s the internet was being worked and so were mini computers with the same technology that would be used for the personal computer. All of these did not become used on a broad scale until years later.

From last weeks market letter.

"So we have wars, epidemics and starvation we're missing geophysical disruption (earthquakes and volcanoes). The latter may wait until the 2nd half of September or the yearly Eclipse season in October."

As suspected volcanic eruptions started in Iceland this week.

There will probably be other geophysical events starting anytime with an emphasis around the Eclipse dates and when the Uranus, Pluto square become more exact. Other dates of interest would be near Sept 22 and Dec 21.

SP500 Summary
The exact Mars Saturn conjunction on Aug 25th is a war aspect. That is not to say war is starting, it's already here in a number of hot spots.

Aug 25th is also 1,998 cd's (calendar days) from the March 6, 2009 low on the SP500 which was 666. 1998 = 666 * 3. Watch this date.

Aug 25th also has an apogee New Moon. We often have violent weather with this aspect including flooding.

This week Venus (agreements) will transit over Mars and Saturn during the week of Aug 25th ending with a Sun opposition to Neptune.

Venus can represent agreements in mundane Astrology. Venus squaring Mars and Saturn in Scorpio (secrets) could mean the agreements are short lived and we fall back into a state of disappointment. On Aug 29 the Sun is in opposition to Neptune (illusion and delusion) and is quintile (72 degrees) Saturn.  Could a secret be exposed?

Someone may not follow through on the commitments they have made. The same day the Sun will be quintile Saturn. Sun / Neptune aspects are often found near changes in trend for Gold and longer term trend changes in stock indices.

Watch this closely near the end of August. This could involve world leaders and looking at all the transits from Aug 18th to the end of the month this could be showing a secret scandal that is exposed. There's a lot of phone tapping going on. Perhaps something get's to a news source that is willing to report it. Let's remember Mars and Saturn are transiting Scorpio. Among other things like debt, taxes, death etc. Scorpio rules other peoples money, be it the stock market, insurance or pension funds or other peoples debt's since money is debt.

From a market letter a few weeks ago.
"This would also cover regime changes or changes in borders."

Note what has happened in Iraq with Maliki stepping down and ISIS stating they will create a new caliphate.

Watch for secrets which are exposed or problems with other's peoples money. Hopefully not mine? :)

Gold
Gold is in the 12th week of it's Primary cycle and may be sinking fast. It is close to 1280, the number I was looking at for support. We did go below 1280 but not on strong volume.

We've been waiting for a move up in Gold mainly based on Mars transit through Scorpio. The recent price activity is not positive for the increase we have been expecting. Mars will be existing Scorpio on Sept 13th. Gold needs to break through 1316 for any sign it is advancing from here.

Gold is currently in a symmetrical triangle. Watch for support here. The Sun opposition Neptune on Friday, August 29th is often a trend reversal in precious metals.




Silver is in the 13th week of it's Primary cycle. If Gold does not look positive, Silver looks worse. We may be near a 1/2 Primary cycle so like Gold, watch Silver closely next week.



Crude
We are in the 17th week of the Primary cycle in crude. The current cycle appears to be very left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. A stronger US$ is not good for crude, at least WTIC.

All these problems are occurring around the dates we sent to subscribers a few weeks ago. The dates concerned crude, countries producing crude, agreements between these countries including crude production and changes in head's of state of crude producing countries.

Previously I've mentioned the issue with the US$ and international trade being largely conducted in US$ for many decades. There may be problems with the US$ in September. I've be supplied subscribers with the dates.

Timing wise I'm looking for a bounce in price for WTIC, then down into the Primary cycle low witch could be as early as the first week in September.



Other items, More specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Special Update for Aug 22, 2014

For Aug 22, 2014
In addition to the history of Jupiter at 8 degrees, 46 minues of Leo which has been in the subscribers letter for a number of weeks tomorrow also has'

Jupiter on the fixed star ASELLUS AUSTRAL

This has a history of: Legal and ecclesiastical troubles, hypocrisy, dishonesty, false friends,  imprisonment. 

