SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 11th week of the
Primary 1
cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015. This cycle is
aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.
The move down we have been
expecting arrived on April 17th. We have expected the move to be more than a
one day event
From last weeks blog and letter.
April 16 Pluto stationary retrograde, Moon 0
degrees declination, Sun quintile Kronos (Surprisingly
Pluto retrograde has a history of short term cycles, both crests and
troughs). Pluto rules debt so watch for any news on debt issues, Europe ?
Events often happen when the Moon crosses 0 degrees declination.
April 17 Mars waning square Jupiter
(If
prices are still rising by April 17th this signature is a time to sell. It needs a wide orb
so consider this selling pressure at the start of the week).
April 17 Venus Out of Bounds
(Among
other things Venus rules money. Venus going outside the Sun's max declination
is often a change in trend in the markets).
This coming week is quite difficult
to forecast. We had a one day move down on Friday and looking at two aspects
more often found at short term turns. I'm
looking for a potential bounce early in the week and then further down.
If the markets are still down
going into the last week of the month I would look for a reversal up as we have
an FOMC meeting on April 28, 29th.
This is also close to another consistent cycle which is reserved for
subscribers.
Venus and Pluto seem to be the
dominating forces. Venus is money and
Pluto is debt. Issues last week were Greece 's
potential bankruptcy and China
changing the rules for margin debt. These issues may extend into next week. Greece 's
financial problems are quickly coming to a head.
Venus will be "Out of
Bounds" until early June which should bring volatility and sometimes the
trend in the market, which changed near the Venus "Out of Bounds", continues
until Venus comes back in bounds. That occurs on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds". Pluto is
retrograde until late September 2015. Pluto is in a strong position anyway as it is virtually on the mid-point of Capricorn. Capricorn rules Government, government agencies and big brother. Large entities that control the masses. Pluto is about change that will not be undone, using any means possible. Sometimes quite nasty. September and October are potentially dangerous
market months.
I'm also looking at Astrological
cycle charts and the Uranus cycle chart is showing a number of aspects which
could create a great amount of tension. Watch for this in the markets and general
mundane events.
Video
Upcoming dates
As mentioned in the video we are
entering the 6th week of the second nominal 6 week cycle of the
current Primary cycle. Cycle wise then April 15th may have been the crest of
the current nominal 6 week cycle. We are looking for the trough over the next
couple of weeks.
The next FOMC meeting is April
28,29 so be aware of this time period as anticipated FED comments should be
beneficial to the markets if the markets are down at that time. All dates +- 3 tds,
minimum.
April 19 Venus
waxing square Neptune
(Nominal
6 week cycle often culminate close by this signature)
April 21 Mars
waxing trine to Pluto
(This
signature has more of a history with Primary cycle turns. Since this is the 11th week of
the Primary it is not in range for a trough. This may be pointing to a
crest in the current Primary cycle or the 2nd nominal 6 week cycle which is entering the 6th week.
It should be pointed out this signature
has more of a history with trough's than crests)
In addition to the above there are
the following heliocentric aspects.
Mars waning squared Jupiter on April 18th and Venus waxing trine
Uranus on April 21. Both aspects
have a history of a change in trend, Venus waxing trine Uranus often marks a
move down in the markets. This is so close to the move on Friday this aspect is
in orb.
We are not finished with the Solar
eclipse either. The points raised on the Total Solar eclipse of March 20th are
in effect for 3 to 6 months. That Solar eclipse should stress relationships
between Russia , Europe and
the USA .
It's pointing to conflict. Also, the last time there was a Solar Eclipse in
aspect to the World Point was June 21, 2001, at 0 degrees Cancer approx. 1 1/2
months before 9/11.
Keep in mind the comments made on
the Lunar eclipse as well, as they can have an effect 6 weeks before and after
the eclipse.
We are looking for longer term
cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should
end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as
well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are
other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.
Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the
Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 5th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.
We have mentioned many times, the first nominal 6 week cycle
of a new Primary cycle often pulls back in the 2 - 4 week range. This often
gives a trader an opportunity to get in a market if the Primary cycle bottom
was missed. The 3 day pullback March 27, 30 and 31 looks like a good example if
we start up at some point next week.
Price is above the 15 and 45 day sma and the 15 day sma is
above the 45 day sma. Gold may have put in the crest to the current nominal 6
week cycle on April 6th. It will be important to see if Gold can take out the
April 6th high. If not, Gold is probably
headed down. There are other aspects coming up in mid-year that are positive
for Gold. We may hit resistance over the next couple of weeks. Watch the 1220
area for possible resistance and a reversal down.
The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus
(green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold has been following the Venus price
line up. It's about to hit the 27 cd (calendar day) cycle on April 20th and
then the Venus price line will cross the Jupiter price line (blue) which often
results in bigger moves for PM's. I'm watching the 1220 area for Gold as it may
encounter stiff resistance at the dark Jupiter price line.
Gold is also in a forming Head and Shoulders pattern with
currently a weaker right shoulder which may make this pattern more powerful.
The green neckline shows support / resistance and it is currently around the
1147 area. This is a complex formation where we could have chosen another neckline.
All-in all I expect Gold to weaken very soon and be down
until late June / early July. As mentioned above mid-year should be more
positive for Gold.
Crude
This coming week of April
20 we should be entering the 12th
week of a Primary cycle which started Jan
29, 2015 and may have put in a nominal 6
week trough on March 18th. There was a lot of volatility in currencies the
last few days and the US $
may have caused the rise in crude and some other commodities. If this was the 6
week trough, crude should be bullish short term. The Astrological aspect I'm
watching are the heliocentric square between Mars and Jupiter on April 18th and the Venus waxing square to Neptune on
April 19th. Jupiter and Neptune are co-rulers of crude.
Overall crude looks
positive here. I'm watching the $58.67 area which is the 23.6% retracement
of the move down from June 2014 to late January 2015. I'm looking for a
resistance area.
Although we are looking at crude as bullish although there
is probably too many geopolitical issues with crude to effectively trade. One questionable
statement or action and the price of crude could rocket up or down.
Watch the days around April
19th and 21st. Jupiter and Neptune
co-rule crude while Pluto is relevant because it rules hidden things and things
from the ground.
With the other negative Astrological aspects and events
crude may continue being very volatile over the next few weeks. Iran and other geopolitical events Saudi/Yemen
could affect crude prices quickly as will the US $ gyrations.
As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (orange)
gave resistance on April 7th and crude
pulled back almost to the next Jupiter price line (orange) where it has found
both support and resistance in the recent past. If crude is bullish it should break
above the 58.27 area which is the next Jupiter price line (orange). Crude ended
the week almost on the Neptune price line
(green).
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 1st half 2015
dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.
Can you provide tips for doing KLSE Stock Analysis, as I am new to it and don't know about charts reading and all.
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