Saturday, April 18, 2015

Financial Astrology - April 20, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 11th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



The move down we have been expecting arrived on April 17th. We have expected the move to be more than a one day event

From last weeks blog and letter.

April 16           Pluto stationary retrograde, Moon 0 degrees declination,  Sun quintile                                                  Kronos (Surprisingly Pluto retrograde has a history of short term cycles, both                                     crests and troughs). Pluto rules debt so watch for any news on debt issues,                                            Europe? Events often happen when the Moon crosses 0 degrees                                                              declination.
April 17           Mars waning square Jupiter
                        (If prices are still rising by April 17th this signature is a time to sell. It                                                    needs a wide orb so consider this selling pressure at the start of the week).
April 17           Venus Out of Bounds
                        (Among other things Venus rules money. Venus going outside the Sun's                                                  max declination is often a change in trend in the markets).

This coming week is quite difficult to forecast. We had a one day move down on Friday and looking at two aspects more often found at short term turns. I'm looking for a potential bounce early in the week and then further down.

If the markets are still down going into the last week of the month I would look for a reversal up as we have an FOMC meeting on April 28, 29th. This is also close to another consistent cycle which is reserved for subscribers.

Venus and Pluto seem to be the dominating forces. Venus is money and Pluto is debt. Issues last week were Greece's potential bankruptcy and China changing the rules for margin debt. These issues may extend into next week. Greece's financial problems are quickly coming to a head.

Venus will be "Out of Bounds" until early June which should bring volatility and sometimes the trend in the market, which changed near the Venus "Out of Bounds", continues until Venus comes back in bounds. That occurs on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds". Pluto is retrograde until late September 2015. Pluto is in a strong position anyway as it is virtually on the mid-point of Capricorn. Capricorn rules Government, government agencies and big brother. Large entities that control the masses. Pluto is about change that will not be undone, using any means possible. Sometimes quite nasty. September and October are potentially dangerous market months.

I'm also looking at Astrological cycle charts and the Uranus cycle chart is showing a number of aspects which could create a great amount of tension. Watch for this in the markets and general mundane events.

Video

Upcoming dates

As mentioned in the video we are entering the 6th week of the second nominal 6 week cycle of the current Primary cycle. Cycle wise then April 15th may have been the crest of the current nominal 6 week cycle. We are looking for the trough over the next couple of weeks.

The next FOMC meeting is April 28,29 so be aware of this time period as anticipated FED comments should be beneficial to the markets if the markets are down at that time. All dates +- 3 tds, minimum.

April 19          Venus waxing square Neptune
                        (Nominal 6 week cycle often culminate close by this signature)
April 21          Mars waxing trine to Pluto
                        (This signature has more of a history with Primary cycle turns. Since this                                                is the 11th week of the Primary it is not in range for a trough. This may be                                            pointing to a crest in the current Primary cycle or the 2nd nominal 6                                                      week cycle which is entering the 6th week. It should be pointed out this                                                signature has more of a history with trough's than crests)

In addition to the above there are the following heliocentric aspects.
Mars waning squared Jupiter on April 18th and Venus waxing trine Uranus on April 21. Both aspects have a history of a change in trend, Venus waxing trine Uranus often marks a move down in the markets. This is so close to the move on Friday this aspect is in orb.

We are not finished with the Solar eclipse either. The points raised on the Total Solar eclipse of March 20th are in effect for 3 to 6 months. That Solar eclipse should stress relationships between Russia, Europe and the USA. It's pointing to conflict. Also, the last time there was a Solar Eclipse in aspect to the World Point was June 21, 2001, at 0 degrees Cancer approx. 1 1/2 months before 9/11.

Keep in mind the comments made on the Lunar eclipse as well, as they can have an effect 6 weeks before and after the eclipse.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.


Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 5th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

We have mentioned many times, the first nominal 6 week cycle of a new Primary cycle often pulls back in the 2 - 4 week range. This often gives a trader an opportunity to get in a market if the Primary cycle bottom was missed. The 3 day pullback March 27, 30 and 31 looks like a good example if we start up at some point next week.

Price is above the 15 and 45 day sma and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day sma. Gold may have put in the crest to the current nominal 6 week cycle on April 6th. It will be important to see if Gold can take out the April 6th high. If not, Gold is probably headed down. There are other aspects coming up in mid-year that are positive for Gold. We may hit resistance over the next couple of weeks. Watch the 1220 area for possible resistance and a reversal down.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold has been following the Venus price line up. It's about to hit the 27 cd (calendar day) cycle on April 20th and then the Venus price line will cross the Jupiter price line (blue) which often results in bigger moves for PM's. I'm watching the 1220 area for Gold as it may encounter stiff resistance at the dark Jupiter price line.



Gold is also in a forming Head and Shoulders pattern with currently a weaker right shoulder which may make this pattern more powerful. The green neckline shows support / resistance and it is currently around the 1147 area. This is a complex formation where we could have chosen another neckline.



All-in all I expect Gold to weaken very soon and be down until late June / early July. As mentioned above mid-year should be more positive for Gold.

Crude
This coming week of April 20 we should be entering the 12th week of a Primary cycle which started Jan 29, 2015 and may have put in a nominal 6 week trough on March 18th. There was a lot of volatility in currencies the last few days and the US$ may have caused the rise in crude and some other commodities. If this was the 6 week trough, crude should be bullish short term. The Astrological aspect I'm watching are the heliocentric square between Mars and Jupiter on April 18th and the Venus waxing square to Neptune on April 19th. Jupiter and Neptune are co-rulers of crude.

Overall crude looks positive here. I'm watching the $58.67 area which is the 23.6% retracement of the move down from June 2014 to late January 2015. I'm looking for a resistance area.

Although we are looking at crude as bullish although there is probably too many geopolitical issues with crude to effectively trade. One questionable statement or action and the price of crude could rocket up or down.

Watch the days around April 19th and 21st.  Jupiter and Neptune co-rule crude while Pluto is relevant because it rules hidden things and things from the ground.
With the other negative Astrological aspects and events crude may continue being very volatile over the next few weeks. Iran and other geopolitical events Saudi/Yemen could affect crude prices quickly as will the US$ gyrations.



As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (orange) gave resistance on April 7th  and crude pulled back almost to the next Jupiter price line (orange) where it has found both support and resistance in the recent past. If crude is bullish it should break above the 58.27 area which is the next Jupiter price line (orange). Crude ended the week almost on the Neptune price line (green).




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.


1 comment:

  1. Can you provide tips for doing KLSE Stock Analysis, as I am new to it and don't know about charts reading and all.

    ReplyDelete