This could be in effect a few days either side of Aug 22nd.


Sunday, August 17, 2014

Subscriber Letter Correction

A correction for subscribers who received the August 17th market letter.

Page 7 referred to "Aug 25th is also an apogee Full Moon."

This should have been  "Aug 25th is also an apogee New Moon."

Thanks to a subscriber who caught it.


Saturday, August 16, 2014

Financial Astrology - August 17, 2014


As usual read the blog post first.

SP500
The Primary cycle appears to have troughed out on Aug 7th so we are entering the 2nd week of a new Primary cycle. This should be bullish for the stock market. We often get a more minor pullback 2 weeks into a Primary cycle (trading cycle) so watch for that this week or next. I'm thinking Aug 22, 25th.

SP500 Primary cycle

A shorter version of the above.



 The DJIA is also in week 2 of it's Primary cycle.




The SP500 need to break below 1938/NSU to signal the start of a move down.

The next period to watch is for the first Major cycle (6 weeks or 5-7 weeks) of the new Primary cycle.  This would mean a low in the weeks starting Sept 8 through Sept 22. This coincides with the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle which the subscribers have had for some time. The 224 cd cycle should trough out around Sept 17 +- 1 week.



This week we get the Venus Jupiter conjunction. Astrologers may think this is very positive (these two planets are the lesser and greater benefics) but in fact they do not have a strong history or correlation with the stock market trends. They may have an uplifting effect on the general population but this will probably end quickly.

Over the next two weeks there are a number of Astrological aspects which affect Jupiter and Neptune. These are both co-rulers for crude. There are a number of potentially significant dates for crude and the mid-East which were given to subscribers a few weeks ago. Neptune in particular is the planet of spirituality. It is also the planet of illusion, delusion and deceit. Watch for agreements that come to light where one party either does not fulfill their part of the agreement or an outright lie. There could be feelings of betrayal and disappointment. There is already much information that is coming out of the Ukraine conflict that is not backed up with relevant facts (video, or credible on the ground reporting). There should be more of this into the end of the month.

President Obama may get caught up in this but I'm not sure if he is the perpetrator or the victim. Watch for this over the next two weeks.

The other key aspects over the next couple of weeks is the Mars in exact conjunction to Saturn on Aug 25th which is also an apogee New Moon. As mentioned previously this is an aspect of both war and with Saturn in Scorpio, a signature for epidemics.

Venus (agreements) will then transit these two planets during the week of Aug 25th ending with a Sun opposition to Neptune. Someone may not follow through on the commitments they have made. The same day the Sun will be quintile Saturn. Sun / Neptune aspects are often found near changes in trend for Gold and longer term trend changes in stock indices.


SP500 Summary
The Mars Saturn conjunction on Aug 25th is a war aspect. That is not to say war is starting, it's already here in a number of hot spots.

Aug 25th is also 1,998 cd's (calendar days) from the March 6, 2009 low on the SP500 which was 666. 1998 = 666 * 3. Watch this date.

With multiple aspects to Jupiter and Neptune I would expect something to do with crude. This should tie in with the dates given to subscribers a few weeks ago.

From a market letter a few weeks ago.
"This would also cover regime changes or changes in borders."

Note what has happened in Iraq with Maliki stepping down and ISIS stating they will create a new caliphate.

The next few weeks should result in more war like actions with an increase in "the fog of war". It will be difficult to get at the truth.

Gold
Gold is in the 11th week of it's Primary cycle and may have just put in a trough for the first Major cycle (6 week, with a range of 5-7 weeks) of the Primary on July 31. That being the case this would put the next Major cycle low in the weeks of Sept. 1 through Sept 15th.

We've been waiting for a move up in Gold mainly based on Mars transit through Scorpio. The recent price activity is not positive for the increase we have been expecting. Mars will be existing Scorpio on Sept 13th. Gold needs to break through 1316 for any sign it is advancing from here.

From last weeks blog.
" Any move below $1280,on strong volume and I will be out."

What we need to see is Gold taking out the high on July 10th then the high on March 17th (i.e. previous highs). Watch price action closely next week.




Silver is in the 12th week of it's Primary cycle. If Gold does not look positive, Silver looks worse. We may be near a 1/2 Primary cycle so like Gold, watch Silver closely next week.



Crude
We are in the 16th week of the Primary cycle in crude. The current cycle appears to be very left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. A stronger US$ is not good for crude, at least WTIC.

All these problems are occurring around the dates we sent to subscribers a few weeks ago. The dates concerned crude, countries producing crude, agreements between these countries including crude production and changes in head's of state of crude producing countries.

Previously I've mentioned the issue with the US$ and international trade being largely conducted in US$ for many decades. There may be problems with the US$ in September. I'll be supplying subscribers with the dates.

Timing wise I'm looking for a bounce in price for WTIC, then down into the Primary cycle low which could be as early as the first week in September.



Other items, More specifics on the SP500, Gold and Crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.


Saturday, August 9, 2014

Financial Astrology - August 10, 2014



From an Astrological perspective the biggest thing going on this weekend is the perigee Full Moon or "Super Moon" -- Richard Nolle.

Before we go into the above, first some comments on the Primary cycle.

SP500
I have been trying to determine the Primary cycle count for a couple of weeks. With the big moves down last week I'm looking at last week being the Primary cycle troughs in both the Dow and SP500.  These were both late or extended. I now have the Dow at 26 weeks and possibly a Primary cycle low on Aug 7th. Similarly the SP500 may have put in a Primary low on Aug 7th which was 25 weeks along. The average length is 18 weeks with an average range of 15-23 weeks for the SP500 and 13-21 weeks for the Dow.

If 8/7/2014 ends up being the Primary cycle troughs then they were both late. There are a couple of positive Astrological aspects coming up, however, there are two very nasty one's as well and September may not be positive for the US$.

The charts follow.

Dow



SP500



We must watch these indices closely. If the markets are still bullish we should be going up aggressively for a few weeks after a Primary cycle low. It's too early to tell.

Although Friday 8/8/2014 was a very positive day for both indices it was based on inaccurate reporting of a Russian pull back and there was large volume selling right at the close.

August 10th Super Moon.
From last weeks blog.

"That weekend there is another perigee Full Moon on Aug 10th (or Super Moon). Saturn is in a T-Square configuration to this Super Moon. Watched out for major accidents, violent weather and geophysical events.

The above are stressing Saturn which is in the sign of Scorpio. Both Saturn and Pluto transiting Scorpio have a history of epidemics and general health concerns. Currently there is an Ebola outbreak in Africa and a possible bubonic plague occurrence in China. With Saturn in Scorpio and Mars catching up to Saturn with a conjunction on Aug 25th, I would expect these epidemic outbreaks to worsen in the month of August."

Like all Full Moons this is an opposition between the Sun and the Moon. A perigee Full Moon (Super Moon) means the Moon is very close to the closets point to earth for this transit. This puts extra gravitational forces at work. It can be seen in increased tidal strength and has a history of increased earthquake activity and violent weather. Violent people as well. This Super Moon is in a T-square to Saturn meaning Saturn is squaring both the Sun and Moon and is the focal point of the T-square. Saturn is also in a quincunx (150 degrees) aspect to Uranus. What does all this mean?

In mundane Astrology the Sun signifies the head of the nation, the government or executive head. Persons of distinction be it political or business leaders. The condition of the Sun reflects many things about the well being of the nation and how it is viewed by other nations. The Moon on the other hand signifies the people, the masses. It reflects the emotions of the people  and if afflicted it shows unrest and discord among the people. In square to Saturn it is afflicted. Quality of life is included here. Watch for changes in leadership of some country or countries.

So the perigee Full Moon, as all Full Moons is an opposition of the Sun and Moon. It is confrontation between the Sun and Moon and what they represent. Planets and signs can rule many things. With Saturn as the focal planet of a T-square it rules law enforcement and the conservative side of society and governs justice, order, systems and prudence. In a lunation, and this is, Saturn is often where there is the devil to pay, associated with misfortune or lack. With Saturn in Scorpio, epidemics are brought to the fore as we have brought up a few weeks ago. The last time Saturn and Pluto traveled through Scorpio in the 1980's, the Aids epidemic started. Ebola may be a problem for some time now. Give this T-square a number of days around Aug 10th. Scorpio is also about secrets, or what has been buried that comes to light.

With Saturn in quincunx ( a 150 degree aspect) Uranus the two planets have nothing in common. In this case freedom loving Uranus confronts the staid, status quo in Saturn. This is a signature of what is already going on in the Ukraine, Gaza and Iraq. That is upheavals, revolution, lawlessness and protests. I'll only say more of the same around the Aug 10th date. Whenever I see Saturn and Uranus in aspect I think geophysical stress. Saturn quincunx Uranus is a feel the fear the aspect. So feel the fear and do it anyway. Watch for significant earthquakes starting now for 2 weeks after the perigee Full Moon on Aug 10.

From a financial perspective this would appear to cause issues with other's people money (stocks market, insurance, pension funds etc.), debt events and issues and taxes.

There are other important dates coming up over the next couple of weeks, both positive and then quite negative. These will be reserved for subscribers.

Also from last weeks blog post.
"My comments on crude and key dates involving crude and mid-Eastern agreements or changes in power structure were given to subscribers a few weeks ago. They will be upon us soon.
Also mentioned were Mars and Saturn in the sign of Scorpio and their history with epidemics. These two planets will be conjunct later in the month. This may point to a peak in epidemic activity or the beginning. With Saturn involved, this latest Ebola or other epidemic may be with us for some time.

For those who are into mid-points in Astrology, the following is from COSI "Combination Of Stellar Influences" published in 1940. This is for the Mars / Saturn conjunction on the Moon / North Node mid-point.

"The system of self-defense against infection in the human body. Sufferings, disadvantages or losses through associations. Death through suffocation."

It get's worse if I look at the 90 degree mid-points which hits the Sun / Neptune 90 degree mid-points so I'll leave it at that."

Aug 25th is 1,998 cd's (calendar days) from the March 6, 2009 low on the SP500 which was 666. 1998 = 666 * 3. Watch this date.

SP500 Summary
If we are at the trough of the Primary cycle stock indices in the US should go up for a few weeks. If the perigee Full Moon manifests it's negative side we could see increased war efforts. Don't rule out terrorist activities and war like events in Europe with Saturn in T-square to the Full Moon.

We should watch to see if the SP500 can get above the July 24th high at 1991. If it cannot over the next 3-4 weeks we may be seeing the start of a bear market or at least the start of a change from a bull to bear.

Gold
Gold is in the 10th week of it's Primary cycle and may have just put in a trough for the first Major cycle (6 week, with a range of 5-7 weeks) of the Primary on July 31.

We've been waiting for a move up in Gold mainly based on Mars transit through Scorpio. The recent rise is encouraging but I'm looking for Gold to start making higher highs. I've bought and I'm holding.

From last weeks blog.
" Any move below $1280,on strong volume and I will be out."

What we need to see is Gold taking out the high on July 10th then the high on March 17th (i.e. previous highs).



We may be in a symmetrical triangle, light blue lines. Price often exits a symmetrical triangle in the same direction it entered it. In this case up.

Silver is in the 11th week of it's Primary cycle. It looks like we put in a 1/2 Primary top on July 10th and are in the time frame for a 1/2 Primary bottom. We are just past the 50% retracement (we're in the box) of the move up from May 30th to July 10th.



Crude
We are in the 15th week of the Primary cycle in crude. The current cycle appears to be  left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. A stronger US$ is not good for crude, at least WTIC.

All these problems are occurring around the dates we sent to subscribers a few weeks ago. The dates concerned crude, countries producing crude, agreements between these countries including crude production and changes in head's of state of crude producing countries.

Previously I've mentioned the issue with the US$ and international trade being largely conducted in US$ for many decades. There may be problems with the US$ in September. I'll be supplying subscribers with the dates.

There are some other issues regarding crude. There has been a dramatic increase in small earthquakes in the states of Kansas and Oklahoma. Some are pointing to waste water pumped into the ground after drilling shale projects as the problem. This situation needs to be monitored closely. The last thing we should be doing is wasting water. Neptune, which rules water, amongst other things is in it's own sign, Pisces. It's importance should increase over the next few years.




Other items, US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.

Saturday, August 2, 2014

Financial Astrology - August 3, 2014


From July 13, 2014 Market letter, page 6

"Allow me to add July 28-31 to the forecast date list. This is a time period where Venus will be in T-Square to the Uranus / Pluto waxing square. Venus rules resources and money. Both may be under stress during this short period."

So we added July 28-31 to the list of forecast dates on July 13th. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows these two aspects. Venus opposition Pluto is the red double arrow and Venus squared Uranus is the red square.



So we finally got the big move we have been waiting for. Are we out of the woods? Probably not, although we may have a short term bounce this week.

From last weeks blog post.

" What is coming up in August looks nasty. I've mentioned July 20 had Saturn turning direct and July 21 Uranus turning retrograde. I've also mentioned in previous posts there is a time window around the dates of retrograde and direct movement. The above mentioned time windows extend to Aug 8 when the Sun trines Uranus and Aug 9th the Sun squares Saturn. That weekend there is another perigee Full Moon on Aug 10th (or Super Moon). Saturn is in a T-Square configuration to this Super Moon. Watched out for major accidents, violent weather and geophysical events.

The above are stressing Saturn which is in the sign of Scorpio. Both Saturn and Pluto transiting Scorpio have a history of epidemics and general health concerns. Currently there is an Ebola outbreak in Africa and a possible bubonic plague occurrence in China. With Saturn in Scorpio and Mars catching up to Saturn with a conjunction on Aug 25th, I would expect these epidemic outbreaks to worsen in the month of August.

Saturn in Scorpio can also represent changes in tax structure and problems with debt. Portugal has had some recent bank debt problems. I expect there will be more."

In addition to the above we may see increased geopolitical tensions, although it's difficult seeing them increased.

Since we are reviewing previous posts content I should mention the Primary cycle. I've been questioned by one reader why I mention the Primary cycle when this is an Astrological blog. The answer is, the stock market has cycles separate from the Astrological cycles. The Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) is one of many cycles in the stock market. I use the Primary cycle, it's sub-cycles and longer term market cycles to approximate where the market will change trend. I then look at the main Astrological events that fine tune my forecast of where the market changes trend. I do this for the sub-cycles as well i.e. the Major cycle ( nominal 6 week cycle which has a range of 5-7 weeks).

Last week I brought up the subject of changing the Primary cycle count from a start on Feb 5, 2014 to May 15, 2014 for the SP500. I changed the count for the DJIA and Nasdaq as well. With the dramatic move down in all the indices we track I must reconsider the Primary cycle count.

If Feb 5th was the last Primary cycle count then this is the 25th week. This is just outside our normal range of 15-23 weeks.

If May 15th was the last Primary cycle count then this is the 11th week of a newer Primary cycle.

The Dow had a larger percentage drop and has the same Primary cycle issue. Are we in at the end of a Primary cycle which started Feb 5th or in the middle of a newer Primary which started May 15th.

To resolve this question I'm watching the retracement levels for this move down. Primary cycle troughs usually get back to the 38.2% - 61.8% retracement levels.

The following daily chart of the SP500 assumes the retracement from the May 15th date. You can see we are "in the box" between the 38.2% and 61.8% retracements. In fact we are very close to the 50% level, a level which is often the trough.



The next chart is the same as above except it assumes the retracement from the Feb 15th, 2014 Primary cycle trough. This shows we have only hit the 23.6% retracement level. This would be deemed as shallow or we have quite a bit more down-side, which is quite possible.



Similar analysis can be done for the Dow or Nasdaq.

Watch these areas this week. We may get an early bounce but there are some rough transits on the week-end of Aug 9th including another perigee Full Moon (aka Super Moon -- Richard Nolle ). On the physical plane, Super Moons have been associated with geophysical events (large earthquakes and volcanic activity) and violent weather. Some would say this violence is also peeked in man's activity.

My comments on crude and key dates involving crude and mid-Eastern agreements or changes in power structure were given to subscribers a few weeks ago. They will be upon us soon.
Also mentioned were Mars and Saturn in the sign of Scorpio and their history with epidemics. These two planets will be conjunct later in the month. This may point to a peak in epidemic activity or the beginning. With Saturn involved, this latest Ebola or other epidemic may be with us for some time.

For those who are into mid-points in Astrology, the following is from COSI "Combination Of Stellar Influences" published in 1940. This is for the Mars / Saturn conjunction on the Moon / North Node mid-point.

"The system of self-defense against infection in the human body. Sufferings, disadvantages or losses through associations. Death through suffocation."

It get's worse if I look at the 90 degree mid-points which hits the Sun / Neptune 90 degree mid-points so I'll leave it at that.

Aug 25th is 1,998 cd's (calendar days) from the March 6, 2009 low on the SP500 which was 666. 1998 = 666 * 3. Watch this date.

I had mentioned problems with debt and we have continued debt problems with Portuguese banks and now Argentina. Watch closely, there should be more debt problems to come. I'm looking at Europe but there may be other countries.

Gold
Gold is in the 9th week of it's Primary cycle and may have just put in a trough for the first Major cycle (6 week, with a range of 5-7 weeks) of the Primary. Note the move down stopped on the 61.8% retracement level last Thursday and moved up on Friday, Aug 1st the day Venus squared Uranus and trined Saturn and Mars squared Jupiter. Remember Mars has just entered Scorpio and has a strong history of moves up when it is in Scorpio.

From last weeks blog.
" Any move below $1280,on strong volume and I will be out." Spot Gold bottomed at 1280.14 on Friday August 1st. The October contract bottomed at 1280.50 on the same day.

So I'm holding, but will adhere to the " Any move below $1280,on strong volume and I will be out." The move up on Friday stopped at the 45 day sma and any move down in Gold will have the 15 day sma crossing down through the 45 day sma. This would be very negative.

Where Gold goes early next week is very important. What we need to see is Gold taking out the high on July 10th then the high on March 17th (i.e. previous highs).



We may be in a symmetrical triangle, light blue lines. Price often exits a symmetrical triangle in the same direction it entered it. In this case up.

Silver is in the 10th week of it's Primary cycle. It looks like we put in a 1/2 Primary top on July 10th and are in the time frame for a 1/2 Primary bottom. We are just past the 38.2% retracement (we're in the box) of the move up from May 30th to July 10th.



Crude
We are in the 14th week of the Primary cycle in crude. The current cycle appears to be  left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. A stronger US$ is not good for crude, at least WTIC.

The whole crude picture world-wide is changing. The US is becoming a major supplier while fighting in the mid-East is affecting production and transport. Turkey is accepting crude from the Kurd's who have taken over oil fields in northern Iraq during the ISIS upheaval. Turkey is loading this crude into tankers but I don't know the destination. A number of countries are preparing to trade crude and other commodities in something other than the US$. This would mean the world needs less US bucks and they become less important for international trade.

All these problems are occurring around the dates we sent to subscribers a few weeks ago. The dates concerned crude, countries producing crude, agreements between these countries including crude production and changes in head's of state of crude producing countries.

Previously I've mentioned the issue with the US$ and international trade being largely conducted in US$ for many decades. This may be changing.

Subscribers, have had critical dates for a few weeks.

There are some other issues regarding crude. There has been a dramatic increase in small earthquakes in the states of Kansas and Oklahoma. Some are pointing to waste water pumped into the ground after drilling shale projects as the problem. This situation needs to be monitored closely. The last thing we should be doing is wasting water. Neptune, which rules water, amongst other things is in it's own sign, Pisces. It's importance should increase over the next few years.




Other items, US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.